Workflow
石油化工
icon
Search documents
原油端弱势延续,关注炼厂端需求潜在增量
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 03:21
燃料油日报 | 2026-01-06 上期所燃料油期货主力合约日盘收跌1.18%,报2427元/吨;INE低硫燃料油期货主力合约日盘收跌2.2%,报2891 元/吨。 元旦假期期间委内瑞拉局势升级,但对原油市场直接影响有限,油价维持弱势震荡态势,对FU、LU单边价格形成 压制。 就燃料油自身基本面而言,当前市场多空因素交织,整体驱动有限。其中,高硫燃料油裂解价差与贴水下跌后, 带动炼厂端需求边际改善,中国高硫燃料油进口量近期有所回升。如果委油断供问题持续,可能会导致国内地炼 增加燃料油采购需求。不过目前来看,高硫燃料油货源依然较为充裕,市场暂无紧缺预期。 低硫燃料油方面,由于装置检修状态的变动(阿祖尔和Dangote),科威特与尼日利亚地区供应存在回升预期。但 汽柴油溢价会通过RFCC装置对低硫油组分进行分流,市场压力暂有限。 高硫方面:短期中性,中性偏空 低硫方面:短期中性,中性偏空 跨品种:无 跨期:无 期现:无 期权:无 风险 原油端弱势延续,关注炼厂端需求潜在增量 市场分析 策略 2026年期货市场研究报告 第1页 请仔细阅读本报告最后一页的免责声明 宏观风险、关税风险、制裁风险、原油价格大幅波动等、 ...
液化石油气日报:市场驱动有限,盘面震荡运行-20260106
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 03:21
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - Single side: Neutral, mainly wait - and - see in the short term; No suggestions for inter - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, and options strategies [2] 2) Core View of the Report - The LPG market currently shows a pattern of "strong overseas and weak domestic". Although overseas supply has tightened marginally recently and the external market price is relatively firm, the domestic market's reaction is limited. The price inversion of ether - after carbon four and civil gas suppresses the PG futures market. The game between warehouse receipts and delivery also disturbs the market. In the short term, the fundamentals of LPG have both positive and negative factors, and in the medium term, the overseas supply is expected to increase, with a supply - surplus global balance sheet, so there is still resistance above the market [1] 3) Summary According to Related Content Market Analysis - On January 5th, the regional prices were as follows: Shandong market 4380 - 4430 yuan/ton, Northeast market 3960 - 4200 yuan/ton, North China market 4000 - 4400 yuan/ton, East China market 4250 - 4450 yuan/ton, Yangtze River market 4700 - 4900 yuan/ton, Northwest market 4200 - 4350 yuan/ton, South China market 4800 - 4900 yuan/ton [1] - In the first half of February 2026, the CIF prices of propane and butane in East China were 597 dollars/ton and 592 dollars/ton respectively, up 2 dollars/ton, equivalent to 4616 yuan/ton and 4577 yuan/ton in RMB, up 12 yuan/ton. In South China, the CIF prices of propane and butane were 589 dollars/ton and 584 dollars/ton respectively, up 2 dollars/ton, equivalent to 4554 yuan/ton and 4515 yuan/ton in RMB, up 12 yuan/ton and 11 yuan/ton [1] - The spot prices of LPG in Shandong, East China, and South China rose yesterday, and the market atmosphere was fair. The short - term fundamentals of LPG have both positive and negative factors, and in the medium term, the overseas supply is expected to increase, with a supply - surplus global balance sheet [1] Strategy - Single side: Neutral, mainly wait - and - see in the short term; no suggestions for inter - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, and options strategies [2]
中国石化河北分公司原总经理陈伟被查
(中央纪委国家监委驻中国石化纪检监察组、内蒙古自治区纪委监委) 索比光伏网 https://news.solarbe.com/202601/06/50016192.html 中央纪委国家监委网站讯 据中央纪委国家监委驻中国石化纪检监察组、内蒙古自治区纪委监委消息:中国石化销售股份有限公司河北石油分公司原总经 理陈伟涉嫌严重违纪违法,目前正接受中央纪委国家监委驻中国石化纪检监察组纪律审查和内蒙古自治区赤峰市监察委员会监察调查。 ...
涨超2.2%,石化ETF(159731)近8个交易日净流入2446.03万元,机构建议关注化企龙头
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 02:50
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the petrochemical industry is experiencing a strong upward trend, with the Zhongzheng Petrochemical Industry Index rising by 2.58% and significant inflows into the Petrochemical ETF, indicating positive market sentiment and potential investment opportunities [1][2] - The Petrochemical ETF has seen a total inflow of 24.46 million yuan over the past 8 trading days, reaching a new high of 246 million yuan in total scale, reflecting increased investor interest [1][2] - The Petrochemical ETF has achieved a net value increase of 43.18% over the past two years, with a maximum single-month return of 15.86% since its inception, showcasing strong performance metrics [1][2] Group 2 - A new round of national subsidies amounting to 62.5 billion yuan has been initiated, aimed at supporting the replacement of consumer goods and equipment upgrades, which is expected to positively impact demand in the petrochemical sector [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the Zhongzheng Petrochemical Industry Index account for 56.73% of the index, with leading companies such as Wanhua Chemical, China Petroleum, and China Petrochemical being key contributors to the index's performance [2][4] - The petrochemical industry is anticipated to benefit from improved demand in downstream sectors such as consumer goods, home appliances, automobiles, and real estate, driven by supportive policies [2]
华泰期货:石油沥青上涨,看清背后的驱动因素
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 02:36
Core Viewpoint - Domestic petroleum asphalt futures experienced a significant increase, with the main contract BU2602 rising by 3.95% as of the afternoon close [7][8]. Group 1: Market Drivers - The primary driver for the price surge was the U.S. airstrike on Venezuela and the control of President Maduro, which heightened market concerns over asphalt raw materials and led to an increase in asphalt dilution spreads [8]. - Venezuelan Merey crude oil, which accounts for approximately 40% of domestic asphalt production, is facing supply issues, causing market sentiment to rise and spot prices to rebound significantly, resonating with the futures market [8]. Group 2: Future Outlook - Although the situation in Venezuela remains uncertain, the U.S. control over President Maduro suggests that oil logistics to Asia from Venezuela are likely to remain disrupted, with no shipments expected to Asia after mid-December [8]. - The recent adjustments in U.S. national strategy may lead to increased influence and military presence in South America, indicating that Venezuelan oil resources could be more tightly controlled by the U.S., which may tighten the supply of Merey crude oil and elevate the cost base for asphalt [8]. - The current fundamentals of asphalt suggest that there are opportunities to buy on dips and consider positive spreads, but caution is advised against excessive chasing of prices [3][8].
建信期货沥青日报-20260106
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 02:18
行业 沥青日报 日期 2026 年 1 月 6 日 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 期货从业资格号:F3015157 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03134307 二、 行业要闻 能源化工研究团队 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油沥青) 研究员:任俊弛(PTA、MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(碳市场工业硅) 研究员:彭婧霖(聚烯烃) 研究员:刘悠然(纸浆) 研究员:冯泽仁(玻璃纯碱) 请阅读正文后 ...
五矿期货能源化工日报-20260106
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 01:38
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current geopolitical situation in Latin America does not provide sufficient bullish support for overall oil prices, but the valuation of heavy - oil products will be significantly increased. The valuation of heavy - oil products is upgraded to overweight, and the crack spreads of asphalt or fuel oil are expected to have upward momentum [2]. - The current valuation of methanol is low, and its outlook for the coming year is marginally improving with limited downside. Despite short - term negative pressure, the recent geopolitical instability in Iran has brought certain geopolitical expectations, making it feasible to go long on dips [4]. - The current situation of the domestic - foreign price difference has opened the import window. Coupled with the expectation of increased production at the end of January, negative expectations for the urea fundamentals are approaching, so it is advisable to take profits on rallies [6]. - For rubber, a neutral approach is currently adopted, with a temporary wait - and - see attitude. It is recommended to partially close the hedging position of buying RU2605 and selling RU2609 [13]. - For PVC, the comprehensive profit of enterprises is at a historically low level, with relatively small short - term valuation pressure. However, the reduction in supply is limited, and production is at a historical high. Domestic demand is entering the off - season, and the demand side is under pressure. Although the Indian BIS policy has been revoked and no anti - dumping duties are expected, there is still off - season pressure. Overall, the supply - demand imbalance persists, and a strategy of shorting on rallies is recommended in the medium term before significant production cuts in the industry [15]. - For pure benzene and styrene, the non - integrated profit of styrene is currently moderately low, with a large upward repair space for valuation. The supply of pure benzene is still abundant. The production of styrene is increasing, and its port inventory is continuously decreasing. It is advisable to go long on the non - integrated profit of styrene before the first quarter of next year [19]. - For polyethylene, OPEC+ plans to suspend production growth in the first quarter of 2026, and the oil price may have bottomed out. The spot price of polyethylene is rising, and the downward space for PE valuation still exists. The overall inventory is expected to decline from a high level, providing support for prices. In the long term, it is advisable to go long on the LL5 - 9 spread on dips [22]. - For polypropylene, the EIA monthly report predicts a slight reduction in global oil inventories, and the supply glut may ease. There are no capacity expansion plans in the first half of 2026, and the pressure on the supply side will be relieved. In the context of weak supply and demand, the overall inventory pressure is high. The price of the futures contract is expected to bottom out after the supply glut situation changes in the first quarter of next year [25]. - For PX, the current PX load remains high, and there are many maintenance activities for downstream PTA. Before the maintenance season, PX is expected to maintain a slight inventory - building pattern. Although the valuation has increased significantly, the supply - demand situation of both PX and downstream PTA will be strong next year. Attention should be paid to the risk of price corrections in the short term, and opportunities to go long on dips should be considered in the medium term [28]. - For PTA, the supply side will maintain a high level of maintenance in the short term, and the polyester fiber profit is under pressure. The load of the industry will gradually decline due to the off - season. After a short - term inventory reduction, PTA is expected to enter an inventory - building period during the Spring Festival. Attention should be paid to the risk of price corrections in the short term, and opportunities to go long on dips should be considered in the medium term [31]. - For ethylene glycol, the overall load of the industry is still relatively high. Although the expected import volume in January will decline, the decline is limited, and the port inventory - building cycle will continue. In the medium term, there is an expectation of further profit compression and production reduction under the pressure of new capacity. The valuation is currently moderately low compared to the same period in previous years. In the absence of further production cuts in China, the valuation is expected to be compressed [33]. Summary by Related Catalogs Crude Oil - **Market Information**: The main INE crude oil futures contract closed down 14.80 yuan/barrel, a 3.39% decline, at 421.70 yuan/barrel. The main futures contracts of related refined oil products also declined: high - sulfur fuel oil closed down 29.00 yuan/ton, a 1.18% decline, at 2427.00 yuan/ton; low - sulfur fuel oil closed down 65.00 yuan/ton, a 2.20% decline, at 2891.00 yuan/ton. European ARA weekly data showed that gasoline inventory increased by 1.38 million barrels to 10.52 million barrels, a 15.07% increase; diesel inventory decreased by 0.12 million barrels to 14.61 million barrels, a 0.81% decrease; fuel oil inventory increased by 0.37 million barrels to 7.06 million barrels, a 5.60% increase; naphtha inventory decreased by 0.83 million barrels to 4.63 million barrels, a 15.18% decrease; aviation kerosene inventory decreased by 0.36 million barrels to 7.82 million barrels, a 4.43% decrease; the overall refined oil inventory increased by 0.44 million barrels to 44.64 million barrels, a 1.00% increase [1]. Methanol - **Market Information**: The spot prices in different regions showed changes: Jiangsu changed by 5 yuan/ton, Lunan by - 15 yuan/ton, Henan by 10 yuan/ton, Hebei by 0 yuan/ton, and Inner Mongolia by - 20 yuan/ton [3]. Urea - **Market Information**: The spot prices in different regions had the following changes: Shandong changed by 0 yuan/ton, Henan by 10 yuan/ton, Hebei by - 10 yuan/ton, Hubei by 0 yuan/ton, Jiangsu by 0 yuan/ton, Shanxi by 0 yuan/ton, and Northeast China by 0 yuan/ton. The overall basis was reported at - 68 yuan/ton. The main futures contract changed by 19 yuan/ton, at 1768 yuan/ton [5]. Rubber - **Market Information**: The rubber price fluctuated within a narrow range. The bulls of natural rubber RU were optimistic due to seasonal expectations and demand expectations, believing that the weather and the current situation of rubber plantations in Southeast Asia, especially Thailand, might limit rubber production growth, and the seasonality of rubber usually turns bullish in the second half of the year, with improved demand expectations in China. The bears were pessimistic due to weak demand, believing that the macro - economic outlook was uncertain, demand was in the seasonal off - season, and the expected postponement of EUDR and the supply benefits might be less than expected. The tire operating rate showed marginal deterioration. As of December 25, 2025, the operating rate of all - steel tires of Shandong tire enterprises was 62.20%, 2.46 percentage points lower than the previous week and 0.02 percentage points lower than the same period last year, with slower shipments and higher inventory pressure. The operating rate of semi - steel tires of domestic tire enterprises was 73.74%, 0.98 percentage points higher than the previous week but 5.05 percentage points lower than the same period last year, with slower shipping rhythms and higher inventory pressure. As of December 21, 2025, the social inventory of natural rubber in China was 118.2 million tons, a 3 - million - ton increase from the previous month, a 2.5% increase; the total social inventory of dark - colored rubber was 77.4 million tons, a 3.4% increase; the total social inventory of light - colored rubber was 40.8 million tons, a 1% increase; the inventory of natural rubber in Qingdao was 50.92 (+1.5) million tons. In the spot market, the price of Thai standard mixed rubber was 14800 (+150) yuan, STR20 was reported at 1875 (+20) US dollars, STR20 mixed was 1875 (+20) US dollars, Jiangsu and Zhejiang butadiene was 8650 (+200) yuan, and North China butadiene rubber was 11050 (+50) yuan [9][10][11]. PVC - **Market Information**: The PVC05 contract fell by 41 yuan to 4764 yuan. The spot price of Changzhou SG - 5 was 4480 (- 20) yuan/ton, the basis was - 284 (+11) yuan/ton, and the 5 - 9 spread was - 131 (+3) yuan/ton. The cost of calcium carbide in Wuhai was reported at 2325 (0) yuan/ton, the price of medium - grade semi - coke was 820 (0) yuan/ton, the price of ethylene was 745 (0) US dollars/ton, and the spot price of caustic soda was 690 (- 13) yuan/ton. The overall operating rate of PVC was 78.6%, a 1.4% increase from the previous period; among them, the calcium carbide method was 78.4%, a 0.1% decrease, and the ethylene method was 79.3%, a 5% increase. The overall downstream operating rate was 44.5%, a 0.9% decrease. The in - factory inventory was 30.9 million tons (+0.3), and the social inventory was 106.3 million tons (+0.3) [14]. Pure Benzene & Styrene - **Market Information**: In terms of fundamentals, the cost of pure benzene in East China was 5323 yuan/ton, a decrease of 27.5 yuan/ton; the closing price of the active pure benzene contract was 5406 yuan/ton, a decrease of 27.5 yuan/ton; the pure benzene basis was - 83.5 yuan/ton, an increase of 29.5 yuan/ton. In the spot - futures market, the spot price of styrene was 6950 yuan/ton, an increase of 50 yuan/ton; the closing price of the active styrene contract was 6739 yuan/ton, a decrease of 52 yuan/ton; the basis was 211 yuan/ton, an increase of 102 yuan/ton; the BZN spread was 142.87 yuan/ton, an increase of 6.25 yuan/ton; the profit of non - integrated EB plants was - 71.275 yuan/ton, an increase of 6.725 yuan/ton; the EB consecutive 1 - consecutive 2 spread was 69 yuan/ton, a decrease of 19 yuan/ton. On the supply side, the upstream operating rate was 70.7%, a 1.57% increase; the inventory at Jiangsu ports was 13.88 million tons, a decrease of 0.05 million tons. On the demand side, the weighted operating rate of the three S products was 42.24%, a 1.77% increase; the operating rate of PS was 59.40%, a 4.90% increase; the operating rate of EPS was 52.56%, a 0.76% increase; the operating rate of ABS was 69.40%, a 0.70% decrease [18]. Polyethylene - **Market Information**: Fundamentally, the closing price of the main contract was 6449 yuan/ton, a decrease of 23 yuan/ton; the spot price was 6435 yuan/ton, an increase of 35 yuan/ton; the basis was - 14 yuan/ton, an increase of 58 yuan/ton. The upstream operating rate was 84.2%, a 0.36% increase. In terms of weekly inventory, the inventory of production enterprises was 37.07 million tons, a decrease of 8.79 million tons from the previous week, and the inventory of traders was 2.76 million tons, a decrease of 0.49 million tons from the previous week. The average downstream operating rate was 41.15%, a 0.68% decrease. The LL5 - 9 spread was - 47 yuan/ton, a 10 - yuan decrease from the previous week [21]. Polypropylene - **Market Information**: Fundamentally, the closing price of the main contract was 6330 yuan/ton, a decrease of 18 yuan/ton; the spot price was 6300 yuan/ton, unchanged; the basis was - 30 yuan/ton, an increase of 18 yuan/ton. The upstream operating rate was 76.69%, a 0.16% decrease. In terms of weekly inventory, the inventory of production enterprises was 49.07 million tons, a decrease of 4.26 million tons from the previous week; the inventory of traders was 17.72 million tons, a decrease of 1 million tons from the previous week; the port inventory was 6.63 million tons, a decrease of 0.24 million tons from the previous week. The average downstream operating rate was 52.76%, a 0.48% decrease. The LL - PP spread was 119 yuan/ton, a 5 - yuan decrease from the previous week [23][24]. PX - **Market Information**: The PX03 contract fell by 50 yuan to 7210 yuan, the PX CFR price fell by 9 US dollars to 884 US dollars, and the basis was - 54 yuan (- 29) after conversion according to the central parity of the RMB. The 3 - 5 spread was - 2 yuan (+4). The operating rate of PX in China was 90.6%, a 2.4% increase; the operating rate in Asia was 80.9%, a 1.4% increase. Domestically, Fujia Dahua restarted and expanded its capacity. The operating rate of PTA was 78.1%, a 5.6% increase; Dushan Energy and Zhongtai restarted, and Weilian Chemical increased its production. In terms of imports, South Korea exported 43.3 million tons of PX to China in December, a 4.2 - million - ton increase from the same period last year. In terms of inventory, the inventory at the end of November was 402 million tons, a 5 - million - ton decrease from the previous month. In terms of valuation and cost, PXN was 357 US dollars (+2), South Korea's PX - MX was 146 US dollars (+3), and the naphtha crack spread was 90 US dollars (+1) [27]. PTA - **Market Information**: The PTA05 contract fell by 64 yuan to 5046 yuan, the East China spot price fell by 65 yuan to 5030 yuan, the basis was - 49 yuan (- 3), and the 5 - 9 spread was 90 yuan (- 10). The operating rate of PTA was 78.1%, a 5.6% increase; Dushan Energy and Zhongtai restarted, and Weilian Chemical increased its production. The downstream operating rate was 90.8%, a 0.4% increase; Hengyi's 55 - million - ton chemical fiber and China Resources' 30 - million - ton bottle - grade chip restarted, while Yisheng's 25 - million - ton bottle - grade chip, Hengyi's 55 - million - ton filament, and Sanfangxiang's 50 - million - ton bottle - grade chip were under maintenance. The terminal texturing operating rate decreased by 5% to 74%, and the loom operating rate decreased by 1% to 59%. In terms of inventory, the social inventory (excluding credit warehouse receipts) on December 26 was 205.5 million tons, a 5.2 - million - ton decrease from the previous month. In terms of valuation and cost, the spot processing fee of PTA decreased by 13 yuan to 336 yuan, and the futures processing fee decreased by 31 yuan to 316 yuan [30]. Ethylene Glycol (MEG) - **Market Information**: The EG05 contract fell by 71 yuan to 3732 yuan, the East China spot price fell by 41 yuan to 3640 yuan, the basis was - 126 yuan (+15), and the 5 - 9 spread was - 90 yuan (+3). On the supply side, the operating rate of ethylene glycol was 73.7%, a 0.4% increase; among them, the operating rate of syngas - based production was 75.9%, a 1.4% decrease, and the operating rate of ethylene - based production was 72.5%, a 1.5% increase. Among the syngas - based plants, Tianye's plant resumed operation after an accidental shutdown, Huayi restarted, and Henan Coal Industry replaced the catalyst; among the petrochemical plants, Far East Union restarted; overseas, the plant of Formosa Plastics in Taiwan, China, shut down. The downstream operating rate was 90.8%, a 0.4% increase
加工增值免关税政策全方位升级,对企业有何利好?
Hai Nan Ri Bao· 2026-01-06 00:58
Core Viewpoint - The launch of the Hainan Free Trade Port's full island closure on December 18, 2025, introduces significant benefits for enterprises, particularly through the processing value-added duty exemption policy, which allows for tax-free entry of goods into the mainland if they meet certain processing criteria [1]. Group 1: Policy Benefits - The processing value-added duty exemption policy allows goods processed in Hainan with over 30% value added from imported materials to enter the mainland without import duties, while still subject to VAT and consumption tax [1]. - As of October 2025, 129 pilot enterprises have been approved under this policy, with a total processing value of approximately 11.096 billion yuan and duty exemptions amounting to about 860 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Policy Upgrades - The threshold for enterprises to benefit from the policy has been lowered, removing the requirement that the main business income from encouraged industries must exceed 60% of total revenue [2]. - The range of import materials eligible for the policy has been expanded to include "zero-duty" goods, allowing enterprises to benefit from both zero duties and processing value-added advantages [2]. - The calculation formula for value-added processing has been optimized to include self-produced materials, making it easier for enterprises to achieve the 30% value-added requirement [2]. - The scope of cumulative value-added processing has been broadened from special customs supervision areas to the entire island, allowing for collaborative processing among upstream and downstream enterprises [2]. Group 3: Industry Impact - The processing value-added duty exemption policy is expected to attract key players in various industries, such as petrochemicals, food processing, and medical devices, by creating a complete industrial chain from raw materials to finished products [3]. - The lowered entry barriers and expanded benefits of the policy are anticipated to better meet the production needs of local enterprises and support the development of industrial chains and clusters in Hainan [3].
智通港股通持股解析|1月6日
智通财经网· 2026-01-06 00:37
智通财经APP获悉,根据2026年1月5日披露数据,中国电信(00728)、绿色动力环保(01330)、大眾 公用(01635)位居港股通持股比例前3位,分别为71.63%、69.81%、68.41%。此外,招商银行 (03968)、工商银行(01398)、农业银行(01288)在最近有统计数据的5个交易日内,持股额增幅最 大,分别为+22.23亿元、+14.74亿元、+14.08亿元;中国移动(00941)、腾讯控股(00700)、盈富基金 (02800)在最近有统计数据的5个交易日内,持股额减幅最大,分别为-26.21亿元、-23.40亿元、-15.41 亿元。 具体数据如下(交易所数据根据T+2日结算): 1、港股通最新持股比例排行(前20名) 备注:以上数据由智通机器人根据港交所数据,经过人工智能运算后自动生成,并不保证数据100%准 确;持股额变动=变动持股数*昨日收盘价。 3、港股通最近5个交易日减持榜(前10名) 公司名称 持股额变动 持股数变动 中国移动(00941) -26.21亿元 -3185.20万股 腾讯控股(00700) -23.40亿元 -374.72万股 盈富基金(02800) ...
【沥青日报】美委地缘直接推动沥青价格跳涨,BU-Brent裂解差大幅上升
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-05 23:19
【1】盘面表现:BU 2602合约日内稍微回落后,基本处于高位横盘,收盘3133,涨幅3.95%,盘中最高 触及3211,最低3111,近7天累计+5.2%。在连续宽幅震荡后出现大幅跳涨行情,实属罕见。次月合约 2603涨幅3.60%,其他合约也基本翻红上涨。 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 来源:能源研发中心 日报观点 【2】现货市场:①山东重交沥青市场价为2940元/吨,环比假期前上涨4.1%,7天累计+5.1%。山东基 差为-63元/吨,7天累计+9元/吨。②华东重交沥青市场价为3130元/吨,环比假期前上涨1.3%。华东基差 为-3元/吨,7天累计-71元/吨。 【3】裂解变化:①BU-Brent录得-10元/吨,7天累计+88元/吨。当日BU主力+0.7%;Brent+3.7%(以下 午3点收盘成交价计算)。美委地缘升级影响对沥青的直接拉动要强于油价,BU-Brent裂解差大幅上 行。在美委地缘发酵下,建议可做多裂解差,即多沥青空原油。但仍要警惕的是地缘的不确定性,操作 过程仍需谨慎控仓。 【4】基本面变化:新年第一个交易日,沥青罕见出现大幅缺口跳涨,主要受周末委内 ...