Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the company, Mixue Group, is expected to maintain strong same-store sales growth and store openings in the domestic market, leading to an upward revision of net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 7% to 5.45 billion and 6.51 billion yuan respectively [1] - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 33 and 28 times for 2025 and 2026, with an 18% increase in the target price to 555 HKD, indicating an upside potential of 8% [1] - The company is expected to benefit from a stable consumption environment and product upgrades, with same-store sales growth in 2025 projected to exceed the 1% level of 2024 [4] Group 2 - In Q2, most tea beverage brands experienced rapid same-store sales growth, with brands like Gu Ming and Cha Bai Dao recording double-digit percentage growth [3] - The recent easing of price competition on delivery platforms is expected to improve the competitive landscape in the long term, although it may cause short-term disruptions to same-store sales [3] - The company has signed over 6,000 stores nationwide as of June 27, compared to nearly 4,000 at the end of 2024, indicating a strong expansion strategy [4] Group 3 - The company is actively exploring overseas markets, with plans to open its first store in Brazil in 2025 and establish a supply chain factory for localized production [5] - The company is also focusing on product innovation and supply chain capabilities in markets like Indonesia and Vietnam, which are currently in an adjustment phase [5] - The company aims to maintain strong profitability despite potential margin pressures from its long-term strategy of mutual benefit with franchisees [4]

近来，新茶饮行业发展迅猛，成为消费市场中的重要力量。有调查显示，2024年中国新式茶饮市场规模 达3547亿元，预计到2028年有望突破4000亿元。新茶饮不仅是休闲解渴之新宠，更成为社交打卡的热门 标配。 新茶饮之新，在产品内核，在技术赋能。其突破传统茶叶、开水的简单搭配，大量引入鲜果、芝士、鲜 奶、坚果等配料，提供给消费者层出不穷的味蕾享受。例如，贵州品牌去茶山将刺梨、折耳根、糯米等 特色食材融入饮品，形成独具特色的"贵州野味"，展现出"为一杯茶赴一座城"的品牌效应。新茶饮还革 新现代工艺或引入活态非遗技艺，比如，霸王茶姬通过"数智冷链仓配系统"实现精准控温，茉沏联合虎 丘三花茶窨制技艺非遗代表性传承人，以古法窨制工艺锁住茶花双香。 另一方面，强化创新，在创产品、技术、文化之新上下功夫。新茶饮企业须把创新贯穿企业全生命周 期，加大产品研发力度，推动原料与工艺的科技化重构。例如，爷爷不泡茶将湖北恩施玉露、孝感米 酿、咸宁桂花等土特产通过现代科技酿成新茶饮，让小众农产品转化为全国性爆款饮品。顺应健康消费 趋势，研发低糖、低脂、纯天然原料的茶饮，参与制定相关健康标准，满足消费者对健康的诉求。深耕 数智化，在省时 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant shift in consumer demand for ready-to-drink tea, emphasizing health and nutrition attributes, driven by increased health awareness and government policies [1][2] - A survey indicates that the primary factors influencing consumer choices in ready-to-drink tea are taste and flavor, accounting for 63.0%, followed by quality safety and healthiness of ingredients at 44.5% and 35.3% respectively [1] - The "Healthy China Action" and related policies are pushing the ready-to-drink tea industry towards nutritional upgrades and health-oriented transformations, marking a trend towards more diverse and health-focused product offerings [1] Group 2 - Nayuki Tea has launched a "No Sugar Natural Nutrition+" initiative in collaboration with Xinhua News and nutrition experts, ensuring each product contains at least three green ingredients to provide essential nutrients [2] - This initiative represents a significant shift in the new tea beverage industry from a focus on sugar reduction to a commitment to natural nutrition, indicating a new phase of sustainable and higher nutritional standards [2] - Nayuki Tea has experienced a positive market response, with a 35% year-on-year increase in average orders per store in May and a continued upward trend with a 26% increase in June [2]

导读：前几天和一个基金经理聊天，他说现在投资要跟着孩子走。新消费品背后是95后群体。不懂年轻人，就看不懂今天的新消费。 人会变老，但投资组合要永保年轻。每一个时代的消费趋势，都是由年轻人推动的。70后消费群体，注重社交的场景化，带来了品牌白酒的欣欣向 荣。80后消费群体，注重个体的表达和娱乐，带来了国产品牌的崛起。90后消费群体，注重"悦己"和情绪价值，带来了新的消费模式。变化的是时 代特征，不变的是马斯洛需求的层层上升。 这位基金经理的观察绝非偶然。翻开当下消费市场的版图，新消费的核心驱动力早已从「功能满足」转向「情绪价值」。年轻人为一款潮玩IP支付 数倍溢价，本质是为开箱瞬间的惊喜感买单；排队数小时购买古法金饰，实则是为非遗工艺承载的文化认同感付费——这些在传统消费逻辑中难以 理解的现象，恰恰构成了新消费时代的底层密码。 当消费市场的话语权向Z世代倾斜，资本市场的应对逻辑也在加速迭代。传统消费板块中，白酒、家电等成熟行业适用的「护城河+现金流」估值框 架，在潮玩、美妆、宠物等高速成长的新消费领域正面临挑战。而作为我们中年投资者，要摒弃自己的偏好，贴近年轻人消费场景的投资视角，只 有理解Z世代的情感需求，才 ...

Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, 40 Chinese companies successfully listed in the US, raising a total of $871 million, with notable IPOs including Bawang Chaji at $411 million and Ascentage Pharma at $126 million [1][2] Group 1: Market Trends - Nasdaq emerged as the preferred exchange for most companies, with 39 out of 40 listings occurring there [2] - The number of IPOs increased by 44% year-on-year, primarily driven by small and medium-sized enterprises, although the overall fundraising amount decreased by 62% due to a lack of large IPOs [2] - The average fundraising amount for companies going public was generally small, with most raising between $5 million and $15 million [2] Group 2: Company Performances - Bawang Chaji became the first Chinese tea drink company to list in the US, pricing its shares at $28 and issuing 14.68 million American Depositary Shares (ADS) [2] - As of March 31, 2025, Bawang Chaji reported a total of 6,681 global stores, a quarterly GMV of 8.23 billion yuan, total net revenue of 3.39 billion yuan (up 35.4% year-on-year), and a net profit of 677 million yuan (up 13.8% year-on-year) [3] - Ascentage Pharma, which focuses on developing therapies for cancer and hepatitis B, saw its stock price increase by 128.26% post-IPO [3] Group 3: Notable IPOs and Market Reactions - Huatai Financial, listed on April 1, 2025, experienced a remarkable first-day surge of 396.25% [4] - Other companies like DIGINEX, Jian Yong Biotechnology, and Lingzhang Portal also saw first-day gains exceeding 20% [5] - A total of 8 companies had stock prices that increased by over 100% after their IPOs, including DIGINEX, Lingzhang Portal, and Ascentage Pharma [5]

之所以在此刻探讨这个话题，因为新一代的创业周期正在开启——无论你称之为AI还是科技，理论上将有更多素未谋面的创始人们，逐渐被识别、被所知。 这也是我们邀请这三位投资人一个原因。何愚投资的泡泡玛特王宁、曹曦投资的宇树科技王兴兴、胡博予投资的霸王茶姬张俊杰，都是过去几年才大范围浮现的 创业者。而在投资之初，后者们也都只是芸芸众生中的有志青年而已。所以，这三组投资故事，都充分证明了投资行业最美妙的"人的流淌"的发生。 对话里，他们还透露了一些与这三位明星创始人的相处细节，比如：王宁对小到门店里的一块板，都有精确的成本计量；王兴兴最初决定做人形机器人，是因 为"订单来了"；以及张俊杰第一次见胡博予，就完整讲述了他堪称奇绝的童年往事。 除了对创始人，他们也聊了聊他们自己、以及投资这个行业的人来人往。 WAVES是36氪推出的全新峰会IP，今年是第三届。本场对话由「暗涌Waves」主编刘旌主持。 Part01 看创始人 「 新造的人，新在哪？ 」 人是万物的标尺。 某些方面，记者和投资人的工作是相像的：都是在寻找人、观察人、研究人，并得出结论。只是投资人要比记者更往前一步：他们还要为他们对人的判断买单。 所以，在本届的W ...

据第一财经，6月30日，中国咖啡连锁品牌瑞幸咖啡在美国纽约曼哈顿核心商圈同步开设两家门店，标 志着其国际化战略迈出关键一步。首店分别位于毗邻纽约大学的百老汇大道755号及帝国大厦商圈的第 六大道800号，精准覆盖中国留学生、游客及白领群体。开业首日推出1.99美元/杯限时优惠，主打生椰 拿铁等经典产品，并采用无收银员自助取餐模式，强化数字化体验。此前，瑞幸通过联合广场、SOHO 区的快闪车活动预热，以"一年免费喝咖啡"等福利吸引超万人次参与，社交媒体曝光量破千万。瑞幸联 合创始人郭谨一表示，纽约作为全球咖啡文化高地是探索北美市场的起点。未来将依托供应链优势，以 高性价比产品和本地化运营拓展更多城市，挑战传统巨头。 7月1日，茶咖日报的主要内容有： 瑞幸咖啡纽约首店开业 皮爷咖啡母企500万欧元开设研发创新工厂 据小时代，皮爷咖啡母企JDE Peet's在荷兰Joure开设了一座全球咖啡研发创新工厂。Joure是咖啡品牌 Douwe Egberts的诞生地。该工厂投资500万欧元，位于速溶咖啡厂旁，旨在缩短产品上市时间，更快推 出优质咖啡产品。它连接实验室与大规模生产，是原型设计、测试新技术、挑战风味、质量和可 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market continued its strong performance in the first half of 2025, attracting mainland enterprises, particularly from Zhejiang, which saw 9 companies successfully listed [1][2] - A total of 42 new stocks were listed on the Hong Kong stock exchange in the first half of 2025, representing a 40% year-on-year increase, with total fundraising reaching a new high since 2021, surpassing 87.6 billion HKD for the entire year of 2024 [2][5] - Zhejiang enterprises accounted for the highest number of listings, with a total of 9 companies raising 14.4 billion HKD, a significant increase from just 1.016 billion HKD in the same period of 2024 [2][3] Group 2 - The listed Zhejiang companies span various sectors, including healthcare, consumer goods, and manufacturing, showcasing a diversified development trend [2][3] - Notable companies that went public include Sanhua Intelligent Control, which is a global leader in thermal management, and Cao Cao Travel, the largest ride-hailing platform in Hong Kong [2][4] - The trend of "A+H" dual platform listings is emerging, with leading A-share companies accelerating their listings in Hong Kong, exemplified by Sanhua Intelligent Control's recent IPO [3][4] Group 3 - The Hong Kong IPO market achieved the highest global fundraising amount in the first half of 2025, totaling 102.1 billion HKD, driven by international capital and supportive policies from both mainland and Hong Kong [5] - The market's internationalization provides direct support for enterprises, facilitating access to diverse overseas financing channels and enhancing global strategic layouts [5][6] - Expectations for the second half of 2025 indicate continued market heat, with projected fundraising of 200 billion HKD, primarily in technology, media, and consumer sectors [6]

证券研究报告：社会服务 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-07-01 个股表现 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 | 最新收盘价（港元） | 127.00 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）1.05 | | | 总市值/流通市值（亿港 | 133.61 | | 元） | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 158.40 / 117 | | 资产负债率(%) | 36.1948 | | 市盈率 | 37.6146 | | 第一大股东 | | | 公司 | | 分析师:李鑫鑫 SAC 登记编号:S1340525010006 Email:lixinxin@cnpsec.com 股票投资评级 沪上阿姨(2589.HK) 增持|首次覆盖 北方茶饮王者，多品牌齐发力 投资要点 沪上阿姨成立于 2013 年，最初售卖"五谷奶茶"，2019 年主攻鲜 果茶赛道，逐步实现在全国各地的快速扩张。公司是北方排名第一、 中国排名第三的中价现制茶饮店品牌，专注为消费者带来高性价比的 健康现制造饮品。沪上阿姨旗下有"沪上阿姨"、"沪咖"、"茶瀑布" 三大品牌矩阵，截至 2024 年底沪上阿姨全国共有门店 91 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the rise of three new consumer giants: Labubu, Laopu Gold, and Mixue Ice City, highlighting their contrasting pricing strategies and market appeal [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Performance - Labubu's stock price reached HKD 239.6 as of June 20, 2025, with a year-to-date increase of 170%, following a previous increase of 342% [1] - Laopu Gold has also seen a remarkable year-to-date increase of 267% [1] - Mixue Ice City, which recently went public, has surged over 150% this year, contributing to the trio's status as new consumer giants [1] Group 2: Pricing Strategies - Labubu and Laopu Gold represent the high-end of the market, with Labubu's limited edition toys selling for multiples of their original price, while Laopu Gold maintains a fixed price strategy despite fluctuations in gold prices [2][3] - Mixue Ice City operates on the opposite end of the spectrum, offering products at low prices, with most items priced under 10 yuan, appealing to budget-conscious consumers [3][4] Group 3: Supply Chain and Cost Management - Mixue Ice City's supply chain is a key focus, providing a one-stop solution for beverage ingredients, which allows for significant cost reductions [5][6] - The company’s ability to control upstream resources contributes to its competitive pricing strategy [6] Group 4: Consumer Behavior and Emotional Value - The success of the three giants reflects young consumers' desire for both emotional value and practicality, with Labubu symbolizing social recognition and Mixue Ice City representing value for money [7][9] - Labubu's appeal lies in its scarcity and the emotional experience of unboxing, while Laopu Gold leverages its luxury branding to create a sense of exclusivity [9][10] Group 5: Challenges and Market Dynamics - The article highlights potential challenges for the three giants, including low industry barriers and increasing competition, particularly for Labubu and Laopu Gold [14][15] - The emergence of competitors like Fugglers poses a threat to Labubu's market position, as consumer preferences can shift rapidly [15][17] - Laopu Gold faces challenges in maintaining its luxury status amid fluctuating gold prices and increasing competition from similar brands [21][22] Group 6: Future Outlook - The future of commercial competition will hinge on balancing emotional economics with affordability, as brands that can meet both emotional and financial needs will thrive [23]