Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - For copper, maintain a strategy of buying on dips considering the ongoing tightness in the mining end and the growth in infrastructure and power demand in Southeast Asia and the Middle East. Pay attention to the support around $10,300 for LME copper and consider selling put options below $10,300 or gradually building virtual inventories [1]. - For aluminum, with good domestic apparent demand, high proportion of molten aluminum, de - stocking of aluminum ingots and various aluminum products, and supply disruptions overseas, hold long - term on dips [1]. - For zinc, due to the poor domestic fundamentals but potential short - term supply reduction at the end of the year, the price may not fall deeply. In the short term, it is recommended to wait and see for single - side trading, pay attention to reverse arbitrage opportunities between domestic and overseas markets, and consider positive arbitrage opportunities for the 12 - 02 spread [2]. - For nickel, with a weak short - term fundamental situation and continuous disturbances in the Indonesian mining end, look for opportunities to short on rallies [3]. - For lead, expect the domestic and overseas lead prices to maintain a narrow - range oscillation next week. It is recommended to operate cautiously while observing the resumption of secondary lead production and the increase in warehouse receipts [7]. - For tin, in the short term, follow the macro sentiment and wait and see. If there is a systemic risk in the macro - environment, the tin price may decline significantly. In the long - term, buy on dips near the cost line [8]. - For industrial silicon, in the short term, the supply and demand are in a balanced and slightly loose state, and the price is expected to oscillate. In the long - term, the price is expected to oscillate at the bottom of the cycle based on the seasonal marginal cost [9]. - For lithium carbonate, in the context of "anti - involution", the price has high elasticity after supply - side disturbances are realized, and strong downward support before the disturbances. If the energy storage demand remains high and the power demand is stable, the long - term pattern of lithium carbonate may change in the next 1 - 2 years [9]. - For stainless steel, with a generally weak fundamental situation and potential price - supporting motivation from Indonesian policies, look for opportunities to short on rallies [13]. Summary by Metal Copper - **Market Data**: From October 27 to 31, 2025, the spot premium of SHFE copper changed from - 35 to 0, the scrap - refined copper spread decreased by 82, and the LME inventory decreased by 325 [1]. - **Market Analysis**: The market is dominated by tariff negotiation progress. The overall copper price has declined, and the downstream copper开工 has further decreased. The de - stocking of inventory is slightly better than expected. Consider the impact of the tightening of scrap copper policies on scrap - refined substitution. There may be medium - scale deliveries of LME copper in the near future, and the short - term sentiment may turn calm [1]. Aluminum - **Market Data**: From October 27 to 31, 2025, the Shanghai aluminum ingot price increased by 80, the domestic alumina price decreased by 1, and the SHFE aluminum social inventory decreased by 4,594 [1]. - **Market Analysis**: The domestic apparent demand is good, the proportion of molten aluminum is high, and there is de - stocking. Overseas supply is facing disruptions. The improvement of Sino - US economic and trade relations and the Fed's policy adjustment have led to a marginal improvement in demand [1]. Zinc - **Market Data**: From October 27 to 31, 2025, the spot premium of zinc remained at - 40, the SHFE zinc social inventory remained unchanged, and the LME zinc inventory increased by 400 [2]. - **Market Analysis**: The zinc price has oscillated upward. The supply of domestic and imported TC is accelerating downward, and the domestic mining supply will be tight from the fourth quarter to the first quarter of next year. The demand is seasonally weak domestically and generally average overseas. The export window has opened, and there has been some delivery overseas [2]. Nickel - **Market Data**: From October 27 to 31, 2025, the price of 1.5% Philippine nickel ore remained unchanged, the SHFE nickel spot price decreased by 350, and the LME inventory remained unchanged [3]. - **Market Analysis**: The supply of pure nickel remains at a high level, the demand is weak, and the inventories at home and abroad are continuously increasing. There are continuous disturbances in the Indonesian mining end [3]. Lead - **Market Data**: From October 27 to 31, 2025, the spot premium of lead remained at - 210, the social inventory decreased by 334, and the LME inventory decreased by 3,875 [7]. - **Market Analysis**: The lead price has declined due to downstream production cuts. The supply of secondary lead is recovering slowly, and the demand for batteries is weakening. The supply - demand mismatch is serious, and the spot is still in short supply [7]. Tin - **Market Data**: From October 27 to 31, 2025, the LME C - 3M of tin changed from 100 to 40, and the LME inventory increased from 2,725 to 2,875 [7][8]. - **Market Analysis**: The tin price has oscillated. The processing fee at the mining end is at a low level, and the supply has marginally recovered. Overseas production is still uncertain, and the demand is mainly supported by rigidity [8]. Industrial Silicon - **Market Data**: From October 27 to 31, 2025, the 421 Yunnan basis increased by 55, the 421 Sichuan basis increased by 55, and the number of warehouse receipts decreased by 157 [9]. - **Market Analysis**: The production of leading enterprises in Xinjiang is stable, and the production in Sichuan and Yunnan will decrease significantly in the dry season. In the fourth quarter, the supply and demand are in a balanced and slightly loose state, and the price is expected to oscillate [9]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market Data**: From October 27 to 31, 2025, the SMM electric - grade lithium carbonate price increased by 550, the SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate price increased by 550, and the number of warehouse receipts decreased by 20 [9]. - **Market Analysis**: The overseas mining end is firm in price - holding, the market supply of concentrated ore is tight, and the lithium salt producers are reluctant to sell. The downstream is mostly on the sidelines, and the buying is strong after the price correction on Friday [9]. Stainless Steel - **Market Data**: From October 27 to 31, 2025, the price of 304 cold - rolled coil remained unchanged, the price of 304 hot - rolled coil remained unchanged, and the price of scrap stainless steel decreased by 50 [13]. - **Market Analysis**: The steel mills' production in October increased slightly month - on - month, the demand is mainly for rigid needs, and the inventory is at a high level. The Indonesian policies may support the price [13].

Core Viewpoint - Baiyin Nonferrous Metals Group Co., Ltd. has been penalized by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) for significant omissions in its financial disclosures regarding 3 billion yuan in wealth management products purchased between August 2017 and March 2018, which were not recovered on time [2]. Group 1: Regulatory Actions - The CSRC's Gansu Regulatory Bureau found that Baiyin Nonferrous failed to disclose specific details about the 30 billion yuan wealth management products in its annual reports from 2019 to 2024, leading to a major omission in information disclosure [2]. - As a result of these violations, the CSRC has ordered Baiyin Nonferrous and responsible personnel to rectify the situation, issued warnings, and imposed fines [2]. Group 2: Legal Implications for Investors - Investors who suffered losses due to Baiyin Nonferrous's information disclosure violations may seek civil compensation, which includes investment differences, commissions, stamp duties, and interest losses [3]. - A lawyer from Shanghai Hanlian Law Firm is collecting claims from investors who purchased Baiyin Nonferrous securities between April 30, 2020, and September 10, 2025, and either sold or continued to hold them after September 11, 2025 [3]. Group 3: Claim Registration Process - Investors interested in filing claims must provide specific documentation, including a copy of their ID, original securities account confirmation, and original transaction records stamped by their brokerage [4].

Core Points - The company has decided to exercise the early redemption of its convertible bonds, "中金转债," due to meeting the conditional redemption criteria as outlined in the bond's prospectus [11][6] - The redemption price is set at 100.70 CNY per bond, which includes accrued interest at a current annual interest rate of 2.00% [6][14] - The redemption process will take place on November 26, 2025, with the last trading day for the bonds being November 21, 2025 [19][6] Meeting Decisions - The board of directors approved the proposal to waive the notice period for the meeting and to hold the meeting via communication on October 30, 2025 [2][1] - The board unanimously voted in favor of the early redemption of "中金转债" with all 8 votes in favor and none against [3][4] Redemption Details - The redemption conditions were triggered as the company's stock price met the required threshold for at least 15 out of 30 trading days prior to the redemption date [11][9] - The redemption registration date is set for November 25, 2025, and the funds will be credited to bondholders' accounts by December 3, 2025 [19][6] Bond Issuance Overview - "中金转债" was issued on July 20, 2020, with a total of 38 million bonds at a face value of 100 CNY each, amounting to a total issuance of 3.8 billion CNY [8][9] - The bond has a maturity of 6 years and a tiered interest rate structure, culminating in a 2.00% rate in the final year [8][9] Conversion and Trading Information - The bond can be converted into shares at a current conversion price of 4.29 CNY per share, which has been adjusted multiple times since issuance [9][11] - The last trading day for "中金转债" will be November 21, 2025, after which it will be delisted from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [19][6]

Core Insights - Jiangxi Fengyang Mining Technology Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 5 million RMB [1] - The legal representative of the company is Tang Guohua [1] - The company's business scope includes manufacturing and sales of non-ferrous metal alloys, sales of metal ores, common non-ferrous metal smelting, and processing of non-metallic waste [1] Company Overview - Jiangxi Fengyang Mining Technology Co., Ltd. is newly formed with a focus on the non-ferrous metals sector [1] - The company is authorized to operate various activities related to non-ferrous metals, including alloy manufacturing and metal material production [1] Industry Implications - The establishment of Jiangxi Fengyang Mining Technology Co., Ltd. indicates potential growth in the non-ferrous metals industry in Jiangxi province [1] - The company's diverse operational scope may contribute to the local economy and enhance competition within the sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article analyzes the latest A-share holdings of major private equity firms in China, highlighting their investment preferences and market performance as of the end of Q3 2025. Group 1: Overview of Holdings - As of October 31, 2025, 35 private equity firms held a total market value of approximately 718.57 billion yuan in A-shares, with notable firms like Gao Yi and Guo Feng Xing Hua each holding around 230 billion yuan [2][3]. - Among these firms, 18 increased their positions, while 34 reduced their holdings, indicating a preference for long-term investments [2][3]. Group 2: Performance of Major Private Equity Firms - Gao Yi Asset and Guo Feng Xing Hua are the only firms with holdings exceeding 230 billion yuan, while firms like Xuan Yuan Investment and A Ba Ma Investment also showed significant holdings [3][4]. - The average increase in the stock prices of the top holdings by these private equity firms was 26.68%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index during the same period [3][4]. Group 3: Notable Stock Performances - A total of 44 stocks held by these private equity firms saw price increases exceeding 50%, with significant contributions from the machinery and electronics sectors [5]. - ST Zhen Tong, heavily invested by A Ba Ma Investment and Xuan Yuan Investment, experienced a remarkable price increase of over 139% in the first three quarters [5]. Group 4: Specific Holdings and Changes - Gao Yi Asset's top holdings include Hikvision and Zijin Mining, with the latter seeing a price increase of over 99% in the first three quarters of 2025 [10][12]. - Xuan Yuan Investment's largest holding is Dongfang Shenghong, with a market value nearing 1.4 billion yuan and a price increase of approximately 16% [14]. Group 5: Investment Strategies - The investment strategies of these private equity firms vary, with 18 firms employing subjective strategies, 11 using quantitative methods, and 4 adopting a combination of both [3][4]. - A Ba Ma Investment, known for its quantitative approach, has shown strong performance, with its holdings primarily in the machinery and electronics sectors [18][19].

Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of CNY 48.83 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.52%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 235 million, a significant decline of 49.36% [7] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of CNY 137.743 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.73%, and a net profit of CNY 1.551 billion, up by 1.91% [7] Inventory and Production - The company holds over CNY 20 billion in inventory, which includes raw materials, work-in-progress, and finished goods necessary for continuous production [2] - The copper smelting process is continuous, leading to a significant amount of materials being in processing status, contributing to the inventory [2] Challenges and Strategic Responses - The decline in net profit is attributed to persistently low copper smelting processing fees, which have pressured the industry [3][10] - The company is implementing a "Cost Reduction 3.0" strategy to enhance operational efficiency, focusing on reducing costs and increasing the profitability of by-products such as sulfuric acid, selenium, tellurium, platinum, palladium, and rhenium [3][10] Resource Acquisition and Development - The company is actively investing in geological research and exploration to ensure resource replacement and increase reserves, with a focus on acquiring a 40% stake in Liangshan Mining [9] - The company has successfully increased its annual reserve volume for four consecutive years, exceeding the consumption of existing mines [5] Market Position and Future Outlook - The company acknowledges concerns regarding its copper reserves and stock price compared to local state-owned enterprises, emphasizing its commitment to high-quality development and resource acquisition [3] - Despite current challenges, the management remains confident in the company's long-term development and is focused on enhancing competitiveness and profitability [3][10]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The rebound of the US dollar index, influenced by Powell's hawkish remarks, suppresses base metals. Short - term supply disruptions support base metal prices, but macro - support weakens. Long - term, potential domestic stimulus policies and supply disruptions in copper, aluminum, and tin are expected to drive up prices. [1] - For specific metals: copper prices are expected to be oscillating and strengthening; alumina prices are expected to oscillate; aluminum prices are expected to be oscillating and strengthening in the short - term and have a rising central price in the medium - term; aluminum alloy prices are expected to be oscillating and strengthening in the short - term and oscillating in the medium - term; zinc prices are expected to oscillate, with a downward trend in the long - term; lead prices are expected to be oscillating and strengthening; nickel prices are expected to be oscillating and weakening; stainless steel prices are expected to oscillate in the short - term; tin prices are expected to be oscillating and strengthening. [2][6][7][9][10][15][17][20][22][23] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Copper - Information: In September, SMM China's electrolytic copper production decreased by 5.05 tons month - on - month (a 4.31% decline) and increased by 11.62% year - on - year. As of October 30, copper inventory decreased by 0.19 tons to 18.26 tons. [6] - Logic: The 14th Five - Year Plan and the easing of Sino - US trade relations improve market sentiment. Copper supply is constrained, and demand is affected by high prices. [6] - Outlook: Copper prices are expected to be oscillating and strengthening. [6] 2. Alumina - Information: On October 30, the northern spot comprehensive price of alumina increased by 5 yuan, and the national weighted index increased by 7 yuan. Alumina warehouse receipts increased by 2389 tons to 225761 tons. [6][7] - Logic: Macro - sentiment cools down. High - cost production capacity fluctuates, and the market is in a strong inventory - accumulation trend. [7] - Outlook: Alumina prices are expected to oscillate. [7] 3. Aluminum - Information: On October 30, the SMM AOO average price was 21200 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan/ton. Aluminum rod and ingot inventories changed, and the Fed cut interest rates and stopped balance - sheet reduction. [8] - Logic: The macro - environment is positive. Domestic production capacity is increasing, and overseas supply is disrupted. Demand is stable, and inventory is decreasing. The copper - aluminum ratio is high, and aluminum is undervalued. [9] - Outlook: Aluminum prices are expected to be oscillating and strengthening in the short - term and have a rising central price in the medium - term. [9] 4. Aluminum Alloy - Information: In October, the estimated scale of the narrow - sense passenger car retail market is expected to be about 2.2 million, a 2% decline from the previous month. Warehouse receipts are increasing. [10] - Logic: The supply of scrap aluminum is tight, and cost support is strong. Supply is affected by policies and demand, and demand is marginally improving. [10] - Outlook: Aluminum alloy prices are expected to be oscillating and strengthening in the short - term and oscillating in the medium - term. [10] 5. Zinc - Information: On October 30, the spot zinc price had different discounts to the main contract. As of October 30, the SMM seven - region zinc ingot inventory increased by 0.22 tons to 16.53 tons. [14] - Logic: Macro - optimism is being realized. Zinc ore supply is loosening, and demand is entering the off - season. [15] - Outlook: Zinc prices are expected to oscillate, with a downward trend in the long - term. [15] 6. Lead - Information: On October 30, the price of waste electric vehicle batteries was stable, and the lead ingot inventory decreased. [16] - Logic: The spot premium increased slightly, supply is recovering, and demand is in the peak season. [16] - Outlook: Lead prices are expected to be oscillating and strengthening. [17] 7. Nickel - Information: On October 30, LME nickel inventory decreased by 66 tons to 25.164 tons, and Shanghai nickel warehouse receipts increased by 99 tons to 31532 tons. [17] - Logic: Market sentiment dominates the market. The supply of nickel ore is loose, and the market is in surplus. [20] - Outlook: Nickel prices are expected to be oscillating and weakening. [20] 8. Stainless Steel - Information: The stainless steel futures warehouse receipt inventory was stable. The price of high - nickel pig iron was stable, and in September, China's nickel - iron imports reached a record high. [21] - Logic: Nickel - iron prices are weak, and chromium prices are stable. Stainless steel production increased in September, and inventory is decreasing. [21] - Outlook: Stainless steel prices are expected to oscillate in the short - term. [22] 9. Tin - Information: On October 30, the London tin warehouse receipt inventory increased by 130 tons to 2830 tons, and Shanghai tin warehouse receipts increased by 73 tons to 5682 tons. The spot price of tin decreased by 1200 yuan/ton. [22] - Logic: Tin supply is constrained. Production in Wa State and Indonesia is affected, and the processing fee of tin concentrate will remain low. Refined tin production is increasing, and inventory is accumulating. [23] - Outlook: Tin prices are expected to be oscillating and strengthening. [23] 10. Market Monitoring - On October 30, 2025, the comprehensive index of CITIC Futures decreased by 0.57%, the commodity 20 index decreased by 0.52%, and the industrial products index decreased by 0.87%. The non - ferrous metals index decreased by 0.74% on that day, increased by 0.01% in the past 5 days, increased by 5.01% in the past month, and increased by 8.13% since the beginning of the year. [148][150]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - Overall sentiment remains positive despite a slight retreat in market bullishness after the Sino - US leaders' meeting and the Fed's expected rate cut. The probability of a further rate cut in December is low but not a major negative. [2][3] - For copper, with tight raw material supply and low inventories, copper prices are expected to be well - supported after a correction. [3] - For aluminum, supply disruptions and low domestic inventories are likely to drive aluminum prices to fluctuate strongly. [5] - For lead, due to de - stocking of visible lead ore inventories, improved demand, and a positive market atmosphere, Shanghai lead is expected to be strong in the short term. [8] - For zinc, with zinc ore inventory accumulation, high structural risks in LME zinc, and a positive market atmosphere, Shanghai zinc is expected to fluctuate strongly in the short term. [11] - For tin, short - term supply - demand is in a tight balance, and with the peak season demand recovery, tin prices may remain high and volatile. [14] - For nickel, high refined nickel inventory pressure drags down prices in the short term, but long - term global fiscal and monetary easing may support nickel prices. [16] - For lithium carbonate, the fundamental outlook is improving, but market sentiment is volatile, so cautious operation is recommended. [20] - For alumina, although there is over - capacity in the short term, the price is close to the cost line, and short - term short - selling is not recommended. [23] - For stainless steel, the market sentiment has improved after the production cut plan, but the supply - demand contradiction remains, and it is advisable to wait and see. [25] - For cast aluminum alloy, strong cost support and supply tightness are likely to support prices. [28] 3. Summary by Metal Copper - **Market Information**: After the Sino - US leaders' meeting, copper prices declined. LME copper 3M contract fell 1.44% to $10930/ton, and SHFE copper main contract closed at 87270 yuan/ton. LME copper inventory decreased by 400 tons, and domestic inventories also changed. [2] - **Strategy**: The expected tight supply of copper raw materials and low inventories are likely to support copper prices after a correction. The operating range for SHFE copper main contract is 86500 - 88200 yuan/ton, and for LME copper 3M is 10800 - 11050 dollars/ton. [3] Aluminum - **Market Information**: Aluminum prices declined and then rebounded. LME aluminum closed flat at $2870/ton, and SHFE aluminum main contract closed at 21265 yuan/ton. Domestic aluminum inventories decreased, and the trading atmosphere was average. [4] - **Strategy**: Supply disruptions overseas and low domestic inventories are likely to drive aluminum prices to fluctuate strongly. The operating range for SHFE aluminum main contract is 21100 - 21400 yuan/ton, and for LME aluminum 3M is 2820 - 2900 dollars/ton. [5] Lead - **Market Information**: Shanghai lead index fell 0.07% to 17353 yuan/ton. LME lead 3S fell to $2022/ton. Domestic and LME lead inventories changed, and the refined - scrap lead price difference was 50 yuan/ton. [7] - **Strategy**: With de - stocking of lead ore visible inventories, improved demand, and a positive market atmosphere, Shanghai lead is expected to be strong in the short term. [8] Zinc - **Market Information**: Shanghai zinc index fell 0.26% to 22382 yuan/ton. LME zinc 3S fell to $3051/ton. Domestic social inventories decreased slightly, and the structural risk of LME zinc is high. [10] - **Strategy**: Zinc ore inventory accumulation, high structural risks in LME zinc, and a positive market atmosphere are likely to drive Shanghai zinc to fluctuate strongly in the short term. [11] Tin - **Market Information**: On October 30, 2025, SHFE tin main contract closed at 283600 yuan/ton, down 1.09%. Supply from Myanmar and Indonesia is a concern, and demand in some sectors is weak. [13] - **Strategy**: Short - term supply - demand is in a tight balance, and with the peak season demand recovery, tin prices may remain high and volatile. It is advisable to wait and see. The domestic main contract operating range is 270000 - 292000 yuan/ton, and the overseas LME tin is 35500 - 37000 dollars/ton. [14] Nickel - **Market Information**: Nickel prices declined. SHFE nickel main contract closed at 120660 yuan/ton, down 0.49%. Nickel ore prices were stable to strong, and nickel - iron prices were stable. [15] - **Strategy**: High refined nickel inventory pressure drags down prices in the short term, but long - term global fiscal and monetary easing may support nickel prices. It is advisable to wait and see, and consider building long positions if the price drops sufficiently. The short - term operating range for SHFE nickel main contract is 115000 - 128000 yuan/ton, and for LME nickel 3M is 14500 - 16500 dollars/ton. [16] Lithium Carbonate - **Market Information**: The MMLC spot index rose 1.47%. Battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate prices increased, and the LC2601 contract also rose. [19] - **Strategy**: Domestic production decreased, social inventories decreased rapidly, and market rumors boosted the market. The fundamental outlook is improving, but market sentiment is volatile. The operating range for the GFI lithium carbonate 2601 contract is 81600 - 85000 yuan/ton. [20] Alumina - **Market Information**: On October 30, 2025, the alumina index fell 2.04% to 2831 yuan/ton. The trading volume increased, and inventories and prices in different regions changed. [22] - **Strategy**: Although there is over - capacity in the short term, the price is close to the cost line, and short - term short - selling is not recommended. The operating range for the domestic main contract AO2601 is 2700 - 3000 yuan/ton. [23] Stainless Steel - **Market Information**: The stainless steel main contract closed at 12725 yuan/ton, down 0.62%. Spot prices were stable, and inventories changed. [25] - **Strategy**: The market sentiment has improved after the production cut plan, but the supply - demand contradiction remains, and it is advisable to wait and see. [25] Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Market Information**: Cast aluminum alloy prices declined. The AD2512 contract fell 0.34% to 20620 yuan/ton. Inventories decreased, and the trading volume increased. [27] - **Strategy**: Strong cost support and supply tightness are likely to support prices. [28]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - For copper, maintain a buy - on - pullback strategy due to continued tightness in the ore end and growing infrastructure and power demand in Southeast Asia and the Middle East. Consider selling put options below $10,300 on LME copper or gradually building virtual inventories [1]. - For aluminum, the short - term fundamentals are acceptable, and long - term holding on dips is recommended while keeping an eye on terminal demand [1]. - For zinc, in the face of increased macro uncertainty, it is advisable to stay on the sidelines for single - side trading. For internal - external spreads, gradually take profits on internal - external positive spreads and watch for far - month reverse spreads. For monthly spreads, focus on the positive spread opportunity between December and February contracts [2]. - For nickel, due to short - term weak fundamentals and increased macro uncertainty, it is recommended to wait and see [3]. - For stainless steel, the fundamentals remain weak, with increased short - term macro uncertainty and some price - support motivation from Indonesian policies [3]. - For lead, it is expected that the lead price will fluctuate narrowly between 17,300 and 17,700 next week. It is recommended to wait and see the resumption of recycled production and the increase in warehouse receipts before operating cautiously [6]. - For tin, in the short term, follow the macro sentiment and wait and see. If there is a systematic macro risk, the tin price may have a large downside. In the long - term, buy on dips near the cost line [10]. - For industrial silicon, in the short term, the price is expected to fluctuate weakly. In the long - term, the price is expected to oscillate at the cycle bottom anchored by the seasonal marginal cost [13][15]. - For lithium carbonate, no specific investment strategy is given in the report. 3. Summary by Metal Copper - Market sentiment is dominated by tariff negotiation progress and the release of the 15th Five - Year Plan. There are still supply disturbances in scrap copper in Anhui and other places, and the uncertainty of scrap copper supply will continue to increase in the fourth quarter and next year [1]. - Overseas, the export window has opened, but no inventory delivery has been observed. The divergence between the start - up rates of copper and aluminum cables is obvious, and attention should be paid to whether the start - up rate stabilizes [1]. Aluminum - The operating capacity remains flat. The production schedule of photovoltaic modules has stabilized, and the proportion of molten aluminum has increased significantly in September. There is seasonal inventory accumulation of aluminum ingots and bars, but the post - holiday inventory reduction is considerable, and the apparent demand is rising [1]. - The global economic recovery is showing signs, and the Fed's interest - rate cut expectation is strengthening. However, the uncertainty of Sino - US economic and trade relations has deepened, and some European electrolytic aluminum plants have reduced production due to equipment failures [1]. Zinc - Supply: Domestic and imported TC are showing a downward trend. Domestic mines will be marginally tighter from the fourth quarter to the first quarter of next year, while overseas mines had an unexpected increase in the second quarter. In October, smelting has slightly recovered, and attention should be paid to the impact of sulfuric acid and silver prices on total profits [2]. - Demand: Domestic demand is seasonally weak, and European demand is average. Some overseas smelters face production resistance due to processing fees [2]. - Inventory: Domestic social inventory is oscillating, and overseas LME inventory is decreasing. The export window has opened, and some smelters and traders are preparing for exports [2]. Nickel - Supply: The production of pure nickel remains at a high level. - Demand: Overall demand is weak, and the premium has been stable recently. - Inventory: Both domestic and overseas inventories are accumulating [3]. Stainless Steel - Supply: Steel mills' production schedules in October have increased slightly compared to the previous month. - Demand: Demand is mainly driven by rigid needs. - Cost: The prices of nickel iron and chrome iron remain stable. - Inventory: Inventory remains at a high level, and warehouse receipts are stable [3]. Lead - Supply: The scrap volume is weak year - on - year. The recovery of recycled lead profits has encouraged resumption of production, but the progress is slow. There is a serious supply - demand mismatch, and the spot premium in Hunan has been rising [6]. - Demand: The battery start - up rate has increased this week, and the expectation of weakening demand has been reversed. The refined - scrap spread is - 75, and the lead ingot spot premium is 15 [6]. - Inventory: The five - region social inventory is at a historical low of 31,900 tons, and the spot tightness has not eased [6]. Tin - Supply: The processing fee at the mine end is at a low level. The output of overseas Wa State is still controversial, and some mines and smelters in Indonesia have shut down [10]. - Demand: Demand is mainly supported by rigidity at high prices, and the downstream's psychological price for orders has increased [10]. - Inventory: Overseas LME inventory is oscillating and recovering at a low level [10]. Industrial Silicon - Supply: The operation of leading enterprises in Xinjiang is stable. The number of start - ups in Sichuan and Yunnan will decrease significantly in the dry season, and the overall supply of industrial silicon will decline month - on - month [13][15]. - Demand: Considering the maintenance of leading polysilicon enterprises, the supply - demand in Q4 is in a balanced and slightly loose state, with a monthly inventory accumulation of 40,000 - 50,000 tons [13][15]. Lithium Carbonate - The prices of SMM electric and industrial lithium carbonate have both increased by 850 yuan. The basis of the main and near - month contracts has changed, and the number of warehouse receipts has increased by 116 [15].

Core Viewpoint - Hunan Silver (002716) reported significant growth in both revenue and net profit for Q3 2025, driven by rising prices of non-ferrous and precious metals, as well as increased production and sales of certain products [1] Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue reached 4.065 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 98.68% [1] - Q3 2025 net profit was 96.36 million yuan, up 47.51% year-on-year [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue was 8.594 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 59.56% [1] - Net profit for the first three quarters was 159 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.44% [1] Market Drivers - The substantial revenue growth in the first three quarters is attributed to the rise in prices of non-ferrous and precious metals, along with an increase in the production and sales volume of certain products [1]