Fund Flow Analysis - In May, Chinese stock funds experienced a mild outflow, with foreign long-only funds (LOs) seeing a withdrawal of $200 million, a significant decrease from the $5.3 billion outflow in April [1][3] - Passive funds saw a recovery with an inflow of $14 billion in May, compared to an outflow of $3.7 billion in April, while active funds continued to experience outflows of $1.5 billion [1][3] - Southbound capital inflow weakened, dropping to $6 billion in May from $21 billion in April, marking the lowest level since 2024 [1][14] Global Fund Allocation - The global fund's underweight position in Chinese stocks has slightly narrowed, with global funds underweight by 12 percentage points, Asia-Pacific funds by 15 percentage points, and emerging market funds by 30 percentage points [2] Sector and Stock Performance - Active fund managers increased their holdings in Consumer Durables & Apparel and Consumer Services, while reducing their positions in Capital Goods, Food Beverage & Tobacco, and Media & Entertainment [10] - The most increased stocks included Alibaba, BYD, Midea Group, and JD.com, while Tencent and Zijin Mining saw the most reductions [11] Local Fund Dynamics - Local passive funds tracking A-shares saw a significant outflow of $9 billion in May after a large inflow of $27 billion in April [12] - The cumulative outflow of overseas active funds since 2022 has approached levels seen in early March 2025, with cumulative active fund flows hitting historical lows since the end of 2022 [5] Short Selling Interest - As of May 31, short positions in offshore/Hong Kong stocks amounted to $900 million, primarily concentrated in the Financials and Real Estate sectors [20]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve significant growth with a focus on global expansion, particularly through its Galaxy series [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.36, 1.54, and 1.94 RMB respectively, with a target price set at 20.40 RMB or 22.26 HKD, based on a 15x PE ratio [2] Financial Information - Revenue is projected to grow from 179,204 million RMB in 2023 to 424,141 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 18% [4] - Operating profit is expected to increase significantly from 3,806 million RMB in 2023 to 18,417 million RMB in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 100.8% in 2024 [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to rise from 5,308 million RMB in 2023 to 19,553 million RMB in 2027, despite a projected decline in 2025 [4] - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve slightly from 15.3% in 2023 to 16.7% in 2027 [4] - The net profit margin is projected to stabilize around 4.5% to 4.6% from 2025 to 2027 [4] - The return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to increase from 6.6% in 2023 to 13.8% in 2027 [4] Sales Performance - In May 2025, the company’s total sales reached 235,200 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 46.4% [9] - The Galaxy series saw a remarkable sales increase of 273.2% year-on-year in May 2025, with 101,800 units sold [9] - The company is expanding its international presence, with plans to enter new markets in Southeast Asia and Europe [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][5] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in Q1, with revenue reaching 72.495 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.5%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 5.672 billion yuan, up 263.6% year-on-year [9] - The gross margin improved to 15.8%, reflecting a 0.2 percentage point increase, driven by record sales, growth in the new energy sector, product mix optimization, and scale effects [9] - The company aims to fully integrate its brands under the "One Geely" strategy, enhancing resource synergy and competitiveness in the passenger vehicle market [9] Financial Forecasts and Investment Recommendations - Adjusted revenue and gross margin forecasts predict EPS for 2025-2027 to be 1.36, 1.54, and 1.94 yuan respectively, with a target price set at 20.40 yuan [2] - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 305.782 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 27.3% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 13.716 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 17.5% [4] Key Financial Information - The company reported a revenue of 179.204 billion yuan for 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 21.1% [4] - The gross profit for 2023 was 27.415 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 15.3% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 was 5.308 billion yuan, with a net margin of 3.0% [4] Sales Performance - The company sold a total of 703,800 vehicles in Q1, marking a 47.9% increase year-on-year, with new energy vehicle sales reaching 339,200 units, up 135.4% [9] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in the domestic market reached 52.2%, exceeding the industry average [9] Strategic Developments - The company is advancing its "Taizhou Declaration," focusing on its core automotive business and plans to privatize and integrate the Zeekr brand to enhance operational efficiency [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 12.18 CNY [2][5]. Core Views - The company is experiencing continuous overseas capacity expansion, with the roof business becoming a new growth point [1]. - The revenue and profit forecasts have been adjusted, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 being 963 million, 1.164 billion, and 1.365 billion CNY respectively [2]. - The company’s revenue for 2024 is expected to be 6.377 billion CNY, reflecting an 8.8% year-on-year growth, while the net profit is projected to be 802 million CNY, a 22.7% increase [9]. Financial Information - The company’s financial performance shows a steady increase in revenue and net profit over the years, with 2023 revenue at 5.861 billion CNY and a net profit of 654 million CNY [4]. - The gross margin is expected to improve slightly from 26.9% in 2023 to 27.5% in 2027, while the net profit margin is projected to rise from 11.2% to 13.8% over the same period [4]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to grow from 0.40 CNY in 2023 to 0.83 CNY in 2027 [4]. Business Development - The roof business is entering a phase of significant growth, with sales of roof products expected to increase substantially, particularly in the North American market [9]. - The company has achieved a notable increase in sales for its roof products, with a projected revenue of 6.03 billion CNY for roof systems, marking an 80.6% year-on-year growth [9]. - The construction of a new production facility in Mexico is progressing, with the project expected to reach operational status by the end of 2024 [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 12.18 CNY [2][5] Core Views - The company is experiencing continuous overseas capacity expansion, with the roof business becoming a new growth point [1] - The revenue and profit forecasts have been adjusted, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 963 million, 1.164 billion, and 1.365 billion CNY respectively, reflecting a growth rate of 20.0%, 20.9%, and 17.3% [2][4] Financial Summary - The company’s revenue for 2023 is reported at 5.861 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 13.9%. Projections for 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 6.377 billion, 7.387 billion, 8.638 billion, and 9.875 billion CNY, respectively, indicating growth rates of 8.8%, 15.8%, 16.9%, and 14.3% [4] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve gradually from 26.9% in 2023 to 27.5% in 2027, while the net profit margin is projected to increase from 11.2% to 13.8% over the same period [4] - The company’s operating profit for 2023 is 802 million CNY, with forecasts of 943 million, 1.107 billion, 1.344 billion, and 1.581 billion CNY for the following years, showing growth rates of 35.7%, 17.6%, 17.4%, and 21.4% [4] Business Development - The roof business is entering a phase of significant growth, with sales of roof products expected to increase substantially, supported by contracts with major clients such as General Motors, Ford, Tesla, and Rivian [9] - The company’s overseas business accounted for 86.4% of its revenue in 2024, with production facilities in Mexico ensuring compliance with trade agreements, thus minimizing the impact of potential tariffs [9] - The construction of a new production facility in Mexico is progressing, with an expected annual output of 700,000 roof products, which is anticipated to be operational by the end of 2024 [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 23.75 CNY, based on a comparable company PE average of 25 times for 2025 [2][5]. Core Views - The company has shown positive sales growth in its self-owned brands, particularly in the new energy vehicle segment, with significant year-on-year increases [1][8]. - The company is expected to see a recovery in earnings, with projected EPS for 2025-2027 at 0.95, 1.03, and 1.15 CNY respectively [2]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to decline from 726,199 million CNY in 2023 to 614,074 million CNY in 2024, before gradually increasing to 742,172 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.9% from 2025 to 2027 [4][9]. - Operating profit is forecasted to recover significantly from 10,376 million CNY in 2024 to 21,995 million CNY in 2027, indicating a strong rebound with a growth rate of 74.4% in 2025 [4][9]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise sharply from 1,666 million CNY in 2024 to 13,325 million CNY in 2027, with a remarkable growth of 560.3% in 2025 [4][9]. - The gross margin is projected to improve from 9.4% in 2024 to 11.1% in 2027, while the net margin is expected to stabilize around 1.7% [4][9]. - The company’s price-to-earnings ratio is forecasted to decrease from 117.3 in 2024 to 14.7 in 2027, indicating an improvement in valuation as earnings recover [4][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company has shown strong sales growth in April, significantly outperforming the industry average, with total sales reaching 234,100 units, a year-on-year increase of 52.7% [9] - The company is expected to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of 1.27, 1.50, and 1.84 yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with a target price set at 19.05 yuan [2] - The report highlights the impressive performance of the Galaxy series and the launch of new models, which are expected to drive future sales growth [9] Financial Forecasts - Revenue is projected to grow from 179,204 million yuan in 2023 to 414,141 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.5% [4] - Operating profit is expected to increase from 3,806 million yuan in 2023 to 17,395 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to rise from 5,308 million yuan in 2023 to 18,526 million yuan in 2027, with a notable increase of 213.3% in 2024 [4] Sales Performance - In April, the company's sales of new energy vehicles reached 125,600 units, a year-on-year increase of 144.2% [9] - The Galaxy brand has shown remarkable sales performance, with 96,600 units sold in April, representing a year-on-year increase of 281.1% [9] - The report notes the launch of several new models, including the Galaxy Star耀 8 and the Zeekr 007 GT, which are expected to enhance the company's market presence [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve EPS of 1.27, 1.50, and 1.84 RMB for the years 2025-2027, with a target price set at 19.05 RMB or 20.67 HKD, based on a PE valuation of 15 times for comparable companies [2] - April sales growth significantly outperformed the industry average, with total sales reaching 234,100 units, a year-on-year increase of 52.7% and a month-on-month increase of 0.8% [9] Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2023A to 2027E are as follows: 179,204 million RMB, 240,194 million RMB, 299,782 million RMB, 355,561 million RMB, and 414,141 million RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.1%, 34.0%, 24.8%, 18.6%, and 16.5% respectively [4] - Operating profit is forecasted to grow from 3,806 million RMB in 2023A to 17,395 million RMB in 2027E, with a notable increase of 100.8% in 2024A [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 5,308 million RMB in 2023A, increasing to 18,526 million RMB by 2027E, with a significant jump of 213.3% in 2024A [4] Sales Performance - The company's Galaxy series has shown remarkable sales performance, with 96,600 units sold in April 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 281.1% [9] - The company’s electric vehicle sales reached 125,600 units in April, marking a year-on-year growth of 144.2% [9] Market Position - The company is actively expanding its global footprint, with the launch of the Lynk & Co 900 and significant exports to the European market [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 17.01 CNY, based on a comparable company average PE valuation of 21 times for 2025 [4][7]. Core Views - The company is expected to see a significant increase in net profit attributable to the parent company, projected at 8.03 billion CNY in 2025, 9.47 billion CNY in 2026, and 11.31 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 9.7%, 17.9%, and 19.4% respectively [4][6]. - The company is actively launching new models, with the recent introduction of the Changan Q07 and strong performance from its brands Deep Blue and Avita, indicating a positive trend in sales and market presence [10]. Financial Information Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 151.30 billion CNY in 2023 to 219.51 billion CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.5% [6][11]. - Operating profit is expected to recover from a decline in 2024, reaching 11.87 billion CNY by 2027, with a growth rate of 19.6% [6][11]. - The gross margin is forecasted to improve from 17.3% in 2023 to 18.2% in 2027, while the net profit margin is expected to increase from 7.5% to 5.2% over the same period [6][11]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 1.14 CNY in 2023 to 1.14 CNY in 2027, indicating a stable performance [6][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 17.01 CNY, based on a comparable company average PE valuation of 21 times for 2025 [4][7]. Core Views - The company is expected to see a significant increase in net profit attributable to the parent company, projected at 8.03 billion CNY in 2025, 9.47 billion CNY in 2026, and 11.31 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 9.7%, 17.9%, and 19.4% respectively [4][6]. - The company is actively launching new models, with the recent introduction of the Changan Q07 and strong performance from its new energy brands, Deep Blue and Avita, which are expected to drive sales growth [10]. Financial Information Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 151.30 billion CNY in 2023 to 219.51 billion CNY in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 24.8%, 5.6%, 13.1%, 11.0%, and 9.5% respectively [6][11]. - Operating profit is expected to recover from a decline in 2024, with forecasts of 6.62 billion CNY in 2024, 8.40 billion CNY in 2025, and reaching 11.87 billion CNY by 2027 [6][11]. - The gross margin is anticipated to improve from 17.3% in 2023 to 18.2% in 2027, while the net margin is expected to increase from 7.5% to 5.2% over the same period [6][11]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 1.14 CNY in 2023 to 1.14 CNY in 2027, indicating a recovery after a dip in 2024 [6][11].