本文源自：格隆汇 Gemini Space Station(GEMI.US)盘前大涨18.31%，报13.44美元。消息面上，公司衍生品交易部门Titan获 得了美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)颁发的指定合约市场(DCM)许可证，可以开始向美国客户提供预 测市场服务。 ...

Gemini Space Station(GEMI.US)盘前大涨18.31%，报13.44美元。消息面上，公司衍生品交易部门Titan获 得了美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)颁发的指定合约市场(DCM)许可证，可以开始向美国客户提供预 测市场服务。(格隆汇) | GEMI Gemini Space Station | | 03 | | --- | --- | --- | | 11.360 ↓-0.080 -0.70% 收盘价 12/10 15:59 美东 | | | | 13.440 * 2.080 +18.31% | | 盘前价 12/11 04:31 美东 | | 一 72 24 4 8 8 5 日 0 時 2 | | ● 快捷交易 | | 最高价 11.570 | 开盘价 11.210 | 成交量 276.7万 | | 最低价 10.574 | 昨收价 11.440 | 成交额 3411.02万 | | 平均价 12.327 | 市盈率TM 亏损 | 总市值 13.37亿 (... | | 振 幅 8.71% | 市盈率(静) 亏损 | 总股本 1.18亿 | | 换手率 17.36% | 市净率 ...

投资咨询号: Z0000116 国贸期货研究院 2025/12/10 金融衍生品中心 李泽钜 从业资格号:F0251925 数据来源: Wind,国贸期货研究院 行情回顾 指数 收盘价 涨跌幅(%) 成交额(亿元) 成交量(亿) 上证50 1100. 95 2997. 9603 -0. 71 43. 43 4598. 2232 沪深300 -0. 51 4521. 14 184. 16 3923. 13 7380. 5835 -0. 57 228. 49 中证1000 中金所股指期权成交情况 认购期权 认洁期权 日成交量 期权持企量 认购期权 认洁期权 持仓量 期权成交量 指数 持仓量 (万张) (万张) 持仓量 成交量 成交量 PCR PCR 上证50 2. 23 1. 33 0. 67 6. 74 3. 96 2. 79 0. 70 0. 90 3.81 沪深300 9. 74 5. 93 0. 64 0. 79 19. 49 10. 86 8. 62 中证1000 9.78 0. 83 17. 88 8. 11 32. 95 16. 56 16. 39 0. 99 沪深300PCR走势 中证1000PC ...

Group 1: Investment Ratings - There is no information about the overall industry investment rating in the report. Group 2: Core Views - Various commodities in the market show different trends and outlooks. Some commodities are expected to be strong, some are in a tight - balance or weak situation, and investors should adjust their strategies according to different market conditions [2][3][4] Group 3: Summary by Category Daily Selections - **Tin**: With strong fundamentals, tin prices are expected to remain strong this year. Hold existing long positions and consider buying on dips. Monitor US interest rate decisions and supply - side changes [2] - **Styrene**: Supply - demand is in a tight balance, with limited upside. It is expected to be weak in the short - term. Pay attention to device changes and actual export transactions [3] - **Coking Coal**: Spot prices are falling, and the futures market is weak. Consider short - term short positions and a long - coke short - coking - coal arbitrage [4] - **Corn**: The supply is increasing, and the futures price is weak. Participate in the short - term and pay attention to the continuity of shipments [5] Financial Derivatives - Financial Futures Stock Index Futures - The stock index opened low and closed low, while the ChiNext and STAR Market showed an upward trend. The market is affected by domestic and overseas policies and capital flows. Consider a bullish spread strategy on CSI 1000 put options on dips [6][7][8] Bond Futures - Bond futures rose across the board. The market may return to a volatile state in the short - term. Temporarily observe and focus on the central economic work conference. Consider participating in bonds with a maturity of less than 10 years [9][10][11] Financial Derivatives - Precious Metals - Precious metals generally rose, with silver hitting a new high. Gold may oscillate around $4,200. Be cautious when chasing high on silver. Consider a low - buying strategy for platinum [12][13][14] Shipping Index (European Line) - The SCFIS European line index showed an upward trend. The market is expected to be volatile in the short - term [16] Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Global inventory imbalance drives price increases. Long - term long positions can be held, and short - term long positions can be closed on rallies. Pay attention to inventory changes and squeeze risks [17][18][21] - **Alumina**: Supply is in excess, and prices are expected to oscillate at the bottom. Short - term traders can consider light - position long positions or selling out - of - the - money put options [22][23] - **Aluminum**: Affected by macro factors, prices are expected to be strong in the short - term but may pull back. Pay attention to the Fed's interest rate decision and inventory changes [24][26][27] - **Aluminum Alloy**: Cost support is strong, but demand is weak. It is expected to oscillate in a narrow range at a high level. Consider an arbitrage strategy of going long on AD03 and short on AL03 [27][28][29] - **Zinc**: TC is falling, and exports are improving the supply - demand structure. The price is expected to oscillate. Pay attention to the TC inflection point and inventory changes [29][30][33] - **Tin**: Fundamentals are strong, and prices are expected to be strong. Hold existing long positions and buy on dips [33][34][37] - **Nickel**: The surplus is narrowing, but the upside is limited. It is expected to oscillate weakly. Pay attention to macro and industrial policies [37][38][39] - **Stainless Steel**: Supply pressure is slightly relieved, but demand is weak in the off - season. It is expected to oscillate and repair. Pay attention to the implementation of steel mill production cuts and raw material prices [40][42][43] - **Lithium Carbonate**: The market is in a state of divergence, and prices are expected to oscillate widely. Observe the market [44][45][46] - **Polysilicon**: Affected by the news of the establishment of a storage platform, futures prices are rising. However, demand is weak, and prices may fall. Observe the market [47][48][49] - **Industrial Silicon**: Prices are falling. It is expected to oscillate at a low level. Consider closing positions [50][51][52] Black Metals - **Steel**: Raw material price drops drag down steel prices. Consider closing long - rebar short - iron - ore positions and continue to hold the strategy of narrowing the hot - rolled and rebar spread [52][53][56] - **Iron Ore**: Iron production is falling, and port inventory is increasing. The price is expected to oscillate weakly. Consider short - selling on rallies [58][59] - **Coking Coal**: Spot prices are falling, and the futures market is weak. Consider short - term short positions and a long - coke short - coking - coal arbitrage [60][64] - **Coke**: The first round of price cuts has been implemented, and there is an expectation of further cuts. Consider short - term short positions and a long - coke short - coking - coal arbitrage [65][67][68] Agricultural Products - **Meal**: The USDA report is lackluster, and the domestic supply is abundant. The price is expected to be weak. Pay attention to domestic procurement trends [69][70][71] - **Pig**: Spot prices are stabilizing, and the futures market may be slightly strong. However, the overall supply pattern remains unchanged [72][73][74] - **Corn**: Supply is increasing, and the price is weak. Participate in the short - term and pay attention to shipment continuity [75][76] - **Sugar**: The international raw sugar price is bearish, and the domestic price is expected to oscillate weakly. Observe the market [77][78] - **Cotton**: The international cotton price is oscillating at the bottom, and the domestic price is expected to oscillate within a range [79][80] - **Egg**: Supply is in excess, and demand is weak. The price is expected to oscillate weakly, but the downside is limited [83] - **Oil**: Palm oil and soybean oil prices are affected by various factors and are expected to oscillate. Pay attention to Indian procurement and MPOB reports [84][85] - **Jujube**: Supply pressure exists, and the price is expected to oscillate at a low level. Pay attention to downstream sales [87] - **Apple**: The trading volume is slow, and the price is stable. Observe the market [88] Energy and Chemicals - **PX**: Supply may shrink in the medium - term, and demand is seasonally weak. It is expected to oscillate in the range of 6,600 - 7,000 yuan/ton [89][90] - **PTA**: Supply - demand is expected to be weak in the medium - term, and the price is expected to oscillate weakly. Consider a short - term oscillation range of 4,500 - 4,800 yuan/ton and a TA5 - 9 low - level positive spread [91][92][93] - **Short - Fiber**: Supply - demand is expected to be weak, and processing fees are expected to be compressed. Follow the PTA strategy and consider compressing processing fees on rallies [94] - **Bottle Chip**: Supply is expected to increase in December, and demand is weak. The price is expected to follow the cost and compress processing fees. Consider a short - term strategy of compressing processing fees [96][97] - **Ethylene Glycol**: Port inventory is increasing, but domestic production cuts are increasing. It is expected to oscillate at a low level. Consider closing the EG1 - 5 reverse spread [98] - **Pure Benzene**: Supply is expected to be stable, and demand support is limited. It may follow oil prices and styrene fluctuations. Pay attention to domestic device changes [99][100] - **Styrene**: Supply - demand is in a tight balance, with limited upside. It is expected to be weak in the short - term. Pay attention to device changes and actual export transactions [101][102] - **LLDPE**: The market sentiment is pessimistic. Observe the inventory and basis [103] - **PP**: Supply is expected to increase, and the 01 contract has pressure. Pay attention to PDH profit expansion [104] - **Methanol**: The basis is strong, and trading is okay. Consider reducing the 05MTO position [104] - **Caustic Soda**: Supply - demand has pressure, and prices are expected to be weak. Hold short positions [105][106] - **PVC**: Supply exceeds demand, and prices are expected to be weak at the bottom [108] - **Soda Ash**: Production is high, and supply is in excess. Hold short positions [109][110] - **Glass**: Spot prices are weakening, and the market has pressure. Treat it bearishly [110][111] - **Natural Rubber**: Pay attention to the geopolitical conflict between Thailand and Cambodia. The price is expected to oscillate [112][113] - **Synthetic Rubber**: Supply in the upstream and mid - stream is abundant, and the price is expected to face pressure. Consider short - selling on rallies [114][116]

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 股市仍需等待，债市⻓端情绪低迷 股指期货：双重因素提振市场，但持续进攻仍需等待 股指期权：期权备兑增厚 国债期货：国债⻓端情绪持续低迷 股指期货方面，双重因素提振市场，但持续进攻仍需等待。周一沪指 高开回升，重回3900点上方，TMT、券商领涨。日内乐观情绪受到两重因 素提振：一是上周五金监总局下调保险公司投资沪深300、科创板等标的 的风险因子，释放大盘股中期潜在增量资金；二是午后发布12月政治局会 议公告，定调积极有为，紧抓质效落实，结构性方向关注内需和科技创 新，政策偏暖支持、稳定发力，强化股市中期稳健上行趋势。同时也需注 意，"春躁"进攻时点仍需等待，年末资金风险尚未完全释放，一是大规 模限售解禁集中，二是股市整体缩量，三是下旬日本央行即将加息，市场 担忧日元套息交易平仓影响权益产品流动性。从历年春躁经验来看，元旦 之后机会的持续性更强，操作上，我们看长做多，短期关注涨价链及高股 息。 股指期权方面，期权备兑增厚。昨日权益市场放量上涨，沪指单日收 涨0.54%，科创50指数涨幅1.86%。期权方面，由于上周五期权市场流动性 已于周内放量提升，期权交投热情 ...

2025 年 12 月 8 日 股票股指期权：上行降波，可考虑隐波低位构 建牛市看涨价差策略。 张雪慧 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0015363 zhangxuehui022447@gtjas.com 【正文】 表 1：期权市场数据统计 | 标的市场统计 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 成交量(亿 | 成交变化 | 当月 | | 次月 | 次月基差 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 手) | (亿手) | 合成期货 | 当月基差 | 合成期货 | | | 上证50指数 | 3019.36 | 17.35 | 44.90 | 0.29 | 3014.53 | -4.83 | 3008.53 | -10.83 | | 沪深300指数 | 4621.75 | 37.22 | 199.62 | 2.82 | 4614.80 | -6.95 | 4602.20 | -19.55 | | 中证1000指数 | 7423.05 | 80.55 | 240.92 | 25.19 | 7385.73 | -37.31 | 7316.87 | ...

提到期权，那就必须了解一位期权界的顶级大师。他叫罗伯特·莫顿，被称为"期权之父"，是1997年诺 贝尔经济学奖获得者，美国国家科学院院士，美国哈佛大学商学院金融学教授。他开创了"金融工程 学"这一全新领域，还曾在短时间内赚取了超过10亿美元的巨额财富。 11岁开始炒股并获利 来源：懂私慕 近年来，我国期权市场发展迅猛，目前已拥有期权品种70余个，涵盖金融、农产品、能源、化工、黑 色、有色、贵金属等板块。 1944年，莫顿出生在美国纽约的一个8000人左右的小镇，据说这个小镇出了6位诺贝尔奖得主，这对莫 顿的影响非常大。 他的父亲是社会学界的泰斗——罗伯特·K·莫顿，著名"马太效应"的提出者。在莫顿小时候，父亲就教 他学习棒球、扑克、魔术和股票，还为他提供了各种各样的书籍。因而11岁时，聪颖的莫顿就买了人生 第一只股票——通用汽车，并从中获利。15岁时，他还动手改装了他的第一辆汽车，当时他的梦想是做 名汽车工程师。 "现代金融理论的牛顿" 之后，他进入加州理工数学系后，几乎每天都在当地的证券公司待上几个小时，进行交易并关注市场。 莫顿在那段时期将梦想从成为工程师转向成为一名经济学家。莫顿后来转入了麻省理工学习经 ...

国债期货 金 华福证券 2025 年 12 月 06 日 融 工 程 金 融 工 程 定 期 衍生品市场提示情绪中性——12 月衍生品月报 （2025/12） 投资要点： 股指期货 主要股指（沪深 300、上证 50、中证 500 和中证 1000）在 11 月份 继续小幅下降，显示市场成交活跃度降低 报 告 从贴水比例来看，贴水幅度继续在较低水平，显示市场最近空头 力量持续较弱，情绪偏中性。 相关报告 11 月份国债期货小幅震荡， 10 年期国债期货对应隐含收益率为 1.74%，低于现货对应的 1.83%。 从升贴水结构来看，近远月合约价差远月低于近月，但贴水幅度 收窄，整体投资者对于未来债券市场情绪中性。 期权市场 11 月份 1000 指数期权波动率小幅低于标的的实际波动率，300ETF 期权波动率与标的的实际波动率持平，显示期权当前价值合理或者低 估。 期权市场 PCR，上证 50 和沪深 300 指数的 PCR 在 11 月先降后升， PCR 指标显示市场情绪积极。 风险提示 证 本报告所有分析均基于公开信息，不构成任何投资建议；若市场 环境或政策因素发生不利变化将可能造成行业发展表现不及预期；报 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article introduces the Long Butterfly Spread options strategy, which serves as a "price range insurance" for investors expecting a stock to remain stable within a certain price range, allowing for limited risk and potentially high returns [1][3]. Strategy Composition - The strategy involves trading three options: buying one lower strike Call (X1), buying one higher strike Call (X3), and selling two middle strike Calls (X2), with the relationship X2 = (X1 + X3)/2 [1][2]. - The initial net premium paid is calculated as C1 + C3 - 2 × C2, where C1, C2, and C3 are the premiums for the respective options [1][5]. Investment Significance - The core of the strategy is to have the underlying asset's price remain close to the middle strike price (X2) before the options expire, with minimal volatility [3]. - It combines elements of both Bull Call Spread and Bear Call Spread, making it a neutral strategy that profits in sideways markets [3]. Profit and Loss Characteristics - Maximum profit occurs when the stock price equals the middle strike price (X2), while maximum loss is limited to the initial net premium paid [6][8]. - The strategy is characterized by a small risk of loss, with profits increasing as the stock price approaches the middle strike price [6][10]. Practical Application Example - An example is provided where an investor believes a stock priced at $633 will remain stable around $635. The investor sets up a Long Butterfly Spread by buying Calls at $630 and $640, and selling Calls at $635, resulting in a maximum loss of $25 and a maximum profit of $475 [7][8]. Recommendations for Use - The strategy is best suited for short to medium-term contracts (20-30 days until expiration) and should be executed when implied volatility is high [10][11]. - Investors are advised to avoid holding positions until expiration to mitigate risks associated with significant price movements [12]. Conclusion - The Long Butterfly Spread is a low-risk strategy ideal for investors seeking to profit from minimal price fluctuations in stable markets, particularly when volatility is expected to decrease [6][10].

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|⾦融衍⽣品策略⽇报 2025-12-05 股市盘⾯缩量，债市情绪悲观 股指期货：盘⾯缩量，压制微盘。 股指期权：结构分化，防御为主。 国债期货：TL年内新低。 股指期货方面，盘面缩量，压制微盘。周四盘面现止跌迹象，主要指 数收红，科创板及创业板领涨，全天来看，市场量能降至1.5万亿的水 平，缩量趋势明显，在此背景之下，近期资金被抽离的小微盘指数表现弱 势，市场向大市值个股集中。同时，股指期货在周三大幅增仓之后，周四 呈明显减仓趋势，显示前期对冲避险的资金有离场的迹象，隐含恐慌情绪 消散。另外，若比较沪深300指数与IF当季年化基差率的走势，近期呈现 负相关，即在反弹之后，期货市场资金更倾向高抛低吸，而非追涨杀跌， 故上攻空间短期有限。 股指期权方面，结构分化，防御为主。周四标的市场整体企稳，金融 期权成交量较前一日小幅收缩。情绪方面，偏度、持仓量PCR等指标边际 信息有限，成交量PCR较周三明显回落，各品种隐波下沉为主，反映期权 市场担忧改善。展望后市，12月市场上行驱动不足，预计震荡分化格局下 隐波易升难降，波动率卖方策略需低仓位谨慎配置，或叠加 ...