Group 1 - The core revenue of Swire Pacific Limited (00019) and Swire Properties Limited (00087) for the first half of 2025 reached HKD 45.774 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 16% [1] - The profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 79% to HKD 815 million [1] - The interim dividend declared is HKD 1.3 per share for 'A' shares and HKD 0.26 per share for 'B' shares [1] Group 2 - The overall business performance in the first half of the year was robust, with the aviation sector showing strong results, particularly from Cathay Pacific Group and Hong Kong Aircraft Engineering Company [1] - The real estate sector performed strongly in terms of underlying profit, benefiting from the recent sale of retail and parking operations at Brickell City Centre in Miami [1] - The beverage sector remained stable but faced several challenges amid the current economic downturn [1] Group 3 - In the first half of 2025, the company continued to advance strategic plans across its core markets in Hong Kong, mainland China, and Southeast Asia [2] - Swire Properties is progressing well with its HKD 100 billion investment plan, with 67% of the funds already deployed [2] - Despite a soft office market in Hong Kong, there is a strong trend among potential tenants towards high-quality office spaces, favoring newly built Grade A offices [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the shift in policy focus from supply-side optimization to improving supply-demand dynamics, which is expected to enhance the competitive environment in various industries and positively impact employment, wages, and prices [1] - The central political bureau meeting proposed a dual approach of expanding domestic demand and implementing industrial policies to stimulate effective demand through consumption and investment, aiming to help the economy emerge from a deflationary cycle [1] - Fiscal policy is focused on the implementation of existing measures, while monetary policy aims to lower financing costs to prevent idle capital and effectively inject liquidity into the real economy [1] Group 2 - The capital market's clear positioning is expected to enhance its attractiveness and inclusiveness, supporting a stable recovery and improving asset prices, which will further expand domestic demand [1] - The policies are expected to support the high dividend sector in the Hong Kong stock market, as improvements in the economic fundamentals and increased market risk appetite will lead to a better overall market environment [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Index (930914) tracks securities with high dividend yields and stable payout records, primarily covering traditional high-dividend sectors such as finance and real estate [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the political dynamics between President Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, highlighting the implications of interest rate policies on inflation, housing rents, and the financial sector's interests in the U.S. economy [3][24]. Group 1: Interest Rates and Inflation - Powell's refusal to lower interest rates is framed as a political maneuver, potentially aimed at protecting certain financial interests rather than responding to economic indicators [4][24]. - The article argues that higher interest rates may actually lead to increased housing rents, contradicting the common belief that lower rates would alleviate rent pressures [5][13]. Group 2: Capital Flows and Economic Impact - The cross-border capital flow model suggests that high interest rates attract foreign deposits, which can lead to an expansion of the U.S. banking system while contracting foreign banks [8]. - The article posits that the U.S. economy's financialization means that many sectors rely on high interest rates to sustain their profitability, particularly in real estate and other "rent-seeking" industries [20][23]. Group 3: Government and Wall Street Conflict - The U.S. national debt has reached $36.83 trillion, and higher interest rates significantly increase the government's interest payment burden, leading to tensions between government fiscal needs and Wall Street's profit motives [17][26]. - The article suggests that a potential rate cut could trigger a withdrawal of foreign capital, exposing vulnerabilities in the U.S. economy and leading to a recession, which would shift the focus from inflation to economic contraction [24][25]. Group 4: Future Implications - The article concludes that if the Federal Reserve does not lower rates soon, it may face criticism for acting too late, as economic indicators worsen [25][26]. - It emphasizes the need to reconsider the narrative that lowering rates stimulates the economy, suggesting that this belief may be a misleading construct used by financial interests [26].

8月6日，截至港股收盘，恒生指数上涨0.03%，报24910.63点。万事昌国际（00898.HK）收报1.02港元/ 股，上涨10.87%，成交量2.2万股，成交额2.24万港元，振幅0.0%。 最近一个月来，万事昌国际累计涨幅5.75%，今年来累计涨幅5.77%，跑输恒生指数24.14%的涨幅。 财务数据显示，截至2024年12月31日，万事昌国际实现营业总收入2.65亿元，同比增长0.77%；归母净 利润2.18亿元，同比增长31.22%；毛利率83.31%，资产负债率25.56%。 机构评级方面，目前暂无机构对该股做出投资评级建议。 （以上内容为金融界基于公开消息，由程序或算法智能生成，不作为投资建议或交易依据。） 来源：金融界 行业估值方面，地产行业市盈率（TTM）平均值为9.84倍，行业中值-0.16倍。万事昌国际市盈率3.27 倍，行业排名第5位；其他百仕达控股（01168.HK）为0.94倍、瑞森生活服务（01922.HK）为2.82倍、 鑫苑服务（01895.HK）为3.03倍、兴业物联（09916.HK）为3.25倍、中奥到家（01538.HK）为3.47倍。 资料显示，万事昌国际控股有限 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index has shown volatility but has achieved three consecutive positive days, indicating a complex market situation that requires a cautious approach [1] - The A-share market is close to reaching new highs, with the index returning to 3636 points, driven by stock price increases, although specific stocks contributing to this rise remain uncertain [3][5] Sector Performance - Key sectors such as liquor, securities, banking, and real estate have the potential to drive the index higher, but none have shown significant upward movement recently [3] - The market is experiencing a notable increase in trading volume, yet there is a lack of acceleration in the index, suggesting a peculiar market behavior [3][5] Investment Strategy - The current market environment is characterized by extreme sentiment, leading to a cautious stance among investors despite the potential for index growth [7] - Holding onto stocks during this period may be the best strategy, especially if a major sector begins to rally, which could lead to a significant increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [5][7]

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index is showing a strong upward trend, currently just 20 points away from a new high, indicating a bullish market sentiment [1][3]. - Key sectors contributing to the index's rise include banking, liquor, securities, real estate, and insurance, with simultaneous gains observed across these sectors [3][5]. - The market is expected to continue its upward trajectory, with potential for new highs, despite possible short-term pullbacks [5][7]. Group 2 - The trading volume has increased, suggesting that the recent gains are likely driven by institutional rather than retail investors [3][5]. - Individual stocks are experiencing independent movements, and the upcoming mid-year earnings reports may reveal significant issues for some companies [3][5]. - The market is characterized by alternating sector performances, with expectations for a rebound in the new energy sector and a need for the growth of emerging industries [5][7].

5日，沪指盘中强势拉升，尾盘涨近1%收复3600点；深证成指、创业板指亦上扬，场内约3900股飘红。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 盘面上看，保险、银行、汽车板块涨幅居前，煤炭、家电、券商、地产、酿酒、钢铁等板块均上扬， PEEK材料概念爆发，脑机接口、铜缆连接、热冷服务器概念等活跃。 截至收盘，沪指涨0.96%报3617.6点，深证成指涨0.59%报11106.96点，创业板指涨0.39%报2343.38点， 上证50指数涨0.77%，沪深北三市合计成交16161亿元。 华龙证券表示，当前市场总体环境有利，国内政策方向没有变化，使基本面预期向好，且稳定市场预期 明确，短期来看市场呈现的主要是内部的结构性调整造成的波动，调整企稳后将延续向上运行。一是科 技和先进制造等成长方向。二是"反内卷"政策叠加业绩改善方向。"反内卷"继续关注行情扩散方向，叠 加半年报业绩改善或景气延续方向可能是关注重点。三是内需政策发力方向。关注政策动向催化的行业 机会。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Hong Kong Stock Connect high dividend sector has defensive allocation value in the current market environment, particularly favoring leading companies in vertical segments of the media industry [1] - Despite risks such as the underperformance of emerging IP commercialization, high dividend stocks still demonstrate attractive profitability stability and dividend advantages amid industry performance differentiation [1] - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF (159331) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Index (930914), which selects high dividend yield constituent stocks from eligible securities, focusing on value sectors like finance and real estate [1] Group 2 - The index aims to reflect the overall performance of Hong Kong Stock Connect targets under a high dividend strategy, providing investors with a stable dividend yield-oriented investment tool [1] - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Guotai Zhongzheng Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Investment ETF Initiated Link A (022274) and Link C (022275) [1]

Production Side - As of the fourth week of July, the blast furnace operating rate was 83.48%, stable compared to the previous period and above last year's average[19] - The rebar operating rate increased to 43.95%, up 2.38 percentage points from the previous period, exceeding last year's average[19] - The cement mill operating rate recorded 36.95%, a slight decrease compared to the previous period[19] - The asphalt inventory saw a significant decline, indicating an acceleration in physical work volume in the infrastructure sector[7] Demand Side - In July, the real estate market remained weak, with the transaction area of commercial housing in 30 cities down by 27.43% month-on-month and 11.26% year-on-year[7] - The average daily sales of passenger cars were 53,006.50 units, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 21.88%[8] - The total box office revenue for movies was 84,200.00 million yuan, showing a month-on-month increase of 99.53% but a year-on-year decline of 14.85%[8] Trade and Prices - The CCFI (China Containerized Freight Index) rose to 1,305.40, with a month-on-month growth of 2.19%[9] - The SCFI (Shanghai Containerized Freight Index) decreased to 1,684.07, reflecting a month-on-month decline of 16.42%[9] - The CPI showed a mild increase in consumer prices, while industrial product prices fluctuated, with PPI pressures from weak energy prices[9]

Group 1: Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes that the Chinese economy is undergoing a transformation, leading to a "transformation bull market" in the stock market, with expectations for new highs in the future [1][15][16] - Key investment themes include a focus on financials, growth sectors, and certain cyclical industries, as the market adjusts and gains confidence [1][2][3] Group 2: Key Investment Recommendations - The August stock selection includes: 1. Banking: China Merchants Bank 2. Non-bank: CICC and New China Life Insurance 3. Overseas Technology: Tencent Holdings and Kuaishou-W 4. Electronics: Cambricon Technologies, Chipone Technology, and Suzhou Tianmai 5. Computing: Dingjie Smart and Anheng Information 6. Machinery: Hengli Hydraulic and Mingzhi Electric 7. Military: AVIC Shenfei 8. Coal: Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry 9. Light Industry: Sun Paper 10. Agriculture: Muyuan Foods 11. Transportation: SF Express 12. Pharmaceuticals: MicroPort Medical 13. Real Estate: China Resources Mixc Lifestyle 14. Utilities: Huadian International Power [1][4][12] Group 3: Banking Sector Insights - The banking sector is expected to face revenue pressure but maintain positive net profit growth, with a gradual recovery in net interest margins anticipated [22][23] - China Merchants Bank is projected to benefit from economic recovery, with an upward revision of net profit growth forecasts for 2025-2027 [25][26][27] Group 4: Non-Banking Sector Insights - The impact of the new tax on bond interest income is expected to be limited for the non-banking sector, with continued optimism for growth in this area [30][32] - CICC is forecasted to see significant profit growth driven by active trading and investment recovery, with an increase in EPS estimates for 2025-2027 [33][34] Group 5: Technology Sector Insights - Major tech companies are increasing capital expenditures significantly, particularly in AI, indicating a robust growth trajectory for the sector [43][45] - Tencent is expected to leverage AI to enhance its core business, with revenue and profit projections being adjusted upwards for 2025-2027 [45][46][47]