Core Insights - The report highlights the significant role of Chief Financial Officers (CFOs) in listed companies, with the total salary scale for A-share CFOs reaching 4.27 billion yuan in 2024, averaging 814,800 yuan per year [1][6] - Midea Group's CFO, Zhong Zheng, has the highest salary at 9.46 million yuan, while BYD's CFO, Zhou Yalin, earns 8.96 million yuan [1] - Zhang Yacong, CFO of Hoshine Silicon Industry, experienced a drastic salary cut to 800,000 yuan, a decrease of 28.25 million yuan (-26.1%), coinciding with a 33.6% drop in the company's net profit [1][4] Summary of CFO Salaries - The average salary for A-share CFOs is 814,800 yuan, with a total salary scale of 4.27 billion yuan [1][6] - Notable CFO salaries include: - Tang Huifen from Shengyi Electronics: 2.83 million yuan [3] - Liu Zhiwen from Better Energy: 2.75 million yuan [3] - Shi Guanqun from Xinhengcheng: 2.69 million yuan [3] - Zhang Yacong's salary of 800,000 yuan is 1.8% lower than the average [1][4] Company Performance and CFO Impact - Hoshine Silicon Industry reported a total revenue of 62.83 billion yuan and a market capitalization of 125.09 billion yuan, indicating its leading position in the silicon materials industry [1] - The company's net profit fell by 33.6%, impacting the CFO's salary significantly [1][4] - Zhang Yacong's educational background is a diploma, which raises questions about the correlation between education and high-level financial management in large corporations [1][2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For industrial silicon, with the cooling of sentiment and hedging pressure on the market, silicon prices have declined and adjusted, but bullish sentiment keeps fluctuating. Short - term silicon prices are expected to consolidate at high levels, and operations require caution. Continued attention should be paid to the resumption dynamics of silicon enterprises [1] - For polysilicon, since the end of June, driven by supply - side reform expectations and spot price increases, the polysilicon market has continued to rise, and prices have repeatedly hit new highs since listing. Although the sentiment has faded recently, it still fluctuates. Prices remain at high levels, the market fluctuates greatly, and operations require caution. Continued attention should be paid to macro - sentiment evolution and warehouse receipt registration [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon Price Information - **Industrial Silicon Futures and Spot Prices**: The average price of non - oxygenated 553 (East China) remained unchanged at 9,100 yuan/ton, the closing price of the futures main contract rose 2.96% to 8,700 yuan/ton, and the basis (East China 553 - futures main) decreased by 250 yuan to 400 yuan/ton [1] - **Polysilicon Futures and Spot Prices**: The price of N - type polysilicon material remained unchanged at 46 yuan/kg, the closing price of the futures main contract rose 2.02% to 51,345 yuan/ton, and the basis decreased by 1,015 yuan to - 5,345 yuan/ton [1] - **Industrial Silicon Spot Prices**: The average prices of various grades of industrial silicon in different regions remained mostly unchanged, with price ranges from 8,900 yuan/ton to 10,100 yuan/ton [1] - **Polysilicon Spot Prices**: The prices of N - type dense material, N - type re -投料, N - type mixed material, and N - type granular silicon remained unchanged, at 46 yuan/kg, 47 yuan/kg, 45 yuan/kg, and 44.5 yuan/kg respectively [1] - **Silicon Wafer Prices**: The prices of N - type 210mm, N - type 210R, and N - type 183mm silicon wafers remained unchanged at 1.55 yuan/piece, 1.35 yuan/piece, and 1.20 yuan/piece respectively [1] - **Battery Cell Prices**: The price of single - crystal PERC battery cells M10 - 182mm remained unchanged at 0.27 yuan/watt [1] - **Component Prices**: The prices of single - crystal PERC components (single - sided and double - sided, 182mm and 210mm) remained unchanged, ranging from 0.70 yuan/watt to 0.73 yuan/watt [1] - **Organic Silicon Prices**: The price of DMC decreased by 0.81% to 12,300 yuan/ton, the price of 107 glue remained unchanged at 12,750 yuan/ton, and the price of silicone oil decreased by 0.35% to 14,100 yuan/ton [1] Industry News - On July 30, 2025, Boxinyuan (Zibo) New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. is advancing its kiloton - scale solid - state battery silicon - carbon anode material project. The project is expected to invest 200 million yuan, aiming to produce 1,000 tons of new silicon - carbon anode materials annually from 2025 to 2027, with an expected annual output value of over 100 million yuan. Samples have been preliminarily recognized by leading domestic enterprises such as Huawei and CATL [1] - On August 1, 2025, the US Department of Commerce launched a second anti - dumping and countervailing sunset review investigation on crystalline silicon photovoltaic products imported from China and a second anti - dumping sunset review investigation on products imported from Taiwan, China. The US International Trade Commission also launched a second anti - dumping and countervailing sunset review industrial injury investigation on the above - mentioned products [1] Investment Strategies Industrial Silicon - On the supply side, as silicon prices rise, some previously shut - down silicon plants in Xinjiang have resumed production. In the southwest production area, with the arrival of the wet season, power costs have decreased, and enterprise operations have steadily recovered. It is expected that some silicon furnaces will restart in August, and supply will increase steadily [1] - On the demand side, polysilicon enterprises maintain a production - cut state, and some silicon material plants plan to resume production in July, bringing some demand increments. In the organic silicon sector, a large factory has stopped production for rectification due to an accident, supply has tightened temporarily, and organic silicon prices have continued to rise supported by silicon prices. Silicon - aluminum alloy enterprises purchase as needed, and the downstream's willingness to stock up at low levels is insufficient [1] Polysilicon - On the supply side, polysilicon enterprises maintain a production - cut state, and some silicon material plants may have new production capacity put into operation. After offsetting increases and decreases, production is expected to increase slightly, with July's production expected to approach 110,000 tons [1] - On the demand side, the photovoltaic market is weak overall, with rising inventories of silicon wafers and polysilicon. Recently, driven by the expected increase in polysilicon prices, downstream silicon wafer prices have followed suit. Enterprises say they will actively respond to policies, and the trading atmosphere has improved. However, the terminal market remains weak due to the large over - consumption of demand by the rush to install in the first half of the year [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company is increasing its capital investment in its wholly-owned subsidiaries, aiming to enhance their financial strength and operational capabilities [1] Group 1: Capital Increase Details - The company plans to invest up to 1.2 billion yuan in its subsidiary, Shuangliang Silicon Materials (Baotou) Co., Ltd., increasing its registered capital from 3.3 billion yuan to a maximum of 4.5 billion yuan [1] - The company will also invest up to 800 million yuan in Hengli Crystal Silicon New Materials, raising its registered capital from 2.4 billion yuan to a maximum of 3.2 billion yuan [1] - Both subsidiaries will remain wholly-owned by the company after the capital increases [1] Group 2: Strategic Implications - The capital increases are intended to strengthen the financial position of Shuangliang Silicon Materials and Hengli Crystal Silicon, facilitating better daily operations [1] - This move is expected to enhance the subsidiaries' ability to conduct business effectively and improve their market competitiveness [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document Core Viewpoints - For industrial silicon, the supply side production schedule is decreasing and remains at a low level, demand recovery is at a low level, and cost support has increased. The 2509 contract is expected to oscillate in the range of 8565 - 8955 [6]. - For polysilicon, the supply side production schedule continues to increase, while the demand side shows continuous decline in silicon wafer, cell, and component production. Overall demand is in a state of continuous decline, and cost support remains stable. The 2509 contract is expected to oscillate in the range of 47770 - 50490 [10]. - The main logic for the market is that capacity mismatch leads to strong supply and weak demand, and the downward trend is difficult to change. The main bullish factors are cost - upward support and manufacturers' shutdown and production - reduction plans, while the main bearish factors are slow post - holiday demand recovery and strong supply and weak demand in downstream polysilicon [13][14]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Daily Viewpoint Industrial Silicon - Supply: Last week, the industrial silicon supply was 78,000 tons, a 1.30% increase from the previous week [6]. - Demand: Last week, the industrial silicon demand was 71,000 tons, a 4.05% decrease from the previous week. Demand remains sluggish. Polysilicon inventory is at a high level, silicon wafers and cells are in a loss state, and components are profitable. Organic silicon inventory is at a high level, with a production profit of 986 yuan/ton and a comprehensive operating rate of 65.11%, flat compared to the previous week and lower than the historical average. Aluminum alloy ingot inventory is at a high level, with an import loss of 817 yuan/ton [6]. - Cost: In Xinjiang, the production loss of sample oxygen - passing 553 silicon is 2027 yuan/ton, and cost support has weakened during the wet season [6]. - Basis: On July 31, the spot price of non - oxygen - passing silicon in East China was 9550 yuan/ton, and the basis of the 09 contract was 790 yuan/ton, with the spot at a premium to the futures [6]. - Inventory: Social inventory was 535,000 tons, a 2.19% decrease from the previous week. Sample enterprise inventory was 177,500 tons, a 2.57% increase from the previous week. Main port inventory was 120,000 tons, unchanged from the previous week [6]. - Disk: The MA20 is upward, and the 09 contract price closed below the MA20 [6]. - Main Position: The main position is net short, and short positions are decreasing [6]. Polysilicon - Supply: Last week, the polysilicon production was 26,500 tons, a 3.92% increase from the previous week. The production schedule for July is predicted to be 106,800 tons, a 5.74% increase from the previous month [8]. - Demand: Last week, the silicon wafer production was 11GW, a 1.78% decrease from the previous week, and the inventory was 181,500 tons, a 1.56% increase from the previous week. Currently, silicon wafer production is in a loss state. In July, the production schedule for silicon wafers, cells, and components all shows a decreasing trend [9]. - Cost: The average industry cost of N - type polysilicon is 36,500 yuan/ton, and the production profit is 9000 yuan/ton [9]. - Basis: On July 31, the price of N - type dense material was 45,500 yuan/ton, and the basis of the 09 contract was - 2630 yuan/ton, with the spot at a discount to the futures [11]. - Inventory: The weekly inventory was 229,000 tons, a 5.76% decrease from the previous week, and it is at a high level compared to the same period in history [11]. - Disk: The MA20 is upward, and the 09 contract price closed above the MA20 [11]. - Main Position: The main position is net long, and long positions are increasing [11]. 2. Market Overview Industrial Silicon - Futures closing prices of various contracts generally decreased, with the 08 contract having the largest decline of 7.06% [17]. - Spot prices of different grades of silicon also decreased, with the price of East China non - oxygen - passing 553 silicon dropping by 2.05% [17]. - The 421 - 553 price difference increased by 20.00% [17]. Polysilicon - Futures closing prices of various contracts decreased, with the 09 contract having a decline of 10.19% [19]. - The prices of silicon wafers, cells, and components remained mostly stable, with some slight changes in profit margins [19]. 3. Price - Basis and Delivery Product Spread Trends - The SI main contract basis and the 421 - 553 price difference in the industrial silicon market show certain trends over time [21]. 4. Inventory - Industrial silicon social inventory, sample enterprise inventory, and main port inventory have different trends, with social inventory decreasing and sample enterprise inventory increasing [17]. - Polysilicon weekly inventory decreased by 5.76% [19]. 5. Production and Capacity Utilization - Industrial silicon production and capacity utilization show certain trends over time, with some regional differences in production and operating rates [29]. - Polysilicon production and monthly operating rates also show corresponding trends [63]. 6. Cost - Industrial silicon component costs, including electricity prices, silica prices, graphite electrode prices, and some reducing agent prices, show different trends [34]. - Polysilicon industry costs also show certain trends over time [63]. 7. Supply - Demand Balance - Industrial silicon weekly and monthly supply - demand balance tables show the relationship between supply, demand, and inventory [38][42]. - Polysilicon monthly supply - demand balance tables show the relationship between consumption, exports, imports, supply, and balance [66]. 8. Downstream Market Organic Silicon - DMC price, production, export, import, and inventory show different trends over time [44][49]. - The prices of downstream products such as 107 glue, silicone oil, raw rubber, and D4 also show corresponding trends [46]. Aluminum Alloy - The prices, in - and - out - bound trade, inventory, production, and operating rates of aluminum alloy show different trends [52][56]. - The demand for aluminum alloy in the automotive and wheel hub industries also shows corresponding trends [57]. Polysilicon - The cost, price, inventory, production, and operating rates of polysilicon and its downstream products (silicon wafers, cells, components) show different trends [62]. - The supply - demand balance of polysilicon and its downstream products also shows corresponding trends [65]. - The prices, production, inventory, and export of photovoltaic accessories such as photovoltaic coatings, photovoltaic films, photovoltaic glass, high - purity quartz sand, and solder strips show different trends [77]. - The cost and profit of polysilicon component components show corresponding trends [80]. - The new installed capacity, power generation composition, and new grid - connected capacity of photovoltaic power generation show different trends [81].

Group 1: Rubber Industry Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View Short - term rubber prices are rebounding due to macro - sentiment and rainfall in production areas. It is advisable to wait and see in the short term and pay attention to the improvement of raw material supply after the weather in the main production areas gets better [2] Summary by Directory - **Spot Price and Basis**: On July 22, the price of Yunnan state - owned whole - miscible rubber in Shanghai was 14,950 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan or 0.67% from July 21. The basis of whole milk switched to the 2509 contract was - 110, down 65 or - 144.44%. The price of Thai standard mixed rubber was 14,650 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan or 0.69%. The non - standard price difference was - 410, down 65 or - 18.84%. The FOB intermediate price of cup rubber in the international market was 49.30 Thai baht/kg, up 0.70 Thai baht or 1.44%. The FOB intermediate price of glue in the international market remained unchanged at 54.50 Thai baht/kg [2] - **Fundamental Data**: In May, Thailand's rubber production was 272,200 tons, up 166,500 tons or 157.52% from the previous period; Indonesia's production was 200,300 tons, up 6,200 tons or 3.19%; India's production was 47,700 tons, up 2,300 tons or 5.07%; China's production was 97,000 tons, up 38,900 tons. The weekly opening rate of semi - steel tires for automobile tires was 75.99%, up 3.07 percentage points; the weekly opening rate of all - steel tires was 65.10%, up 0.54 percentage points. The domestic tire production in May was 102.749 million pieces, up 0.74%. The export volume of new pneumatic rubber tires in May was 60.31 million pieces, down 2.44%. The total import volume of natural rubber in May was 463,400 tons, up 2.21% [2] - **Inventory Changes**: On July 22, the bonded area inventory was 636,383 tons, up 0.63% from the previous value. The factory - warehouse futures inventory of natural rubber on the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 36,691 tons, down 0.82% [2] Group 2: Polysilicon Industry Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View On July 22, 2025, the futures prices of industrial silicon and polysilicon opened high and closed high, with multiple contracts hitting the daily limit. Driven by coal price increases and the smooth transmission of price increases in the crystalline silicon photovoltaic industry chain, there may still be room for growth in the future. Attention should be paid to the opening of arbitrage space after the price rises and the increase in warehouse receipts and arbitrage positions. It is necessary to control positions and manage risks [3][4][5] Summary by Directory - **Spot Price and Basis**: On July 22, the average price of N - type re - feeding materials remained at 46,000 yuan/ton; the average price of N - type granular silicon remained at 43,000 yuan/ton; the basis of N - type materials (average price) was - 3,105 yuan/ton, down 3,445 yuan or - 1013.24% [4] - **Futures Price and Inter - month Spread**: On July 22, the price of the PS2506 contract was 49,105 yuan/ton, up 3,445 yuan or 7.54% from July 21. The spread between PS2506 - PS2507 was 260 yuan/ton, up 15.56%; the spread between PS2507 - PS2508 was 235 yuan/ton, up 62.07% [4] - **Fundamental Data**: Weekly, the silicon wafer production was 11.10 GM, down 0.40 GM or - 3.48%; the polysilicon production was 23,000 tons, up 0.88%. Monthly, the polysilicon production was 101,000 tons, up 5.10%; the polysilicon import volume was 11,000 tons, up 16.59%; the polysilicon export volume was 22,000 tons, up 5.96% [4] - **Inventory Changes**: The polysilicon inventory was 249,000 tons, down 9.78%; the silicon wafer inventory was 16.02 CM, down 11.64%; the polysilicon warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 2,780 lots [4] Group 3: Industrial Silicon Industry Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View On July 22, 2025, the futures prices of industrial silicon and polysilicon opened high and closed high, with multiple contracts hitting the daily limit. Driven by coal price increases and the smooth transmission of price increases in the crystalline silicon photovoltaic industry chain, the price may continue to rise. Attention should be paid to whether the spot price will continue to increase. There is a risk of inventory accumulation due to the decline in silicone demand, and it is recommended to control positions and manage risks [5] Summary by Directory - **Spot Price and Main Contract Basis**: On July 22, the price of East China oxygen - passing S15530 industrial silicon was 9,700 yuan/ton, up 200 yuan or 2.11%. The basis of oxygen - passing SI5530 was - 195, down 81.25%. The price of East China SI4210 industrial silicon was 9,750 yuan/ton, up 200 yuan or 2.05%. The basis of SI4210 was - 505, down 195 or - 62.90% [5] - **Inter - month Spread**: On July 22, the spread between 2508 - 2509 was - 25 yuan/ton, down 25.00%; the spread between 2509 - 2510 was 85 yuan/ton, up 21.43% [5] - **Fundamental Data (Monthly)**: In May, the national industrial silicon production was 300,800 tons, down 41,400 tons or - 12.10%. Xinjiang's industrial silicon production was 167,500 tons, down 43,300 tons or - 20.55%. Yunnan's industrial silicon production was 13,500 tons, up 9.35%. Sichuan's industrial silicon production was 11,300 tons, up 145.65% [5] - **Inventory Changes**: The Xinjiang factory - warehouse inventory (weekly) was 123,600 tons, down 0.24%. The Yunnan factory - warehouse inventory (weekly) was 27,300 tons, up 0.37%. The Sichuan factory - warehouse inventory (weekly) was 23,000 tons, down 1.29%. The social inventory (weekly) was 547,000 tons, down 0.73%. The warehouse receipt inventory (daily) was 250,300 tons, down 0.18%. The non - warehouse receipt inventory (daily) was 296,700 tons, down 1.19% [5] Group 4: Log Futures Industry Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View Recently, the sentiment of the log futures market has improved. However, currently, due to the high - temperature season, the demand for logs is in the off - season, and the spot price has declined. It is recommended to be cautious about chasing up in the short term and consider buying on dips during callbacks. Attention should be paid to market sentiment changes and policy expectations [6] Summary by Directory - **Futures and Spot Prices**: On July 22, the price of log 2507 was 825 yuan/m³, up 5 yuan or 0.61%. The price of log 2509 remained at 838 yuan/m³. The price of log 2511 was 842 yuan/m³, down 2.5 yuan or - 0.30%. The price of log 2601 was 853 yuan/m³, down 8 yuan or - 0.93% [6] - **Supply (Monthly)**: In June, the port shipping volume was 1.76 million m³, up 2.12%. The number of departing ships from New Zealand to China, Japan, and South Korea was 53, down 8.62% [6] - **Inventory**: As of July 18, the national coniferous log inventory was 3.29 million m³, up 70,000 m³ or 2.17% from July 11 [6] - **Demand**: As of July 18, the daily average log delivery volume was 62,400 m³, up 0.36 m³ or 6.12% from July 11 [6] Group 5: Glass and Soda Ash Industry Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View - **Soda Ash**: The soda ash market is greatly affected by policies and news in the short term, with significant price fluctuations. In the medium - term, the demand for soda ash has no obvious growth, and there is a risk of inventory accumulation. Attention should be paid to the production adjustment of upstream soda ash plants and risk avoidance [7] - **Glass**: The glass market is also affected by market sentiment. Currently, it is in the off - season, and the demand is under pressure. The industry needs to clear production capacity to reverse the situation. The short - term price is expected to fluctuate greatly, and risk avoidance is necessary [7] Summary by Directory - **Glass - related Prices and Spreads**: On July 22, the north - China glass quotation was 1,200 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan or 1.69%. The east - China quotation remained at 1,250 yuan/ton. The central - China quotation was 1,140 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan or 0.88%. The south - China quotation remained at 1,290 yuan/ton. The price of glass 2505 was 1,317 yuan/ton, up 77 yuan or 6.21%. The price of glass 2509 was 1,173 yuan/ton, up 92 yuan or 8.51% [7] - **Soda Ash - related Prices and Spreads**: The north - China soda ash quotation remained at 1,350 yuan/ton. The east - China quotation remained at 1,230 yuan/ton. The central - China quotation remained at 1,200 yuan/ton. The northwest quotation was 1,020 yuan/ton, up 40 yuan or 4.08%. The price of soda ash 2505 was 1,390 yuan/ton, up 84 yuan or 6.43%. The price of soda ash 2509 was 1,295 yuan/ton, up 79 yuan or 6.05% [7] - **Supply**: On July 18, the soda ash operating rate was 84.10%, up 3.42%. The weekly soda ash production was 733,200 tons, up 3.41%. The daily melting volume of float glass was 157,800 tons, down 0.38%. The daily melting volume of photovoltaic glass was 91,840 tons, down 2.70% [7] - **Inventory**: As of July 18, the glass factory inventory was 64.939 million heavy boxes, down 3.22%. The soda ash factory inventory was 1.9056 million tons, up 2.26%. The soda ash delivery warehouse inventory was 246,600 tons, up 3.61% [7]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the "dual silicon" market, particularly in industrial silicon and polysilicon futures prices, is driven by expectations of "anti-involution" policies, leading to price adjustments being transmitted down the supply chain [1][3]. Group 1: Price Trends - Polysilicon prices have significantly rebounded, with the average transaction price for N-type polysilicon reaching 41,700 yuan/ton, a week-on-week increase of 12.4% [3]. - The average price for N-type granular silicon rose to 41,000 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 15.2% [3]. - The national comprehensive price for industrial silicon has increased to 8,851 yuan/ton, up 108 yuan/ton from previous levels [3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The price increase by silicon material companies is primarily driven by the need for price recovery, as polysilicon prices have long been below the comprehensive cost line, leading to continuous losses [3]. - The current operating rate of the polysilicon industry is approximately 40%, with significant depreciation costs raising the total production cost by over 10,000 yuan/ton [3]. Group 3: Price Transmission Effects - The price hikes in silicon materials are being transmitted to downstream sectors, with the average transaction price for N-type G10L monocrystalline silicon wafers reaching 1.05 yuan/piece, a week-on-week increase of 22.09% [4]. - The overall operating rate in the silicon wafer industry has slightly decreased, with two leading companies' operating rates dropping to 50% and 40% respectively [4]. - A preliminary price consensus has been reached among silicon wafer companies, with expected new quotes for N-type G10L at 1.45 yuan/piece, N-type G12R at 1.65 yuan/piece, and N-type G12 at 1.93 yuan/piece [4]. Group 4: Cost Influences - The implementation of coal supply control policies has provided additional support for the rise in silicon material prices, as electricity costs account for about 30% of industrial silicon production costs and up to 40% for polysilicon [4]. - The limited coal supply is expected to increase electricity prices, further burdening production costs for both industrial and polysilicon [4]. - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange has implemented trading limits on industrial silicon and polysilicon futures to enhance market risk management and stabilize market expectations [4].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the report Core Viewpoints - The industrial silicon market shows a situation where the upward momentum is insufficient. Although there are signs of a rebound in futures and spot prices, the selling pressure on the futures surface increases as the price rises, and the follow - up may enter a consolidation stage [1]. - The polysilicon market has also seen a continuous upward trend in the disk since the end of June, but as the previous long - positions gradually take profits and leave the market, the disk may adjust in the short term [1]. Summary by Related Catalogs Price Changes - **Industrial Silicon Spot Prices**: The average price of non - oxygenated 553 (East China) increased by 1.65% to 9,250 yuan/ton, and the 421 (East China) increased by 1.04% to 9,750 yuan/ton. Different regions and grades of industrial silicon prices all showed varying degrees of increase [1]. - **Industrial Silicon Futures Prices**: The closing price of the futures main contract increased by 6.50% to 9,260 yuan/ton [1]. - **Polysilicon Spot Prices**: The prices of N - type dense materials, N - type re - feeding materials, N - type mixed materials, and N - type granular silicon remained unchanged [1]. - **Polysilicon Futures Prices**: The closing price of the futures main contract increased by 4.13% to 45,660 yuan/ton [1]. - **Silicon Wafer Prices**: The prices of N - type 210mm, N - type 210R, and N - type 183mm silicon wafers increased, while the prices of P - type 210mm and P - type 182mm remained unchanged [1]. - **Battery Cell Prices**: The price of single - crystal PERC battery cells M10 - 182mm increased by 0.75% [1]. - **Component Prices**: The prices of single - crystal PERC components remained mostly unchanged [1]. - **Organic Silicon Prices**: The prices of DMC, 107 glue, and silicone oil remained unchanged [1]. Industry News - SynVista plans to build its first energy storage manufacturing plant in Southeast Asia in Malaysia, with an expected annual production capacity of 5GWh by the end of 2025 [1]. - In June 2025, the export volume of industrial silicon was 68,300 tons, a month - on - month increase of 23% and a year - on - year increase of 12%. From January to June 2025, the cumulative export volume was 340,700 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 7%. The import volume was very small, with a cumulative import volume of 5,200 tons from January to June, a year - on - year decrease of 62% [1]. Fundamental Analysis - **Industrial Silicon Supply and Demand**: On the supply side, northern large - scale factories have production reduction plans and no restart information, while the southwest region is about to enter the wet season, with power costs decreasing and enterprise start - up rates gradually rising, but the restart speed is slow, and the supply may decrease after offsetting. On the demand side, polysilicon enterprises maintain production reduction, some silicon material factories plan to restart production in July, which will bring some demand increments; the organic silicon industry has a strong willingness to reduce production and support prices, but the demand is weak, and the actual transaction price has declined, and the overall start - up rate has decreased, further weakening the demand for industrial silicon; silicon - aluminum alloy enterprises purchase as needed, and the downstream's willingness to stock up at low levels is insufficient [1]. - **Polysilicon Supply and Demand**: On the supply side, silicon material enterprises maintain production reduction, and some may have new production capacity put into operation, and the output is expected to increase slightly, with the output in July approaching 110,000 tons. On the demand side, the photovoltaic market is weak, the inventory of silicon wafers and silicon materials has increased, and although the downstream silicon wafer prices have followed the increase due to the expected increase in polysilicon prices, the terminal market is still weak due to the over - consumption of demand in the first half of the year [1].

Report Title - Industrial Silicon: Supply and Demand De-stocking, Monitor the Restart Rhythm of Upstream Factories; Polysilicon: Policy-Driven Market, Hold Positions Cautiously [1][2] Report Date - July 20, 2025 [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Views - For industrial silicon, pay attention to the restart rhythm of upstream factories. The market sentiment remains high, and the supply-demand de-stocking logic supports the price. The disk provides a suitable hedging space for upstream factories. The restart progress of upstream factories is crucial [6]. - For polysilicon, the expectation of policy implementation is strong. It is safer to go long at appropriate times. The market is mainly driven by policy expectations, and the relationship with supply and demand is relatively weak [7]. Summary by Directory 1. Price Trends This Week - Industrial silicon: The futures disk fluctuated strongly, and the spot price also increased. The futures closed at 8,695 yuan/ton on Friday. The SMM statistics show that the price of Xinjiang 99 silicon was 8,700 yuan/ton (up 300 yuan week-on-week), and the price of Inner Mongolia 99 silicon was 9,050 yuan/ton (up 500 yuan week-on-week) [2]. - Polysilicon: The futures disk rose significantly, and the spot quotation increased. The futures closed at 43,850 yuan/ton on Friday. Only a small number of downstream buyers accepted high-price transactions, and further observation is needed [2]. 2. Supply and Demand Fundamentals Industrial Silicon - Supply side: The weekly industry inventory decreased again. The production in Yunnan and Sichuan increased, while the production in Xinjiang remained stable. The southwest region carried out hedging operations after the price increase, and some enterprises have the expectation of restarting production. The restart rhythm of northwest silicon factories is crucial. The futures warehouse receipts increased by 0.1 million tons this week, and the social inventory decreased by 0.4 million tons, and the factory inventory decreased by 0.1 million tons [3]. - Demand side: Short-term demand increased. The production of polysilicon may continue to increase, and the demand for industrial silicon has improved. The production of organosilicon increased this week, and the demand for industrial silicon was maintained. There is also an expectation of restarting production in monomer factories. However, the terminal consumption of organosilicon has not improved significantly. June - July is the off-season for aluminum alloy consumption, and the actual trading volume has not increased significantly. Exporters mainly focus on rigid demand and do not hoard goods [3]. Polysilicon - Supply side: The short-term weekly production increased marginally. Some factories in Sichuan, Yunnan, Xinjiang, and Qinghai are restarting production, which will bring subsequent supply increments. The inventory of silicon material manufacturers decreased this week, and the upstream price increase led to speculative replenishment demand from downstream [4]. - Demand side: The production of silicon wafers continued to decrease due to the decline in terminal demand and the increase in costs. The price increase of silicon materials has been transmitted to silicon wafers and battery cells, but there is no information on the price increase and transaction of components, indicating that the transmission of upstream price increases is not smooth [4][5]. 3. Market Outlook - Industrial silicon: The disk has resistance to decline before the end of this round of market sentiment. It is recommended to pay attention to the restart progress of upstream factories. It is recommended to go short at high levels, and the expected disk range next week is 8,500 - 9,000 yuan/ton [6][7]. - Polysilicon: The policy implementation expectation is strong. It is safer to go long at appropriate times. The expected disk range next week is 43,000 - 47,000 yuan/ton [7]. 4. Trading Strategies - Unilateral: Recommend going short at high levels for industrial silicon; for polysilicon, it is recommended to go long at appropriate times [6][7]. - Inter - period: Recommend stopping profit for the PS2509/PS2511 inter - period reverse spread strategy [8]. - Hedging: Recommend selling hedging strategies for upstream industrial silicon factories and polysilicon factories [8].

Group 1 - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company for the first half of 2025 to be between -400 million and -300 million yuan, indicating a loss compared to the same period last year [1][2] - The forecasted net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be between -550 million and -450 million yuan [1][2] - The previous year's profit attributable to shareholders was 143.7 million yuan, with earnings per share of 0.83 yuan [2] Group 2 - The main reasons for the anticipated loss include low operating rates in the polysilicon sector, a significant decline in industrial silicon and polysilicon market prices, and a decrease in end-user demand due to the tapering of the photovoltaic installation rush [2] - The company plans to focus on its core business, optimize resource allocation, and enhance production efficiency to maintain stable operational cash flow and ensure sustainable development [2]

合盛硅业(603260.SH)公告称，合盛硅业预计2025年上半年归属于母公司所有者的 净利润亏损3亿元-4亿 元，同比由盈利转为亏损。业绩变动主要原因是工业硅下游需求疲软， 光伏行业开工率低，工业硅和 多晶硅价格持续下行，导致公司销售价格下滑，叠加光伏板块停工损失及存货跌价准备影响，公司出现 阶段性亏损。 ...