Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that despite recent market volatility due to geopolitical tensions, the overall market trend remains upward, with expectations for significant gains in the coming months [1][3][6] - The S&P 500 index is projected to reach a target range of 6050 to 6150 points, with a year-end target of 6650 points, suggesting a strong bullish sentiment [2][3] - The Nasdaq 100 index is expected to reach around 22000 points, with the QQQ ETF target price estimated at approximately 540 USD [2] Group 2 - The technology sector is anticipated to continue its upward trend, having been the strongest performing sector recently, with significant improvements in company earnings [6][10][14] - There is a notable rotation of funds back into the technology sector, while the healthcare sector is experiencing outflows due to regulatory pressures [13][14] - The overall sentiment in the market remains cautious, with many investors still skeptical about the sustainability of the current rally, despite a 20% rebound from recent lows [16] Group 3 - The U.S. dollar is expected to weaken further in the coming months, with projections indicating a potential drop to around 93 or 94 on the dollar index [8][9] - This dollar weakness is viewed as a strategic move to boost exports and may benefit emerging markets and commodities [9][12] - Precious metals, particularly gold, are forecasted to perform well, with a target price of 3800 USD for gold by October [10][12] Group 4 - The market is likely to experience a period of consolidation and minor corrections, particularly around August, which aligns with historical seasonal trends [4][6] - The overall market breadth and momentum indicators suggest that the market is not facing substantial challenges in the near term, maintaining a positive outlook [2][16] - The current economic environment, characterized by potential fiscal issues and expectations of interest rate cuts, is favorable for precious metals and industrial metals [12][10]

2025.06. 16 6大跨市场指数合计换187只样本 此次调样，沪深300指数更换7只样本，软通动力、中航成飞等调入指数；中证500指数更换50只样 本，恒玄科技、百济神州等调入指数；中证1000指数更换100只样本，万辰集团、思瑞浦等调入指 数；中证A50指数更换4只样本，北方稀土、东鹏饮料等调入指数；中证A100指数更换5只样本，中 国重工、沪电股份等调入指数；中证A500指数更换21只样本，润泽科技、恒玄科技等调入指数。可 见，6大跨市场指数合计更换187只样本。 | 调出名单 | | 调入名单 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 = = = = = | ST It h the | ST 32 11 77 | ** 11 4 16 | 本文字数：1450，阅读时长大约2分钟 A股系列指数调样，今日生效！ 根据此前消息，6月16日为A股系列指数定期例行调整的生效日。这次调样的指数包括上证50、上证 180、上证380、科创50等沪市指数，深证成指、创业板指、深证100等深市指数以及沪深300、中证 500、中证1000、中证A50、中证A100、中证A500等跨市场指数 ...

策略研究 · 周度报告 国际地缘冲突再起,港股避险情绪升温 2025年06月15日 核心观点: 分析师 杨超 ☎：010-8092-7696 网: yangchao_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130522030004 研究助理:周美丽 相关研究 2025-06-10,稳定币概念股投资展望 2025-05-29，上市公司并购重组迎来哪些新变化? 2025-05-07, 关键时间节点的发布会：一揽子金融政策 稳市场稳预期 2025-04-25, 4 月中央政治局会议解读："持续稳定和 活跃资本市场"聚焦哪些方面? 2025-04-23，公募基金一季度持仓释放哪些信号? 2025-04-08, 汇金入市,坚定看多 2025-04-03, 港股 2025 年二季度投资展望: 从估值修 复到盈利兑现 2025-04-02, 2025 年二季度 A 股投资展望: 风格切换, 均衡配置 2025-03-23，港股市场 2025 年以来行情拆解 2025-02-21, 南向资金与国际资金结构同频还是分歧? 2025-02-13，地方两会对 A 股投资结构有哪些启示? 2025-02-04， ...

估值接近市场承受高点。 以下文章来源于36氪财经 ，作者范亮 郑怀舟 36氪财经 . 36氪旗下官方账号。洞见市场，比99%的投资者更聪明。 文 ｜ 范亮 编辑 ｜ 郑怀舟 来源｜ 36氪财经（ID： krfinance ） 封面来源 ｜ 视觉中国 上证指数年内第三次冲刺3400点失败，与此同时，银行板块再次突破新高。 就像有一股无形的力量，每当上证指数试图跨过3400点大关时，就会遭遇抛压。那么，上证指数未来究竟有没有机会突破3400点大关，或者说，突破3400 需要什么条件？ 突破3400，难在哪里？ 下图为万得全A（剔除金融）的静态市盈率情况，可以看到当前的PE-LYR为31.51倍，位于2000年以来的49%分位，近10年来的54%分位，近三年以来的 100%分位。因此，即便不考虑市盈率绝对值是否合理，仅 从情绪面和心理的角度分析，这一估值分位数水平也接近市场承受的高点。 图:万得全A（剔除金融）静态市盈率 资料来源:Wind、36氪整理 而 从估值的绝对水平来看，剔除金融后万得全A的市盈率水平在全球权益市场也并不算低。 横向对比来看，纳斯达克指数的静态市盈率为44倍，标普500 （剔除金融）市盈率约 ...

| 行业类 V | 当前价 # | 涨跌幅 * | 成交量 ÷ | | 总市值 = 年初至今 = | 0 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 全球航空业E ... | 21.87 | -0.55 (-2.45%) | 62.05万股 | 6889.05万 | -13.73% | 를 … | | US JETS | | | | | | | | 区域银行ET ... | 56.56 | ↓ -1.22 (-2.11%) | 240.97万股 | 47.20亿 | -5.66% | ( ) *** | | us KRE | | | | | | | | 银行业ETF - ... | 53.16 | -1.05 (-1.94%) | 11.08万股 | 41.15亿 | -3.48% | () *** | | us KBE | | | | | | | | 金融业ETF --- | 50.09 | -0.92 (-1.79%) | 509.25万股 | 557.47 亿 | +4.01% | U " | | us XLF | | | | | | | | 半导体E ...

Group 1 - The issuance of the "Opinions" allows companies in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to also list on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, marking a deepening of the interconnection mechanism of China's capital markets from the "trading end" to the "issuance end" [1][2] - This reform is expected to facilitate domestic financing for red-chip companies and the return of Chinese concept stocks, accumulating "Bay Area experience" for institutional innovation [1][2] - The policy aims to address the challenges of cross-border capital flow and institutional differences, enhancing regional synergy and promoting the dual listing mechanism to meet corporate financing needs [2][3] Group 2 - As of June 11, there are 2,636 H-share listed companies, with 1,589 of them registered in the Greater Bay Area, accounting for over 60% of the total and a market capitalization of approximately 20.72 trillion yuan, which is 32.23% of the total H-share market [3] - The characteristics of H-share companies in the Greater Bay Area include industry diversification, a concentration of well-known enterprises, and a strong demand for flexible financing environments due to international business needs [3][4] - Listing on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange is expected to enrich the industry matrix and types of companies in the Shenzhen market, optimizing the valuation system and enhancing the attractiveness of the A-share market to domestic and foreign investors [3][4]

| 行业类 V | 当前价 ÷ | 涨跌幅 ÷ | 成交量 ÷ | | 总市值 ; 年初至今 = | 1 1 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 医疗业ETF - ... | 136.32 | +0.65 (+0.48%) | 71.94万股 | 260.88亿 | -0.52% | == | | us XLV | | | | | | | | 可选消费ET ... | 217.35 | +0.92 (+0.43%) | 16.90万股 | 273.00亿 | -2.85% | = == | | us XLY | | | | | | | | 半导体ETF --- | 263.02 | ↓ +0.95 (+0.36%) | 54.32万股 | 31.09亿 | +8.61% | = | | us SMH | | | | | | | | 生物科技指 ... | 129.24 | +0.45 (+0.35%) | 21.86万股 | 102.62亿 | -2.16% | 글 … | | us IBB | | | | | | | | 全球科技股 ... | 8 ...

Group 1 - Major industry ETFs in the US stock market mostly rose, with Energy ETFs and Biotechnology Index ETFs increasing over 1%, and Healthcare ETFs rising nearly 1% [1] Group 2 - Energy ETF (XLE) current price is $84.77, up by $1.20 (+1.44%), with a trading volume of 1.824 million shares and a total market value of $21.228 billion, showing a year-to-date change of -0.27% [2] - Biotechnology Index ETF (IBB) current price is $128.88, up by $1.29 (+1.01%), with a trading volume of 122,100 shares and a total market value of $10.233 billion, reflecting a year-to-date change of -2.43% [2] - Healthcare ETF (XLV) current price is $135.14, up by $0.99 (+0.74%), with a trading volume of 304,000 shares and a total market value of $25.860 billion, indicating a year-to-date change of -1.39% [2] - Semiconductor ETF (SMH) current price is $258.06, up by $1.10 (+0.43%), with a trading volume of 166,700 shares and a total market value of $3.051 billion, showing a year-to-date change of +6.56% [2] - Global Technology ETF (IXN) current price is $87.20, up by $0.23 (+0.26%), with a trading volume of 4,806 shares and a total market value of $1.221 billion, reflecting a year-to-date change of +2.89% [2] - Utilities ETF (XLU) current price is $80.86, up by $0.19 (+0.24%), with a trading volume of 531,700 shares and a total market value of $11.739 billion, indicating a year-to-date change of +7.59% [2] - Consumer Staples ETF (XLP) current price is $81.77, up by $0.19 (+0.23%), with a trading volume of 352,400 shares and a total market value of $13.837 billion, reflecting a year-to-date change of +4.57% [2] - Internet Index ETF (FDN) current price is $260.81, up by $0.39 (+0.15%), with a trading volume of 3,871 shares and a total market value of $17.318 billion, indicating a year-to-date change of +7.25% [2] - Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY) current price is $213.94, down by $0.07 (+0.03%), with a trading volume of 77,139 shares and a total market value of $26.872 billion, showing a year-to-date change of -4.38% [2] - Technology Sector ETF (XLK) current price is $239.56, up by $0.03 (+0.01%), with a trading volume of 161,100 shares and a total market value of $76.193 billion, reflecting a year-to-date change of +3.21% [2] - Banking ETF (KBE) current price is $54.36, unchanged (0.00%), with a trading volume of 28,542 shares and a total market value of $4.208 billion, indicating a year-to-date change of -1.30% [2] - Regional Banking ETF (KRE) current price is $58.30, down by $0.01 (-0.01%), with a trading volume of 295,200 shares and a total market value of $4.866 billion, reflecting a year-to-date change of -2.75% [2] - Financials ETF (XLF) current price is $50.90, down by $0.10 (-0.19%), with a trading volume of 817,600 shares and a total market value of $56.655 billion, indicating a year-to-date change of +5.70% [2] - Global Airlines ETF (JETS) current price is $23.24, down by $0.08 (-0.34%), with a trading volume of 16,867 shares and a total market value of $73.206 million, reflecting a year-to-date change of -8.32% [2]

美股盘初，主要行业ETF涨跌不一，半导体ETF涨超2%，区域银行业ETF涨近1%，金融业ETF跌近 1%。 | 行业类 V | 当前价 ◆ | 涨跌幅 ÷ | 成交量 ÷ | | 总市值 = 年初至今 = | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 半导体ETF --- | 258.50 | ↓ +5.77 (+2.28%) | 205.80万股 | 30.56亿 | +6.74% | = | | us SMH | | | | | | | | 区域银行ET ... | 58.56 | +0.55 (+0.94%) | 183.49万股 | 48.87 亿 | -2.31% | [] … | | us KRE | | | | | | | | 科技行业ET ... | 240.49 | ↓ +2.13 (+0.89%) | 119.49万股 | 764.89 亿 | +3.61% | [] *** | | us XLK | | | | | | | | 银行业ETF - ... | 54.56 | ↓ +0.45 (+0.83%) | 28.90万股 | 42 ...

STOLITES 证券研究报告 宏观研究 宏观专题 2025年06月09日 【宏观专题】 全球化"退潮"下美股海外业务的隐忧 一七问美股海外经营状况 核心结论:在美国关税政策的环境下,全球"去美元化"的讨论愈演愈烈。本 � 文从美股上市公司海外业务的角度出发,刻画了美股公司海外业务的画像: 1 大企业海外业务占比 3成,高于小企业(20%)。 2 科技(51%)、材杆(38%)、医疗(35%)、通讯业(34%)的海外业务 敞口最大,其中科技与通讯业市值占标普 500 的近一半;这些行业中通讯业 海外业务增速自 2017年以来普遍高于整体收入增速,是对海外业务依赖最高 的行业。 3 标普 500 权重股的海外收入占比普遍高于行业均值,同时海外业务的利 润率也高于本土(如2024年苹果海外收入占比 57%,行业均值 51%,海外利 润率 42%,整体利润率 32%;亚马逊海外收入占比 39%,行业均值 27%,海 外利润率 17%,整体利润率 11%);即美国巨头企业对海外经营的依赖度较 高。 华创证券研究所 证券分析师:张瑜 电话:010-66500887 邮箱:zhangyu3@hcyjs.com 执业编号: ...