关于业绩预亏原因，ST柯利达在公告中指出，报告期内，受宏观经济疲软及市场环境趋紧等因素影 响，国内建筑行业下行压力显著增强，市场竞争日益白热化。为应对挑战，公司主动收缩市场范围，聚 焦本地市场，在建工程量减少，营业收入减少；由于市场竞争加剧，项目毛利进一步下降。 报告期内，公司应收款项单项减值准备增加，应收款项的减值损失增加。 公开资料显示，柯利达成立于2000年，法定代表人为顾益明，主营业务为建筑幕墙与建筑装饰工程的设 计与施工。顾益明与顾佳、顾龙棣均为柯利达的实际控制人，其中，顾益明、顾龙棣为兄弟关系，顾佳 为原实际控制人顾敏荣之子。 顾益明出生于1970年9月，硕士，高级工程师，高级经济师。1993年至2000年，顾益明曾任苏州二建集 团分公司经理；2000年8月作为主要股东设立了公司，2000年至2014年任公司副总经理、总经理、董事 长；2003年至今任苏州承志监事；2014年至今任公司董事长。 顾益明2024年薪酬为80万元，较2023年同期的103.5万元，同比降23%。 乐居财经李兰1月30日，ST柯利达(603828.SH)发布2025年年度业绩预亏公告。 ST柯利达预计2025年度实现归属 ...

Group 1 - The report discusses the volatility in the capital markets, particularly in precious metals and colored metals, highlighting that gold prices have surged nearly 30% in January, leading to increased volatility [2][10][11] - The report emphasizes the contradiction between asset pricing and positioning, noting that despite gold's price increase, the volatility has also escalated, raising questions about the rationale for investing in such volatile assets for hedging purposes [11][12] - The report identifies that the characteristics of 30-year government bonds have changed, with a significant drop in yield and increased volatility, indicating a loss of the "fixed income" nature of these assets [15][18] Group 2 - The report outlines that convertible bonds have become a leveraged asset, with their leverage stemming from the underlying equity assets and the specific investment restrictions of "fixed income+" products [3][21][25] - It highlights that the short-term impact on convertible bonds is influenced by equity market trends, strong redemption clauses, and opportunity costs, suggesting that if the equity market remains bullish, there is no strong reason to be bearish on convertible bonds [4][27] - The report recommends focusing on convertible bonds with high equity characteristics and no strong redemption expectations, as well as those with moderate pricing and positive fundamental changes [5][31][32] Group 3 - The report suggests a defensive approach by including convertible bonds with solid cash flow and low premium rates, as well as those in the chemical sector, which may benefit from upcoming demand [35][36][37] - It identifies specific convertible bonds to watch, including Daotong Convertible Bond, Zhoubang Convertible Bond, and Liugong Convertible Bond for high equity characteristics, and Yong 22 Convertible Bond and Southeast Convertible Bond for moderate pricing with positive changes [31][32][33]

证券研究报告——建筑装饰行业周报 建筑业 PMI 下降，板块跑输沪深 300 【2026.1.26-2026.2.1】 行业评级：看好 发布日期：2026.2.3 建筑装饰行情走势图 大同证券研究中心 分析师：张坤飞 执业证书编号：S0770524020001 邮箱：zhangkf@dtsbc.com.cn 西世贸中心 A 座 F12、F13 网址:http://www.dtsbc.com.cn 基建、地产等投资不及预期；宏观流动性收紧风险；地方融资 平台违约风险；关税影响增强的风险。 核心观点 权益市场涨跌互现，建筑装饰跑输指数。A 股主要指数涨跌互 现，贵金属市场剧烈波动，受美联储主席提名凯文·沃什（被 视为鹰派）影响，纽约黄金单日暴跌超 9%，白银跌幅达 26%， 引发全球杠杆多头集中平仓，国内交易所同步上调交易保证金 比例，短期情绪剧烈震荡。ETF 资金显著分流，周期与商品类 ETF 单周净流入超 600 亿元，沪港深黄金 ETF 领涨；而 A 股大 盘与中小盘 ETF 遭遇巨额赎回，单周净流出近 3000 亿元，显 示资金从宽基指数向主题性资源资产集中。保险板块估值修 复，在"报行合一"政策推动下， ...

证券研究报告——建筑装饰行业周报 建筑业 PMI 下降，板块跑输沪深 300 【2026.1.26-2026.2.1】 行业评级：看好 发布日期：2026.2.3 建筑装饰行情走势图 大同证券研究中心 分析师：张坤飞 执业证书编号：S0770524020001 邮箱：zhangkf@dtsbc.com.cn 西世贸中心 A 座 F12、F13 网址:http://www.dtsbc.com.cn 基建、地产等投资不及预期；宏观流动性收紧风险；地方融资 平台违约风险；关税影响增强的风险。 核心观点 权益市场涨跌互现，建筑装饰跑输指数。A 股主要指数涨跌互 现，贵金属市场剧烈波动，受美联储主席提名凯文·沃什（被 视为鹰派）影响，纽约黄金单日暴跌超 9%，白银跌幅达 26%， 引发全球杠杆多头集中平仓，国内交易所同步上调交易保证金 比例，短期情绪剧烈震荡。ETF 资金显著分流，周期与商品类 ETF 单周净流入超 600 亿元，沪港深黄金 ETF 领涨；而 A 股大 盘与中小盘 ETF 遭遇巨额赎回，单周净流出近 3000 亿元，显 示资金从宽基指数向主题性资源资产集中。保险板块估值修 复，在"报行合一"政策推动下， ...

- The report tracks the prosperity signals of various industries, including coal, livestock farming, steel, structural materials, and fuel refining industries[9] - The coal industry revenue and profit growth are estimated monthly based on price and capacity factors[10] - The livestock farming industry uses the farrowing sow inventory and the slaughter coefficient method to estimate the supply-demand gap for pigs six months later[15][16] - The steel industry profit growth and per-ton profit are predicted using comprehensive steel prices and cost indicators such as iron ore, coke, and scrap steel[18] - The structural materials and construction engineering industries' profitability changes are tracked using price and cost indicators for glass and cement manufacturing[24] - The fuel refining and oil service industries' profit growth and cracking spread are estimated based on changes in fuel oil prices and crude oil prices[27] - The coal industry profit growth for February 2026 is predicted to be slightly negative due to a slight year-on-year decrease in coal prices[14] - The livestock farming industry predicts a potential pig supply of 166.51 million heads for Q2 2026, with a demand forecast of 171.43 million heads, indicating a slightly tight supply-demand balance[17] - The steel industry profit growth for January 2026 is predicted to be slightly negative, with the rolling 12-period PMI average not exceeding the threshold[22] - The glass industry gross profit for January 2026 is predicted to continue its year-on-year negative growth[26] - The cement industry profit for January 2026 is predicted to continue its year-on-year negative growth, with no significant increase in new housing starts[26] - The fuel refining industry profit for January 2026 is predicted to slightly decrease year-on-year[27][28]

Core Insights - The article discusses the performance of ST stocks in the Chinese capital market, highlighting a significant number of companies facing delisting risks due to poor financial results [2][3]. Group 1: Performance of ST Stocks - As of February 2, 178 ST stocks were under risk warnings, with 176 having released earnings forecasts, indicating a trend of companies struggling to meet performance expectations [2][3]. - Only 24% of ST stocks reported improved performance, with 118 continuing to incur losses, while 93 stocks under delisting risk showed that 58 were expected to continue losing money [3][4]. Group 2: Major Losses and Financial Indicators - ST晨鸣 (000488.SZ) is projected to incur the largest loss, estimated between 8.2 billion to 8.8 billion yuan, marking its third consecutive year of losses totaling 16.9 billion yuan [3][4]. - ST柯利达 (603828.SH) anticipates a net loss of 160 million to 200 million yuan, a drastic decline of 1964.13% to 2430.16% compared to the previous year [4]. Group 3: Delisting Risks - Companies like *ST岩石 and *ST精伦 are at risk of delisting due to failing to meet financial criteria, with *ST岩石 expected to have an operating income below 300 million yuan [5][6]. - Several ST stocks are likely to receive non-standard audit opinions, which could further jeopardize their listing status, such as *ST观典 and *ST太和 [5][6]. Group 4: Recovery Efforts - Some ST stocks are attempting to turn around their fortunes through restructuring and asset sales, with *ST金科 (000656.SZ) projecting a net profit of 30 billion to 35 billion yuan for 2025 after a significant debt restructuring [7][8]. - *ST松发 is also expected to achieve a net profit of 2.4 billion to 2.7 billion yuan, following a major asset restructuring that shifted its business focus [8][9].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of risk warning stocks in the market, highlighting that a significant number of these stocks are facing delisting risks due to poor financial results and the implementation of stricter delisting regulations [3][5]. Group 1: Performance of Risk Warning Stocks - As of February 2, 2026, out of 178 risk warning stocks, 176 have released performance forecasts, with only 24% of ST stocks showing positive performance [4][7]. - Among the 93 stocks under delisting risk, 58 are expected to continue losing money, accounting for 69% of the group [7]. - ST晨鸣 (000488.SZ) is projected to incur a loss of between 8.2 billion to 8.8 billion yuan, marking its third consecutive year of losses totaling 16.9 billion yuan [7][8]. Group 2: Companies Facing Delisting Risks - Companies like *ST岩石 and *ST精伦 are expected to report negative net profits and insufficient revenue, leading to potential delisting [10]. - Some companies are already facing non-standard audit opinions, indicating further risks of delisting, such as *ST观典 and *ST太和 [11]. Group 3: Companies on the Path to Recovery - Certain ST stocks are attempting to turn around their fortunes through restructuring and asset sales, such as *ST金科, which is expected to report a net profit of 30 billion to 35 billion yuan after a successful restructuring [13]. - *ST松发 is projected to achieve a net profit of 2.4 billion to 2.7 billion yuan, following a significant asset restructuring that shifted its business focus [14].

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant number of companies facing delisting risks due to poor financial performance, with only 24% of ST stocks showing positive results [1][2] - A total of 178 ST stocks were analyzed, with 118 continuing to incur losses, indicating a concerning trend in the market [2][3] Group 1: Financial Performance of ST Stocks - Among the 178 ST stocks, 118 reported continued losses, while only 33 managed to turn a profit, and 12 reported first-time losses [2] - The largest projected loss comes from ST Chenming, with an estimated loss of 8.2 billion to 8.8 billion yuan, marking its third consecutive year of losses totaling 16.9 billion yuan [2][3] - ST Keli Da expects a net loss of 160 million to 200 million yuan for 2025, a drastic decline of 1964.13% to 2430.16% compared to the previous year [3] Group 2: Delisting Risks - Several companies, including ST Yanshi and ST Jinglun, have triggered financial delisting indicators, with ST Yanshi expected to have an operating income below 300 million yuan for 2025 [4] - ST Jinglun anticipates a negative net profit for 2025, with its stock facing potential delisting risks due to financial performance [4][5] - Audit firms have indicated that some ST stocks may receive non-standard audit opinions, further increasing delisting risks [4] Group 3: Recovery Efforts - Some ST stocks are attempting to recover through restructuring and asset sales, with ST Jinke projecting a turnaround with a net profit of 30 billion to 35 billion yuan for 2025 after completing a restructuring plan [6] - ST Songfa expects a net profit of 2.4 billion to 2.7 billion yuan for 2025, following a significant asset restructuring that shifted its business focus [6][7] - ST Weir has also seen positive impacts on its performance through strategic asset acquisitions and divestitures, projecting a net profit of 19 million to 22 million yuan [7]

这是一场保壳的极速狂奔，仅24%的ST股业绩向好，多只ST股拉响了退市警报。这些公司大多存在被 出具非标年报、利润亏损、扣除后营业收入为负值、期末净资产为负值等情况，部分公司遭立案调查或 被处罚。 每当年报过后，就会有一批因业绩再度不达标的风险警示股黯然挥手资本市场，而业绩预告，往往成为 市场观察这些公司命运走向的重要风向标。 Wind数据显示，截至2月2日，178只风险警示股中，已有176只发布了业绩预告，其中。93只退市风险 警示股已全部发布业绩预告。 这是一场保壳的极速狂奔，仅24%的ST股业绩向好，多只ST股拉响了退市警报，如*ST岩石 （600696.SH）、*ST精伦（600355.SH）、*ST观典（688287.SH）等均称，公司股票可能被终止上市。 这些公司大多存在被出具非标年报、利润亏损、扣除后营业收入为负值、期末净资产为负值等情况，部 分公司遭立案调查或被处罚。 退市制度是市场新陈代谢的重要一环，自退市新规发布实施以来，资本市场正加速形成"应退尽退、及 时出清"的常态化退市格局。 仅24%ST股业绩向好 退市警报已拉响 在亏损依旧的ST股中，部分已提前明确触及财务类退市指标，如*ST岩石 ...

2月2日各行业融资余额环比变动 | 代码 | 最新融资 | 较上一日增减（亿元） | 环比增幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 余额（亿元） | | | | 基础化工 | 1067.66 | 6.91 | 0.65 | | 建筑装饰 | 434.67 | 5.60 | 1.31 | | 汽车 | 1235.18 | 2.45 | 0.20 | | 建筑材料 | 143.49 | 1.67 | 1.18 | | 农林牧渔 | 311.79 | 1.62 | 0.52 | | 煤炭 | 156.52 | 1.49 | 0.96 | | 轻工制造 | 148.43 | 1.28 | 0.87 | | 电力设备 | 2359.62 | 1.08 | 0.05 | | 交通运输 | 431.47 | 0.95 | 0.22 | | 计算机 | 1868.34 | 0.72 | 0.04 | | 公用事业 | 570.02 | 0.62 | 0.11 | | 房地产 | 372.05 | 0.31 | 0.08 | | 钢铁 | 175.99 | 0.14 | 0.08 | | 银行 ...