Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown a slow bull pattern in the Year of the Snake (2025), with significant gains across major indices, driven by policy support, economic recovery, and external environment fluctuations [2][4]. Market Performance - As of the last trading day of the Year of the Snake, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4082.07, the Shenzhen Component Index at 14100.19, the ChiNext Index at 3380.83, and the North Star 50 at 1529.77 [2]. - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 24.83% for the year, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 37.73%. The ChiNext Index led with a 62.31% increase, followed by the North Star 50 and the Sci-Tech 50, which rose by 42.59% and 48.65%, respectively [2]. Sector Performance - In 2025, the non-ferrous metals sector topped the performance chart with a 109.89% increase, followed by the communication, electronics, and power equipment sectors, which rose by 90.78%, 58.08%, and 57.80%, respectively. Other sectors like computers, automobiles, and pharmaceuticals saw increases between 15% and 30% [3]. - Concept sectors also performed well, with the optical module (CPO) index leading at 119.25%, followed by the storage chip index at 98.63%, the lithography machine index at 74.61%, the semiconductor index at 70.07%, and the robotics index at 55.11% [3]. Individual Stock Performance - Nearly 4700 stocks saw price increases, with 779 stocks doubling in price and over 100 stocks increasing by more than 200%. The top three performers, excluding newly listed stocks, were Upway New Materials, Tianpu Co., and Jiamei Packaging, with increases exceeding 1800%, 900%, and 800%, respectively. Only 23 stocks fell by more than 40%, with 8 stocks declining over 50% [3]. Trading Activity - The A-share market experienced high trading activity, with daily trading exceeding 1 trillion yuan becoming the norm. The average daily trading volume rose to 1.89 trillion yuan, a nearly 70% increase compared to the previous year, with days exceeding 2 trillion yuan accounting for 35% of trading days [3]. Future Outlook - The investment environment for the A-share market in the Year of the Horse (2026) is expected to continue improving, with a slow bull market likely to persist. Key drivers include policy benefits, economic recovery, and technological leadership. Sectors such as semiconductors and artificial intelligence are anticipated to maintain strong performance, while caution is advised for cyclical sectors like non-ferrous metals and new energy [4].

Core Viewpoint - Wanlian Securities predicts that the Shenwan Electronics industry will outperform the CSI 300 index in 2025, with a slight increase in valuation compared to recent years. The first three quarters of 2025 are expected to show improved performance and profitability. Looking ahead to 2026, investment opportunities in AI computing power construction and terminal innovation are recommended [1]. AI Computing Power Construction - The demand for key hardware in AI computing power is strong, with a focus on high-demand segments such as storage and PCB. The PCB industry in China is globally leading, with major domestic manufacturers accelerating capital expenditures to expand high-end PCB capacity. The price of CCL products is expected to rise due to increased raw material costs and strong demand, enhancing corporate profitability [1][2]. - In the storage sector, AI is expected to drive a new wave of prosperity. Capital expenditures from global cloud service providers are likely to increase, boosting demand for servers and upstream components. The market is dominated by DRAM and NAND Flash, with major manufacturers adjusting capacity to optimize supply-demand dynamics, leading to price increases [2]. AI Terminal Innovation - AI smartphones and PCs are expected to see a slowdown in global shipment growth by 2025, with leading manufacturers increasing their market share. The penetration rate of AI smartphones is anticipated to rise significantly, while AIPC penetration may exceed 50% by 2026. The average selling price (ASP) of smartphones is expected to increase, making high-end AI products more competitive [3]. - AI glasses are gaining traction, with steady growth in shipment volumes. The supply chain for AI glasses is fully covered in China, with over 70% of XR products manufactured there. Meta leads the AI glasses market, holding a 73% market share in the first half of 2025, largely due to the success of the Ray-Ban Meta AI glasses [4]. Investment Recommendations - The ongoing AI wave and the strong demand for key hardware in computing power present investment opportunities in the storage and PCB sectors, which are currently in an expansion phase. The market for AI smartphones, AIPC, and AI glasses is expected to grow as major manufacturers continue to release new products and enhance application ecosystems [5]. - In the storage sector, it is advisable to focus on the performance growth of storage manufacturers during the prosperity cycle and the recovery of profitability among storage module manufacturers due to rising product prices. Increased capital expenditures are expected to boost demand for upstream semiconductor equipment [5]. - For PCB, attention should be given to leading manufacturers with forward-looking layouts in high-end PCB fields such as HDI and multi-layer boards, as accelerated expansion by mainstream PCB manufacturers is likely to drive demand for upstream equipment and materials [5]. - In the AI innovation terminal space, it is recommended to monitor leading smartphone manufacturers like Apple for new product launches that could enhance brand shipments and boost industry demand. In the AIPC sector, focus on manufacturers with forward-looking layouts and those entering the global PC supply chain. For AI glasses, keep an eye on Meta and other leading manufacturers for new product releases that could increase shipment volumes [5].

超颖电子公告称，公司2025年11月10日至2026年12月31日资本性支出计划额度3亿元已使用完毕，且额 外累计支出3057.29万元。为提升产能和制程能力，经第二届董事会第五次会议审议通过，公司及子公 司定颖电子（昆山）有限公司拟分别新增3.50亿元和0.78亿元资本性支出，用于设备等固定资产采购与 改良、无形资产采购等。新增支出符合经营计划，暂无重大不利影响，但效果存不确定性。 ...

2026-02-12 金融工程 春节日历效应下的海内外市场表现研究 相关研究报告 报告摘要 以 2010 年至 2025 年共 16 个春节周期为样本，从海内外宽基指 数、行业板块、市场风格三个维度，考察春节前后不同窗口下的收益 表现、胜率分布及轮动规律。 A 股市场的春节日历效应呈现节前普涨、节后结构分化特征。节 前 5 个交易日主要指数多数上涨，万得全 A 中位数涨幅 2.59%、上涨 概率 68.75%。节后市场动能向中小市值倾斜，中证 1000、中证 2000、 微盘股在节后 20 个交易日涨幅中位数分别为 6.72%、8.35%、11.29%， 上涨比率均超 87%；上证 50、沪深 300 同期涨幅不足 2%，胜率回落至 60%左右，市值越小，节后弹性越强，胜率越高的分层规律较为稳定。 港股市场春节效应温和。恒生指数在节前、节假日（A 股休市、 港股交易）及节后 5 个交易日平均涨幅 0.12%、0.39%、0.55%，上涨 比率 56%-63%，弹性与确定性均弱于 A 股中小盘风格。 海外主要市场存在节后温和正收益倾向。标普 500、德国 DAX 等 指数节后 5 个交易日涨幅中位数 0.9%- ...

联系人：李智 河南资本市场月报 分析师：李济生 登记编码：S0730522100002 lijs@ccnew.com 分析师：郑婷 登记编码：S0730524110001 zhengting@ccnew.com 相关报告 《河南资本市场月报（2026 年第 1 期）》 2026-1-15 《河南资本市场月报（2025 年第 11 期）》 2025-12-9 （2026 年第 2 期） 证券研究报告 发布日期：2026 年 2 月 13 日 投资要点： 风险提示：全球贸易和产业管制政策带来的不确定性风险；经济增长和 业绩不及预期；市场流动性风险。 本报告版权属于中原证券研究所股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第 1页/共 20页 电话： 0371-65585629 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 经济运行情况：2025 年，我国国内生产总值达到 1401879 亿元，比 上年增长 5.0%，经济增速目标圆满完成；2025 年河南省 GDP 达到 66632.79亿元，总规模位居全国第六、中部第一，GDP同 ...

- The "Hong Kong CCASS Preferred 20 Portfolio" was constructed using a two-step screening method: "select brokers first, then select stocks"[3][4] - The first step involves selecting top-performing brokers by standardizing and equally weighting their excess Sharpe ratio and monthly win rate, then selecting the top 10 brokers[4][16] - The second step involves equally distributing funds to the 10 selected brokers, aggregating their latest holdings, and retaining the top 20 stocks by weight for equal allocation[5][17] - The portfolio has shown significant outperformance over the Hang Seng Index, with an annualized excess return rate of 19.3% and an excess Sharpe ratio of 2.45 over the period from 2020 to 2025[3][12][15] - The portfolio demonstrated defensive characteristics during market adjustments, achieving a positive return of 2.05% from October 8, 2025, to December 31, 2025, while the Hang Seng Index fell by 4.47% and the Hang Seng Technology Index dropped by 15.32%[3][12] - The latest holdings of the portfolio as of February 2026 include a low valuation and high dividend yield configuration, with the banking and non-bank financial sectors accounting for about 45%, the energy sector about 10%, and the technology and internet sectors about 20%[6][19][22] Portfolio Performance Metrics - Annualized return: 19.3%[15] - Annualized volatility: 7.9%[15] - Sharpe ratio: 2.45[15] - Maximum drawdown: -7.6%[15] - Monthly win rate: 75.3%[15]

经济观察网 鸿日达（301285）股价近期创下历史新高，其核心驱动在于半导体封装级金属散热片业务 的国产替代前景。公司是国内极少数实现半导体级金属散热片送样验证的A股企业，该产品应用于高算 力芯片散热领域，技术壁垒较高。随着AI算力需求爆发，芯片散热市场空间扩大，稀缺性预期推动估 值重构。 资金面与技术面 主力资金持续流入，近期股价突破历史压力位，技术形态呈现突破，均线呈多头排列，显示资金活跃度 与技术面支撑明显。 行业政策现状 近期电子板块表现强势，半导体封测、材料等子行业涨幅显著。鸿日达主营业务连接器受益于消费电子 复苏，同时其布局的半导体散热、光通信FAU等新业务契合AI、新能源汽车等产业趋势，政策对供应链 自主可控的支持进一步强化市场预期。 机构观点 尽管公司2025年预计亏损，但机构预测其归母净利润将逐步改善。多家机构指出，半导体散热片业务若 能量产，将打开公司长期成长空间。 以上内容基于公开资料整理，不构成投资建议。 ...

Domestic Market Overview - The domestic market experienced a slight increase with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4134.02 points, up 0.05%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 14283 points, up 0.86% [1][4] - The total trading volume of the entire A-share market reached 21,608 billion, showing an increase compared to the previous day [1][4] - Among the 30 sectors, 14 sectors saw gains, with electronics, power equipment and new energy, and computers leading the increase, while consumer services, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and comprehensive finance experienced significant declines [1][4] Overseas Market Overview - The three major U.S. stock indices all closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 1.34%, the S&P 500 down 1.57%, and the Nasdaq down 2.03% [2][4] - Notable declines included Cisco dropping over 12% and Disney falling more than 5%, leading the Dow [2][4] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 3%, with Tencent Music dropping over 10% [2][4] News Highlights - U.S. President Trump is expected to visit China in April, with both leaders maintaining communication regarding trade relations [3][11] - The National Film Administration and the Ministry of Commerce are launching a "Film+" consumption pilot program to boost the film industry's contribution to economic growth [12][13] - The Ministry of Commerce announced that starting February 13, 2026, it will impose countervailing duties on imported dairy products from the EU [14] - A research team from Peking University has developed the world's first large-scale quantum communication chip network, achieving significant advancements in quantum key distribution [15][16]

Core Viewpoint - Tianshan Electronics (301379) has shown a fluctuating upward trend in stock price over the past week, closing at 27.77 yuan on February 12, 2026, with a daily increase of 1.76% and a trading volume of 1.27 billion yuan [1] Stock Performance - The stock has experienced a cumulative increase of 3.62% over the past five days, with a price fluctuation range of 6.18% [1] - On February 12, the net inflow of main funds was 2.8857 million yuan, contrasting with a net outflow of 2.8564 million yuan on February 10, indicating significant short-term capital volatility [1] Business Focus - The company is involved in several trending sectors, including storage chips, PCB concepts, MiniLED, automotive electronics, and drones [1] - It has invested in new storage technology and Tianlian Chip through industrial funds, supporting the development of PCM storage module manufacturing for enterprise-level SSDs [1] Technical Analysis - The current stock price is situated between the Bollinger Band resistance level of 30.47 yuan and the support level of 26.23 yuan [1] - The MACD indicator shows weakness, while the KDJ indicates short-term rebound momentum [1]

截至2026年2月12日，ST东尼股价报收16.67元，当日下跌0.60%，近5日累计下跌0.54%；同期电子板块 上涨1.73%，公司股价表现弱于行业。资金流向方面，2月12日主力资金净流入6.41万元，但散户资金流 入占比达38%，显示市场参与分化。技术面上，股价处于震荡区间，20日压力位17.53元，支撑位16.41 元，MACD指标呈负值，短期趋势偏弱。 以上内容基于公开资料整理，不构成投资建议。 股票近期走势 经济观察网 2026年2月10日，ST东尼（603595）召开董事会会议，审议通过聘任殷勤女士担任副总经理 及董事会秘书，其任职符合法规要求且与公司无关联关系。同时，公司因信息披露问题正面临股民索 赔，相关索赔区间为2023年6月20日至2024年1月5日期间买入并持有的投资者。 ...