今年（2025 年）双十一期间，美妆板块整体表现较为强劲，抖音平台同比增 长达到 20%，天猫平台的实际增长数据约为 8%。尽管天猫的增长略低于预期， 但整体美妆板块仍超过 10%的增长，基本达到了平台的预期。具体到品牌层面， 国际品牌和新国货线表现尤为突出。国际品牌中高端和轻奢线的增长普遍超过 10%，许多品牌甚至达到了 20%以上。而国货品牌中，自然堂、百雀羚、林 清轩、谷雨等非上市公司表现优异，但上市公司中仅毛戈平的数据超过 50%的 增长。 双十一期间，各大电商平台上的订单数量和客单价有何变化？流量结构如何？ 双 11 美护大盘&高端品牌趋势分析专家会 20251116 摘要 2025 年双十一期间，国际品牌在淘天平台表现强劲，中高端和轻奢线 增长普遍超过 10%，部分品牌甚至超过 20%，主要受益于八八 VIP 用 户增长，贡献占比高达 65%，其中国际品牌占比 70%-90%。 国货品牌在抖音平台的预算投入较高，但整体表现逊于国际品牌。自然 堂、百雀羚、林清轩、谷雨等非上市公司表现优异，而上市公司中仅毛 戈平增长超过 50%。 国际品牌在淘系费率约为 15%-20%，抖音约为 25%；国货在抖音费 ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the robust double-digit growth during the Double Eleven shopping festival, highlighting the impressive performance of instant retail and the trend towards integrated service across platforms [1][2]. Group 1: Overall Market Performance - The total GMV for the Double Eleven event in 2025 is projected to reach 1,695 billion, reflecting a 14% growth compared to 2024 [1]. - Major platforms like Tmall and JD.com reported significant growth, with Tmall achieving its best growth in four years, driven by the 88VIP program and new business models [1]. - Instant retail showed remarkable growth, with GMV reaching 670 billion, marking a 138% increase year-on-year [1]. Group 2: Beauty Sector Insights - The beauty category across multiple platforms is expected to grow between 5-15% during the Double Eleven event, with Tmall's top 10 beauty brands remaining stable [2]. - Domestic brands like Proya and Winona are performing well, with Proya maintaining the top position in Tmall's beauty category [2]. - The high-end international brands are also seeing a recovery, with Estee Lauder and SK-II improving their rankings [2]. Group 3: Brand Performance Highlights - Brands such as RuYuchen and Shangmei have shown outstanding performance during the Double Eleven, with RuYuchen's Zhenjia achieving an 80% year-on-year increase in GMV [3]. - The brand management and e-commerce operations of Kangwang and Aveeno also reported significant growth, with GMV increasing by 50% and 242% respectively [3]. - The overall sales for brands like Anmin and Jiyuan have seen substantial increases, with Anmin's total sales up by 208% [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - The company has launched a restricted stock incentive plan to enhance its long-term development confidence and align the interests of shareholders, the company, and management [1] - The company's performance has been strong, with a 31.3% year-on-year increase in revenue to 2.59 billion yuan and a 36.1% increase in net profit to 670 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [2] - The company is focusing on high-end beauty positioning, expanding its product range into fragrances, and has seen significant growth in both online and offline channels [3] Summary by Sections Company Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.59 billion yuan, a 31.3% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 670 million yuan, up 36.1% [2] - Sales on major platforms during the "Double Eleven" shopping festival showed strong growth, with year-on-year increases of 60.5% on Taobao, 39.8% on Douyin, and 22.3% on JD [2] Product and Market Strategy - The company is enhancing its high-end beauty positioning and has expanded its product categories to include fragrances, with successful product launches in various high-end department stores [3] - The product matrix has been enriched with new series such as Guo Yun Ning Xiang and Wen Dao Dong Fang [3] Financial Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 1.21 billion yuan, 1.58 billion yuan, and 2.04 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.46 yuan, 3.22 yuan, and 4.16 yuan [3][10] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 34, 26, and 20 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][10]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [2][22] Core Insights - The retail sector saw a 4.06% increase last week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.14 percentage points [2][7] - The total sales during the 2025 "Double Eleven" shopping festival reached 16,950 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.2% [4][20] - The current PE ratio for the retail sector is 51.03X, with a PB ratio of 2.06X [3][15][18] Industry Performance - The retail sector's performance over the past month shows a relative return of 4.6%, a 3-month return of -2.7%, and a 12-month return of 2.3% [2] - The retail sector's absolute returns were 4.4% over the past month, 8.1% over the past 3 months, and 18.9% over the past year [2] Industry Dynamics - The "Double Eleven" shopping festival highlighted a shift in consumer behavior towards rational spending, with a focus on quality and brand value [4][20] - The home appliance sector is expected to maintain strong growth due to ongoing subsidy policies, while competition is evolving towards AI empowerment and green solutions [4][20] - The beauty industry is experiencing significant structural upgrades, with a focus on high-end products and effective performance [4][20] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors that emphasize experience, content, and community engagement, particularly in smart home appliances and beauty care [4][21][22] - Attention is recommended for high-end domestic beauty brands and the instant retail supply chain during the "Double Eleven" period [5][22]

袁帅认为，从宏观层面看，国货在"双11"的表现，折射出消费端与供给端的一系列深层变化：一方面， 消费侧更重视品质与体验，愿意为"好国货"反复买单；另一方面，供给侧通过技术投入和供应链改造， 不断增强产品竞争力。"这一轮'国货当道'，既来自消费端心智的变化，也来自生产端能力的抬升。" 中国数实融合50人论坛智库专家洪勇表示，国货品牌的成功不仅体现在终端销售，更深刻带动了上游产 业链的繁荣。品牌订单的增长直接转化为对本土零部件、材料和制造服务的需求，推动了环节的升级。 这种"以消费促制造"的正向循环，有效扩大了内需市场，增强了国内经济的内生动力。同时，本土供应 链的紧密协作提升了产业链的整体韧性，减少了对外部的依赖，为构建安全、高效、自主可控的国内大 循环体系提供了坚实支撑，也为中国品牌走向全球奠定了基础。 业内普遍认为，国货品牌已经实现了从"平替"到与进口品牌"同台竞技"的重要转变。这背后，是企业多 年在品质、技术、品牌上的持续投入，也是供给侧结构优化与需求侧理性回归、文化自信提升共同作用 的结果。袁帅认为，未来国货要走得更远，仍需在产品力、创新力和全球化能力上不断加码，靠一次大 促的爆发是不够的，关键是把日常 ...

本报记者谢若琳见习记者何成浩 2025年"双11"购物季正式收官，其间多平台榜单上国产品牌占据"C位"。例如，天猫相关数据显示，美 妆销售额榜单中国品牌珀莱雅位列第一，服饰销售榜单中国品牌占得前三中的两个席位。京东相关数据 显示，手机品牌累计销量排名中，中国品牌占得前三中的两个席位。抖音相关数据显示，趋势男装及时 尚女装品牌榜中，第一皆为国产品牌。在业内人士看来，今年的"国货热"并非偶然，而是过去几年消费 结构变化在"双11"场景下的一次集中体现。 埃森哲《美好生活新主张—中国消费者洞察》报告显示，近五年来，中国消费者的品牌偏好正在悄然改 变，进口品牌不再是"优先项"，六成左右的消费者现在会选择国货。如家用电器品类，在2021年，55% 的消费者会优先选择国际品牌，而2025年，69%的消费者会优先选择国产品牌。美妆护肤品类，从2021 年的约12%优先选择国产品牌提升至2025年的43%。 袁帅认为，从宏观层面看，国货在"双11"的表现，折射出消费端与供给端的一系列深层变化：一方面， 消费侧更重视品质与体验，愿意为"好国货"反复买单；另一方面，供给侧通过技术投入和供应链改造， 不断增强产品竞争力。"这一轮' ...

Core Viewpoint - The dispute over Gucci's beauty and fragrance licensing between Coty and Kering Group highlights the complexities of brand management and the strategic shift towards leveraging specialized partners for beauty products, as Kering collaborates with L'Oréal for a long-term exclusive agreement post-2028 [1][2][10]. Group 1: Licensing Dispute - Coty has filed a lawsuit against Kering and Gucci regarding the beauty and fragrance licensing agreement, asserting its rights until the contract's expiration [1][4]. - Kering and L'Oréal's partnership will take over Gucci's beauty business after Coty's current license expires in 2028, indicating a significant shift in Gucci's beauty strategy [1][5]. - Kering has stated it will continue to honor existing agreements with Coty, while Coty maintains that it will operate under the current licensing terms [1][2][10]. Group 2: Financial Implications - Coty's Q1 2026 financial results show a net revenue of $1.578 billion, a 6% decline, with the high-end beauty segment contributing $1.07 billion, down 6% year-over-year [5]. - Gucci accounts for approximately 8% of Coty's total sales and 11% of its revenue, indicating a significant potential impact on Coty's financials if the licensing agreement is lost [5][10]. - Kering's beauty segment has shown growth, with a 9% increase in revenue to €150 million in the first half of 2025, contrasting with a 16% decline in overall revenue [7][8]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The collaboration between luxury brands and specialized beauty companies reflects a trend towards optimizing resource allocation and enhancing operational efficiency in the beauty sector [8][11]. - The shift towards licensing and partnerships is seen as a strategic move to maximize growth potential in the beauty market, especially for luxury brands that may lack the expertise in beauty operations [2][8]. - The ongoing litigation may affect the collaborative atmosphere between Coty and Kering, potentially impacting future negotiations and partnerships [8][10].

Core Viewpoint - Marubi Biotech plans to issue H-shares and apply for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its capital strength and international competitiveness after six years of being listed in A-shares [1][2]. Group 1: Company Actions and Financials - Marubi Biotech announced a delay of two years for its 344 million yuan investment in a "cosmetics intelligent manufacturing factory" project, citing sufficient existing production capacity [1][3]. - The company reported a cash dividend of 0.25 yuan per share, totaling 100 million yuan, on November 14 [1]. - As of the end of Q3 2025, Marubi had 1.592 billion yuan in cash and 413 million yuan in trading financial assets, despite the delay in its investment project [3][4]. Group 2: Performance Metrics - For the first three quarters of 2025, Marubi achieved a revenue of 2.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.51%, while net profit was 244 million yuan, up 2.13% [10][12]. - The company’s cash flow from operating activities increased significantly by 132.19% to 159 million yuan [5]. - Despite revenue growth, the company faced a decline in net profit excluding non-recurring items, which fell by 5.42% to 214 million yuan [10][12]. Group 3: Market Context and Strategic Implications - The trend of A-share companies seeking dual listings in Hong Kong is driven by supportive regulatory policies and a recovering market, with 87 IPOs in Hong Kong in 2025, a 55.36% increase year-on-year [7][8]. - Marubi's actions reflect a broader industry trend where companies are pursuing internationalization strategies amid structural challenges in the market [9][12]. - Analysts question the necessity of Marubi's Hong Kong listing given its substantial idle funds and ongoing delays in existing projects, suggesting a need for clarity on the strategic rationale behind the move [9][12].

Core Insights - The global beauty market is facing a "value return" challenge, with the Chinese market undergoing significant structural adjustments, moving from rapid growth to a more competitive landscape [1][2][6] - L'Oréal has demonstrated strong resilience and growth in this challenging environment, achieving "mid-single-digit growth" in the Chinese market, which is a notable performance amidst overall market stagnation [2][6][7] Financial Performance - L'Oréal's Q3 financial report shows a 3.7% year-on-year growth, with total sales reaching €32.8 billion, outperforming the sluggish market [5][6] - The online sales channel has seen double-digit growth, indicating L'Oréal's strong digital presence and market dominance [5] Market Strategy - L'Oréal's growth is driven by a robust recovery in the high-end cosmetics sector, capitalizing on the premium market segment [7] - The "Beauty Stimulus Plan" focuses on innovation and product line mobilization, enhancing the proportion of new products in the market [7][11] Innovation and R&D - L'Oréal is committed to long-term investment in China, marking the 20th anniversary of its R&D center, which has evolved from "in China" to "with China" and now "for China" [4][11] - The company showcased 26 new product launches at the recent expo, including three Asian debuts and four global launches, highlighting its innovation capabilities [11][12] Strategic Partnerships - L'Oréal has formed a strategic partnership with Kering, acquiring high-end fragrance brands and enhancing its position as a global leader in luxury beauty [10][15] - The "BIG BANG Beauty Tech Co-Creation Program" has successfully connected with numerous startups, fostering innovation in the beauty tech sector [13][21] Societal Impact and ESG - L'Oréal's commitment to ESG principles is evident, with a focus on creating jobs and driving economic growth, claiming to generate over 334,000 jobs in China [23][25] - The company has launched initiatives like the "New Age Beauty" concept, addressing societal issues related to aging and promoting a holistic view of beauty [24][25] Thought Leadership - L'Oréal aims to redefine beauty as a core economic driver, launching a book on the economics of beauty, which quantifies its impact on job creation and economic growth [20][23] - The company is positioning itself as a thought leader in the beauty industry, moving beyond product sales to influence industry standards and societal perceptions of beauty [17][18]

Core Insights - The 2025 Double Eleven event concluded with a total transaction volume of 169.5 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 14.2% [3] - The event has shifted from a "single-point explosive promotion mechanism" to a "long-cycle comprehensive operational test" [4][25] - The importance of omnichannel operational capabilities has been emphasized, with brands and platforms undergoing significant transformations [4] Sales Performance - Household appliances and mobile digital devices contributed the most to overall growth, with clothing in third place and personal care and beauty products maintaining a steady fourth position with an 8.2% market share [5] - The beauty and skincare category dominated with sales of 99.1 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth rate of 11.65% [9] Market Dynamics - The top brands in the beauty and skincare category remained stable, indicating strong brand power and supply chain resilience [10] - Significant changes were observed from the second to fifth positions, with brands like 修丽可 and 赫莲娜 entering the top ranks, reflecting a shift towards a new competitive landscape [12] - In the fragrance and makeup categories, foreign brands maintained dominance, while domestic brands like 毛戈平 and 卡姿兰 began to establish their presence [14] Channel Strategies - Tmall's beauty rankings are dominated by international brands, while Douyin showcases a strong presence of domestic brands, indicating a divergence in channel strategies [16] - The growth structure of beauty brands has evolved to include "influencer-driven hits + brand self-broadcasting + big-ticket items" [17] Promotional Strategies - The promotional period for Double Eleven has extended beyond 30 days, with brands focusing on pre-sale strategies to optimize inventory and marketing efforts [21][22] - The sales curve has diversified, with brands employing strategies to create peaks in sales during different phases of the promotional cycle [24] AI Integration - AI has begun to permeate consumer decision-making and merchant operations, enhancing the shopping experience and operational efficiency [27][28] - Platforms like Tmall and JD have introduced AI-driven services to assist consumers and merchants, significantly improving operational capabilities [30][32][35] - The integration of AI is reshaping the competitive landscape, emphasizing the importance of technological efficiency over resource density [39][40] Industry Evolution - The Double Eleven event has evolved into a cultural phenomenon, reflecting broader trends in consumer behavior and brand strategies [41] - Platforms are increasingly differentiating their strategies, with Tmall focusing on a comprehensive consumption platform and Douyin emphasizing content-driven commerce [42] - User engagement is shifting from transactional relationships to long-term asset accumulation, with brands leveraging membership tools to enhance customer loyalty [43] - The value of Double Eleven is transitioning from mere transaction efficiency to ecosystem empowerment, fostering a more rational and long-term relationship among platforms, brands, and consumers [45]