中国发展网讯山东省临沂市发展改革委价格监测数据显示，7月10日监测的超市55种主要居民生活消费 品零售价格较上周14涨27平14降。其中，粮油副食类价格稳定，蔬菜价格上涨，当前临沂市居民生活消 费品供应充足，市场运行平稳有序。 监测的8个肉禽蛋类品种价格较上周4涨2降2平。监测的精瘦肉、去骨后腿肉、肋排、牛肉每斤价格分别 为15.97元、13.43元、21.92元、33.04元，较上周分别上涨0.31%、1.37%、2.54%、0.30%；羊肉、鸡蛋 每斤价格分别为39.88元、3.13元，较上周分别下降0.62%、7.36%；其他品类价格与上周持平。 蔬菜价格涨跌互现 监测的17个蔬菜品种价格较上周8涨9降。其中西红柿、黄瓜、油菜价格涨幅居前，每斤价格分别为3.52 元、3.01元、2.35元，较上周分别上涨38.42%、25.49%、24.09%；茄子、芹菜、白萝卜价格下降居前， 每斤价格分别为1.96元、2.19元、0.916元，较上周分别下降11.49%、6.12%、6.06%；其他蔬菜品类价格 均小幅波动。 水果价格2涨3降 监测的5个水果2涨3降。苹果、桔子每斤价格分别为5.64元、4.93元，较 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the integration of party building and e-commerce development in Jiangyong County, Hunan Province, showcasing a new model for rural revitalization through digital transformation and community engagement [1][2][3]. Group 1: Party Building and Talent Development - Jiangyong County has established a three-tier organizational system combining "E-commerce Street Center Party Committee + Functional Party Branches + Party Member Demonstration Households," managing over 2,000 live-streaming merchants and 23 provincial e-commerce demonstration enterprises [2]. - The county has implemented policies to support e-commerce talent, attracting over 40 professionals to start businesses locally and training more than 200 e-commerce talents through regular workshops [2]. - Currently, there are over 2,900 e-commerce enterprises and online stores in the county, employing more than 9,000 people, creating a positive cycle of talent driving industry and industry promoting revitalization [2]. Group 2: Digital Empowerment and Logistics - Jiangyong County has built 87 rural e-commerce service stations and integrated logistics resources from nine courier services to create a three-tier logistics network, achieving full coverage of "express delivery into villages" [3]. - Special events like "Village Broadcasting Competition" and seasonal promotions have helped 3,500 farmers increase their income, with direct sales to farmers reaching 1.033 billion yuan in the past three years [3]. - The county's collective economy has increased by over 3 million yuan, and it has been recognized as a national model for rural e-commerce development [3]. Group 3: Brand Development and Market Expansion - The county has developed a regional public brand matrix called "Jiangyong Five Spices," with "Jiangyong Fragrant Taro" recognized as a national geographical indication product [4]. - The "e-commerce + company + cooperative + farmer" model has been successfully implemented in Liujiacun Village, leading to an average annual income increase of over 200,000 yuan for more than 20 households [4]. - In 2024, the county's e-commerce platforms are expected to generate 260 million yuan in sales of agricultural products, facilitating the transition of products from rural areas to urban markets [4]. Group 4: AI Transformation and New Agricultural Practices - Jiangyong County has initiated AI empowerment training for e-commerce, teaching tools like DeepSeek to enhance operational efficiency for practitioners [6]. - Local entrepreneurs have successfully utilized AI for supply chain optimization, significantly increasing the cultivation area for fruits and vegetables [6]. - Over the past three years, the county has conducted more than 70 e-commerce training sessions, cultivating 1,142 "new farmers" and injecting technological momentum into rural revitalization [6].

农产品早报 研究中心农产品团队 2025/07/11 棉花：棉花库存数据下降过快，以此计算的表需较高，若这样下去，季末去库不可避免，带动近期棉价上行，不过上方仍有套保盘压制，同时 下游订单、利润和开机均较弱，对高棉价接受度也有限，建议对本轮上涨持谨慎态度。若需求进一步恶化或出现宏观风险，棉价或进一步下 行，若均没有，将持续在目前位置震荡。 | 玉米/淀粉 | | | | 玉米 | | | | | | 淀粉 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 长春 | 锦州 | 潍坊 | 蛇口 | 基差 | 贸易利润 | 进口盈亏 | 黑龙江 | 潍坊 | 基差 | 加工利润 | | 2025/07/04 | - | 2330 | 2450 | 2460 | -23 | 0 | 423 | 2850 | 2950 | 128 | -66 | | 2025/07/07 | - | 2320 | 2420 | 2460 | -6 | 10 | 423 | 2850 | 2950 | 165 | -6 ...

油脂油料早报 研究中心农产品团队 2025/07/10 报告前瞻：调查显示分析师平均预计美国 一项调查显示，分析师平均预计美国2024/25年度大豆年未库存料为3.58亿蒲式耳。 美国2025/26年度大豆产量料为43.34亿蒲式耳，单产料为52.5蒲式耳 英亩。 全球2025/26年度大豆年未库存料为1.2631亿吨；全球2025/26年度玉米年末库存料为2.7746亿吨。 巴西2024/25年度大豆产量料为1.6925亿吨，阿根廷2024/25年度大豆产量料为4,927万吨。 美国农业部定于 月11日1600GMT（北京时间 月12日00:00）公布 月作物供需报告。 年度油菜籽产量预计为 一项大宗商品研究报告显示，欧盟27 英国2025/26年度油菜籽产量预计为2,030万吨，预估区间介于1,930万吨至 2,130万吨。 在过去两周，欧洲国家气温较正常高出1-6摄氏度，大多数地区的降雨量低于平均水平，引发了对法国、德国和波 兰干旱的担忧。只有西班牙和英国的降雨量高于均值，雨量较正常高9-30毫米。 最新的气象预报显示，欧洲西部和中部地区本周末之前天气较为凉爽，未来两周气温则较高。预计欧洲西部和中部 将 ...

Market Review - The main corn futures contract closed down 0.09% at 2320 yuan/ton [1] Fundamental Summary - The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange reported that due to dry weather in unharvested areas, corn harvesting progressed rapidly, with 70.4% of the planted area harvested. Argentina is the world's third-largest corn exporter, with an expected corn production of 49 million tons for the 2024/25 season [2] - The USDA's weekly export sales report indicated that as of the week ending July 3, 2025, the net sales of U.S. corn for the 2024/25 season were 1,262,100 tons, significantly higher than the previous week and 70% above the four-week average. For the 2025/26 season, net sales were 888,600 tons, down from 940,200 tons the previous week [2] - The latest USDA drought report showed that as of the week ending July 8, approximately 12% of U.S. corn planting areas were affected by drought, unchanged from the previous week and up from 7% in the same period last year [2] Institutional Perspectives - According to Jianxin Futures, overall processing demand is unlikely to increase, while wheat and imported corn continue to supplement market supply, leading to a slightly pessimistic market sentiment and a minor price correction. However, the rising costs of storage funds may limit the decline. The 2509 contract is expected to follow the spot market with a focus on fluctuations, and attention should be paid to weather impacts on new crops in corn-producing areas [3] - Southwest Futures noted that domestic corn supply and demand are tending towards balance, with favorable policies and recovering consumption. The sale of old grain in major production areas is nearing completion, and port inventories are quickly returning, reducing inventory pressure and providing strong support at the bottom for corn prices. From January to May, corn imports sharply decreased, and import margins have increased, suggesting potential for higher import volumes in the future. The China Grain Reserves Corporation continues to sell corn through online auctions, and imported corn is beginning to be released. The narrowing price gap with substitutes may face upward pressure, indicating a cautious outlook [3]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The report does not provide an investment rating for the industry. 2. Core Viewpoint The overall trend of agricultural products shows that oilseeds and oils have weakened, while agricultural by - products and soft commodities are in a volatile state. For example, sugar continues to be weak, cotton rises moderately, and corn and starch in the cereal category are in a narrow - range weak consolidation. The recommended strategy is to construct an option portfolio strategy mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Different agricultural product futures have different price changes. For example, the latest price of soybean No.1 (A2509) is 4,096, down 14 points with a decline of 0.34%, while soybean No.2 (B2509) is up 29 points with an increase of 0.81% [3]. - There are also changes in trading volume and open interest. For instance, the trading volume of soybean meal (M2509) is 108.70 million lots, an increase of 19.15 million lots, and the open interest is 207.58 million lots, a decrease of 4.46 million lots [3]. 3.2 Option Factors 3.2.1 Volume and Open Interest PCR - Different option varieties have different volume and open interest PCR values and their changes. For example, the volume PCR of soybean No.1 is 0.37, an increase of 0.12, and the open interest PCR is 0.48, an increase of 0.04 [4]. - These values are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market [4]. 3.2.2 Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of different option varieties are different. For example, the pressure level of soybean No.1 is 4,500 and the support level is 4,100 [5]. - These levels are determined from the exercise prices of the maximum open interest of call and put options [5]. 3.2.3 Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different option varieties also varies. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybean No.1 is 8.57, and the weighted implied volatility is 11.36, a decrease of 0.17 [6]. - The at - the - money implied volatility is the arithmetic average of the implied volatilities of at - the - money call and put options, and the weighted implied volatility uses volume - weighted average [6]. 3.3 Strategy and Recommendations 3.3.1 Oilseeds and Oils Options - **Soybean No.1 and No.2**: The fundamental situation of soybeans is that the net sales of US soybeans increased week - on - week, which is neutral. The price of soybean No.1 has shown a weakening trend recently. The recommended strategies include constructing a bear spread combination strategy of put options, selling a neutral call + put option combination strategy, and constructing a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - **Soybean Meal and Rapeseed Meal**: The daily average trading volume of soybean meal in mainstream oil mills increased, but the提货 volume decreased. The price of soybean meal has shown a weakening trend. The recommended strategies include selling a bearish call + put option combination strategy and constructing a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - **Palm Oil, Soybean Oil, and Rapeseed Oil**: The production, export, and inventory of palm oil in Malaysia are expected to change. The price of palm oil has shown a trend of rising and then falling. The recommended strategies include selling a neutral call + put option combination strategy and constructing a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10]. - **Peanuts**: The market price of peanut kernels is stable, and the trading is light. The price of peanuts has shown a weakening trend. The recommended strategies include constructing a bear spread combination strategy of put options and constructing a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11]. 3.3.2 Agricultural By - product Options - **Pigs**: The supply of pigs is tight at the beginning of the month, and the demand has decreased. The price of pigs has shown a trend of rising and then fluctuating. The recommended strategies include selling a neutral call + put option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot [11]. - **Eggs**: The inventory of laying hens has increased, and the price of eggs has shown a weakening trend. The recommended strategies include constructing a bear spread combination strategy of put options, selling a bearish call + put option combination strategy [12]. - **Apples**: The cold - storage inventory of apples has decreased. The price of apples has shown a trend of rebounding after a decline. The recommended strategy is to sell a neutral call + put option combination strategy [12]. - **Red Dates**: The inventory of red dates has decreased slightly, and the price has shown a trend of rising and then falling. The recommended strategies include selling a bearish wide - straddle option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot [13]. 3.3.3 Soft Commodity Options - **Sugar**: The spot price of sugar in Guangxi has shown a trend of rising after a decline, and the sales volume in the off - season is limited. The price of sugar has shown a trend of rebounding after a decline. The recommended strategies include selling a neutral call + put option combination strategy and constructing a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13]. - **Cotton**: The price of Zhengzhou cotton has fluctuated, and the basis in Xinjiang remains high. The price of cotton has shown a trend of rebounding. The recommended strategies include constructing a bull spread combination strategy of call options, selling a neutral call + put option combination strategy, and a covered call strategy for spot [14]. 3.3.4 Cereal Options - **Corn and Starch**: The planting of corn is completed, and the price of US corn is at the bottom. The price of domestic corn has shown a trend of rising and then falling. The recommended strategy is to sell a neutral call + put option combination strategy [14].

Group 1 - The ongoing US-China trade war has entered a new phase, with Washington showing unprecedented urgency to engage in high-level talks with China to address key trade issues [1][3] - The upcoming expiration of the 24% tariffs on Chinese goods, set for early August, is a significant catalyst for this diplomatic push, as the end of the 90-day buffer period agreed upon in Geneva looms [3][5] - The US administration is facing a dilemma regarding the tariffs; reinstating them could lead to a stock market crash, while removing them could damage the US's political standing [5][9] Group 2 - The US's agricultural trade strategy has become more complex, with American soybean exports to China experiencing significant volatility, prompting pressure from Midwestern farmers on Washington [7][9] - The US's previous hardline stance on companies like Huawei and ZTE has backfired, as other countries have filled the void in the Chinese market, highlighting the challenges the US faces in regaining market share [9][10] - The negotiations are complicated by the need to balance actual interest distribution with political optics, as domestic anti-China sentiment remains high [12][15] Group 3 - The August talks present an opportunity for both sides to reassess past grievances and losses, emphasizing that international relations are not won by sheer volume but by pragmatic cooperation [15]

Core Insights - Postal Savings Bank of China (PSBC) in Baise City, Guangxi, has formed a financial service team to address the financing challenges faced by agricultural businesses in key product areas such as star anise and ginger [1][2] - The initiative aims to enhance financial service coverage, accessibility, and satisfaction, thereby injecting strong financial momentum into local specialty industries and rural revitalization [1][2] Group 1: Financial Services and Products - The PSBC team has developed a tailored "Industry Loan" product to address the common issue of insufficient collateral among agricultural entities, leveraging a tripartite mechanism involving bank credit, agricultural guarantee company support, and industry association collaboration [2] - The "Industry Loan" offers flexible credit, inclusive interest rates, and efficient approval processes, breaking traditional credit models' rigid collateral requirements [2] - Initial statistics indicate that two major star anise buyers have expressed interest in loans totaling 6 million yuan, with potential financing needs exceeding 10 million yuan across various industry chain segments [2] Group 2: Industry Collaboration and Future Plans - The head of the ginger industry association in Tianlin County has expressed strong support for the tripartite collaboration model, planning to host promotional events to deepen the "bank + guarantee + association" service mechanism [2][3] - The PSBC aims to continue innovating its service model by developing more inclusive financial products tailored to county-level industry development needs and optimizing credit processes to support agricultural efficiency and farmer income growth [3]

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白交 发自 凹非寺 量子位 | 公众号 QbitAI 了不得！ 这届学生毕业季卖上货了—— 结果热销全网，50余款「毕业成果」累计吸引全网3000万观众围观和拼购。 是酱婶的，这不正好毕业季，中国农业大学办了场 特殊的毕业典礼 。 来自全国各地的毕业生，带着他们的「成果」回到母校—— 什么国产树上熟榴莲、什么玉露香梨汁，还有妮娜皇后葡萄、富硒黑小麦粉、低升糖指数鲜食玉米、羊驼绒 等等。 然后就在拼多多上直播带货起来，结果收获不小，很快就供不应求了。 已举办16年的「科技小院」 原来啊，这些学生都来自于一个叫做「科技小院」的项目。 这个项目是由中国工程院院士张福锁首创。2009年，首个科技小院在河北曲周建立，旨在为小农户提供 「零距离、零时差、零门槛、零费用」的科技服务。 16年间，科技小院的整体规模已经扩展到了1800多个，覆盖全国各地。 因此科技小院的学生，他们的课堂不在教室，而是分散在各地的乡村。他们的课题，也是实实在在地在田间 地头，解决农产品种植问题。 比如像 国产榴莲 的生产问题。 我们知道，作为全球最大的榴莲进口国和消费国，受限于气候等原因，我国大部分榴莲进口自泰国、马来西 亚等海外产区。也是近几 ...