截至2025年12月4日 11点06分，中证港股通央企红利指数（931233）下跌0.12%。成分股方面涨跌互 现，中国海外宏洋集团（00081）领涨1.28%，中国人民保险集团（01339）上涨1.05%，招商银行 （03968）上涨0.97%；中国有色矿业（01258）领跌2.15%，中化化肥（00297）下跌1.86%，中国外运 （00598）下跌1.84%。港股央企红利ETF（513910）上涨0.12%，最新报价1.66元。 消息面上，国务院国资委召开中央企业"十五五"规划编制专题座谈会，强调要深入学习贯彻中央精神， 科学谋划央企未来五年发展。国资委相关负责人指出，要把握做强做优做大国有资本的目标，着力推动 央企不断增强核心功能、提升核心竞争力，实现质的有效提升和量的合理增长，加快现代化产业体系和 更多世界一流企业。 市场分析认为，随着国资委明确"十五五"期间以"做强做优做大国有资本"为核心目标，推动央企提升核 心竞争力并加快产业升级，央企的盈利稳健性与分红能力有望获得系统性增强。这一战略定调为相关企 业奠定了长期增长基础。目前，港股央企普遍具有估值较低、股息率较高的特点，在央企业绩改善与强 化股东 ...

智通财经12月4日讯（编辑 史正丞）昨夜今晨，在疲软"小非农"强化美联储降息预期的背景下，美股三大指数低开高走，标普、道指距离历史新高只差最后 的1%。 | 标的 | 周三涨跌 | | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | -0. 51% | | 深证成指 | -0. 78% | | 创业板指 | -1.12% | | 恒生指数 | -1.28% | | 日经225指数 | 1. 14% | | 韩国综合指数 | 1. 04% | | 德国DAX指数 | -0. 07% | | 法国CAC40指数 | 0. 16% | | 英国富时100 | -0. 10% | | 纳斯达克指数 | 0. 17% | | 标普500指数 | 0. 30% | | 道琼斯指数 | 0. 86% | 摩根大通美国首席经济学家迈克尔·费罗利在周三的一份报告中写道："随着我们进入2026年，劳动力市场的走弱正成为一个主要风险。尽管劳动力供给持续 放缓的趋势早已广为人知，但劳动力需求的放缓似乎还没有结束。而且，虽然整体招聘活动已经连续几个季度在降温，但近期更高的裁员活动指标，正在加 剧对净就业增长的担忧。" 受到美元指数跌势不止影 ...

人民财讯12月4日电，企查查APP显示，近日，华金国际矿业(海南)有限公司成立，法定代表人为冯丹， 注册资本为4800万元，经营范围包含：货物进出口；技术进出口；进出口代理；离岸贸易经营；贸易经 纪；国内贸易代理等。企查查股权穿透显示，该公司由厦门南燕金洋矿业有限公司、建发股份 （600153）旗下建发(海南)国际控股有限公司共同持股。 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 23,831 points, down 145 points or 0.61% [1] - The market turnover decreased to 82.799 billion HKD, with net inflows of 484 million HKD recorded in the Hong Kong Stock Connect [1][5] - The US stock market saw gains, with the Dow Jones rising by 408.44 points or 0.86%, closing at 47,882.90 points [2] Sector Performance - In Hong Kong, local real estate, software, and 5G concept sectors faced significant declines, while gold stocks performed well [1] - The technology sector in Hong Kong saw a broad retreat, with the Hang Seng Technology Index dropping by 1.58% [1][5] - The copper price reached a historical high due to supply concerns and a weaker dollar, with a year-to-date increase of 31% [9] Investment Opportunities - The report emphasizes the attractiveness of low-valuation, high-dividend sectors in Hong Kong, particularly in technology, artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and industrial software [3] - Companies benefiting from the anticipated US Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and strong mid-term performance in the upstream non-ferrous metals sector are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [3] - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the AI and technology sectors, which are expected to benefit from self-reliance initiatives [3] Company Highlights - Alibaba's "Qianwen" app has shown significant growth, ranking first in global AI application growth with a monthly active user growth rate of 149.03% [9][12] - China Software International (0354.HK) is noted for its strong positioning in IT services and its collaboration with Huawei, with projected revenue of 16.951 billion CNY for 2024 [10] - The report indicates that leading companies in copper mining and smelting, such as China Nonferrous Metal Mining (1258.HK) and Luoyang Molybdenum (3993.HK), are worth monitoring due to the tight supply-demand balance in the copper market [9]

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 来源：华泰期货 作者： 师橙 市场要闻与重要数据 期货行情： 2025-12-03，沪铜主力合约开于 89100元/吨，收于 89210元/吨，较前一交易日收盘0.33%，昨日夜盘沪 铜主力合约开于 90，070元/吨，收于 90，760 元/吨，较昨日午后收盘上涨2.01%。 现货情况： 据 SMM 讯，昨日SMM电解铜现货报价升水40-240元/吨，均价升水140元/吨，较昨日上涨20元。1#电 解铜价格区间为88730-89230元/吨。早盘沪铜主力合约于88700-89000元区间震荡，临近午盘冲高至 89150元附近。市场采销情绪均较前期改善，但上海地区可流通货源依旧偏紧，支撑现货升水于高位继 续攀升。早盘少数升水20元货源被迅速消化，主流交易时段多数平水铜升水集中在80-130元。常州地区 虽有压价，但成交仍维持在升水60元左右。好铜如金豚大板升水报至200元，金川大板则高达280-300 元，供应持续紧张。跨月价差维持C80-C40结构，当月进口亏损扩大至近1500元。预计今日现货升水将 延续坚挺格局，实际成交情况仍有待观察。 重 ...

研究员 姓名：师秀明 邮箱：shixiuming@nzfco.com 期货从业资格号：F0255552 期货投资咨询从业证书号：Z0010784 姓名：曹宝琴 邮箱：caobaoqin@nzfco.com 期货从业资格号：F3008987 期货投资咨询从业证书号：Z0012851 姓名：蒯三可 今 日 早 评 重点品种： 【短评-螺纹钢】国内钢材市场价格以小幅上涨为主，唐山 迁安普方坯资源出厂上涨30报2980元/吨。2家钢厂上调建筑钢 材出厂价30元/吨，2家钢厂下调出厂价20-30元/吨。全国31个 主要城市20mm三级抗震螺纹钢均价3283元/吨，较上个交易日上 涨15元/吨。评：近期钢市供需矛盾不明显，库存还在下降，厂 商挺价意愿偏强，短期钢价或震荡偏强运行，同时淡季需求疲 弱或导致上涨空间受限。 【短评-黄金】据媒体报道，特朗普政府取消了原定于周三 美联储主席候选人终选名单面试。在美国总统此前一天发出重 要信号后，现任白宫国家经济委员会主任哈塞特已经成为了新 任美联储主席的最大热门，他也将成为特朗普"改组"美联储 的关键人物。评：美联储高层或面临更迭，这是决定未来贵金 属走势的重要因素。后续如果鸽派 ...

12月3日（周三），艾芬豪矿业（Ivanhoe Mines）周三表示，随着开采计划的推进，预计旗下位于刚果 (金)Kamoa-Kakula矿2026年铜产量将达380,000-420,000吨，2027年将进一步增加至500,000-540,000吨。 （文华综合） ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The US labor market is further weakening, with the unexpected decrease in ADP employment in November, which intensifies economic downward pressure, weakens the US dollar, and boosts market risk - appetite [1][13][16]. - Gold prices are oscillating and closing higher around $4200, affected by the weakening US labor market and the expectation of future Fed's loose policy [2][13]. - The sugar market is influenced by the production situation in various regions. Brazil's lower - than - expected sugar production and faster - than - expected harvest progress in November support the outer - market prices, while the situation in China's Guangxi region and India also has an impact on the market [3][30][32]. - Copper prices reach new highs due to the resonance of macro and fundamental positive factors, such as the increased market expectation of Fed rate cuts and the significant increase in LME提货订单 [4][56]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Financial News and Comments 3.1.1 Macro Strategy (Gold) - The US November ISM non - manufacturing PMI is 52.6, reaching a new high since February 2025. The ADP employment in November decreased by 32,000, indicating a weakening labor market [12][13]. - Gold prices are oscillating and closing higher around $4200. The market expects the Fed to implement loose policies in the future, boosting commodities. Short - term gold and silver prices are expected to oscillate [13]. 3.1.2 Macro Strategy (Foreign Exchange Futures - US Dollar Index) - Trump's allies are discussing the personnel arrangement after Kevin Hassett takes over the Fed. US Treasury Secretary Bessent plans to reform the Fed [14][15]. - The US November ADP employment decreased by 32,000, indicating a weakening labor market, which weakens the US dollar. The US dollar is expected to continue weakening in the short term [16][17]. 3.1.3 Macro Strategy (US Stock Index Futures) - The US November ISM services PMI reaches a nine - month high. The ADP employment in November decreased by 32,000, increasing the market's expectation of a December rate cut to nearly 90% [18][20]. - The market is expected to be more volatile in the short term but should be treated with a bullish mindset overall [21]. 3.1.4 Macro Strategy (Stock Index Futures) - Premier Li Qiang emphasizes combining urban renewal with safety hazard elimination and stabilizing the real estate market. China's service trade deficit from January to October 2025 decreased by 269.39 billion yuan year - on - year [22][23]. - A - share market is dull. It is recommended to allocate long positions in each stock index evenly [23][24]. 3.1.5 Macro Strategy (Treasury Bond Futures) - The central bank conducted 79.3 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations on December 3, with a net withdrawal of 134 billion yuan [25]. - The market sentiment of treasury bond futures is weak, but the TL contract is expected to have limited room for further decline [26][27]. 3.2 Commodity News and Comments 3.2.1 Agricultural Products (Soybean Meal) - Argentina's soybean production forecast for the 25/26 season is 46.9 million tons, unchanged from the previous forecast, but the sowing is delayed [28]. - China's soybean procurement situation and South American weather need to be continuously monitored. Soybean meal futures prices are expected to oscillate [28]. 3.2.2 Agricultural Products (Sugar) - As of the end of November 2025/26 season, Guangxi produced 133,900 tons of mixed sugar. Thailand's 2025/26 season sugarcane benchmark purchase price is 890 Thai baht/ton [29][31]. - India's sugar production as of the end of November is 4.135 million tons, and it is expected to produce 31.5 million tons of net sugar this season. Brazil's sugar production and sugar - making ratio in November are lower than expected, supporting the outer - market prices [32][34]. - It is not advisable to short the Zhengzhou sugar January contract, as the downside space is limited [34][35]. 3.2.3 Black Metals (Rebar/Hot - Rolled Coil) - 232 steel enterprises have completed the publicity of ultra - low emission transformation. From January to November, China's home appliance trade - in exceeded 128.44 million units [36][37]. - Steel prices are expected to oscillate with a slight rebound before the December important meeting, but the overall space is limited [37][38]. 3.2.4 Black Metals (Coking Coal/Coke) - The price of coking coal in Changzhi market has decreased. The first round of coke price reduction has been implemented [38]. - The coke market is expected to oscillate in the short term, with slow supply recovery and weakening demand [38][39]. 3.2.5 Agricultural Products (Corn Starch) - The national corn starch industry's operating rate increased slightly this week, and the inventory continued to decline [40]. - It is recommended to operate around the current North China processing fee in the rice - flour price difference strategy [41]. 3.2.6 Agricultural Products (Pigs) - Wenshi plans to reduce costs and optimize production capacity through technological upgrading [42]. - The pig market shows a pattern of "stable futures and pressured spot". Near - end contracts are expected to oscillate under pressure, while far - end contracts can be considered for low - buying operations [42]. 3.2.7 Black Metals (Steam Coal) - The price of steam coal in the northern port market was weak on December 3, and the inventory continued to accumulate [44]. - After the end of replenishment, the steam coal price is expected to oscillate at a high level and decline seasonally from December to January [44]. 3.2.8 Black Metals (Iron Ore) - Vale expects to reach the upper limit of its 2025 iron ore production target and increase production in 2026 [45]. - The iron ore price is expected to continue oscillating, as the supply - demand contradiction is not prominent [45][46]. 3.2.9 Agricultural Products (Corn) - The seasonal inventory accumulation in the northern port is still slow, and the inventory in the southern port continues to decline at a low level [47]. - It is not recommended to short corn unilaterally. For far - month contracts, the medium - long - term strategy is to buy on dips [48]. 3.2.10 Agricultural Products (Soybean Oil/Rapeseed Oil/Palm Oil) - Malaysia's palm oil inventory may reach a six - and - a - half - year high in November due to high production and low exports [49][50]. - The palm oil price is expected to oscillate, and attention should be paid to the difference between the MPOB report and market expectations [50][51]. 3.2.11 Non - Ferrous Metals (Copper) - Glencore lowers its 2026 copper production forecast but aims to reach 1.6 million tons by 2035 [52]. - The LME copper提货订单 increased significantly, and the market's expectation of Fed rate cuts intensified. Copper prices reached new highs, and it is recommended to buy on dips [54][56]. 3.2.12 Non - Ferrous Metals (Polysilicon) - The 400,000 - volt substation of the Oman United Solar Polysilicon Project was successfully connected to the grid, and it is expected to be officially put into production in the first quarter of 2026 [57]. - The polysilicon market is under pressure, with weak downstream demand and high inventory. It is recommended to operate with caution [58][60]. 3.2.13 Non - Ferrous Metals (Industrial Silicon) - The utilization rate of new energy in October 2025 shows different trends. The production in the southwest may decrease, and the inventory is difficult to reduce [61]. - The industrial silicon price is expected to oscillate between 8800 - 9500 yuan/ton, and attention should be paid to interval operation opportunities [62]. 3.2.14 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lead) - The LME lead inventory decreased, and the 0 - 3 cash spread oscillated. The SHFE lead inventory decreased, and the delivery risk increased [63][64]. - The lead price is expected to be strong, and it is recommended to buy on dips [64]. 3.2.15 Non - Ferrous Metals (Zinc) - The LME zinc inventory increased slightly, and the 0 - 3 cash spread was high. The domestic social inventory decreased, and the supply decreased [65]. - The zinc price is expected to be easy to rise and difficult to fall. It is recommended to buy on dips and hold positive - spread positions [65]. 3.2.16 Non - Ferrous Metals (Nickel) - Chinese scientists set a new record for the superconducting transition temperature of nickel - based superconductors [66]. - The supply - demand surplus of refined nickel has been marginally repaired, but there is still a surplus. It is recommended to consider low - buying opportunities with a light position [66][67]. 3.2.17 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lithium Carbonate) - Vulcan Energy obtained nearly $2.5 billion in financing for the European largest lithium project [68]. - The lithium carbonate market is expected to be weak in the short term, and it is recommended to short on rallies and buy on dips in the medium term [68][69]. 3.2.18 Non - Ferrous Metals (Tin) - The SHFE tin warehouse receipts decreased slightly, and the LME tin inventory increased. The tin ore supply is tight, and the production growth is limited [73]. - The tin price is expected to oscillate at a high level, and it is recommended to buy on dips [73]. 3.2.19 Energy Chemicals (Crude Oil) - The US EIA commercial crude oil inventory increased slightly in the week ending November 28 [74]. - The crude oil price is expected to oscillate in the short term, and attention should be paid to geopolitical events [74][75]. 3.2.20 Energy Chemicals (Asphalt) - The capacity utilization rate of heavy - traffic asphalt increased slightly this week [76]. - The asphalt market is weak, and it is recommended to wait and see [77][78]. 3.2.21 Energy Chemicals (LLDPE) - China's polyethylene production enterprises are expected to produce 2.9798 million tons in December 2025, with a year - on - year increase of 18.39% [79]. - The PE supply - demand situation is bearish, but attention should be paid to macro - economic impacts [79]. 3.2.22 Energy Chemicals (Methanol) - The methanol port inventory decreased slightly this week, slightly exceeding expectations [80]. - The methanol market's fundamental contradiction is not significant, and it is recommended to conduct positive - spread operations [80][81]. 3.2.23 Energy Chemicals (Pulp) - The price of imported wood pulp in the spot market continued to rise today [82][83]. - Although the market sentiment is optimistic, the pulp supply is still in surplus, and the upward space of the futures price is limited [84]. 3.2.24 Energy Chemicals (Styrene) - The inventory of styrene in the East China main port decreased slightly this week [85]. - The styrene market is oscillating. Attention should be paid to the implementation of maintenance expectations and the behavior of port core cargo - right holders [86][88]. 3.2.25 Shipping Index (Container Freight Rate) - The full - scale promotion of methanol as a marine fuel still faces challenges [89]. - The container freight rate market is expected to be strong in the short term, and it is recommended to consider low - buying operations with a light position [90].

美东时间12月4日，美股三大指数在疲软的劳动力市场数据下低开高走，集体收涨。道指上涨0.86%， 报47882.90点；标普500指数上涨0.3%，报6849.72点；纳指微涨0.17%，报23454.09点。市场焦点已从科 技巨头转向有色金属板块，银铜价格齐创新高，带动相关概念股集体走强。 美国自动数据处理公司（ADP）周三发布的数据显示，11月私营部门就业岗位意外减少3.2万个，远低 于市场预期的增加1万个，为2023年3月以来最低水平。这一疲软数据强化了市场对美联储12月降息的预 期，芝商所"美联储观察"工具显示，市场预计下周降息25个基点的概率飙升至89%。美联储降息预期的 升温也推动人民币对美元中间价调升40个基点，报7.0754，创2024年10月14日以来最高。 有色金属板块成为今日最大亮点。美国铝业公司大涨6.37%，凯撒铝业涨5.89%，麦克莫兰铜金涨 3.63%。国际铜价周三再创新高，LME铜涨2.7%，沪铜期货主力合约站上9万元/吨大关；LME锡涨近 4.4%，沪锡涨3.8%创2022年4月以来新高。矿业巨头嘉能可宣布将在未来10年将铜产量翻一番，实现年 产160万吨，推动其美股ADR收 ...

Group 1 - U.S. stock and bond markets rose despite bad news, with Microsoft shares dropping by 2.5% and iRobot experiencing a nearly 80% surge during trading [1] - Microsoft reportedly lowered its AI software sales targets, leading to a nearly 3% decline in its stock price, although the company denied this claim [1] - Salesforce anticipates a revenue increase of over 10% for the current quarter and has raised its full-year guidance, resulting in a post-market jump in its stock [1] Group 2 - The U.S. ADP employment report showed an unexpected decline, with a reduction of 32,000 jobs, marking the largest drop since March 2023, and a significant increase in small business unemployment [1] - The ISM services index expanded at its fastest pace in nine months, with price indicators hitting a seven-month low and employment index reaching a six-month high [1] - iRobot's stock surged nearly 80% amid reports of the Trump administration considering a robot executive order for the upcoming year [1] Group 3 - The copper price reached a new historical high, with LME delivery orders soaring to the highest level since 2013, driven by increased demand in Asia [1] - Jiangnengke plans to increase its copper production to 1.6 million tons annually over the next decade [1] - The EU is pushing for a "70% European manufacturing" standard for critical goods, which could increase annual costs for companies by over 10 billion euros [1]