Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - The depletion of mandatory circulation quotas may support a carbon price reversal, expected to occur around October, but anticipatory trading could bring signs of reversal in Q3 [6]. - Before August, carbon prices may fluctuate due to slow release of mandatory circulation quotas and low trading willingness. Starting from September, as compliance pressure mounts, prices may rise [6]. - It is recommended that deficit enterprises make phased purchases at low prices before the end of September [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog Today's Market - CEA24 single - item auction was sold at the reserve price with a 95% unsold rate due to price - raising behavior yesterday [4]. - For CEA, the main targets declined to varying degrees, with 36.4 tons listed and 89.7 tons in bulk transactions [4]. - For CCER, the listed agreement trading volume was 0.24 tons, and the average transaction price was 80.97 yuan/ton, a 1.21% change [4]. Carbon Quota (CEA) Data | CEA Type | Closing Price (yuan/ton) | Daily Change (%) | New - Old Price Difference (yuan/ton) | Bulk Transaction Average Price (yuan/ton) | Total Transaction Volume (tons) | Listed Agreement Transaction Volume (tons) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CEA19 - 20 | 69.00 | 0.00% | - | N/A | 0.00 | 0.00 | | CEA21 | 70.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | N/A | 0.00 | 0.00 | | CEA22 | 69.72 | - 0.83% | - 0.28 | N/A | 1.05 | 1.05 | | CEA23 | 69.11 | - 0.59% | - 0.61 | 66.48 | 62.33 | 15.19 | | CEA24 | 69.42 | - 0.52% | 0.31 | 69.34 | 63.28 | 20.20 | [8] CCER Data - The average transaction price of CCER was 80.97 yuan/ton, with a 1.21% change, a trading volume of 0.24 tons, and a turnover of 19.11 million yuan. The cumulative trading volume was 250.40 tons [10].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Yunfeng Financial and the Macau International Carbon Exchange have launched a blockchain-based carbon credit trading initiative called "Carbon Trading BlockChain" to enhance the global green asset market infrastructure [1][2] - The initiative aims to address the trust crisis in the global carbon credit market, which faces issues such as "greenwashing" and double counting, by providing a transparent and traceable digital identification for each green asset [2] - The platform will integrate the entire lifecycle of carbon credit development, issuance, trading, and cancellation on the blockchain, ensuring transparency and traceability [2] Group 2 - The project is part of Yunfeng Financial's strategic shift towards the Web3 domain and reflects its commitment to responsible investment and ESG principles [1] - The Macau International Carbon Exchange has already facilitated over 1 million tons of carbon credits and 200,000 green certificates, with clients including leading companies such as Brazil Forestry Group and Mitsubishi Electric [1] - The initiative is expected to create a new ecosystem for the carbon market, enhancing the connection between global capital and quality carbon projects [2]

Core Viewpoint - The recent issuance of the "Opinions on Promoting Green and Low-Carbon Transition and Strengthening National Carbon Market Construction" marks a significant step in China's carbon market development, establishing it as a key policy tool for achieving carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals [1][2]. Group 1: Carbon Market Development - China has established the world's largest national carbon emissions trading market, which aims to address high reduction costs and insufficient transformation motivation [2][3]. - The carbon market is designed to provide a flexible mechanism for achieving greenhouse gas control targets at a low cost, promoting deep transformation of traditional industries and fostering new productive forces [2][3]. - The establishment of a carbon pricing mechanism is crucial for driving industrial upgrades and ensuring that carbon prices reflect the marginal costs of emissions reduction [3][4]. Group 2: Innovation and Incentives - The national carbon emissions trading market will accelerate the transition to clean energy and process innovation in key industries such as electricity, metallurgy, and chemicals [4][5]. - Innovative incentive mechanisms will facilitate low-carbon technology innovation and the implementation of significant climate projects, addressing financing challenges for major low-carbon technology innovations [4][5]. - The voluntary carbon emissions reduction trading market will promote the industrialization of cutting-edge technologies in areas like carbon sinks and renewable energy [4][5]. Group 3: Market Relationships and Coordination - The construction of the carbon market involves balancing various stakeholder interests and policy elements, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive approach to achieve carbon peak and neutrality goals [5][6]. - There is a need to integrate the mandatory carbon trading market with the voluntary market to enhance policy synergy and stimulate green innovation [5][6]. - The relationship between effective markets and proactive government roles must be harmonized to ensure a well-functioning carbon market [6][7]. Group 4: Future Directions - The carbon market should initially focus on its primary function of emission reduction, gradually enhancing its financial attributes as the system matures [7][8]. - Coordination between the national carbon market and local pilot markets is essential, with local markets continuing to serve as testing grounds for policy innovations [8].

Core Viewpoint - The release of the "Opinions on Promoting Green and Low-Carbon Transition and Strengthening National Carbon Market Construction" marks a significant step in China's carbon market development, providing a clear roadmap and timeline for its long-term growth [1][4]. Carbon Market Construction Achievements - The national carbon market has made notable progress, with a cumulative trading volume of 680 million tons and a total transaction value of 47.41 billion yuan as of August 22, 2025 [2]. - The national carbon emission trading market includes 2,096 key emission units, achieving nearly 100% compliance in quota clearance [2]. - The voluntary carbon market has registered 2.49 million tons of certified voluntary emission reductions, with a transaction value of 21 million yuan [2]. Mid to Long-Term Development Plans - The "Opinions" set ambitious targets for the carbon market, aiming for comprehensive coverage of major industrial sectors by 2027 and a well-established carbon pricing mechanism by 2030 [4]. - The document emphasizes the importance of a transparent and unified regulatory framework for both mandatory and voluntary carbon markets [4][5]. Systematic Approach to Carbon Market Development - The construction of the carbon market involves multiple stakeholders and policy elements, requiring a systematic approach to balance market efficiency and government intervention [7]. - The integration of mandatory and voluntary carbon markets is crucial for enhancing policy synergy and driving green innovation [7]. International Cooperation and Standards - The carbon market is positioned as a tool for international cooperation in green development, with an emphasis on aligning with international standards and enhancing global influence [8].

Group 1 - The company has completed a climate consultant review of its EMC business and successfully obtained a PIN number, allowing it to generate certified carbon credits from its EMC operations globally [1] - For every ton of verified potential CO2 reduction achieved through EMC business, the company earns one unit of carbon credit, which can be traded on recognized platforms for cash [1] - The company anticipates generating approximately 42,400 tons of carbon credits annually from its EMC business over the initial ten-year period, with the possibility of an additional ten-year extension [2] Group 2 - The Singapore government plans to impose a carbon tax of 45 SGD per ton starting in 2026, while the current trading price for carbon credits in Europe is around 73 EUR per unit [2] - The carbon credits obtained from the EMC business are considered additional assets without incurring extra production costs [2] - The company has appointed Tek Securities as its financial advisor for a proposed issuance of private climate Islamic bonds worth 200 million RMB, which will fund the development of its EMC business [2]

Group 1: National Carbon Market Development - The central government has issued a significant policy document to advance the construction of the national carbon market, marking the first central document in this field, which outlines a timeline, roadmap, and tasks for long-term development [1][2] - The national carbon market has been operational for four years, achieving breakthroughs by expanding coverage to the steel, cement, and aluminum industries, and officially issuing the first batch of certified voluntary emission reductions (CCER) [1][7] - As of June 30, 2025, the cumulative trading volume of carbon allowances reached 669 million tons, with a total transaction value of 45.93 billion yuan, and the trading volume for 2024 alone reached a historical high of 18.044 billion yuan [2][7] Group 2: Carbon Footprint Management - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment is actively working on establishing a product carbon footprint management system, which includes developing accounting standards and guidelines for carbon footprint calculations [3][4] - The ministry has released national standards for greenhouse gas product carbon footprint quantification, aiming to facilitate the calculation of carbon footprints across various sectors [3][4] - Future efforts will focus on enhancing data infrastructure, conducting pilot projects, and promoting international cooperation in carbon footprint management [5][6] Group 3: Carbon Financial Market - The carbon financial market has seen increased activity, with at least 18 financial institutions obtaining carbon trading qualifications, and various carbon financial products being developed [12][13] - The national carbon market currently restricts participation to key emission units, while the voluntary carbon market allows a broader range of participants, including financial institutions and project owners [12] - Plans are in place to expand trading participants and develop new financial products while ensuring market stability and regulatory oversight [12][13] Group 4: Climate Investment and Financing - The climate investment and financing pilot regions have made significant progress, with over 5,400 projects in the pipeline and total investments exceeding 3 trillion yuan [15] - The pilot regions have developed a collaborative mechanism involving government, departments, and market participants to support climate investment and financing [14][15] - Financial tools have been innovated to address funding bottlenecks, with carbon reduction support tools facilitating over 1.1 trillion yuan in loans [16] Group 5: International Cooperation and Global Carbon Market - China is actively participating in the development of international carbon market rules and has established a national carbon trading market that plays a crucial role in global climate governance [17][18] - The country is exploring cross-border carbon trading and aims to enhance international collaboration in carbon market mechanisms [18] - China emphasizes the importance of multilateralism in addressing climate change and is committed to contributing to global green and low-carbon transitions [19][20]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the release of the "Opinions on Promoting Green and Low-Carbon Transition and Strengthening the Construction of the National Carbon Market," which aims to establish a more effective and internationally influential national carbon market in China [1][2]. Summary by Sections National Carbon Market Structure - The national carbon market consists of two interconnected markets: the mandatory carbon emission trading market for key emission units and the voluntary greenhouse gas reduction trading market [2]. - By 2027, the mandatory carbon trading market is expected to cover major industrial sectors, while the voluntary market aims for full coverage in key areas [2]. Strategic Importance and Current Status - The "Opinions" document is seen as a significant policy initiative under China's dual carbon goals, providing strategic guidance for the future [3]. - As of July 2025, the cumulative trading volume in the national carbon market reached approximately 681 million tons, with a transaction value of about 46.784 billion yuan [3]. Future Development Focus - Key areas for future development include expanding industry coverage, optimizing quota distribution and management, enhancing market liquidity, and integrating regional pilot markets into a unified national market [4]. Enhancing Market Vitality - The "Opinions" emphasize enhancing market vitality through the introduction of diverse trading products, expanding trading participants, and strengthening market regulation [5]. - The current market primarily consists of spot quota trading, lacking financial instruments, which the new policies aim to address by attracting more capital and improving liquidity [5]. Participant Diversity - Currently, market participants are mainly compliance enterprises, which limits market activity. Introducing diverse participants is expected to improve trading structure and market effectiveness [6].

Core Viewpoint - The document outlines the Chinese government's plan to accelerate the construction of a unified national carbon market, aiming for optimal resource allocation and maximum efficiency in carbon emissions management by 2030 [1]. Group 1: Goals and Objectives - By 2027, the national carbon trading market will cover major industrial sectors, and the voluntary greenhouse gas reduction trading market will achieve full coverage in key areas [1]. - By 2030, a comprehensive carbon trading market will be established, featuring a combination of free and paid allocation methods, with a transparent and unified approach that aligns with international standards [1]. Group 2: Market Development and Participation - The carbon market will expand to include more industries beyond the current four (electricity, steel, building materials, and non-ferrous metals), based on industry development status and carbon emission characteristics [2]. - The introduction of qualified individuals into the voluntary greenhouse gas reduction trading market and the establishment of carbon pledge and repurchase policies are effective measures to broaden the trading participant base [2]. Group 3: Regulatory Framework and Oversight - The government will implement a combination of free and paid carbon allocation methods, gradually increasing the proportion of paid allocations while preventing non-compliant carbon assets from entering the market [3]. - Strengthening regulatory oversight of trading activities is essential, including the establishment of risk assessment and management systems for compliance among major emitters [3]. Group 4: Legal and Institutional Framework - Ongoing legislative research is focused on improving the management of voluntary greenhouse gas reduction trading, enhancing the efficiency of fund clearing mechanisms, and reducing transaction costs in the carbon market [4]. - The construction of the national carbon market is a complex system engineering project that requires a balanced approach between government regulation and market dynamics [4].

Group 1 - The central government has provided a clear roadmap for building a national carbon market, emphasizing its role as a policy tool for controlling greenhouse gas emissions [1][5] - The goal is to establish a nationwide carbon trading market that covers major industrial sectors by 2027 and to create a comprehensive carbon pricing mechanism by 2030 [1][2] - The transition from intensity control to total volume control and from free to paid quotas indicates a stronger regulatory framework for the carbon market, reflecting the true cost of carbon reduction for enterprises [2][3] Group 2 - The current carbon market operates under a free allocation system based on intensity control, but changes are expected during the "14th Five-Year Plan" and "15th Five-Year Plan" periods [2][3] - The introduction of total volume control is crucial for achieving carbon peak targets by 2030, with a shift towards paid quota allocation expected to enhance efficiency and fairness [3][5] - The carbon price has fluctuated, with recent trading at approximately 69.69 yuan per ton, and is anticipated to rise gradually as the market expands and regulations tighten [6][9] Group 3 - The national carbon market consists of two parts: a mandatory trading market for key emitters and a voluntary market for encouraging self-reduction [7] - The recent policy suggests a potential adjustment in the ratio of voluntary reduction credits that can offset carbon emissions, which could impact market prices and trading volumes [7][9] - Financial institutions and enterprises show strong interest in carbon finance, with expectations for new trading products and improved regulations to facilitate carbon asset management [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent guidelines issued by the central government regarding the establishment and expansion of a national carbon market, emphasizing the transition from intensity control to total volume control and the shift from free to paid quotas [3][5][8]. Summary by Sections Carbon Market Development - The central government has outlined a clear roadmap for building a national carbon market, aiming for comprehensive coverage of major industrial sectors by 2027 and a fully established trading market by 2030 [3][5]. - The guidelines aim to clarify the role of various participants in the carbon market, addressing previous uncertainties [3]. Transition from Intensity to Total Volume Control - The current system is based on intensity control with free quota distribution linked to production levels, but this will shift to total volume control during the 14th and 15th Five-Year Plans [5][6]. - By 2027, industries with stable carbon emissions will be prioritized for total volume control, with a gradual increase in the proportion of paid quotas [5][6]. Carbon Pricing and Market Dynamics - The national carbon market has seen a price fluctuation, with the closing price at 69.69 yuan per ton, down from an average of 72 yuan per ton [10]. - The carbon price has risen from an initial 48 yuan per ton to a peak of 105 yuan per ton, indicating a trend towards higher prices as the market expands [10]. International Cooperation and Market Integration - The guidelines encourage participation in international carbon market mechanisms and the establishment of standards for global cooperation [12][13]. - There is a potential for Chinese companies to leverage their carbon market experiences in international projects, enhancing China's influence in global carbon markets [12]. Future Directions - The guidelines suggest a need for more high-quality carbon credits and a gradual opening of the market to financial institutions to optimize resource allocation [11][12]. - The focus will be on ensuring that companies do not face excessive costs while promoting effective actions towards emission reduction [11].