证券分析师 崔航 A0230524080005 cuihang@swsresearch.com 今日重点推荐 2025 年 05 月 09 日 蜜雪集团（02097.HK）深度：现制茶饮第一，平价锚定，供 应链为基 | 指数 | 收盘 | | 涨跌（％） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | （点） | 1 日 | 5 日 | 1 月 | | 上证指数 | 3352 | 0.28 | 6.56 | 2.23 | | 深证综指 | 1988 | 1.03 | 10.95 | 3.78 | | 风格指数 | 昨日表现 | 1 个月表现 | 6 个月表现 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | （％） | （％） | （％） | | 大盘指数 | 0.6 | 5.73 | -5.77 | | 中盘指数 | 0.38 | 7.69 | -10.29 | | 小盘指数 | 0.67 | 10.22 | -3.73 | | 行业涨幅 | 昨日涨 | 1 个月涨 | 6 个月涨 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 通信设备 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The new tea beverage company, Hu Shang A Yi, successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking a significant entry into the capital market for the new tea beverage sector, which is experiencing intense competition and expansion [1][8]. Company Overview - Hu Shang A Yi opened its first store in 2013 and has grown to 9,176 stores by December 31, 2024, covering all four direct-controlled municipalities and over 300 cities across 22 provinces [3]. - The company reported revenues of 2.199 billion yuan, 3.348 billion yuan, and 3.285 billion yuan for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, with adjusted net profits of 154 million yuan, 416 million yuan, and 418 million yuan during the same period [3]. - The Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) increased from 6.068 billion yuan in 2022 to 9.732 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 60.4%, and further rising to 10.736 billion yuan in 2024, a growth of 10.3% [3]. Market Positioning - Over 50% of Hu Shang A Yi's stores are located in third-tier cities and below, indicating a strategic focus on the lower-tier market for growth [3][4]. - The company has launched a "light enjoyment" version of its products to cater to the demand in these markets, with the latest upgrade to version 2.0 in March 2024 [4]. Revenue Model - The franchise model is central to Hu Shang A Yi's business, with 99.7% of its stores operated by franchisees. The revenue from franchise-related activities has increased from 94.3% in 2022 to 96.5% in 2024 [5]. - The company’s self-operated store revenue has decreased significantly, from 5.7% in 2022 to 1.5% in 2024, highlighting the reliance on franchise operations [5]. Challenges and Opportunities - The average GMV per franchise store is projected to decline from 1.6 million yuan in 2023 to 1.4 million yuan in 2024 due to industry growth slowdown and increased competition [6]. - Despite the challenges, Hu Shang A Yi's revenue from ingredient sales increased by 1.3% to 2.548 billion yuan in 2024, driven by the expansion of its franchise network [6]. Competitive Landscape - The new tea beverage market is witnessing rapid growth, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% to 18% for lower-tier cities from 2024 to 2028, indicating significant potential for brands like Hu Shang A Yi [4][9]. - The recent IPOs of other tea brands have generated investor confidence, with Hu Shang A Yi's subscription rate reaching 3,447.33 times, indicating strong market interest [8]. Strategic Recommendations - To maintain investor confidence, Hu Shang A Yi needs to enhance store efficiency, optimize cost structures, and continue product innovation while balancing market share expansion with profitability [9]. - The company should consider international expansion while adapting to local cultural differences and consumer habits to ensure successful market penetration [9].

Core Viewpoint - Hu Shang A Yi (02589.HK) successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange at an issue price of HKD 113.12, reflecting strong market optimism for the new tea beverage sector and the company's business model [1] Market Overview - The Chinese ready-to-drink beverage market has seen rapid growth, with the market size increasing from RMB 187.8 billion in 2018 to RMB 517.5 billion in 2023, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.5%. It is projected to reach RMB 1,163.4 billion by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 17.6% [1] - The ready-to-drink tea market holds the largest share within this sector, accounting for 50% in 2023, with a market size expected to grow from RMB 108.5 billion in 2018 to RMB 258.5 billion in 2023, and further to RMB 573.2 billion by 2028 at a CAGR of 17.3% [2] Company Performance - As of December 31, 2023, Hu Shang A Yi operates the fourth-largest ready-to-drink tea store network in China, with revenues of RMB 21.99 billion in 2022, RMB 33.48 billion in 2023, and projected RMB 32.85 billion in 2024. Net profits were RMB 1.49 billion, RMB 3.88 billion, and RMB 3.29 billion for the same years [3][4] - The company has a strong focus on mid-range pricing, with a price range of RMB 10-20, filling the gap between lower-priced brands and premium offerings [5] Business Model - Hu Shang A Yi employs a franchise-focused business model, with 99.7% of its stores operated by franchisees, totaling 9,176 stores by the end of 2024, covering over 300 cities [5][6] - The company has a significant presence in lower-tier cities, with 50.4% of its stores located in third-tier and below cities, which is a strategic advantage due to lower investment costs and high demand [7][8] Revenue Breakdown - Franchise-related revenue accounted for 94.3% in 2022, 96.3% in 2023, and 96.5% in 2024, indicating a strong reliance on the franchise model for income generation [6] - Revenue from third-tier and below cities was RMB 9.45 billion in 2022, RMB 15.24 billion in 2023, and RMB 15.83 billion in 2024, representing 43.0%, 45.5%, and 48.2% of total revenue respectively [8] Strategic Focus - The company emphasizes product innovation, launching over 100 new products annually to meet diverse consumer needs, including seasonal offerings and new product lines [9] - Hu Shang A Yi has established a robust supply chain management system, with a nationwide cold chain logistics network to ensure product freshness and quality [10] International Expansion - Currently, Hu Shang A Yi's international business is in its early stages, with overseas revenue of RMB 6.33 million in 2024, accounting for only 0.2% of total revenue. The company plans to focus on increasing penetration in lower-tier cities while exploring niche markets through sub-brands [10]

智通财经APP获悉，港股今日低开高走，三大指数早盘均一度涨超1%，随即上涨动力不足，午后股指 涨幅悉数收窄。截止收盘，恒生指数涨0.37%或84.04点，报22775.92点，全日成交额1858.96亿港元；恒 生国企指数涨0.7%，报8300.25点；恒生科技指数涨0.56%，报5228.91点。 浙商国际指出，整体来看，港股市场基本面和资金面短期皆有隐忧，政策面仍在加码，而情绪面则偏观 望。但鉴于当下港股市场周月线级别趋势已进入右侧区间，对于后续走势不建议过度悲观。因此，该行 对于中短期市场走势继续保持谨慎乐观的态度。 蓝筹股表现 理想汽车-W(02015)领涨蓝筹。截至收盘，涨4.96%，报105.9港元，成交额28.27亿港元，贡献恒指11.36 点。理想L系列智能焕新版发布会将于今晚20:00举行，将推出L9、L8、L7、L6智能焕新版。在4月23日 开幕的上海车展上，理想L6智能焕新版已经公布售价并开启预订，共推出2款车型，售价区间24.98- 27.98万元。 其他蓝筹股方面，吉利汽车(00175)涨4.41%，报17.52港元，贡献恒指7.41点；药明生物(02269)涨 3.92%，报22. ...

沪上阿姨的上市之路备受瞩目，其申购金额超过940亿港元，申购倍数高达3400多倍，仅次于蜜雪集团的5200倍认购。这股热潮不仅吸引了众多投资人， 连奶茶原料供应商华宝股份也参与了基石投资。沪上阿姨此次募资将主要用于数字化升级、产品研发和供应链强化，计划进一步深耕现有市场，并将业务 扩展至更多三线及以下城市。 | | | | 截至12月31日 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2022 年 | | 2023 年 | | 2024 年 | | | 一線 城市 | 403 | 7.6% | 586 | 7.5% | 686 | 7.5% | | 新 一 線 城 市 | 1,272 | 24.0% | 1,742 | 22.4% | 1,896 | 20.7% | | 二線 城市 | 1,067 | 20.1% | 1,612 20.7% | | 1,964 | 21.4% | | 三 線 及 以 下 城 市 2,565 48.3% 3,849 49.4% 4,629 | | | | | | 50.4% | | 海 外(1) | ' | ่ ...

沪上阿姨市值相当于 1/10个蜜雪冰城 ， 1/3个古茗，10个奈雪的茶 。 时隔2个月，港股又迎来了新茶饮上市公司，也是今年第四家新茶饮上市公司。 夫妻店，年入32亿 和奈雪的茶类似，沪上阿姨也是"夫妻店"。 创业之前，单卫钧和妻子周蓉都曾供职于美企500强，并一路高升至高级经理，不低的起点给了两人往上搏一搏的决心。 5月8日，沪上阿姨在港交所挂牌上市，首日大幅高开68.49%。在一众港股奶茶上市公司中，沪上阿姨定价仅次于蜜雪冰城，远高于其他品牌。截止发 稿，沪上阿姨每股172.4港元，总市值达180.75亿港元，相当于1/10个蜜雪冰城，不到1/3个古茗，10个奈雪的茶。 由蜜雪冰城带起来的港股打新热，使得沪上阿姨也吸引了不少投资人。富途数据显示，沪上阿姨的申购金额超过940亿港元，申购倍数超过3400倍，是仅 次于蜜雪集团5200倍认购的新茶饮股票，连奶茶原料爆爆珠供应商华宝股份也参与了基石投资。 据悉，此次沪上阿姨募资将用于数字化升级、产品研发、供应链强化。公司表示，将继续深耕现有市场，并计划将业务扩展至更多三线及以下城市。 随着沪上阿姨顺利敲钟，新茶饮上市潮还在继续。 2011年，单卫钧夫妇卖掉山东 ...

本文为IPO早知道原创 作者｜ Stone Jin 微信公众号｜ipozaozhidao 据 IPO早知道消息，沪上阿姨（上海）实业股份有限公司（以下简称"沪上阿姨"）于2025年5月8日 正式以"2589"为股票代码在港交所主板挂牌上市。 2013年，第一家沪上阿姨门店在上海开业。目前，沪上阿姨旗下拥有主要品牌「沪上阿姨」、2022 年推出的「沪咖」以及2023年推出的「轻享版」。其中，2024年3月，"轻享版"升级至2.0版本， 并正式推出"茶瀑布"，进一步捕捉下沉市场需求。 截至 2025年4月18日，沪上阿姨的门店网络 拥有 9,367家门店 。 根据灼识咨询资料，以截至 2023年12月31日的门店总数计算，沪上阿姨在中国北方中价现制茶饮店品牌中排名第一、在中国中 价现制茶饮店品牌中排名第三、在中国现制茶饮店行业排名第四。同时，在中国中价现制茶饮店品牌 中，截至2023年12月31日沪上阿姨覆盖的城市数目最多；而按2022年和2023年门店总数及GMV 增长率计算，沪上阿姨是中国以门店总数计算的前五大现制茶饮店品牌中增长最快的现制茶饮店品 牌。 嘉御资本创始合伙人、董事长卫哲（中）在上市仪式现场。 ...

在中国北方中价现制茶饮店品牌中排名第一。 本文为IPO早知道原创 作者｜ Stone Jin 微信公众号｜ipozaozhidao 据 IPO早知道消息， 沪上阿姨（上海）实业股份有限公司 （以下简称 " 沪上阿姨 "）于2025年5月8 日正式以"2589"为股票代码在港交所主板挂牌上市。 沪上阿姨 在本次 IPO发行中总计发行2,411,340股H股 。其中，香港公开发售部分获 3616.83 倍认 购，国际发售部分获 2.57 倍认购。同时， 沪上阿姨在本次 IPO发行中引入 了 盈峰集团 和 华宝股 份（ 300741.SZ） 两 位基石投资者，累计认购 921.55万美元。 以每股 113.12港元的 发行价计 算， 沪上阿姨 通过本次 IPO发行募集资金总额为 2.73亿港元 。 沪上阿姨今日高开超68%。截至10:05，沪上阿姨报于每股175.80港元，较发行价上涨55.41%，市 值184.31亿港元。 2024年 GMV 超 107亿元 2013年，第一家沪上阿姨门店在上海开业。目前，沪上阿姨旗下拥有主要品牌「沪上阿姨」、2022 年推出的「沪咖」以及2023年推出的「轻享版」。其中，202 ...

| 指数 | 收盘 | | 涨跌（％） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | （点） | 1 日 | 5 日 | 1 月 | | 上证指数 | 3343 | 0.8 | 7.95 | 1.94 | | 深证综指 | 1968 | 0.46 | 10.71 | 2.72 | | 风格指数 | 昨日表现 | 1 个月表现 | 6 个月表现 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | （％） | （％） | （％） | | 大盘指数 | 0.66 | 7.03 | -7.37 | | 中盘指数 | 0.16 | 7.74 | -10.86 | | 小盘指数 | 0.15 | 10.19 | -4.17 | | 行业涨幅 | 昨日涨 | 1 个月涨 | 6 个月涨 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 地面兵装Ⅱ | 5.42 | 20.76 | 6.75 | | 航空装备Ⅱ | 3.91 | 15.59 | -11.59 | | 航天装备Ⅱ | 3.66 | 10.97 | -8.95 | | 军工电子Ⅱ | 3.59 | 1 ...

【品大事】 永贵电器公告称，公司独立董事刘建被相关监察机关实施留置，经初步了解，刘建所涉事项与公司无 关。刘建为公司第五届董事会独立董事，不参与公司日常生产经营管理工作。目前公司其他董事、监事 及高级管理人员均正常履职，公司生产经营及管理一切正常。 3连板中超控股：异动期间公司实控人杨飞卖出0.11%公司股票 5月7日晚间，沪深两市多家上市公司发布公告，以下是第一财经对一些重要公告的汇总，供投资者参 考。 永贵电器：独立董事刘建被留置 青岛啤酒公告，公司与新华锦集团、鲁锦集团及山东即墨黄酒厂有限公司（"即墨黄酒"）签订《股权转 让协议》，本公司拟从新华锦集团和鲁锦集团处受让其合计持有的即墨黄酒100%股权，相关对价为 6.65亿元和价格调整期损益金额之和。即墨黄酒与本公司同属发酵酒类行业，随着即墨黄酒的加入，将 进一步丰富本公司产品线，拓宽市场渠道，为广大消费者提供更加多元化的选择。 【增减持】 泛亚微透：赛富创投和南方精工拟合计减持不超过7%公司股份 信雅达公告，公司实控人郭华强及控股股东电子公司计划通过集中竞价交易方式减持其所持有的公司股 份。其中郭华强拟减持的数量不超过127万股，占公司当前总股本的0. ...