早 报 精 选 1、 特朗普宣布对14国加征关税，外交部回应。 2、一些国家想买歼-10，国防部回应。 3、七部门发文加快推进普惠托育服务体系建设。 4、关于硅料收储，通威股份回应：没有更确切消息。 1、 中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平近日在山西考察时强调，山西 要认真落实党中央关于促进中部地区加快崛起、推动黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展 等战略部署，坚持稳中求进工作总基调，完整准确全面贯彻新发展理念，统筹好发展 和安全，努力在推动资源型经济转型发展上迈出新步伐，奋力谱写三晋大地推进中国 式现代化新篇章。 2、外交部发言人毛宁昨日主持例行记者会。有记者提问，美国总统特朗普7日表示， 将从8月1日起分别对来自日本、韩国等14个国家的进口产品征收25%至40%不等的 关税。外交部发言人毛宁表示，在关税问题上，中方的立场是一贯的，也是非常明确 的，关税战、贸易战没有赢家，搞保护主义损害各方利益。 3、国务院新闻办公室将举行"高质量完成'十四五'规划"系列主题新闻发布会。首场发 布会将于今日上午10时举行，国家发展改革委主任郑栅洁介绍"十四五"时期经济社会 发展成就，并答记者问。 4、昨日的外交部例行记者 ...

Group 1 - The government is accelerating the construction of a universal childcare service system, focusing on the establishment of comprehensive childcare service centers with priority for city-level coverage [1] - In the defense sector, discussions are ongoing between some countries and China regarding weapon procurement plans, including the J-10 fighter jet, with the Ministry of Defense emphasizing a cautious and responsible approach to military exports [1] - The retail market for passenger cars in June saw sales of 2.11 million units, a year-on-year increase of 18.6%, while the domestic retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.11 million units, up 29.7% year-on-year [1] - In response to market speculation about the upcoming storage of silicon materials, Tongwei Co. stated that there is no confirmed information, and the photovoltaic sector is actively responding to the "involution" trend, leading to a noticeable increase in silicon material prices [1] Group 2 - Sifang New Materials experienced a two-day consecutive increase, with executives reducing their holdings by 80,000 shares on July 7 and 8 [2] - Forest Packaging has a small proportion of its business in consumer packaging despite a four-day consecutive increase in stock price [2] - New Asia Electronics, which has seen an eight-day four-board increase, has not yet mass-produced its "lotus core structure" technology solution for high-speed copper cables [2] - Dongcai Technology's executives have reduced their stock holdings during the period of unusual stock price fluctuations, with a three-day two-board increase [2] - Honghe Technology's main product, electronic-grade fiberglass cloth, is a fundamental material for PCBs, and there are no significant changes in its main business despite a six-day four-board increase [2] - Huayin Power has a cumulative turnover rate of 80.95% over the past six trading days, significantly higher than the industry average [2]

导 读 工业和信息化部近日公告2024年度中国乘用车企业平均燃料消耗量与新能源汽车积分情 况。2024年度，中国境内117家乘用车企业共生产/进口乘用车2318.9万辆（含新能源乘用 车，不含出口乘用车），WLTC工况下行业平均燃料消耗量为3.31升/100公里，同比下降 12.4%。 中华人民共和国工业和信息化部公告 附件：2024年度中国乘用车企业平均燃料消耗量与新能源汽车积分核算情况表 工业和信息化部 商务部 海关总署 市场监管总局 2025年6月30日 2025年 第14号 根据《乘用车企业平均燃料消耗量与新能源汽车积分并行管理办法》（工业和信息化部 财政部 商务部 海关总署 质检总局令 第44号）、《关于修改〈乘用车企业平均燃料消耗量与 新能源汽车积分并行管理办法〉的决定》（工业和信息化部 财政部 商务部 海关总署 市场监 管总局令 第53号）和《关于修改〈乘用车企业平均燃料消耗量与新能源汽车积分并行管理办 法〉的决定》（工业和信息化部 财政部 商务部 海关总署 市场监管总局令 第64号）要求， 现将2024年度中国乘用车企业平均燃料消耗量与新能源汽车积分情况予以公告。 2024年度，中国境内117 ...

6月新能源乘用车市场零售111.1万辆，同比增长29.7%，环比增长8.2%；1-6月累计零售546.8万辆，增长 33.3%。 六、6月新能源车国内零售渗透率升到53.3%，呈现出由报废更新、以旧换新叠加新能源免征购置税 等，普惠政策托底背景下的新能源强势增长； 七、2025年1-6月自主燃油乘用车出口129万下降13%，自主新能源出口81万增长109%，新能源占自主出 口38.6%。虽然年初自主品牌在俄罗斯主动去库存，对俄罗斯出口下降，但自主品牌的俄罗斯市场份额 依旧保持55%以上高位，考虑到俄罗斯汽车工业现状，中国汽车对俄出口还会恢复到一定水平。 7月8日，乘联分会发文，2025年6月全国乘用车市场零售208.4万辆，同比增长18.1%，环比增长7.6%。 今年累计零售1090.1万辆，同比增长10.8%。前几年国内车市零售呈现"前低后高"的走势，今年6月零售 较2022年6月194万的最高水平增长7%，呈现超强增长态势。 新能源汽车方面，6月新能源乘用车市场零售111.1万辆，同比增长29.7%，环比增长8.2%；1-6月累计零 售546.8万辆，增长33.3%。 三、今年直观的降价价格战稍显温和，但 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry analyzed [2]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the focus on "supply-side optimization" and "anti-involution" competition, with potential policy implementations expected in the second half of the year [3][8]. - Key industries identified for "anti-involution" include those with high inventory, high CAPEX, low capacity utilization, and low price levels, particularly in sectors such as chemicals, non-ferrous metals, coal, steel, and various manufacturing and consumer goods [3][11][13]. - The report outlines five perspectives for identifying potential beneficiaries of the "anti-involution" policies, including state-owned enterprise (SOE) share, industry concentration, tax revenue impact, labor intensity, and price elasticity post-capacity reduction [5][6]. Summary by Relevant Sections Policy Focus - The report highlights that the Central Financial Committee meeting on July 1 emphasized supply-side optimization and "anti-involution" competition, referencing past supply-side reforms from 2015-2016 as a model for future policy actions [3][8]. Key Industry Characteristics - Industries with high inventory, high CAPEX, low capacity utilization, and low price levels are targeted for policy intervention. These include: - Cyclical industries: Chemicals (chemical products, rubber, non-metallic materials), non-ferrous metals (energy metals), coal, and steel (common steel, steel raw materials) [3][11]. - Manufacturing: Electric new (motors, grid equipment, batteries, photovoltaics), machinery (automation equipment), automotive (passenger vehicles), military electronics, and construction [3][11]. - Consumer goods: Home appliances (appliance components), food and beverage (food processing, liquor, snacks) [3][11]. Five Perspectives for Industry Selection - **State-Owned Enterprise (SOE) Share**: Industries with higher SOE shares are expected to have stronger policy execution efficiency, including coal, common steel, cement, glass, and consumer sectors like liquor [3][5]. - **Industry Concentration**: Higher concentration industries are more likely to achieve supply clearing through stronger pricing power and quicker policy response, particularly in energy metals, non-metallic materials, and consumer goods like liquor [3][5]. - **Tax Revenue Impact**: Industries with lower tax revenue contributions will have a smaller impact on local finances during capacity reduction, focusing on sectors like glass, energy metals, and common steel [3][5]. - **Labor Intensity**: Industries with lower labor intensity will have a reduced impact on employment during capacity reduction, including non-metallic materials, chemical products, and energy metals [3][5]. - **Price Elasticity Post-Capacity Reduction**: Industries with a strong correlation between asset turnover and gross margin are expected to see greater price and margin expansion post-capacity reduction, including glass, chemical products, and energy metals [3][5]. Potential Beneficiary Industries - The report identifies several industries as potential beneficiaries of the "anti-involution" policies based on the five perspectives, including: - Coal mining, common steel, precious metals, glass fiber, coke, energy metals, steel raw materials, cement, chemical products, non-metallic materials, and various manufacturing sectors [6][7].

乘联分会数据显示，6月 乘用车出口（含整车与CKD）48.0万辆，同比增长23.8%，环比增长7.3%，1-6 月乘用车厂商出口247.9万辆，同比增长6.8%。6月 新能源车占出口总量的41.1%，较同期增加17个百分 点。6月自主品牌出口达到41万辆，同比增长28%，环比增长10%；合资与豪华品牌出口6.2万辆，同比 下降9%。 ...

Core Viewpoints - The automotive sector remains optimistic, focusing on three main lines: dividends, smart technology, and robotics [5][11][6] Weekly Review Summary - In the fourth week of June, 569,000 compulsory insurance policies were issued, representing a week-on-week increase of 3.9% and a month-on-month increase of 24.2% [9][46] - The performance of sub-sectors this week ranked as follows: SW motorcycles and others (+5.1%) > SW commercial passenger vehicles (+4.4%) > SW passenger vehicles (+0.4%) > SW automobiles (+0.1%) > SW commercial freight vehicles (0.1%) > SW auto parts (-0.7%) [9][21] Industry Core Changes - The Xiaopeng G7, a mid-size SUV, is positioned for family tech aesthetics, with pricing starting at 195,800 yuan for the 602 km Max version and 205,800 yuan for the 702 km Max version. It is the world's first electric vehicle with L3 computing power [4][10] - Baolong Technology and Weifu High-Tech's joint venture completed its business registration on July 1, 2025 [4][10] - Pony.ai announced the launch of Robotaxi road testing in Luxembourg [4][10] - WeRide's W5 autonomous logistics vehicle has been approved for road testing in Guangzhou [4][10] Market Focus - The market's attention this week was on several key events: Xiaopeng's G7 launch, Yutong Bus's production and sales data exceeding expectations, Pony.ai's Robotaxi testing, and the mass production of G1 by Junpu and Zhiyuan [5][11] Current Sector Configuration - The company suggests that "only by adhering to technological innovation can the automotive industry avoid internal competition and move towards healthy development." It recommends increasing the allocation weight of dividend-style stocks in the second half of the year [6][11] - Key stocks in the dividend and good pattern line include Yutong Bus, China National Heavy Duty Truck, and auto parts companies like Fuyao Glass and Xingyu Co [7][11] - For the AI smart line, preferred stocks include Xiaopeng Motors, Li Auto, and Xiaomi in Hong Kong, and companies like Seres and BYD in A-shares [7][11] - In the AI robotics line, preferred stocks include Top Group, Junsheng Electronics, and others [7][11] Weekly Stock Performance - The top-performing stocks this week included Chunfeng Power, Aima Technology, Yutong Bus, SAIC Motor, and China National Heavy Duty Truck [9][24]

Core Insights - In June, the domestic retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.111 million units, marking a year-on-year growth of 29.7% [1] Industry Summary - The data indicates a strong upward trend in the sales of new energy passenger vehicles in the domestic market, reflecting increasing consumer demand and market penetration [1] - The growth rate of 29.7% suggests a robust expansion in the new energy vehicle sector, which may be driven by favorable government policies and advancements in technology [1]

中国乘联分会：6月狭义乘用车市场零售208.4万辆，同比增18.1%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese passenger car market has seen a significant reduction in the number of price cuts in the first half of 2025, indicating a shift from price wars to promotional strategies to maintain market share [1][2][3] Price Reduction Trends - In the first half of 2025, the overall price reduction in the passenger car market decreased from an average of 21,000 yuan (14.5% reduction) in January to 15,000 yuan (9.9% reduction) in June [1][2] - The total number of models that experienced price cuts dropped to 91, a 37% decrease compared to 144 models in the same period of 2024 [1][2] Market Segmentation - The price reduction landscape has shown a clear division, with new energy vehicles (NEVs) becoming the primary focus for price adjustments, while the scale of price cuts for traditional fuel vehicles has significantly shrunk [2][3] - In June, among the 14 models that reduced prices, 6 were pure electric vehicles, doubling from 3 in the same month last year [2] Promotional Strategies - Despite the reduction in official price cuts, competition remains intense, with promotional activities becoming the main strategy for car manufacturers to sustain market share [3][4] - In June 2025, the promotional intensity for new energy vehicles was maintained at a relatively high level of 10.2%, while traditional fuel vehicles saw a promotional intensity of 23.3%, indicating ongoing competitive pressure [3][4] High-End Market Dynamics - The luxury car segment experienced a promotional intensity of 26.8% in June, reflecting the significant sales pressure faced by traditional fuel vehicles, particularly among high-end and joint venture brands [4] - The market is expected to continue the trend of "stable overall volume with structural differentiation" in the second half of 2025, influenced by technological advancements, cost control, and stable supply chain and policy environments [4]