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新能源+AI周报:再次进入关键布局期,隆基公告指引反转机会-20251210
Investment Rating - The report does not provide specific investment ratings for the sub-industries within the power equipment and new energy sector [2]. Core Insights - The industry is entering a critical layout period, with Longi's announcement indicating a reversal opportunity [3]. - The lithium battery supply chain's price negotiations and the progress of new energy combined with AI are key investment focuses, suggesting that lowered expectations present new layout opportunities [3]. - The new energy vehicle supply chain has entered a new upward cycle, with significant production levels expected [3][4]. Summary by Sections Industry Chain Prices - Recent price increases in lithium battery materials, including a 5% rise in cobalt and electrolyte prices [11][24]. - The overall industry supply-demand balance remains stable, with some products entering a destocking phase [25]. Industry News Tracking - The report highlights the ongoing developments in the new energy and AI sectors, including Tesla's advancements in humanoid robots and Longi's employee stock ownership plan [24][31]. - The report notes that the National Development and Reform Commission has revised pricing mechanisms for new energy storage, promoting market competition [27]. Recommended Companies and Ratings - Longi Green Energy, GCL-Poly Energy, and Aiko Solar are highlighted as companies to watch due to their technological leadership and potential for growth [5][6]. - The report emphasizes the importance of leading companies with pricing power, such as CATL and BYD, in the lithium battery market [3][4].
东吴证券:2026年确定性看设备出海+AI拉动 结构机会看内需改善与新技术
智通财经网· 2025-12-10 12:37
智通财经APP获悉,东吴证券发布研报称,2026年度,美联储降息周期下,海外需求或于2026年进入新 一轮上行周期,工程机械出口有望延续景气,形成国内外共振局面。内需有望β筑底需求景气度改善, 推荐FA/注塑机/检测/机床行业的α标的;高景气赛道上,该行认为AI催化下的PCB设备/液冷产业链/柴 发&燃气轮机迎来黄金期。新技术方面,人形机器人量产仍需打通降本关键一环,国产零部件厂商有望 充分受益。 东吴证券主要观点如下: 装备出海:油服设备面向沙漠寻蓝海市场,工程机械出口一带一路景气高 工程机械:2025年工程机械板块国内全面复苏&出口温和复苏,看好盈利质量持续提升。内需方面,在 资金到位情况的扰动下,该行判断此轮周期将呈现斜率较低但周期较长的特征;外需方面,美联储降息 周期下,海外需求有望于2026年进入新一轮上行周期,形成国内外共振局面。工程机械重点推荐出口盈 利贡献较高的三一重工(600031.SH)、徐工机械(000425.SZ)、中联重科(000157.SZ)、柳工(000528.SZ)、 恒立液压(601100.SH)。 半导体设备:景气复苏+国产替代共振,AI&存储周期带动设备高增。国产设备率先 ...
上市公司踊跃参设产业并购基金
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-09 15:53
今年以来,A股上市公司参与设立产业并购基金的热情持续高涨。同花顺(300033)iFinD数据显示, 截至12月9日记者发稿,年内A股市场上市公司参与设立产业并购基金达336只,预计募集规模上限合计 达2790亿元。 北京天驰君泰律师事务所上海分所合伙人孙军伟认为,上市公司积极参设产业并购基金,有助于发现、 培育优质标的,为上市公司在目标行业的扩张或发展进行资产储备。 上市公司热衷参设产业并购基金,是政策、资本与战略三重逻辑共同作用的结果。 去年以来,《关于深化科创板改革 服务科技创新和新质生产力发展的八条措施》("科创板八条")、 《关于深化上市公司并购重组市场改革的意见》("并购六条")等政策措施相继推出。在政策支持下, A股市场产业整合加快,并购重组市场规模和活跃度大幅提升。数据显示,"科创板八条"发布以来,科 创板新披露产业并购活动超150单。 深圳高禾资本控股有限公司管理合伙人刘盛宇对《证券日报》记者表示,"并购六条"及各地配套政策的 出台,对上市公司参设产业并购基金产生了直接且积极的影响。在政策的鼓励和引导下,上市公司参设 产业并购基金、开展并购交易的动力与意愿显著增强。 从市场运作模式看,当前A ...
当年狂买白酒!本轮牛市,基金会狂买AI硬件吗?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-09 12:42
一是英伟达。据新华社报道,美国总统特朗普8日表示,美国将允许英伟达向中国"经批准的客户"出售 H200人工智能芯片,芯片销售收入的25%将上缴美国政府。 对此,英伟达方面回应道:"向商业客户供应H200是一种值得肯定的举措。" 二是特斯拉。在上周末的一场"擎天柱"Optimus人形机器人互动活动中,机器人在失去平衡向后摔倒的 过程中,双手上抬,做出抓握动作,被怀疑是模仿操作员摘下VR头显。 三是谷歌。在Android XR特别发布会上,谷歌集中展示了Galaxy XR新功能,并披露AI眼镜项目最新进 展、应用场景及多项新技术。谷歌表示,其与三星、Warby Parker和Gentle Monster合作的AI眼镜将于明 年上市。 今天,海外三大科技公司传来重要消息。 不过,从各大宽基指数来看,当前距离上方压力位均不远,所以要做好反弹空间暂时不大的准备。 而在国内知名公司方面,也传来了重要消息。 一是智谱AI"掀桌子"了,宣布开源其核心AI Agent模型——AutoGLM。智谱将手机Agent开源,意味着 未来可能实现"人人都可以打造豆包手机"。 12月1日,豆包手机助手发布技术预览版并搭载于nubia M1 ...
邢自强谈“十五五”:“星辰大海”与“柴米油盐”的双向奔赴
21世纪经济报道记者崔文静 实习生张长荣 广州报道 凭借独特的产业链、工程师红利与超大规模市场优势,中国正为前沿科技引领全球竞争蓄势。12月5 日,摩根士丹利中国首席经济学家邢自强在南方财经论坛2025年年会上,阐述了中国经济抢占未来先机 的底层逻辑。 本届年会以"共识的力量"为主题,聚焦"创新涌动与中国资产重估",设置了"1+5+X"议程,邀请了14位 来自国家顶级智库和知名金融机构的经济学家,共同解读"十四五"辉煌成就背后的制度优势,展望"十 五五"规划建议发展蓝图。 "十五五"规划建议以科技创新为核心,同时强调消费升级与民生保障。邢自强强调,对"十五五"规划建 议中科创自强目标的实现抱有坚定信心;而要将规划蓝图转化为消费潜力的持续释放,关键在于两大核 心任务的落地见效:一是扎实推进社会保障体系的改革与夯实,二是通过财政贴息等精准政策工具,推 动房地产市场尽快止跌回稳。 "唯有如此,方能实现'科创引领星辰大海'与'民生保障柴米油盐'的双向奔赴。"邢自强表示。 他分析,这一提升主要得益于中国长期积累的三大优势:产业链集聚效应、工程师红利,以及以超大规 模市场为支撑的产业政策体系。尤其是中国在产业政策上更注重 ...
华源晨会精粹20251209-20251209
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-12-09 10:34
证券研究报告 晨会 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 09 日 投资要点: 资料来源:聚源,华源证券研究所,截至2025年12月09日 华源晨会精粹 20251209 固定收益 年末债市行情可期——利率周报:经济下行压力可能上升,未来政策利率 下调的可能性较高。央行行长在人民日报发表的署名文章表示"要把握好货币政策 的力度、时机和节奏,更加注重做好跨周期和逆周期调节,保持货币条件与支持经 济潜在增长和物价基本稳定的要求相匹配,提升金融支持经济结构调整和高质量发 展的适配性和精准性。"10 月物价指数有所修复,CPI 同比重回正区间,PPI 同比 下跌幅度有所缩小,经济增长压力仍大,投资、消费同比增速下滑明显,政策利率 下调的可能性较高。2018 年以来,12 月份债市做多的胜率高。我们继续明确看多债 市。10Y 以内政府债券看银行自营,30Y 看险资配置及交易盘,5Y 资本债看债基, 3Y 以下信用债看银行理财。从国内基本面看,国内经济数据承压,房价进一步下跌, 当前短端利率过高,政策利率下调的必要性显著上升。从外部环境来看,美联储降 息周期开启,年内还可能再降息 25BP。当前,长债收益率来 ...
市场“慢牛”与投资“求真”——中信保诚基金2026年展望:基本面、科技、新消费与出海
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 08:47
回顾2025年,A股市场在波澜壮阔的行情中创下多项历史记录。展望2026年,中信保诚基金认为,尽管 市场短期或受情绪与资金面扰动,但在盈利修复、流动性宽裕及产业趋势推动下,中长期"慢牛"格局依 然值得期待,投资主线或将从概念预期进一步转向基本面验证。 2025年:科技点燃行情,新消费崛起,市场信心显著修复 2025年注定是中国资本市场发展史上值得铭记的一年。春节前后,国产大模型DeepSeek用户规模迅速 突破1亿,增速超越ChatGPT早期记录,直接点燃了算力、云计算等科技板块的行情,成为年内首个重 要的市场催化剂。 四月,面对全球市场的剧烈波动,"中国版平准基金"的预期与央行明确的流动性支持,有效构筑了"政 策底",显著提振了市场信心。进入年中,以Labubu潮玩、《哪吒2》全球票房登顶、苏超联赛商业化成 功为代表的新消费势力迅速崛起,不仅带动相关公司股价实现翻倍增长,也为消费板块注入了全新的增 长动能,契合"全方位扩大国内需求"的政策导向。 市场体量与活跃度也迈上新台阶。A股总市值于6月突破100万亿元大关,成交额在8月创下历史次高, 融资规模超越2015年水平,这些都标志着市场参与度和信心的深度修复。 ...
午评:创业板指涨1.07% 算力硬件概念涨幅居前
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 05:14
新华财经北京12月9日电(王媛媛)A股三大指数早盘表现分化,沪指小幅下跌,深成指微涨,创业板 指涨逾1%。截至午间收盘,沪指报3918.83点,跌0.13%,成交5076亿元;深证成指报13341.62点,涨 0.09%,成交7475亿元;创业板指报3224.38点,涨1.07%,成交3606亿元。沪深两市半日成交额1.26万 亿元,较上个交易日缩量347亿元。 板块方面,算力硬件、零售、福建等板块涨幅居前,有色金属、海南、煤炭等板块跌幅居前。 盘面热点 盘面上,算力硬件概念再度爆发,胜宏科技涨近9%,德科立20cm涨停。福建板块延续强势,安记食品 6连板,舒华体育4连板,东百集团、厦门港务双双3连板。零售板块表现活跃,茂业商业、中央商场相 继涨停。下跌方面,海南本地股集体大跌,新大洲A跌停。有色金属板块震荡走弱,中国中冶触及跌 停。 全市场上涨个股有1741家,下跌个股有3556家,40只股涨停。 机构观点 消息面上 超六成主动权益基金过去三年跑输业绩比较基准多家公募加紧"内查" 据智通财经,证监会日前向公募管理人发布《基金管理公司绩效考核指引(征求意见稿)》,其中明确 规定,基金管理公司应当根据主动权益类 ...
开盘:沪指跌0.19%、创业板指跌0.21%,英伟达概念股活跃,铁矿石、商业航天股走低
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-09 02:12
Market Overview - On December 9, A-shares opened slightly lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 7.57 points, a decline of 0.19%, closing at 3916.51 points; the Shenzhen Component Index fell 34.37 points, down 0.26%, at 13295.62 points; the CSI 300 Index decreased by 10.38 points, down 0.22%, at 4611.38 points; the ChiNext Index dropped 6.66 points, down 0.21%, at 3183.61 points; and the STAR Market 50 Index fell 11.95 points, down 0.88%, at 1338.85 points [1]. Company News - Hehe China: The controlling shareholder, Hehe (Hong Kong) Holdings Limited, has a reduction plan but has not yet executed it as of December 8, 2025, and there are no undisclosed significant matters [2]. - Tianfu Communication: The company is planning to issue H-shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with details yet to be determined, and this will not change the controlling shareholder or actual controller [2]. - Zhejiang Rongtai: The company plans to invest approximately $77 million (about 544.88 million RMB) through its wholly-owned subsidiary to build a production project in Thailand for 14,000 tons of mica paper, 4,500 tons of mica products, and 7 million sets of robot components [2]. - Shunhao Shares: The company’s affiliate, Beijing Rail Transit Technology Co., Ltd., has completed the development of the first generation experimental satellite "Chengguang No. 1," which has not yet been launched [2]. - Cambridge Technology: The company plans to raise $100 million by issuing H-shares to increase capital for its wholly-owned subsidiary CIG USA, aimed at expanding production capacity for high-speed optical modules in North America and Southeast Asia [2]. - Wenta Technology: A major shareholder reduced its holdings by 11.84 million shares between November 27 and December 8, 2025 [2]. Industry Trends - AI Chips: The AI chip sector has seen significant activity, with the recent IPO of Moer Thread surging by 425.46%, leading to substantial investor gains [5]. - Human-Robot Interaction: Luming Robotics has completed two rounds of financing totaling several hundred million yuan, aimed at enhancing investment in embodied intelligence data and hardware [8]. - Brain-Computer Interface: Recent developments indicate that domestic brain-computer interface companies are accelerating product upgrades and regulatory submissions, suggesting increased investment opportunities in this sector [11]. - Life Insurance: The life insurance industry is expected to experience five key trends by 2026, including rapid growth in new business and a shift towards high-quality development [12]. - Securities Firms: Improved external conditions may enhance the leverage limits for quality institutions, with a focus on the valuation recovery of brokerage firms [13].
多行业联合人工智能 12 月报:科技竞赛打开估值上限-20251208
Huachuang Securities· 2025-12-08 13:01
Strategy - The technology competition under the Kondratiev wave continues to open up valuation ceilings, with a focus on "bottleneck" and future industry high ground [14][15] - The current valuation of China's science and technology innovation is still lower than that during the internet boom in the 1990s, indicating potential for further upward movement [14][18] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes seizing the high ground of technological development, focusing on key areas such as integrated circuits and advanced manufacturing [14][19] Electronics - The scaling law remains effective, with the introduction of multi-modal and agent models expected to accelerate AI computing demand [8][15] - The PCB industry is anticipated to maintain high growth due to its heavy asset nature and product structure optimization, which can lead to non-linear performance improvements for companies [8][15] Computer - New models are being launched intensively, marking a shift in AI competition towards "strong reasoning + native multi-modal" capabilities [9][15] - Significant releases include Google's Gemini 3 and DeepSeek V3.2, which enhance multi-modal understanding and practical applications [9][15] Media - Long-term optimism for the acceleration of AI product applications and commercialization, with a focus on AI agents, companionship, multi-modal applications, education, and edge AI [9][15] Humanoid Robots - The industry is transitioning from concept validation to commercialization, with companies that have growth potential in key components or specific solutions likely to benefit [10][15] - Investment opportunities are identified in the incremental component sector, with a focus on aesthetic preferences in the market [10][15] Automotive - The launch of Horizon Robotics' HSD and J6P models marks a significant step in mass production, with companies like WeRide and Pony.ai also making strides in the market [10][15] - Recommendations include focusing on luxury car opportunities with strong product pipelines and valuation elasticity, as well as autonomous driving technologies [10][15] Selected Portfolio - The December selected portfolio includes upstream production tools like Zhuoyi Information, upstream computing infrastructure such as Jingwang Electronics, and downstream applications like Alibaba [11][15]