Group 1: Rare Earths - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide is 748,700 CNY/ton, an increase of 11.03% month-on-month [3] - The price of dysprosium oxide is 1,330,000 CNY/ton, a decrease of 10.74% month-on-month [3] - The price of terbium oxide is 6,100,000 CNY/ton, a decrease of 4.98% month-on-month [3] - The processing fee for yttrium-rich europium ore has risen to 41,000 CNY/ton, indicating ongoing optimization in the smelting industry [3] - December's rare earth permanent magnet exports decreased by 3% month-on-month but increased by 7% year-on-year, reaching a historical high for the month [3] - The rare earth sector is expected to see valuation and performance improvements, with 2026 being a critical year for resolving industry competition [3] Group 2: Tin - The price of tin ingots is 423,600 CNY/ton, an increase of 2.17% month-on-month [4] - The upward price trend is supported by lower-than-expected supply from Indonesia and Myanmar [4] - The demand side is expected to benefit from AI advancements and the recovery of the semiconductor industry [4] - Recommended stocks include Huaxi Nonferrous Metals and others [4] Group 3: Tungsten - The price of tungsten concentrate is 600,700 CNY/ton, an increase of 19.24% month-on-month [4] - The price of ammonium paratungstate is 890,600 CNY/ton, an increase of 19.49% month-on-month [4] - The establishment of a $2.5 billion "strategic resilience reserve" in the U.S. may increase tungsten's priority [4] - Recommended stocks include Zhongtung High-tech and others [4] Group 4: Antimony - The price of antimony ingots is 164,100 CNY/ton, an increase of 1.26% month-on-month [5] - The price of antimony concentrate is 141,000 CNY/ton, an increase of 2.27% month-on-month [5] - December's antimony exports increased by 4% month-on-month but decreased by 71% year-on-year [5] - The global antimony price trend remains upward due to supply shortages and steady demand [5] Group 5: Molybdenum - The price of molybdenum concentrate is 4,010 CNY/ton, remaining stable month-on-month [6] - The price of molybdenum iron is 256,000 CNY/ton, an increase of 0.79% month-on-month [6] - The ongoing low inventory levels and increased defense spending may further support molybdenum prices [6] - Recommended stocks include Jinduicheng Molybdenum and Guocheng Mining [6]

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.02 鹰派扰动，价格巨震 [Table_Industry] 有色金属 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 李鹏飞(分析师) | 010-83939783 | lipengfei2@gtht.com | S0880519080003 | | 魏雨迪(分析师) | 021-38674763 | weiyudi@gtht.com | S0880520010002 | | 刘小华(分析师) | 021-38038434 | liuxiaohua@gtht.com | S0880523120003 | | 王宏玉(分析师) | 021-38038343 | wanghongyu@gtht.com | S0880523060005 | | 梁琳(分析师) | 021-23185845 | lianglin@gtht.com | S0880525070014 | | 李阳(分析师) | 021-23185618 | liyang7@gtht.com | S088052504 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for copper and aluminum sectors, with expectations of stable production and demand recovery in the near term [2][3][13]. Core Insights - Copper prices increased by 3.98% to $13,650.5 per ton on LME, while domestic prices rose by 2.31% to 103,700 CNY per ton. The overall production stability in the copper industry is noted, with a slight decrease in operating rates expected due to seasonal demand fluctuations [2][14]. - Aluminum prices saw a 1.75% increase to $3,229.0 per ton on LME, with domestic prices at 24,600 CNY per ton. The report highlights a seasonal decline in aluminum processing rates, indicating a shift towards the off-peak season [3][15]. - Gold prices surged by 8.58% to $5,410.8 per ounce, driven by geopolitical risks and market volatility. The report emphasizes the impact of U.S. monetary policy on gold prices [4][16]. - The rare earth sector shows a positive trend, with prices for praseodymium and neodymium oxide rising by 11.30%. The report anticipates a favorable demand outlook due to easing export restrictions [5][32][34]. Summary by Sections Copper - LME copper price increased by 3.98% to $13,650.5 per ton, with domestic prices at 103,700 CNY per ton. Copper inventory decreased by 2.24% week-on-week, while total inventory increased by 4.97% year-on-year [2][14]. - The operating rate for copper cable enterprises rose to 59.46%, indicating stable production driven by prior orders [2][14]. Aluminum - LME aluminum price rose by 1.75% to $3,229.0 per ton, with domestic prices at 24,600 CNY per ton. The overall aluminum processing rate recorded a decline to 59.4% [3][15]. - Domestic aluminum oxide production capacity remains high, but the operating rate decreased by 1.66% to 77.31% [3][15]. Precious Metals - Gold prices increased significantly due to geopolitical tensions, with a notable rise in SPDR gold holdings remaining stable at 1,086.53 tons [4][16]. - The report discusses the implications of U.S. monetary policy on gold price fluctuations, particularly in light of recent geopolitical developments [4][16]. Rare Earths - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide rose to 748,700 CNY per ton, reflecting a strong demand outlook. The report notes a 7% year-on-year increase in rare earth permanent magnet exports [5][32][34]. - The report suggests that the rare earth sector is poised for growth, driven by easing export restrictions and increased global demand [5][32][34]. Tungsten - Tungsten prices increased by 12.99%, with strategic reserves being a focus in the U.S. market, indicating a potential for continued price support [5][36]. Tin - Tin prices showed a slight decrease of 0.03%, but the report maintains a positive long-term outlook due to supply constraints from Indonesia and Myanmar [5][37]. Lithium - Lithium carbonate prices increased by 7.15% to 171,000 CNY per ton, with production slightly declining. The report highlights a robust demand outlook despite recent price fluctuations [5][57]. Cobalt - Cobalt prices increased by 1.8% to 445,000 CNY per ton, with supply constraints expected to support price stability in the near term [5][58].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the small metals sector, with expectations of price increases and performance improvements in the coming months [58]. Core Insights - The small metals index rose by 7.49% during the reporting period, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 8.03% [12]. - The report highlights significant price movements in various metals, with rare earth elements showing strong price increases, particularly praseodymium and neodymium oxide, which rose by 11.03% to 748,700 CNY/ton [2][13]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing supply-side reforms and the increasing demand for rare earths, particularly in the context of global inventory replenishment needs [15][17]. Summary by Sections Stock Market and Commodity Price Performance - The small metals index closed at 38,048.84 points, reflecting a 7.49% increase, which is 2.11 percentage points lower than the non-ferrous metals index [12]. - Key commodity prices showed varied trends, with praseodymium oxide increasing by 11.03%, dysprosium oxide decreasing by 10.74%, and tungsten concentrate rising by 19.24% [13]. Main Product Fundamentals and Views Rare Earths - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide reached 748,700 CNY/ton, driven by supply-side reforms and increased processing fees [2][15]. - The report suggests that the rare earth sector will continue to see valuation and performance improvements, with 2026 being a critical year for resolving competitive issues within the industry [17]. Tin - Tin ingot prices increased by 2.17% to 423,600 CNY/ton, with expectations of continued upward trends due to supply constraints from Indonesia and Myanmar [3][24]. - The demand for tin is anticipated to benefit from the recovery in semiconductors and automotive electronics [24]. Tungsten - Tungsten concentrate prices rose by 19.24% to 600,700 CNY/ton, supported by increased strategic reserves in the U.S. and domestic demand [3][33]. - The report highlights the potential for sustained price increases due to military and civilian demand [33]. Antimony - Antimony ingot prices increased by 1.26% to 164,100 CNY/ton, with expectations of price recovery driven by export improvements [4][40]. - The report notes a significant drop in antimony exports, indicating potential for future price increases as demand stabilizes [40]. Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate prices remained stable at 4,010 CNY/ton, with molybdenum iron prices rising by 0.79% to 256,000 CNY/ton [5][43]. - The report suggests that low inventory levels and increased defense spending may support future price increases [43].

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - The precious metals market is experiencing significant volatility, with prices fluctuating sharply due to geopolitical tensions and changes in U.S. Federal Reserve leadership. Recent comments from former President Trump advocating for lower interest rates have positively impacted precious metals [3][6][29] - The report highlights a strong demand for gold driven by central bank purchases and geopolitical risks, with expectations for continued price increases in the long term due to global monetary and debt concerns [7][21] - Silver has shown a dramatic price drop recently, attributed to profit-taking and market reactions to Federal Reserve announcements, but the underlying supply-demand dynamics remain supportive of future price increases [8][23] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - COMEX gold prices fell by 1.52% to $4,907.50 per ounce, while COMEX silver dropped by 17.44% to $85.25 per ounce. In contrast, SHFE gold rose by 4.10% to ¥1,161.42 per gram, and SHFE silver increased by 11.92% to ¥27,941.00 per kilogram [1][33] - The gold-silver ratio increased by 19.29% to 57.57, indicating a shift in market dynamics [34] - The geopolitical landscape, particularly tensions involving Iran, has heightened demand for safe-haven assets like gold and silver, leading to increased volatility in their prices [3][6][29] Base Metals - In the LME market, copper prices decreased by 0.44% to $13,070.50 per ton, while aluminum fell by 1.20% to $3,135.50 per ton. Zinc, however, saw a rise of 3.09% to $3,370.00 per ton [9] - The SHFE market showed copper prices increasing by 2.31% to ¥103,680.00 per ton, with aluminum and zinc also experiencing gains [9] - Supply disruptions from overseas mines and structural demand from emerging industries are expected to support copper prices in the long term, despite current demand weakness in China [10][24] Small Metals - Magnesium prices rose by 1.45% to ¥18,240 per ton, driven by increased demand ahead of the Chinese New Year and stable supply from major production areas [19] - Molybdenum and vanadium prices have shown slight increases, supported by tight supply and steady demand from steel manufacturers [20]

行 业 有色金属行业 标配（维持） 有色金属行业双周报（2026/01/16-2026/01/29） 金属价格高位震荡，有色板块分化加剧 2026 年 1 月 30 日 S0340523120001 电话：0769-23320072 邮箱： xuzhengkun@dgzq.com.cn 行 业 研 究 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFind 相关报告 投资要点： 申万有色金属行业指数走势 贵金属。黄金方面，近期在地缘局势扰动以及资金涌入等推动下，黄金价格 再度上行。短期需重点关注避险情绪退却、投机资金退出等风险。截至1月29 日，COMEX黄金价格收于5410.80美元/盎司，较1月初上涨1068.9美元，COMEX 白银价格收于115.79元/盎司，较1月初上涨44.81美元，上海黄金交易所黄金 Au（T+D）价格收于1243.40元/克，较1月初上涨269.01元。建议关注紫金矿 业（601899）。 工业金属。在全球降息周期开启的大背景下，有色金属价格屡创新高。随着 主流工业金属铜、锡等供需格局加快转好，以及工业金属补涨贵金属的机会 仍存，工业金属价格有望进一步上行。截至1月29日，LME铜价收于1370 ...

声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型基于第三方数据库自动发布，任何在本文出现的信 息（包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成 个人投资建议。受限于第三方数据库质量等问题，我们无法对数据的真实性及完整性进行分辨或核验， 因此本文内容可能出现不准确、不完整、误导性的内容或信息，具体以公司公告为准。如有疑问，请联 系biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 责任编辑：小浪快报 2026年1月30日，章源钨业（sz002378）触及跌停，跌停价21.56元，涨幅-9.65%，总市值259.99亿元， 流通市值258.62亿元，截止发稿，总成交额9.08亿元。 根据喜娜AI异动分析，章源钨业跌停原因可能如下，股东减持+关联交易+业绩依赖： 1、公司自身风险 因素影响：控股股东持续减持近2%，这极有可能引发市场信心波动，使得投资者担忧控股股东对公司 未来发展的态度，从而纷纷抛售股票。同时，2026年关联交易预计达6.99亿元，占净资产比例较高，其 公允性存在风险，可能影响公司的正常经营和财务状况，降低投资者对公司的信任度。另外，子公司赣 州澳克泰曾在2024年 ...

Group 1: Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes the resilience of the A-share market amidst multiple overseas risks and signals of regulatory easing in China, suggesting that the relationship between market performance and regulatory changes warrants further consideration [5][12] - It highlights the significant outperformance of the A-share market compared to other major indices, particularly the CSI 300, which has faced substantial redemption pressure [5][12] - The report suggests that investors should not overly worry about the CSI 300's performance, as it has already aligned with regulatory easing requirements, reducing the necessity for further pressure [5][12] Group 2: Economic Insights - China's exports continued to show strong performance in December, driven by overseas investment during a global easing cycle, positively impacting sectors like electrical and mechanical equipment [6][13] - Domestic consumption is recovering, with a rebound in per capita consumer spending in the fourth quarter, aligning with the report's annual strategy predictions [6][13] - The report notes that recent government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and stabilizing real estate are expected to support synchronized recovery in both domestic and external demand [6][13] Group 3: Asset Allocation and Investment Recommendations - The report identifies a dual focus for 2026 on physical assets and Chinese assets, with thematic investments being essential [7][16] - Recommended sectors include physical assets such as copper, aluminum, tin, gold, lithium, and oil, alongside Chinese equipment export chains like electrical grid equipment and renewable energy [7][16] - The report also highlights sectors benefiting from capital market expansion and improving long-term asset returns, such as non-bank financials and consumer sectors like aviation and duty-free retail [7][16] Group 4: Company-Specific Insights - **Yunnan Aluminum Co. (000807.SZ)**: The report recommends a long-term investment due to favorable conditions for aluminum exports and a strong balance sheet, with potential for increased dividends [18] - **Hua Aluminum (600301.SH)**: The company is seen as a strong growth candidate due to rising tin and antimony prices and its position as a key beneficiary of metal consolidation in Guangxi [19] - **Yingliu Co. (603308.SH)**: The report anticipates a surge in global gas turbine demand, positioning the company to increase its market share in turbine blades [20] - **Shangfeng Cement (000672.SZ)**: The company is recognized for its strong cash flow from cement operations and potential for significant dividends [21] - **Pop Mart (9992.HK)**: The company is expected to maintain rapid growth in the entertainment market through IP incubation and diverse monetization strategies [22] - **China Duty Free Group (601888.SH)**: The company is projected to strengthen its market position in the duty-free sector, benefiting from increased inbound tourism and overseas expansion [24] - **China Southern Airlines (1055.HK)**: The airline is expected to benefit from improved industry supply-demand dynamics and a large fleet size [25] - **Li Auto (2015.HK)**: The company is focusing on advancements in AI and smart driving technology, with expectations for increased vehicle sales [26] - **Lante Optics (688127.SH)**: The company is positioned to benefit from strong demand in automotive and smart imaging sectors [27] - **InnoCare Pharma (9606.HK)**: The company is advancing in the ADC field with a robust pipeline and partnerships, with several products nearing clinical registration [29]

证券之星消息，1月29日小金属板块较上一交易日下跌1.04%，厦门钨业领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4157.98，上涨0.16%。深证成指报收于14300.08，下跌0.3%。小金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600392 | 盛和盗源 | 30.03 | 10.00% | 205.07万 | | 59.61亿 | | 600111 | 北方稀土 | 56.11 | 6.09% | 389.63万 | | 216.25亿 | | 000831 | 中国稀土 | 58.61 | 3.64% | 113.94万 | | 66.62亿 | | 600259 | 中稀有色 | 84.52 | 2.51% | 23.57万 | | 19.87亿 | | 001280 | 中国舞山 | 97.00 | -1.02% | 41.79万 | | 41.98亿 | | 600459 | 贵研铂业 | 26.17 | -1.62% | 112.69万 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant capital inflows into various stocks, highlighting investor interest in specific sectors and companies, particularly in cultural, beverage, and technology industries [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance and Capital Inflows - BlueFocus has seen a capital inflow of 2.713 billion, with a price increase of 14.15% [2] - Kweichow Moutai attracted 2.559 billion in capital, reflecting a 6.88% rise [2] - Northern Rare Earth experienced a 7.77% increase with 1.610 billion in inflows [2] - iFlytek recorded a capital inflow of 1.557 billion, with a 6.96% rise [2] - Aerospace Science and Technology saw 1.144 billion in inflows, with a notable increase of 9.98% [2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The cultural sector, represented by BlueFocus and Zhejiang Wenlian, shows strong investor interest, with inflows of 2.713 billion and 0.850 billion respectively [2][3] - The beverage industry, particularly Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye, continues to attract significant capital, indicating robust consumer demand [2][3] - The technology sector, including companies like iFlytek and Tianfu Communication, demonstrates growth potential with substantial capital inflows [2][3] Group 3: Additional Notable Stocks - TCL Zhonghuan in the photovoltaic equipment sector attracted 0.651 billion, with a 5.83% increase [2] - Baosteel shares saw inflows of 0.650 billion, reflecting a 2.69% rise [2] - Other notable stocks include Longxin Bochuang and Luzhou Laojiao, with inflows of 0.595 billion and 0.578 billion respectively, indicating diverse investment interests across sectors [3]