Group 1: Market Overview - The S&P 500 index rose by 1.5% last week, driven by signs of easing in the US-China trade war[11] - The Nasdaq 100 increased by 2.0%, while the Russell 2000 saw a rise of 3.2%[11] - The trade war has shown signs of thawing, with a meeting between US and Chinese officials being viewed as a significant step towards negotiations[11] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The US consumer confidence index surged from 85.7 in April to 98 in May, marking the first increase since November of the previous year[20] - The April Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose by 0.1% month-on-month, with a year-on-year increase of 2.5%[25] - The unemployment rate slightly increased from 4.187% in April to 4.244% in May, indicating a rise in joblessness despite a modest increase in non-farm payrolls[35] Group 3: Market Risks - There is a persistent trend of de-dollarization in global liquidity, as investors show reduced confidence in US dollar assets[16] - The ISM manufacturing PMI fell to 48.5 in May, indicating a contraction in the manufacturing sector for the third consecutive month[41] - The forecast for S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) has been revised downwards by approximately 4.0% in April and May, reflecting concerns over inflation and tariffs[46]

Group 1 - Major industry ETFs in the US stock market mostly rose, with Energy ETFs and Biotechnology Index ETFs increasing over 1%, and Healthcare ETFs rising nearly 1% [1] Group 2 - Energy ETF (XLE) current price is $84.77, up by $1.20 (+1.44%), with a trading volume of 1.824 million shares and a total market value of $21.228 billion, showing a year-to-date change of -0.27% [2] - Biotechnology Index ETF (IBB) current price is $128.88, up by $1.29 (+1.01%), with a trading volume of 122,100 shares and a total market value of $10.233 billion, reflecting a year-to-date change of -2.43% [2] - Healthcare ETF (XLV) current price is $135.14, up by $0.99 (+0.74%), with a trading volume of 304,000 shares and a total market value of $25.860 billion, indicating a year-to-date change of -1.39% [2] - Semiconductor ETF (SMH) current price is $258.06, up by $1.10 (+0.43%), with a trading volume of 166,700 shares and a total market value of $3.051 billion, showing a year-to-date change of +6.56% [2] - Global Technology ETF (IXN) current price is $87.20, up by $0.23 (+0.26%), with a trading volume of 4,806 shares and a total market value of $1.221 billion, reflecting a year-to-date change of +2.89% [2] - Utilities ETF (XLU) current price is $80.86, up by $0.19 (+0.24%), with a trading volume of 531,700 shares and a total market value of $11.739 billion, indicating a year-to-date change of +7.59% [2] - Consumer Staples ETF (XLP) current price is $81.77, up by $0.19 (+0.23%), with a trading volume of 352,400 shares and a total market value of $13.837 billion, reflecting a year-to-date change of +4.57% [2] - Internet Index ETF (FDN) current price is $260.81, up by $0.39 (+0.15%), with a trading volume of 3,871 shares and a total market value of $17.318 billion, indicating a year-to-date change of +7.25% [2] - Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY) current price is $213.94, down by $0.07 (+0.03%), with a trading volume of 77,139 shares and a total market value of $26.872 billion, showing a year-to-date change of -4.38% [2] - Technology Sector ETF (XLK) current price is $239.56, up by $0.03 (+0.01%), with a trading volume of 161,100 shares and a total market value of $76.193 billion, reflecting a year-to-date change of +3.21% [2] - Banking ETF (KBE) current price is $54.36, unchanged (0.00%), with a trading volume of 28,542 shares and a total market value of $4.208 billion, indicating a year-to-date change of -1.30% [2] - Regional Banking ETF (KRE) current price is $58.30, down by $0.01 (-0.01%), with a trading volume of 295,200 shares and a total market value of $4.866 billion, reflecting a year-to-date change of -2.75% [2] - Financials ETF (XLF) current price is $50.90, down by $0.10 (-0.19%), with a trading volume of 817,600 shares and a total market value of $56.655 billion, indicating a year-to-date change of +5.70% [2] - Global Airlines ETF (JETS) current price is $23.24, down by $0.08 (-0.34%), with a trading volume of 16,867 shares and a total market value of $73.206 million, reflecting a year-to-date change of -8.32% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of major industry ETFs in the U.S. stock market is mixed, with semiconductor ETFs showing significant gains while financial sector ETFs are declining [1]. Group 1: Semiconductor Sector - Semiconductor ETF increased by 2.28%, reaching a price of $258.50, with a trading volume of 205.80 million shares and a total market value of $30.56 billion [2]. - Year-to-date performance for the semiconductor ETF is up by 6.74% [2]. Group 2: Regional Banks - Regional bank ETF rose by 0.94%, priced at $58.56, with a trading volume of 183.49 million shares and a total market value of $48.87 billion [2]. - Year-to-date performance for the regional bank ETF is down by 2.31% [2]. Group 3: Financial Sector - Financial sector ETF decreased by 0.86%, priced at $50.84, with a trading volume of 521.25 million shares and a total market value of $565.87 billion [2]. - Year-to-date performance for the financial sector ETF is up by 5.58% [2]. Group 4: Technology Sector - Technology sector ETF increased by 0.89%, priced at $240.49, with a trading volume of 119.49 million shares and a total market value of $764.89 billion [2]. - Year-to-date performance for the technology sector ETF is up by 3.61% [2].

Group 1 - The Xinjiang Securities Regulatory Bureau is implementing a regular visiting mechanism to support listed companies in the region, addressing their difficulties and suggestions to promote high-quality development [1] - Since 2024, the bureau and local government have visited over 60% of listed companies, with 13 companies visited this year across various industries including manufacturing, mining, finance, and information technology [1] - A total of 17 issues and suggestions have been collected from these visits, covering industrial policies, corporate financing, and operational challenges, with 7 issues already resolved and 10 ongoing [1] Group 2 - The bureau emphasizes policy promotion, guiding listed companies to leverage new policies for value management through mergers, buybacks, dividends, and equity incentives [2] - As of now, 33 listed companies in the region have announced cash dividend plans totaling 11.608 billion yuan, representing 82.5% of profitable companies; 11 companies have conducted stock buybacks amounting to 1.224 billion yuan [2] - The bureau plans to deepen regulatory collaboration with local government, focusing on enhancing regulatory services and optimizing corporate governance to foster a virtuous cycle of regulatory guidance, value enhancement, and economic empowerment [2]

Employment Data Summary - In May, the U.S. added 139,000 non-farm jobs, slightly exceeding the expectation of 130,000[2] - Job growth was concentrated in three sectors: education and healthcare services (+87,000), leisure and hospitality (+48,000), and finance (+13,000)[2] - The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%, with a slight increase in the labor force participation rate from 62.6% to 62.4%[4] Wage Growth Insights - Hourly wage growth was 0.4% month-on-month, surpassing the expected 0.3%, and year-on-year growth was 3.9%, up from a revised 3.8%[3] - The average weekly hours worked remained at 34.3 hours, indicating stable labor income growth[3] - Wage growth is crucial for protecting consumer purchasing power, especially for low- and middle-income groups, amid inflation concerns[5] Market Reactions and Economic Outlook - Market expectations for interest rate cuts have cooled, with the probability of a September rate cut dropping from 61.3% to 51.8%[3] - The anticipated number of rate cuts for the year decreased from 2.1 to 1.8, and the year-end policy rate expectation rose from 3.795% to 3.886%[3] - Following the report, U.S. stock indices rose, with the Dow Jones up 1.05% and the Nasdaq up 1.2%, indicating a rebound in risk appetite[3]

Employment Data Summary - In May, the U.S. added 139,000 non-farm jobs, slightly exceeding the expectation of 130,000[2] - Job growth was concentrated in three sectors: education and healthcare services (+87,000), leisure and hospitality (+48,000), and finance (+13,000) while other sectors experienced job losses[2][25] - The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%, with a slight increase in the labor force participation rate dropping from 62.6% to 62.4%[4][29] Wage Growth Insights - Hourly wage growth was 0.4% month-over-month, surpassing the expected 0.3%, and year-over-year growth was 3.9%, up from a revised 3.8%[3][34] - The increase in wages is crucial for protecting the purchasing power of low- and middle-income consumers amid inflation concerns[5][19] Market Reactions - Market expectations for interest rate cuts have cooled, with the probability of a September rate cut dropping from 61.3% to 51.8%[3][39] - Following the employment report, U.S. stock indices rose, with the Dow Jones up 1.05%, Nasdaq up 1.2%, and S&P 500 up 1.03%[3][39] Employment Trends - The employment diffusion index fell to 50% for the month, indicating a decline in the breadth of job growth across sectors[4][24] - The total number of jobs added in the previous two months was revised down by 95,000, indicating a trend of slowing job growth[2][21]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the May non-farm payroll data, highlighting that while job additions slightly exceeded expectations, the overall employment market shows signs of slowing down, with a notable focus on wage growth as a positive aspect [1]. Group 1: Employment Data Overview - In May, non-farm employment increased by 139,000, surpassing the expected 130,000, with job growth concentrated in three sectors: education and health services (+87,000), leisure and hospitality (+48,000), and financial activities (+13,000) [2][16]. - The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%, but this stability was achieved at the cost of a declining labor force participation rate, which fell from 62.6% to 62.4% [5][22]. - The employment growth breadth has decreased, with the employment diffusion index dropping to 50%, indicating that job growth is becoming less widespread across various sectors [4][16]. Group 2: Wage Growth Insights - Wage growth in May was a highlight, with hourly earnings increasing by 0.4% month-over-month, exceeding the expected 0.3%, and a year-over-year increase of 3.9%, also above the anticipated 3.7% [6][31]. - The article emphasizes that the wage growth is crucial for protecting the purchasing power of consumers, particularly for low- and middle-income groups, amidst rising inflation concerns [6][12]. Group 3: Market Reactions - Following the non-farm report, market expectations for interest rate cuts have cooled, with the probability of a September rate cut dropping from 61.3% to 51.8% [3][35]. - The stock market reacted positively, with major indices such as the Dow Jones and Nasdaq rising, indicating a rebound in risk appetite among investors [3][35].

Employment Data Summary - In May, the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 139,000, continuing a downward trend from previous months[2] - The combined downward revision for March and April was 95,000, indicating a potential overestimation of current employment levels[2][5] - The unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%, while the labor force participation rate decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 62.4%[2][10] Sector Analysis - Job growth in May was primarily driven by the service sector, which added 145,000 jobs, while government employment decreased by 22,000[8] - Manufacturing jobs saw a decline of 13,000, influenced by tariff policies[2][8] - The federal government has reduced employment by 59,000 since January, reflecting ongoing layoffs[5][8] Wage and Hour Trends - Average hourly earnings increased by 0.4% month-over-month, maintaining a year-over-year growth rate of 3.9%[13] - The average workweek remained steady at 34.3 hours, suggesting stable wage growth may support consumer spending[13] Market Expectations - Following the release of the May non-farm data, market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts have slightly adjusted to two potential cuts within the year, with the earliest possible in September[21] - Despite the overall stability in unemployment rates, the declining labor force participation and continuous downward revisions in employment data suggest a cooling job market[21] Risks - Potential risks include unexpected inflation increases, tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, and a downturn in the U.S. economy[25][26]

Employment Data - In May 2025, the U.S. added 139,000 non-farm jobs, exceeding the market expectation of 130,000 jobs and slightly down from the revised previous value of 147,000 jobs[1][13][15] - The unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%, matching both the forecast and the previous month's rate[1][13][15] - Average hourly earnings increased by 3.9% year-on-year, surpassing the expected 3.7% and matching the previous value[1][13][15] Sector Performance - The leisure and hospitality sector saw a significant increase, adding 48,000 jobs, up from 29,000 in the previous month, contributing to the stability of the overall employment data[2][24] - Manufacturing jobs decreased by 5,000, a decline from the previous increase of 14,000, indicating pressure from tariff disruptions[3][23] - Financial activities added 13,000 jobs, up from 3,000 previously, showing a recovery in this sector[3][24] Labor Market Dynamics - The labor force participation rate fell by 0.2 percentage points to 62.4%, with notable declines in youth employment willingness[4][29] - The U3 unemployment rate remained at 4.2%, with a slight increase of 71,000 in the number of unemployed individuals[4][35] - The U6 unemployment rate, which includes those working part-time for economic reasons, held steady at 7.8%[4][35] Federal Reserve Outlook - The robust non-farm data reinforces the Federal Reserve's wait-and-see approach, with a near 100% probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in June 2025[5][19] - Market expectations indicate two rate cuts in 2025, with the first anticipated in September, having a probability of approximately 50%[5][19][22]

Employment Data - In May 2025, the U.S. added 139,000 non-farm jobs, exceeding the market expectation of 130,000 jobs and slightly down from the revised previous value of 147,000 jobs[1][15] - The unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%, matching both the forecast and the previous month's rate[1][15] - Average hourly earnings increased by 3.9% year-on-year, surpassing the expected 3.7% and matching the previous value after revision[1][15] Sector Performance - The leisure and hospitality sector saw a significant increase, adding 48,000 jobs in May, up from 29,000 in the previous month, contributing to the overall employment stability[2][24] - Manufacturing jobs decreased by 5,000, contrasting with a previous increase of 14,000, indicating pressure from tariff disruptions[3][23] - Financial activities added 13,000 jobs, up from 3,000 in the previous month, showing a recovery in this sector[3][24] Labor Market Dynamics - The labor force participation rate fell by 0.2 percentage points to 62.4%, with notable declines in youth employment willingness[4][29] - The U3 unemployment rate remained at 4.2%, with a slight increase of 71,000 in the number of unemployed individuals[4][35] - The U6 unemployment rate, which includes those working part-time for economic reasons, held steady at 7.8%[4][35] Federal Reserve Outlook - The robust non-farm data reinforces the Federal Reserve's wait-and-see approach, with a near 100% probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in June 2025[5][19] - Market expectations indicate two potential rate cuts in 2025, with the first anticipated in September, having a probability of approximately 50%[5][19]