Market Performance Review - A-shares continued to rise this week, with all major indices showing gains. The ChiNext Index had the best performance, rising by 7.74%, while the Sci-Tech 50 also continued its strong performance with a 7.49% increase [4][12] - There was a clear differentiation in market styles this week, with growth styles maintaining strong performance, while cyclical and consumer styles saw a significant reduction in gains compared to the previous week. Stability and financial styles turned negative [4][12] - The mid-cap index performed the best this week, while large-cap and small-cap styles saw a slowdown in gains compared to last week. Core assets represented by the "Mao" index and "Ning" combination also saw significant increases, with the Ning combination rising by 3.91% and the Mao index by 3.63% [4][12] Industry Analysis - The TMT sector continued to lead the market, with significant gains in communication (12.38%), non-ferrous metals (7.16%), and electronics (6.28%). The overall trend remains dominated by TMT [5][16] - Conversely, dividend stocks underperformed, with textiles and apparel (-2.87%), coal (-2.76%), and banking (-2.13%) lagging behind. The value proposition of dividend stocks continues to decline amid rising government bond yields and increased market volatility [5][16] Future Outlook and Investment Views - Market volatility is expected to increase, and investors should pay attention to changes in market rhythm. Despite reaching new highs, market fluctuations have intensified, indicating growing divergence after two months of a trend upward [5][31] - The options market has shown a significant increase in volatility expectations for the next 30 days, suggesting that some funds believe the trend may change and are using options for hedging and protection [5][31] - With the completion of mid-term report disclosures, the overall performance of A-shares is still in a bottom-seeking process, prompting a reassessment of the alignment between macro/micro environments and individual stock valuations [5][31] - In terms of asset allocation, individual stock alpha logic is preferred over industry beta logic, with a focus on valuation recovery opportunities in technology growth sectors. The TMT growth direction, represented by AI applications, computing power chains, and optical modules, is expected to see valuation recovery opportunities [5][31]

9月1日，A股市场整体上涨。 截至收盘，上证指数收报3875.53点，上涨0.46%，深证成指收报12828.95点，上涨1.05%，创业板指收 报2956.37点，上涨2.29%，北证50指数下跌0.36%。A股市场合计成交27780.05亿元，较上一交易日减少 525.88亿元。 1. A股市场全天资金净流出364.22亿元 今日A股市场主力资金开盘净流出183.69亿元，尾盘净流出41.39亿元，A股市场全天资金净流出364.22 亿元。 4.利欧股份主力资金净流入18.51亿元居首 | | | 沪深两市近五日主力资金流向情况(亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | | 净流入金额 开盘净流入 | | 尾盘净流入 超大单净买入 | | 2025-9-1 | -364.22 | -183.69 | -41.39 | -131.29 | | 2025-8-29 | -527.66 | -222. 09 | -41.04 | -247.22 | | 2025-8-28 | -389.74 | -174. 52 | 88. 42 | -122. 21 | ...

策 略 研 究 华福证券 八月行情收官 投资要点： 本周（8/25-8/29）市场震荡上行，全 A 收涨 1.90%。从指数情况看， 创业板指、科创 50 领涨，中证红利、微盘股收跌。从风格情况看，科技领 涨，金融地产领跌。本周 31 个申万行业涨跌不一，通信、有色金属、电子 领涨，银行、煤炭、纺织服饰领跌。 策 略 定 期 报 告 市场观察：市场情绪上升，行业轮动强度下降。（1）市场估值：股债 收益差下降至 0.7%，小于+1 标准差。估值分化系数有所下降。（2）市场 情绪：市场情绪上升，行业轮动强度下降。市场大盘风格占优，微盘股指 数跑输市场，主题热度主要聚集在光模块(CPO)、光通信、6G。（3）市场 结构：市场量能创下新高，通信、电子、有色金属多头个股占比居前，轻 工制造、美容护理、建筑装饰内部或存在α机会。（4）市场资金：本周陆 股通周内日平均成交金额较上周上升 536 亿元，本周陆股通周内日平均成 交笔数较上周上升 166 万笔。本周陆股通成交额排名前三的标的为宁德时 代、新易盛、东方财富，近 5 日涨幅分别为 6.6%、30.1%、3.8%。杠杆资 金净流入 1004 亿元，主要流入行业为电子、 ...

Market Overview - The A-share indices experienced an overall increase during the week from August 25 to August 29, 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.84%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 4.36%, and the ChiNext Index by 7.74% [2][3] - Among the 31 first-level industries, 15 saw gains while 16 experienced declines, with the top three performing sectors being Communication (up 12.38%), Non-ferrous Metals (up 7.16%), and Electronics (up 6.28%) [2][4] - The average daily trading volume for the week was 29,831 billion yuan [2] Bond Market Review - The central bank conducted a net monetary injection of 196.1 billion yuan, with total monetary supply at 22,731 billion yuan and monetary withdrawal at 20,770 billion yuan [8] - Most interest rates declined, with the interbank pledged repo rates for 1D, 7D, 14D, and 1M changing by -2.58 BP, +0.23 BP, -0.85 BP, and +1.49 BP respectively [11] - The major bond market indices mostly saw declines, with the China Bond Composite Index changing by +0.08% and the China Convertible Bond Index decreasing by -2.58% [20] Public Fund Products Review - A total of 36 new funds were established during the week, with a total issuance of 26.337 billion units, including 25 equity funds and 5 bond funds [21][23] - As of August 29, 2025, there were 13,120 public funds in China, with a total net asset value of 34,601.8 billion yuan, including 3,164 equity funds and 3,903 bond funds [25] Fund Manager Insights - Fund managers highlighted the importance of sectors such as AI, semiconductor, and consumer electronics, indicating a focus on growth opportunities in these areas [41][43] - The macroeconomic environment remains stable, with expectations of a continued upward trend in the A-share market, particularly in the technology sector [45] - Concerns regarding U.S.-China trade tensions persist, but the market appears to be desensitized to these issues, with potential for a bullish market outlook [46]

25家公司的营收及归母净利润在今年二季度均实现了单季度同比和环比正增长，如卓兆点胶、贝特瑞、 建邦科技等。同时21家公司宣布半年度分红计划，股东回报日益获得关注。 展望下半年，北交所公司整体业绩表现或将进一步延续增速回升趋势，北交所已经涌现了一批具备高壁 垒的稀缺性标的，凭借其竞争优势不断提升赛道份额、加快业务开拓。 四年来北交所市场规模稳步提升，市场运行保持稳中向好 8月份北交所北证50指数创出年内新高，显示市场情绪正在逐步修复。成交额较前期有所回升，新股上 市依旧延续高弹性特征，首日涨幅亮眼，凸显稀缺供给对资金的吸引力。市场在中报验证、政策预期和 资金回暖的共振下，已显现出活跃度提升的迹象。 截至8月31日，274家北交所上市公司全部完成半年报披露，平均实现营业收入3.36亿元，同比增长 6.01%。从业绩情况看，225家公司实现盈利，盈利面82.12%，168家公司（占比61.31%）营业收入同比 增长，137家公司（占比50 %）净利润同比增长。 华源证券北交所首席赵昊告诉新京报贝壳财经记者，整体来看，北交所上市公司上半年收入、盈利增速 均较2023—2024年有所回升，整体业绩表现有转暖迹象。 北交 ...

来源：市场投研资讯 （来源：风云君的研究笔记） 可能对于大多数投资者而言，A股突破前高的新闻已经看麻了，今天咱换换口味，来看看人民币。 8月28日晚，离岸人民币汇率突然拉升，大涨超300点，一度涨破7.12，创下近9个月来新高。 这里不讨论人民币升值背后的原因，而是给大家分享另一个有趣的现象。 从历史经验来看，每一次港股的牛市都与离岸人民币的快速升值相伴，港股的长牛通常是建立在人民币 汇率稳步升值的前提下。 虽然最近投资者都在关注A股的牛市，但是别忘了，港股同样也是处于这波行情之中。 年初虽然A股和港股都在deepseek的催化下迎来一波行情，但是港股的涨幅显然更大一些，尤其是科 技。后面的话创新药便拾起了接力棒，行情也一直延续到现在。 一季度结束的时候我也复盘过主观多头的表现，其中布局港股的管理人明显是更强的，不少私募都创下 了历史新高。 而最近港股则是处于震荡阶段，虽然也一直向上，但势头没有了年初的那股狠劲。对于那些重仓港股的 主观多头私募，近期的表现如何？ 我跟踪的港股仓位较重的几家主观私募，选3个比较有代表性的来看下。 A私募，专注在港股捡烟蒂 在深度低估（低于清算价值四折）时介入建仓，并基于对标的的 ...

广发证券首席金工分析师 安宁宁 SAC: S0260512020003 anningning@gf.com.cn 广发证券资深金工分析师 张钰东 SAC: S0260522070006 zhangyudong@gf.com.cn 广发金工安宁宁陈原文团队 摘要 最近5个交易日，科创50指数涨7.49%，创业板指涨7.74%，大盘价值跌1.37%，大盘成长涨5.83%，上证50涨1.63%，国证2000代表的小盘涨0.33%，通信、 有色金属表现靠前，纺织服饰、煤炭表现靠后。 风险溢价，中证全指静态PE的倒数EP减去十年期国债收益率，权益与债券资产隐含收益率对比，历史数次极端底部该数据均处在均值上两倍标准差区 域，比如2012/2018/2020年（疫情突发），2022/04/26达到4.17%，2022/10/28风险溢价再次上升到4.08%，市场迅速反弹，2024/01/19指标4.11%，自2016年 以来第五次超过4%。截至2025/08/29指标2.92%，两倍标准差边界为4.77%。 估值水平，截至2025/08/29，中证全指PETTM分位数78%，上证50与沪深300分别为72%、70%，创业板 ...

上 市 公 司 2025 年 08 月 29 日 朗姿股份 (002612) ——主营业务承压，预计轻医美新模式助力业绩增长 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 增持（维持） 纺织服饰 | 市场数据： | 2025 年 08 月 29 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 18.19 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 20.54/12.20 | | 市净率 | 2.8 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 2.20 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 4,634 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,857.93/12,696.15 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 06 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 6.47 | | 资产负债率% | 55.95 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 442/255 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： 08-29 09-29 10-29 11-29 12-29 01-29 02-28 03-31 04-30 05 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints - The communication industry is booming, and the stock index is recovering. Domestically, policies aim for high - quality urban development by 2030 and 2035. Overseas, the US Q2 GDP shows better - than - expected growth, and the number of initial jobless claims is slightly lower than expected. In the A - share market, the three major indices rebounded, with communication, electronics and other sectors rising, and coal and other sectors falling. The trading volume of the two markets was 3 trillion yuan. US stock indices also rose slightly. In the futures market, the basis of stock index futures declined, and the trading volume increased with increased positions in IF and IM [1]. - In a bull - market expectation, market adjustments are often presented through intensified intraday fluctuations, and this feature is expected to continue until the parade. A more sufficient short - term adjustment is beneficial for the long - term market trend [2]. Summary of Sections Market Analysis - **Macro - economic situation**: Domestically, the policy is to promote high - quality urban development, with key progress by 2030 and basic completion by 2035. Overseas, the US Q2 real GDP annualized revised value increased by 3.3% quarter - on - quarter, higher than the expected 3.1% and the initial value of 3%. The number of initial jobless claims last week was 229,000, slightly lower than the expected 230,000 [1]. - **Spot market**: A - share indices rebounded. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.14% to 3,843.6 points, and the ChiNext Index rose 3.82%. The communication, electronics and other sectors led the gains, while coal and other sectors led the losses. The trading volume of the two markets was 3 trillion yuan. US stock indices rose slightly, with the S&P 500 rising 0.32% to 6,501.86 points [1]. - **Futures market**: The basis of stock index futures declined again, with near - month contracts in contango. The trading volume of stock index futures increased, and the positions of IF and IM increased [1]. Strategy - Market adjustments are likely to continue to show intensified intraday fluctuations until the parade. A more thorough short - term adjustment is favorable for the long - term market [2]. Chart References - **Macro - economic charts**: Include charts showing the relationship between the US dollar index, US Treasury yields, RMB exchange rate and A - share trends [4][5]. - **Spot market tracking charts**: Present the daily performance of major domestic stock indices, trading volume of the two markets and margin trading balance [4][5][12]. - **Stock index futures tracking charts**: Provide data on the trading volume, positions, basis and inter - period spreads of stock index futures [4][5][14].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Ratings - No specific industry investment ratings provided in the report Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The risk appetite in the market has been restored. The stock index futures showed a V-shaped rebound and are in high-level oscillations. The stock index options suggest continuing to hold bull spreads. The bond market curve of treasury bond futures is steepening [1][2][3] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Market Views Stock Index Futures - The market outlook is oscillating with a bullish bias. The IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts showed specific changes in basis, inter - period spreads, and positions. The market sentiment has been repaired, with a preference for technology - growth stocks. It is considered a bull - market oscillation, and dips are good opportunities to add positions. The recommended operation is to allocate IM long positions [7] Stock Index Options - The market outlook is oscillating. The option market turnover remained stable, and the mid - term sentiment is optimistic. The volatility of different varieties varies. It is recommended to continue holding bull spreads [2][8] Treasury Bond Futures - The market outlook is oscillating. The treasury bond futures closed down across the board, and the yield curve continued to steepen. The central bank's net injection supported the short - end of the bond market, while the long - end was under pressure. Short - term opportunities in long - end arbitrage and curve steepening can be focused on. Different strategies such as trend, hedging, basis, and curve strategies are recommended [8][9][10] 2. Economic Calendar - The economic calendar includes data from the US, China, and Japan, such as new home sales, house price indices, industrial enterprise profits, and unemployment claims [11] 3. Important Information and News Tracking - The government released an opinion on promoting high - quality urban development, covering housing construction, community improvement, and urban renewal. Multiple small and medium - sized banks have lowered RMB deposit rates, and the deposit rates are still under downward pressure. The Chinese Ministry of Commerce is involved in international economic and trade negotiations [12][13][14] 4. Derivatives Market Monitoring - The report mentions monitoring data for stock index futures, stock index options, and treasury bond futures, but specific data details are not fully presented in the provided content [15][19][31]