Macro Dynamics - New Zealand will implement two visa facilitation policies for Chinese citizens starting November 2025, allowing entry with an electronic travel authorization (NZeTA) for those holding valid Australian visas, enabling a stay of up to 3 months without additional visa applications [1] - The second policy allows Chinese citizens transiting through New Zealand airports to apply for NZeTA without needing a transit visa starting November 2025 [1] Disaster Relief - The National Disaster Reduction and Relief Committee and the Ministry of Emergency Management have allocated over 81,500 pieces of central disaster relief materials to Hunan Province to support emergency relocation and living security for affected residents due to severe flooding [2] Donations - Huazhong University of Science and Technology received a record donation of 180 million yuan from an anonymous donor, aimed at encouraging more alumni participation in the university's development [3] Financial Institutions - Hangzhou Yuhang Rural Commercial Bank's 5% equity will be publicly auctioned with a starting price of approximately 834.7 million yuan, with the auction set for mid-July [6] - The new general manager of Huayuan Fund is Chen Hongbin, who replaces Liang Yongqiang due to work adjustments [7] Market Data - U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Nasdaq down 0.51%, S&P 500 down 0.22%, and Dow Jones up 0.08%. Notable declines included Google, which fell nearly 4%, while Apple rose over 2% [9] Company Dynamics - A TCL Elite Club membership in Shenzhen will be auctioned starting at 11 million yuan, including rights to a property and various club benefits [10] - Multiple brands of power banks and battery cells, including Romoss and Anker, have had their 3C certification suspended due to safety concerns [11]

Group 1: Siling Co., Ltd. (斯菱股份) - Siling Co., Ltd. is enhancing equipment utilization and product quality through differentiated product manufacturing, a complete supply chain system, and flexible production lines, covering mainstream global vehicle models [1] - The company plans to establish a robotics components division in 2024, focusing on the research and mass production of harmonic reducers, with core equipment already in place and a second production line planned [1] - Siling's Thailand factory has obtained origin certification and is expanding capacity with a third-phase investment, while its North American operations utilize an FOB model, minimizing tariff impacts on customers [1] Group 2: Yongli Co., Ltd. (永利股份) - Yongli Co., Ltd. possesses strong market responsiveness and industry-leading technical research capabilities in the lightweight conveyor belt sector, with a comprehensive product range [2] - The company is transitioning from a lightweight conveyor belt manufacturer to a solution provider, leveraging the advantages of electric rollers, which are simple in structure, easy to install, and energy-efficient [2] - In 2024, overseas sales are projected to account for 54.19% of total revenue, with plans to strengthen global business development and brand building [2] Group 3: Huatai Fund (汇添富基金) - Huatai Fund, established in 2005, has an asset management scale of 904.883 billion yuan, ranking 10th among 210 firms [3] - The fund manages 710 public funds and has 96 fund managers, ranking 7th in both categories [3] - The best-performing public fund in the past year is the Huatai North Exchange Innovation Selected Two-Year Open Mixed A, with a net value of 1.66 and a growth of 130.81% [3]

更令人唏嘘的是，曾经被视为安家置业最后希望的三四线城市，房价更是跌至冰点。鹤岗、阜新、双鸭山、玉门、伊春等地，单价三四千元的"白菜价"房 产，比比皆是，令人不禁感叹"未来房价如葱"的预言已经成真。房地产市场逐渐褪去投资的光环，回归居住的本源。 2025：当"未来房价如葱"成真，手握存款者面临的三重困境 曾经被商界大佬戏称为"未来房价如葱"的预言，在2025年刺痛着每一个中国人的神经。房地产市场的寒流正席卷全国，叠加存款利率的持续下行，让手握存 款的普通民众如坐针毡，不得不面对前所未有的挑战。 楼市凛冬已至，房价跌落神坛 早在2017年，就有人预见到房地产市场的未来。如今，一语成谶。曾经高不可攀的房价，正在经历一场深刻的价值重塑。 这场变革并非悄无声息。早在2025年，以郑州、石家庄为代表的二三线城市便已感受到市场的寒意，房价开始松动。而如今，一线城市也未能幸免。以上海 为例，2021年市中心平均房价一度高达每平方米九万多元，如今已跌至六万多元，跌幅高达30%。曾经的"金字塔尖"，也感受到了寒风的侵袭。 存款利息"瘦身"，财富保卫战打响 存款利率下调的背后，是银行业面临的现实困境。一方面，存款数量持续攀升，而贷 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in deposit rates among major state-owned banks has led to a shift in consumer behavior, with many opting to move their funds into alternative investment vehicles rather than renewing deposits [1][3]. Group 1: Deposit Rate Trends - Major state-owned banks have seen their one-year fixed deposit rates drop below 1%, while the interest rate for demand deposits has fallen to as low as 0.05% [1]. - In April 2025, household deposits decreased by 1.39 trillion yuan, while deposits in non-bank financial institutions increased by 1.57 trillion yuan, reflecting a shift in financial management strategies [3][4]. Group 2: Changing Investment Preferences - A new trend termed "new three golds" has emerged among younger generations, with 9.37 million individuals from the post-90s and post-00s generations diversifying their investments into money market funds, bond funds, and gold funds [6]. - Young investors are increasingly favoring flexible investment options like Yu'ebao, which offers similar returns to bank deposits but with greater liquidity [6]. Group 3: Investment Strategies and Community Engagement - Investors are encouraged to adopt a diversified approach to asset allocation, with recommendations to allocate funds in a 3:5:2 ratio among money market funds, bond funds, and gold funds to mitigate risks [8]. - The low-interest-rate environment has spurred a surge in financial literacy, with many individuals participating in online communities to share investment experiences and strategies [8][9].

Core Insights - The first batch of floating rate funds has entered its fourth day of issuance, concluding before the Dragon Boat Festival, with total sales reaching approximately 2 billion yuan [1] - Major custodial and distribution banks, including SPDB, BOC, and ABC, contributed to the total sales [1] Sales Performance - SPDB sold three products: Dongfanghong Core Value, Tianhong Quality Value, and Jiao Yin Schroder Rui'an, with cumulative sales exceeding 1 billion yuan [1] - BOC distributed E Fund Growth Progress, Harvest Growth Win, and GF Value Steady Progress, achieving cumulative sales of 560 million yuan [1] - CCB and ABC reported cumulative sales of 170 million yuan and 130 million yuan, respectively [1]

Macro News - The People's Bank of China and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange have proposed a unified foreign currency management policy for funds raised by domestic companies through overseas listings, allowing for the repatriation of funds in either foreign currency or RMB [1] - Major state-owned banks have collectively lowered deposit rates, with one-year fixed deposit rates falling below 1% for the first time, prompting a shift in savings behavior among younger generations towards alternative investment options like money market funds, bond funds, and gold [1] Financial Sector - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has approved the first batch of 26 new floating-rate funds, reflecting a commitment to reform public funds and align fund company income with investor returns [5] - Hong Kong's new stock fundraising has exceeded HKD 76 billion this year, marking a more than sevenfold increase compared to the same period last year, indicating a robust IPO market [6] Company News - The "Fujian Times Zeyuan Equity Investment Fund Partnership" has completed its establishment with a total scale of CNY 10.128 billion, with the investment focus on new energy and high-end manufacturing sectors [12] - The State Administration for Market Regulation has drafted a guideline to regulate the charging behaviors of online trading platforms, aiming to protect the rights of platform operators and ensure fair practices [9] Regulatory Actions - The National Internet Information Office has closed several accounts and websites that disseminated false information about the capital market and engaged in illegal stock recommendations, highlighting ongoing efforts to maintain market integrity [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the decline in deposit interest rates in China, leading to a shift in investment strategies among young people who are moving away from traditional savings to diversified investment options like money market funds, bond funds, and gold funds [5][7][21]. Summary by Sections Deposit Rate Decline - As of May 20, 2023, the one-year fixed deposit rate has fallen below 1%, and the interest on demand deposits has dropped to 0.05%. This trend is not limited to major banks but also includes small and medium-sized banks that previously attracted deposits with higher rates [5][6]. Shift in Investment Strategies - The decline in deposit interest rates has led many individuals, particularly younger generations, to abandon the traditional approach of saving in banks for interest. Instead, they are diversifying their investments into what is referred to as the "new three golds" (新三金), which includes money market funds, bond funds, and gold funds [7][8][21]. Case Studies - A case study of a young woman named Li Jing illustrates the impact of falling interest rates on personal savings. After saving 800,000 yuan, she realized that the declining interest rates meant her savings were effectively losing value due to inflation. This prompted her to explore alternative investment options [9][21]. - Another example includes a netizen who sold a property for over 4 million yuan and chose to invest 3.4 million yuan in short-term debt and money market funds, aiming for returns that exceed previous rental income [10]. Popularity of "New Three Golds" - The "new three golds" have gained traction among young investors, with data showing that as of April 2023, 9.37 million individuals from the post-90s and post-00s generations are investing in money market funds, bond funds, and gold funds simultaneously [11][21]. Investment Behavior and Mindset - Investors are increasingly focused on low-risk, inflation-beating returns. The bond fund community, referred to as "egg collectors" (收蛋人), has seen significant growth, with many individuals adopting a strategy of steady, small returns rather than high-risk investments [16][18]. - The article highlights a generational shift in financial attitudes, where young people prioritize financial security and risk management over traditional wealth accumulation methods [20][21]. Conclusion - The changing landscape of deposit rates and investment strategies reflects a broader trend among younger generations who are seeking more stable and diversified financial options. This shift is characterized by a focus on risk management and the desire for consistent, albeit smaller, returns [22].

盛夏的菜市场里，买菜大妈熟练地把鸡蛋分装在不同竹篮，这个动作藏着普通人最朴素的理财智慧。理财与基金的关系就像整筐鸡蛋与分装鸡蛋的容器，看 似相似实则各有门道。摊开银行APP，理财专区展示的收益率总是标着"预期"二字，基金页面却明晃晃挂着近三个月-8.7%的涨跌幅，这两种数字背后藏着 完全不同的底层逻辑。 储蓄罐式理财讲究稳稳的幸福，银行将储户资金投入债券、同业存单等低波动资产，好比把鸡蛋放在铺着海绵的保险柜里。基金则是把鸡蛋交给专业快递 员，穿越股票、期货等颠簸路段，途中可能碎几个蛋，也可能带回双倍鸡蛋。某股份制银行2023年数据显示，持有理财超过180天的客户中，87%实现预期 收益；同期偏股混合型基金投资者中，仅有36%跑赢定期存款。 风险控制是两者最显著的差异点。理财产品的资金池运作像防汛工程，通过资产期限错配平抑波动，但资管新规打破刚兑后，这种"安全垫"正在变薄。基金 则像透明玻璃缸，每日净值波动清晰可见，股票型基金单日涨跌超过3%并不稀奇。2022年债市调整期间，多家银行理财出现破净现象，而债券基金当日申 赎机制让投资者能即时止损。 操作门槛藏着不为人知的玄机。银行理财1元起投的亲民表象下，藏着业绩 ...

作者：招商银行研究院 零售客群部 私人银行部 | | 本期要点摘要 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 回顾 | 近1月 | 2025 年以来 | | 固收产品 | 含权债基>短债基金>高等级同业存单指基金 | 含权债基 > 高等级同业存单指基 > 短债基金 | | 收益回顾 | >中长期债基> 现金管理 | >现金管理>中长期债基 | | | 近一个月资金面进一步转松,中美关税大幅 | 1月偏强震荡，2月-3月中旬债市大幅回 | | 债市回顾 | 缓和、提升市场风险偏好,长债利率有所回 | 调，4月初债市快速走强后转为偏强震荡，5 | | | 升,短端利率相对稳定。 | 月中旬以来转为偏弱震荡。 | | 行业事件 | 1、中国证监会近日公开印发《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》。 | | | 跟踪 | | | | 展空 | 短期(1个月维度) | 中期(3-6个月维度) | | | -同业存单:预计利率偏强震荡。 | | | | 明显,私人部门融资需求偏弱;宏观政策兼 | 近期经济金融数据显示国内低通胀特征依然 | | | 顾积极有为和定力,"超预期"政策出台必 | | | 债市展望 | - ...

Group 1 - Major state-owned banks have announced a reduction in RMB deposit rates, affecting various products including demand deposits, time deposits, and notice deposits [1] - The market had anticipated this new round of deposit rate cuts, leading to a recovery in bond market sentiment, with interest rate products leading the gains [1] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has adjusted the 7-day reverse repurchase rate from 1.50% to 1.40%, which will influence various interest rates including deposit and loan rates [2] Group 2 - The reduction in deposit rates is expected to lower market funding costs, potentially leading to a decline in yields for credit products as well [4] - The cut in deposit rates opens up spread opportunities for credit products, as lower deposit rates make these assets more scarce and increase their allocation space [4] - Investors are advised to focus on medium to long-term interest rate bonds and high-grade credit bonds as potential investment opportunities following the rate cuts [4]