摘要 真话白话说财经，理财不说违心话 --这是第1349 篇白话财经- - 今天，在港股表现不佳的背景下，A股出现震荡，最终仅有沪指收红。 （图片来源：东方财富APP，统计截至2025/5/13，不作投资推荐） 两市成交额为1.29万亿元，盘面上，航运港口、光伏、银行板块逆势上涨。 分析人士认为，关税的转机、国内政策对冲都是市场重新加速上行的关键因素，有望带动市场风险偏好重新上行，看好内需、贸易恢复、科技三大主线。 港股大跌原因，还能涨12%？ 虽然昨天中美发布《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》大超预期，但今天，港股市场出现下跌，恒生指数下跌1.87%，恒生科技指数下跌3.26%。 1、今天，A股三大指数震荡分化，港股大跌，航运板块逆势上涨，关税缓和信号下，利好哪些板块？ 2、外资集体看好中国市场，花旗集团将预计到2026年上半年恒生指数将达到26000点，距离现在还有12%的上涨空间。 3、 上天天基金APP搜索【777】开户即可 领98元券包 ，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ （图片来源：东方财富APP，统计截至2025/5/13，不作投资推荐） 首先，是利好兑现后的获利回吐。 分析人士认为，关税谈 ...

资料显示，美国是全球最大的海运和集装箱进口国，拥有全球最繁忙的集装箱港口群，主导跨太平洋航线，占全 球海运集装箱贸易量的约20%，主要进口来源中国、东南亚、欧盟、墨西哥。南都记者此前采访了解到，在高关 税政策背景下，主要航运/综合物流企业通过布局全球多个区域市场（如东南亚、非洲、中东、欧洲等）来对冲不 确定风险。 受中美经贸谈判利好影响，5月13日早间，A股三大股指集体高开，其中航运港口板块普遍拉升：全球航运巨头马 士基涨幅超10%，宁波海运（600798）一字涨停，南京港（002040）、连云港（601008）午后双双涨停；国航远 洋（833171）涨幅一度超过20%，宁波远洋（601022）涨幅近10%，德翔海运（02510）、东方海外国际 （00316）、海丰国际（01308）、中远海控（601919）等均有不同程度上涨。 | 今开 1428.60 | | 最高 | 1459.15 | | | 成交量 1089.89万手 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 昨收 1414.93 | | 最低 | 1421.05 | | 成交额 | 57.39亿 ...

在利好消息刺激下，周二A股高开低走。收盘1900多只上涨，3200多只翻绿。 盘面上，成飞集成大量封单顶一字板，也没能带动军工大市值股中航成飞。市场看涨情绪高的苹果产业链高 开低走。 今天上午领涨的是光伏，尾盘拉起了航运港口概念。此外，今天多只银行股创新高。 在每日经济新闻APP举办的掘金大赛第59期比赛中，目前多位选手踊跃报名入场。在今日，一些重仓军工股 的选手出现盈利回吐。 大赛为模拟炒股，模拟资金50万元。报名时间为5月1日到5月16日，比赛时间为5月6日到5月16日。正收益就 获奖，报名就拿福利！周周发奖金，月月有大奖！ 每期比赛的税前现金奖励为：第1名奖励688元，第2~4名奖励188元/人，第5~10名奖励88元/人，其余正收益 选手均分500元正收益奖。月度积分王的税前现金奖励为：第1名奖励888元，第2~4名奖励288元/人，第5~10 名奖励188元/人，第11~30名奖励68元/人，第31~100名奖励18元/人。 对于大盘方面，有参赛高手认为，上证指数目前是下有支撑，上有阻力。在突破4月7日的跳空缺口后，下一 个阻力位在3420点。 对于板块方面，一些参赛选手看好银行、高速公路等红利资产 ...

一、 指数表现与成交量 今日 ， A 股三大指数集体高开， 但在 早盘冲高后市场出现获利盘抛压，午后指数震荡回 落，沪指微涨 0. 17 % ，深成指和创业板指分别收跌 0. 13 % 和 0. 12 % 。两市成交额 继 续 突破万亿元，达 1. 29 万亿元，较前一交易日 缩量 约 169 亿元。个股表现分化，超 4 000 只个股早盘上涨，但收盘时下跌个股增至 3200 余只，市场情绪从普涨转向结构性波 动。 二、 领涨板块：出口链与科技股主导行情 1 、 光伏设备与新能源：光伏板块全线爆发，多晶硅期货主力合约 4 日累计涨幅超 13% ， 头部企业如东方日升涨停，阳光电源一季度净利润同比大增 82.52% 。行业传闻头部厂商联 合减产挺价，叠加中美关税缓和后出口预期改善，推动板块情绪。 2 、 跨境电商与消费电子：中美关税下调超预期直接利好出口链。跨境电商指数创 2 个月新 高，恒而达、华纺股份等多股涨停；消费电子板块因供应链成本下降预期走强，叠加 VR/AR 技术提升购物转化率等长期逻辑支撑。 尽管中美关税缓和提振了整体风险偏好，但市场并未普涨，反而呈现显著分化，主要原因包 括： 1、 利好提前消化 ...

Market Overview - The market opened high but retreated throughout the day, with mixed performance across the three major indices. The shipping and port sector saw a significant late surge, with stocks like Ningbo Ocean and Lianyungang hitting the daily limit. The magnetic levitation compressor concept remained active, with Xinglei Co. and Baida Precision Engineering also reaching the limit. The photovoltaic sector rebounded, with Baoxin Technology and Oujing Technology hitting the limit. Bank stocks strengthened again, with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank and Shanghai Bank reaching historical highs. In contrast, the military industry sector declined, with Huawu Co. dropping over 10%. Overall, more than 3,200 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets fell, with a total transaction volume of 1.33 trillion yuan [1]. Shipping Sector - The shipping sector experienced a significant rise, with stocks like Wantong Technology and Ningbo Shipping hitting the daily limit. The main contract for the European shipping index surged over 10% [4][13]. - According to CICC, the demand for shipping volumes is expected to improve due to concentrated growth in U.S. supply chain inventory needs, potentially leading to an increase in freight rates [5]. Photovoltaic Sector - The photovoltaic sector saw substantial gains, with stocks such as Baoxin Technology and Jingyuntong hitting the daily limit. Reports indicated that leading silicon material manufacturers are planning to acquire remaining silicon material production capacity and have proposed production cuts to stabilize prices [7]. - CITIC Futures noted that silicon wafer production has further decreased this week, with both polysilicon and silicon wafer inventories declining, indicating that upstream producers are beginning to reduce operations to stabilize prices [8]. Foreign Trade Beneficiary Concept - The foreign trade beneficiary concept remained active, with stocks like Huafang Co. hitting the daily limit. Analysts noted that the recent reduction in U.S. tariffs on China to 30% suggests a gradual recovery in China's exports to the U.S. [9][11]. Other Active Sectors - Other sectors such as petrochemicals, magnetic levitation compressors, and medical devices showed localized activity. In contrast, military and satellite internet sectors experienced notable declines [11].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the performance and valuation of Beibu Gulf Port, noting its recent stock price increase and market capitalization [1][2] - As of May 13, Beibu Gulf Port's closing price was 8.97 yuan, reflecting a 5.41% increase, with a rolling PE ratio of 20.38, marking an 11-day low [1] - The company's total market capitalization stands at 20.865 billion yuan, while the average PE ratio for the shipping and port industry is 13.59, with a median of 15.48 [1][2] Group 2 - In terms of capital flow, on May 13, Beibu Gulf Port experienced a net inflow of 57.31 million yuan, although it has seen a total outflow of 37.16 million yuan over the past five days [1] - The company's main business includes container and bulk cargo handling, storage, port value-added services, and supporting services, with key products being loading and unloading, tugboat services, cargo surveying, and agency services [1] - The latest quarterly report for Q1 2025 shows that Beibu Gulf Port achieved an operating income of 1.643 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.73%, while net profit was 196 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 49.87%, with a gross profit margin of 29.74% [1]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index opened high but closed with a slight gain of 0.08%, indicating a "high open, low close" market trend [3] - Despite over 3,400 stocks declining, this reflects sector rotation rather than a market-wide downturn, suggesting a strategic approach for long-term investors [3] Sector Performance - The photovoltaic sector showed strong performance, with companies like Tongwei Co. and Oujing Technology hitting the daily limit up. A significant price reduction in silicon materials was announced, which could stimulate downstream installation demand, indicating potential long-term growth for the industry [3] - The shipping sector also saw gains, with Ningbo Shipping hitting the daily limit up due to ongoing geopolitical tensions affecting shipping routes. However, long-term prospects depend on the recovery of global trade, as indicated by the container freight index from COSCO Shipping [3] - Banking stocks strengthened, with Shanghai Bank and Chongqing Bank leading the gains. The decline in the 10-year government bond yield below 2.5% has led to increased interest in low-valuation, high-dividend stocks, presenting opportunities in retail banking leaders like China Merchants Bank and Industrial Bank [4] - The military industry faced a collective pullback, attributed to short-term sentiment following disappointing order forecasts from a military enterprise. However, the long-term outlook remains positive due to consistent growth in defense budgets and domestic replacements in sectors like drones and aircraft engines [4] - The non-ferrous and rare earth sectors weakened due to rising expectations of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, which pressured commodity prices. Nonetheless, the long-term fundamentals for rare earths remain intact due to strict domestic quota controls [4] Investment Strategy - The current market environment resembles a "boiling frog" scenario, where indices remain stable while individual stocks decline significantly. Long-term investors should focus on broader trends rather than short-term fluctuations [5] - Key indicators for stock price movements include photovoltaic installation volumes, military order cycles, and banks' net interest margins, which are crucial for making informed investment decisions [5]

Fund News Overview - Several fund companies have announced the suspension of large purchases for their dividend-themed funds, with the total scale of dividend funds reaching 251.37 billion yuan as of the end of Q1, an increase of approximately 27 billion yuan from the end of Q4, marking a new high [1] - The total scale of the first batch of Hang Seng Technology ETFs has increased to 75.563 billion yuan, a significant growth of 14.15 times from its initial scale of 4.989 billion yuan [1] - The number of "fixed income +" funds has exceeded 1,700, with an overall product scale increasing by over 140 billion yuan since the end of last year, and some funds achieving annual returns exceeding 10% [1] ETF Market Review - The market opened high but closed lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.17% and the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index falling by 0.13% and 0.12% respectively. The total trading volume in the two markets was 1.29 trillion yuan, a decrease of 16.9 billion yuan from the previous trading day [2] - Notable sectors that performed well included shipping ports, photovoltaics, and banking, while aerospace, computer equipment, and small metals sectors saw declines [2] ETF Performance - The S&P Consumer ETF and S&P 500 ETF both reached their daily limit, with the S&P Consumer ETF priced at 1.557 yuan, up 10.04%, and the S&P 500 ETF at 1.868 yuan, up 10.01% [3] - The photovoltaic ETFs also showed positive performance, while the CSI 2000 Enhanced ETF led the declines with a drop of 3.89% [4] Industry Insights - The photovoltaic industry is currently experiencing a downturn, with capacity utilization around 50%. Most segments are expected to enter cash losses, necessitating a supply-side adjustment. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is tightening regulations on new capacity, which may lead to further production cuts and a gradual recovery in profitability as supply clears [5] New Fund Launches - A new fund named "China Merchants Dividend Quantitative Stock Selection Mixed Fund" is set to launch, focusing on a mixed equity strategy with a performance benchmark linked to the China Dividend Index and other indices [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the performance and valuation of Ningbo Port, which closed at 3.71 yuan, up 2.20%, with a rolling PE ratio of 14.59, marking a new low in 21 days and a total market capitalization of 721.76 billion yuan [1][2] - Ningbo Port ranks 19th in the shipping and port industry, which has an average PE ratio of 13.30 and a median of 14.59 [1][2] - As of the first quarter of 2025, 12 institutions hold shares in Ningbo Port, with a total holding of 1,760,987,160 shares valued at 65.861 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The main business of Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co., Ltd. includes container handling, iron ore, crude oil, coal, liquefied oil products, grain, and construction materials, along with comprehensive logistics and trade sales [1] - The latest financial results for the first quarter of 2025 show that the company achieved an operating income of 7.058 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.90%, and a net profit of 1.175 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.54%, with a gross profit margin of 29.95% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the performance and valuation of Yantian Port, noting its current stock price, market capitalization, and comparison with industry averages [1][2] - As of May 12, Yantian Port's closing price was 4.65 CNY, reflecting a 1.75% increase, with a rolling PE ratio of 17.21, marking a 12-day low [1] - The total market capitalization of Yantian Port is 24.178 billion CNY, ranking 23rd in the shipping and port industry, which has an average PE ratio of 13.30 and a median of 14.59 [1][2] Group 2 - In terms of capital flow, Yantian Port experienced a net outflow of 3.924 million CNY on May 12, with a total outflow of 20.2031 million CNY over the past five days [1] - The main business activities of Shenzhen Yantian Port Co., Ltd. include the development and operation of terminals, cargo handling and transportation, and the construction and operation of port-related facilities [1] - The latest quarterly report for Q1 2025 shows Yantian Port achieved an operating revenue of 171 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 14.04%, while net profit was 313 million CNY, an increase of 21.63%, with a gross profit margin of 22.37% [1]