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拼多多(PDD):海外公司财报点评:利润表现好于预期,平台生态建设向收获迈进
Guoxin Securities· 2025-03-25 03:25
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" [5] Core Views - The company's Q4 revenue was 110.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24%, with advertising revenue at 57 billion yuan (up 17% YoY) and payment channel revenue at 53.6 billion yuan (up 33% YoY). However, revenue growth was below expectations due to ongoing investments in platform ecosystem development [1][8] - The non-GAAP net profit for the quarter was 29.9 billion yuan, a 14% increase YoY, with a non-GAAP net profit margin of 25%. The gross profit margin was 57%, down 4 percentage points YoY, primarily due to the company covering full shipping costs for orders in the western regions and a decline in the proportion of high-margin commissions [2][9] - The company is actively addressing overseas uncertainties, with its TEMU platform now operating in over 60 countries, including the US and Germany. The company plans to introduce a third-party platform model to mitigate tariff risks and enhance supply diversity [2][9] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 480.3 billion yuan, 593.5 billion yuan, and 676.6 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 22%, 24%, and 14%. Non-GAAP net profit projections for the same years are 130.2 billion yuan, 163.2 billion yuan, and 185.7 billion yuan, with growth rates of 7%, 25%, and 14% [3][12] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to be 10x, 8x, and 7x for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3][12]
京东健康:2024H2财报点评:收入利润表现亮眼,2025年公司将加大长期战略投入力度-20250308
Guoxin Securities· 2025-03-08 13:31
Investment Rating - The investment rating for JD Health (06618.HK) is "Outperform the Market" [1][3][12] Core Views - In H2 2024, JD Health achieved a revenue of 29.8 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 13%. The growth was driven by an increase in active user numbers and a wider range of product categories [1][8] - The company's non-IFRS net profit margin improved from 6.4% in the previous year to 7.2%, with operating profit margin rising from -1% to 2%, primarily due to improvements in gross margin and administrative expense ratios [2][8] - For 2025, the management plans to increase long-term strategic investments to capitalize on structural changes in the healthcare market, expecting significant revenue and profit improvements over the next three years [2][8] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are set at 65.7 billion yuan and 73.5 billion yuan, respectively, with adjustments of 2.9% and 3.7% upwards due to increased consumer online purchasing behavior [3][12] - Adjusted net profit for 2025 and 2026 is projected at 4.4 billion yuan and 4.9 billion yuan, with downward adjustments of 7.9% and 3.2% due to increased investments in front warehouses and AI [3][12] Operational Data - As of H2 2024, JD Health had 184 million annual active users, a 7% year-on-year increase, indicating a user penetration rate of 27% with significant growth potential [2][9] - The average transaction value decreased year-on-year, but this was offset by an increase in shopping frequency among users [9]