Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hengli Petrochemical, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance relative to the market index [2][6]. Core Views - The company is currently experiencing performance pressure due to the cyclical downturn, but the "anti-involution" trend in the global petrochemical industry is expected to optimize the industry landscape [5][6]. - The financial health of the company remains robust, with stable cash flow supporting dividend payments and debt servicing [5][6]. - The company is expected to benefit from the global petrochemical restructuring, with significant capacity reductions anticipated in both domestic and international markets [5][6]. Financial Summary - For H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 103.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.68%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.05 billion yuan, down 24.08% year-on-year [5]. - The average selling prices of key products have declined, with refining products, PTA, and new materials seeing price drops of 5.61%, 19.41%, and 14.17% respectively [5]. - The company’s operating cash flow reached 19.48 billion yuan in H1 2025, providing a solid foundation for dividends and debt repayment [5][6]. Earnings Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 236.89 billion yuan, 244.74 billion yuan, and 251.51 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 7.32 billion yuan, 8.47 billion yuan, and 9.38 billion yuan [6][7]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.04 yuan, 1.20 yuan, and 1.33 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][7]. Valuation Metrics - The report indicates a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.44 for 2025, decreasing to 12.84 by 2027, suggesting an improving valuation as earnings grow [6][7]. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is projected to be 1.83 in 2025 and 1.71 in 2027, reflecting a stable valuation relative to the company's book value [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Overweight" [1] Core Viewpoints - Supply-side structural optimization is expected, with a focus on selecting elastic and advantageous sectors. Domestic policies frequently mention supply-side requirements, while rising raw material costs and capacity shocks in Asia have led to shutdowns and capacity exits among European and American chemical companies. In the short term, geopolitical tensions increase uncertainty in overseas chemical supply, but in the long term, China's chemical industry chain has a clear competitive advantage, rapidly filling gaps in the international supply chain and potentially reshaping the global chemical industry landscape [4][14] Summary by Sections Industry News and Events - South Korea plans to cut 25% of its naphtha cracking capacity, shifting towards higher value-added products. This restructuring involves reducing excess capacity and improving financial health while minimizing economic and employment impacts. The government will support proactive industry measures with relaxed regulations and fiscal policies [5][12] - Glyphosate prices are rising again, with domestic factory inventory significantly decreasing. As of August 24, 2025, the inventory was 27,800 tons, down 60.34% year-on-year and 2.46% month-on-month. The market anticipates a slight price increase due to strong domestic demand and export orders [6][13] Chemical Sector Performance - For the week of August 18-22, 2025, the CSI 300 index rose by 4.18%, while the Shenwan Oil and Petrochemical Index increased by 2.92%, underperforming the market by 1.26 percentage points. The Shenwan Basic Chemical Index rose by 2.86%, also underperforming the market by 1.32 percentage points [16][17] - The top five performing sub-sectors included Other Rubber Products (8.53%), Polyurethane (6.34%), Titanium Dioxide (5.69%), Other Petrochemicals (5.05%), and Fluorochemicals (4.79%) [17] Key Product Price Trends - The top price increases for the week included Light Soda Ash (8.25%), Soft Foam Polyether (6.04%), Heavy Soda Ash (5.97%), TDI (4.99%), and Caustic Soda (4.50%). Conversely, the largest price drops were seen in Polytetrafluoroethylene (-26.19%), Methyl Acrylate (-7.16%), and Vitamin E (-7.14%) [27][28] - The price spread for key products showed significant increases for products like Adipic Acid-Pure Benzene (16.78%) and Propylene Oxide-0.8*Propylene (15.60%) [30][31] Investment Recommendations - Focus on sectors with significant supply-side reform potential, such as organic silicon, membrane materials, chlorine-alkali, and dyes. Key companies to watch include Hoshine Silicon Industry, Xingfa Group, and Zhejiang Longsheng [4][14] - In the agricultural chemicals sector, companies like Yangnong Chemical and Guangxin Co. are highlighted for their relative advantages [14][15]

Meeting Overview - The third meeting of the Supervisory Board of Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical Co., Ltd. was held on August 26, 2025, with all three supervisors present, complying with relevant laws and regulations [1]. Financial Report Approval - The Supervisory Board approved the 2025 semi-annual report and its summary, which adequately reflects the company's financial status and operational results during the reporting period [2]. - The report's preparation and review process adhered to legal and regulatory requirements, with no violations of confidentiality found among the personnel involved [2]. Fund Usage Report Approval - The Supervisory Board also approved the special report on the storage and actual use of raised funds for the first half of 2025, confirming compliance with relevant regulations and accurately reflecting the company's fund usage [3]. - There were no changes or disguised changes in the use of raised funds that could harm shareholder interests [3].

Group 1 - The board of directors of Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical Co., Ltd. held its tenth meeting of the third session on August 26, 2025, with all seven directors present [1][2] - The board approved the 2025 semi-annual report and its summary, with a unanimous vote of 7 in favor and no opposition or abstentions [2] - The board also approved the special report on the storage and actual use of raised funds for the first half of 2025, again with a unanimous vote of 7 in favor [2]

Core Viewpoint - The refining and chemical industries are facing significant challenges due to slowing demand growth, the rise of electric vehicles, and ongoing capacity expansion, leading to a projected decline in refining margins by about 5% to 30% by 2030 [3][4]. Recent Trends and Market Outlook - The refining market is expected to see a notable decline in profit margins, primarily driven by demand slowdown and capacity expansion disrupting supply-demand balance [3]. - The chemical market is also under pressure, with rapid capacity expansion, especially in China, outpacing demand growth, leading to overcapacity and compressed profit margins [3]. Challenges for Asian Refining and Chemical Industries - The evolving market dynamics are reshaping the competitive landscape, necessitating adaptation from companies [4]. - Uncertainties in carbon neutrality policies complicate long-term planning for refining and chemical companies, potentially leading to the exit of outdated capacities and cancellation of planned projects [4]. - Geopolitical tensions and fluctuating trade policies are adding further challenges, with tariffs on key raw materials increasing production costs by approximately 7% [4]. Strategic Pathways for Survival - Companies are focusing on cost reduction, capacity optimization, and digital transformation to navigate the challenges in the refining and petrochemical sectors [5]. - Operational transformation is essential for survival, with companies leveraging various strategies to enhance operations and profitability [5][6]. Production and Optimization - Linear programming (LP) models can provide insights to capture high-value opportunities with minimal investment, potentially increasing capacity by up to 5% [7]. - Advanced process control (APC) is being deployed to optimize operations and improve product yields, with potential cost reductions of $0.3 per barrel [8]. Efficient Maintenance - Effective maintenance strategies can significantly reduce costs and downtime, with potential savings of 5-15% on turnaround costs [10]. - Predictive maintenance is being utilized to monitor equipment health and reduce unplanned downtime [10]. Capital Expenditure (CAPEX) Optimization - Optimizing CAPEX is crucial for addressing tightening capital constraints and ensuring maximum returns while minimizing costs and risks [11]. - Structured methodologies like risk threat prioritization (RTP) are being employed to ensure rigorous evaluation of capital projects, leading to CAPEX reductions of 10-20% [11][13]. Sales Optimization - Optimizing commercial performance is vital for maintaining profitability, with effective sales strategies leveraging data-driven analysis to accelerate revenue growth [14]. - Dynamic pricing models based on customer willingness to pay are being adopted to maximize revenue and profit [15]. Conclusion - The Asian refining and petrochemical industries are entering a period of structural upheaval, with traditional advantages becoming less reliable [16]. - Future winners will be those companies that can adapt quickly to market changes, deeply integrate digital technologies, and optimize costs and product portfolios [16].

Group 1: Core Developments in Gulei Peninsula - The Gulei Peninsula is witnessing a vibrant industrial renewal, highlighted by the signing of a green methanol project with a total investment of 15 billion yuan, leveraging offshore wind power and biomass resources [1] - The successful relocation of the CCR control room and the establishment of a digital management system mark significant steps towards smart upgrades in the Gulei petrochemical sector [1] - The Gulei Petrochemical Company has successfully implemented an MPS system for dynamic monitoring of key operational indicators, aiding in resource optimization and cost reduction [1] - The selective hydrogenation project for butadiene at Gulei Petrochemical, recognized as a key national project, is set to transform by-products into high-value raw materials [1] Group 2: Policy and Support for Industrial Growth - The Gulei development zone is receiving strong support from national and local governments, with a series of policies aimed at fostering a world-class high-end smart green petrochemical base [3] - The provincial government has introduced "twenty measures" to support Gulei's development, facilitating project approvals and funding [3] - The Gulei area has seen significant project activity, with over 640 billion yuan in total investments from new and ongoing projects, including major projects exceeding 100 billion yuan [3][4] Group 3: Transition to High-End, Intelligent, and Green Industry - The Gulei development zone is focused on transforming the traditional petrochemical industry towards high-end, intelligent, and green development, emphasizing innovation and resource integration [5] - Investments of 1.356 billion yuan have been made to establish pilot bases for chemical and biopharmaceutical innovations, promoting deep integration of technology and industry [5] - The Gulei area is advancing its circular economy initiatives and aims to achieve a 90% direct supply of green electricity through integrated energy solutions [6] Group 4: Regional Collaboration and Infrastructure Development - Gulei is enhancing regional collaboration by constructing key transportation infrastructure and fostering industrial connections with surrounding areas [7] - Strategic partnerships have been formed to promote green low-carbon transitions and integrate oil trading and refining processes [7] - The Gulei development zone is actively engaging in international cooperation, aiming to create a new economic model that leverages its petrochemical base [8]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Unilateral: Neutral; PDH propylene supply is expected to tighten, but downstream profits are under pressure and follow - up may be limited. Pay attention to device dynamics. - Inter - period: None. - Inter - variety: None. [2] 2. Core Viewpoints - The expected de - capacity of the South Korean petrochemical industry's naphtha cracking boosts propylene prices. South Korea's propylene capacity accounts for 6% of the global total. From January to July this year, China imported 863,000 tons of propylene from South Korea, accounting for 67.6% of total imports, and 73.7% in 2024. South Korea's petrochemical de - capacity may support overseas propylene prices. - On the supply side, the maintenance of Shandong Zhenhua PDH continues, and Qingdao Jinneng and Wanhua Penglai PDH are shut down for maintenance. The PDH start - up rate has declined month - on - month, and the external release of propylene has tightened, which supports the price in the short term. However, downstream profits are under pressure at high prices, and procurement is cautious, so the upward space for propylene prices may be limited. - On the demand side, the overall downstream start - up rate has rebounded. The start - up rate of octanol has increased significantly, and the PP start - up rate has increased slightly. The start - up rate of acrylic acid has declined significantly. In the short term, demand is supported, but its sustainability is questionable. - On the cost side, the crude oil price has stopped falling and then fluctuated upward, and the landed price of the propane outer market has rebounded, so the cost - side support has shifted upward. [2] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Propylene Basis Structure - The closing price of the propylene main contract is 6491 yuan/ton (+21), the spot price of propylene in East China is 6450 yuan/ton (+25), the spot price of propylene in North China is 6455 yuan/ton (-45), the basis of propylene in East China is - 41 yuan/ton (+4), and the basis of propylene in North China is - 36 yuan/ton (-66). [1] 3.2 Propylene Production Profit and Start - up Rate - The propylene start - up rate is 75% (+1%), China's propylene CFR - Japanese naphtha CFR is 193 US dollars/ton (-3), and propylene CFR - 1.2 propane CFR is 97 US dollars/ton (+1). [1] 3.3 Propylene Import and Export Profits - The propylene import profit is - 263 yuan/ton (+3). [1] 3.4 Propylene Downstream Profits and Start - up Rates - PP powder start - up rate is 40% (+1.29%), production profit is - 55 yuan/ton (+75); epoxy propane start - up rate is 74% (+2%), production profit is - 383 yuan/ton (-86); n - butanol start - up rate is 89% (+0%), production profit is 336 yuan/ton (+589); octanol start - up rate is 92% (+6%), production profit is 430 yuan/ton (-18); acrylic acid start - up rate is 70% (-5%), production profit is 446 yuan/ton (-18); acrylonitrile start - up rate is 73% (+1%), production profit is - 572 yuan/ton (+56); phenol - acetone start - up rate is 78% (+1%), production profit is - 727 yuan/ton (+0). [1] 3.5 Propylene Inventory - The in - plant inventory is 40,320 tons (+3470). [1]

Key Recommendations - The report highlights the revision of the classification and evaluation regulations for securities firms, emphasizing the importance of the mid-year report allocation window in the non-bank financial sector [6][7] - The non-bank financial index rose by 2.7% last week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.5 percentage points, with both the brokerage and insurance indices showing synchronized increases of 3.1% and 1.4% respectively [6][7] - The average daily trading volume in the stock market increased by 20.9% week-on-week to 30,123 billion yuan, while the margin financing balance rose by 4.5% to 2.16 trillion yuan [6][7] Company Analysis: Kaili Medical (300633) - In H1 2025, Kaili Medical reported revenue of 964 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.78%, and a net profit of 47 million yuan, down 72.43% [11] - The company experienced a slight revenue increase of 0.17% year-on-year in Q2 2025, with a significant sequential increase of 24.24% [11] - The company is focusing on high-end products and anticipates a recovery in bidding processes, which could drive future growth [11][12] Company Analysis: Hengli Petrochemical (600346) - Hengli Petrochemical's revenue for H1 2025 was 103.89 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.69% year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.05 billion yuan, down 24.08% [16][17] - The company faced significant pressure in Q2 2025, with revenue declining by 13.5% year-on-year and net profit down 46.8% [17] - Despite the profit decline, operating cash flow increased by 55.42% to 19.48 billion yuan, indicating strong cash management [18] Company Analysis: Tebao Biopharmaceutical (688278) - Tebao Biopharmaceutical achieved revenue of 1.511 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.96%, with a net profit of 428 million yuan, up 40.60% [21][22] - The company is expanding its core product, Pegbivac, which is gaining traction in the chronic hepatitis B treatment market [22] - Tebao's R&D investment increased by 48.77% to 202 million yuan, with new product approvals expected to contribute to future growth [23][24] Industry Analysis: Semiconductor and AI Chip Market - The domestic AI chip market is expected to grow significantly, with sales projected to reach 92 billion USD in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 29.58% [27] - The market share of domestic AI chip suppliers is anticipated to rise to 40% by 2025, driven by increasing demand and government support for local manufacturers [27] - Xiaomi's Q2 2025 performance was strong, with total revenue reaching 116 billion yuan, a 30.5% year-on-year increase, driven by its mobile and AIoT businesses [28] Market Overview - The electronic sector outperformed the broader market, with the electronic index rising by 8.95% compared to the 4.18% increase in the CSI 300 index [29] - The semiconductor sub-sector saw a notable increase of 12.26%, indicating strong investor interest and demand in this area [29] - The report suggests a gradual recovery in industry demand, with price stabilization and opportunities for investment in AI and automotive electronics [30]

Group 1 - The chemical sector experienced a significant rally on August 26, with the Chemical ETF (516020) rising over 2% at one point and closing up 1.67% [1] - Key stocks in the sector included Zhonghua International, which hit the daily limit, and Zhongke Titanium, which surged over 9% [1] - Other notable gainers included Xin Fengming and Luxi Chemical, both rising over 5%, while several other stocks increased by more than 4% [1] Group 2 - Recent trends indicate that various sub-sectors within the chemical industry are pushing for a "de-involution" strategy, suggesting a need for both administrative and self-regulatory measures [1] - Successful cases in the refrigerant industry highlight the importance of policy in driving industry changes, with potential for similar outcomes in polyester and viscose sectors [1] - Huatai Securities noted that the industry is at a profit bottom, with supply-side adjustments expected to improve profitability for bulk chemical products [3] Group 3 - The chemical industry is anticipated to benefit from a slowdown in global capacity expansion, with strong cash flow potentially leading to higher dividend yields [5] - The Chemical ETF (516020) tracks a comprehensive index covering various chemical sub-sectors, with nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap stocks [6] - The ETF provides an efficient way for investors to gain exposure to the chemical sector, which includes leading companies in phosphate, fluorine, and nitrogen fertilizers [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Siam Cement Group's subsidiary, Long Son Petrochemicals (LSP), has restarted its petrochemical complex in Ho Chi Minh City after a year of shutdown, coinciding with a decline in crude oil prices that has reduced operational costs [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Long Son Petrochemicals is undertaking a $500 million renovation project expected to be completed by 2027 [1] - The total investment for the complex amounts to $5 billion, which began construction in 2018 and was scheduled to commence commercial operations in September 2024 [1] - The complex has an annual production capacity of 1.4 million tons of olefin resins, supplying raw materials for various industries including packaging, agriculture, electronics, and automotive [1] Group 2: Market Context - The restart of the complex is seen as an opportunity due to the drop in crude oil prices, which has allowed for a more favorable operational environment [1] - The initial production was halted just one month after launch due to rising costs and unprofitability [1]