证券研究报告——建筑装饰行业周报 板块跑赢指数，供需与政策双维发力 【2026.1.12-2026.1.18】 行业评级：看好 发布日期：2026.1.20 建筑装饰行情走势图 数据来源：Wind 大同证券 分析师：张坤飞 执业证书编号：S0770524020001 邮箱：zhangkf@dtsbc.com.cn 地址：山西太原长治路 111 号山 西世贸中心 A 座 F12、F13 网址:http://www.dtsbc.com.cn 风险提示 基建、地产等投资不及预期；宏观流动性收紧风险；地方融资 平台违约风险；关税影响增强的风险。 核心观点 权益市场涨跌互现，建筑装饰跑赢指数，央行通过逆回购净投 放 8128 亿元，重启 14 天逆回购呵护流动性，资金利率多数下 行，同业存单净融资为负且各期限利率分化，10 年期国债等 利率债收益率小幅下行。外汇市场上，美元指数受避险需求支 撑连升三周，人民币依托出口数据向好与结汇力量保持韧性。 股票市场多数指数上涨，科创 50 指数领涨 4.05%，计算机等 行业表现突出，国防军工等行业跌幅靠前。商品市场中黄金受 地缘风险支撑价格上涨。宏观层面，2025 年 12 月 ...

证券研究报告——建筑装饰行业周报 板块跑赢指数，供需与政策双维发力 【2026.1.12-2026.1.18】 行业评级：看好 发布日期：2026.1.20 建筑装饰行情走势图 数据来源：Wind 大同证券 分析师：张坤飞 执业证书编号：S0770524020001 邮箱：zhangkf@dtsbc.com.cn 地址：山西太原长治路 111 号山 西世贸中心 A 座 F12、F13 网址:http://www.dtsbc.com.cn 风险提示 基建、地产等投资不及预期；宏观流动性收紧风险；地方融资 平台违约风险；关税影响增强的风险。 核心观点 权益市场涨跌互现，建筑装饰跑赢指数，央行通过逆回购净投 放 8128 亿元，重启 14 天逆回购呵护流动性，资金利率多数下 行，同业存单净融资为负且各期限利率分化，10 年期国债等 利率债收益率小幅下行。外汇市场上，美元指数受避险需求支 撑连升三周，人民币依托出口数据向好与结汇力量保持韧性。 股票市场多数指数上涨，科创 50 指数领涨 4.05%，计算机等 行业表现突出，国防军工等行业跌幅靠前。商品市场中黄金受 地缘风险支撑价格上涨。宏观层面，2025 年 12 月 ...

Market Overview - On January 20, the A-share market experienced fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index barely holding above 4100 points and the ChiNext Index falling below 3300 points, while the Shenzhen Component, CSI 300, and CSI 500 all closed with small bearish candles. The market turnover reached 2.8 trillion yuan [1]. Index Performance - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14155.63, down 0.97% - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4113.65, down 0.01% - The ChiNext Index closed at 3277.98, down 1.79% - The CSI 300 Index closed at 4718.88, down 0.33% - The CSI 500 Index closed at 8247.80, down 0.48% [2]. Sector Performance - Chemical, precious metals, real estate, and aviation sectors showed the highest gains, while aerospace equipment, photovoltaic equipment, communication devices, and glass fiber sectors experienced the largest declines [2]. Fund Flow Analysis - The public utilities sector saw a net inflow of over 3.7 billion yuan, while the construction and decoration sector received over 3.6 billion yuan. Real estate, banking, basic chemicals, and building materials sectors each gained over 2 billion yuan in net inflows. Transportation and retail sectors also saw net inflows exceeding 1 billion yuan. Conversely, electronics, power equipment, communications, defense, and computer sectors experienced net outflows exceeding 10 billion yuan [3]. Notable Stocks - China XD Electric (601179) saw a net inflow of 1.561 billion yuan, with a price increase of 8.84% - Shanzhi High-Tech (000981) had a net inflow of 1.423 billion yuan, with a price increase of 6.69% - Zhejiang Wenhu (600986) had a net inflow of 1.318 billion yuan, with a price increase of 10.04% - China Power Construction (601669) had a net inflow of 1.305 billion yuan, with a price increase of 7.02% [4]. Market Outlook - According to Yingda Securities, the Shanghai Composite Index is expected to oscillate around the 4100-point mark, indicating a market cooling period. This does not suggest a deep correction but rather a healthy consolidation after rapid gains. Investors are advised to take profits on short-term high-flying stocks while looking for value opportunities in underperforming sectors with solid fundamentals [4]. Future Predictions - Zhongyin International predicts that by 2026, the core broad-based indices of the Chinese stock market may see an overall increase of over 40%, driven by nearly 20% profit growth and 20% valuation improvement. Key sectors expected to lead include technology manufacturing, biomedicine, national defense, and non-ferrous metals, while sectors like communications, internet, brokerage insurance, new consumption, and real estate may have potential for catch-up gains [5]. Commodity Trends - Precious metals stocks surged in the afternoon, with the sector index reversing from an early drop of over 3% to a gain of 3.5%, reaching a historical high. Notable stocks include Hunan Silver and Zhaojin Gold, which quickly hit the daily limit [5][6]. - International gold and silver prices continued to rise, with London spot gold surpassing $4700 per ounce, marking a historical high. The trend of central banks purchasing gold is expected to support gold prices amid ongoing geopolitical tensions [6]. Chemical Industry Insights - The chemical sector showed strong performance, with various sub-sectors like daily chemicals and petrochemicals experiencing significant gains. The recent global price surge in chemicals has been noted, with major companies like BASF and Dow increasing prices across multiple regions [7][9]. - Recent data indicates that chemical product prices have generally increased, with synthetic rubber seeing the highest rise of 11.7% [9].

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Viewpoints - The secondary - market trends of industrial bond sub - industries show a divergence in the correlation between primary and secondary markets. This divergence may be due to differences in supply among industries and differences in bond liquidity and trading popularity within each industry. If an industry has many issuing entities with strong willingness and ability to issue bonds and is in a good development trend, the probability of a synchronous resonance relationship between primary - market supply and secondary - market demand is relatively high, which can improve the accuracy of judging trading signals of narrowing spreads from daily net financing [1][14]. - Most industries have trading signals transmitted from primary - market supply to secondary - market demand, including comprehensive, non - ferrous metals, and others. Some industries show a stronger negative correlation between primary - market supply and secondary - market demand, such as comprehensive and non - ferrous metals. Some industries have a weak correlation between daily net financing and daily spreads, including communication and food and beverage [2][4]. Summary by Directory 1. Industrial Bond Sub - industries Show Divergence in Primary - Secondary Market Trend Correlation - **Research Method**: Classify industrial bond issuers by Shenwan primary industries, calculate the daily net financing and daily credit spreads of each sub - industry from January 1, 2025, to December 19, 2025, to observe the correlation between primary - market supply and secondary - market demand [12]. - **Divergence Performance**: Most industries have trading signals transmitted from primary - market supply to secondary - market demand, while some do not show this feature significantly [13]. - **Reasons for Divergence**: Differences in supply among industries are related to the number, size, and life - cycle stage of issuing entities. Differences in bond liquidity and trading popularity within industries are related to the scale of outstanding bonds, valuation levels, and event catalysts [14]. 1.1. Industries with Obvious Correlation - **Comprehensive Industry**: From January to March 2025, daily net financing decreased and daily spreads increased; from March to June, daily net financing increased and daily spreads decreased; from June to December, both were in a low - level oscillation [21]. - **Non - ferrous Metals Industry**: From January to July 2025, daily net financing increased and daily spreads decreased; from July to September, daily net financing decreased and daily spreads increased; from October to December, both were in a low - level oscillation [25]. - **Other Industries**: Similar analysis is conducted for industries such as pharmaceutical biology, social services, and others, with different trends in different time intervals [27][30][32]. - **Common Features**: These industries generally have a large scale of outstanding bonds and high institutional investor attention, which is conducive to the transmission of primary - market supply changes to secondary - market spread changes [3][87]. 1.2. Industries with General Correlation - **Industries Included**: Communication, food and beverage, and other industries have a weak correlation between daily net financing and daily spreads, and the linkage and transmission between primary - and secondary - market indicators are relatively weak [4][13]. - **Reasons**: These industries have low participation in the bond market, and their secondary - market trading demand is more affected by overall bond - market trends, industry risk premiums, and liquidity premiums. Different types of industries have specific reasons for the weak correlation [4][90][91].

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index barely holding above 4100 points, while the ChiNext Index fell below 3300 points. Major indices like the Shenzhen Component, CSI 300, and CSI 500 closed with small bearish candles, and the market turnover reached 2.8 trillion yuan [1][11]. Index Performance - The latest index performances are as follows: - Shenzhen Component: 14155.63 (-0.97%) - Shanghai Composite: 4113.65 (-0.01%) - ChiNext Index: 3277.98 (-1.79%) - CSI 300: 4718.88 (-0.33%) - CSI 500: 8247.80 (-0.48%) [2][12]. Sector Performance - The chemical, precious metals, real estate, and aviation sectors showed the highest gains, while aerospace equipment, photovoltaic equipment, communication devices, and glass fiber sectors faced the largest declines [2][12]. Fund Flow Analysis - The public utilities sector saw a net inflow of over 3.7 billion yuan, while the construction and decoration sector received over 3.6 billion yuan. Real estate, banking, basic chemicals, and building materials also attracted over 2 billion yuan each. In contrast, sectors like electronics, power equipment, and defense saw net outflows exceeding 10 billion yuan [3][13]. Notable Stocks - Key stocks with significant net inflows include: - China Xidian: 15.63 yuan (+8.84%) with a net inflow of 1.56 billion yuan - Shanzhi High-Tech: 5.42 yuan (+6.69%) with a net inflow of 1.42 billion yuan - Zhejiang Wenhu: 9.97 yuan (+10.04%) with a net inflow of 1.32 billion yuan [4][14]. Future Market Outlook - Yingda Securities suggests that the market is in a cooling phase, with the Shanghai Composite Index fluctuating around the 4100-point mark. This does not indicate a deep correction but rather a healthy consolidation after rapid gains. Investors are advised to take profits on overbought stocks while looking for value opportunities in underperforming sectors [5][15]. Long-term Projections - Zhongyin International forecasts that by 2026, the core broad-based index of the Chinese stock market could see an overall increase of over 40%, driven by nearly 20% profit growth and 20% valuation expansion. Key sectors expected to lead include technology manufacturing, biomedicine, and defense, while sectors like telecommunications and real estate may have potential for catch-up gains [5][15]. Precious Metals Market - The precious metals sector saw significant activity, with gold prices reaching a historical high of over 4700 USD per ounce. Domestic gold futures also surged, reflecting strong demand amid ongoing global economic uncertainties [6][16]. Chemical Industry Trends - The chemical sector is experiencing a global price surge, with major companies like BASF and Dow Chemical implementing price increases across various regions. Recent data indicates that 11 out of 16 monitored chemical products have seen price increases, with synthetic rubber rising by 11.7% [8][19]. Structural Investment Opportunities - Galaxy Securities highlights that new demand drivers are expected to accelerate a cyclical reversal in the chemical industry, suggesting a focus on structural investment opportunities as supply constraints emerge [20].

Group 1 - The construction decoration industry faces significant challenges due to long project cycles and high financing pressure, with high financing thresholds and lengthy approval processes hindering market opportunities and business expansion [1] - A construction decoration company established in 2020 has seen a substantial increase in order volume due to its strong construction quality and good market reputation, but it is experiencing a cash flow crunch as it requires additional working capital for ongoing projects [1] Group 2 - The "Yunong Loan" product from the Construction Bank aims to support rural entrepreneurs and has been expanded to include non-agricultural enterprises owned by rural residents, addressing their financing difficulties [2] - The Construction Bank's Quzhou branch successfully issued the first "Yunong Loan" with a phase guarantee insurance model, providing a credit amount of 9 million yuan, which allows the company to replace an existing loan and meet operational needs [2] - This innovative financial service model alleviates the company's cash flow pressure and supports the smooth progress of key projects, demonstrating the commitment of state-owned banks to support high-quality development of the real economy [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant increase in cash dividends from A-share listed companies, reaching a historical high of 2.55 trillion yuan in 2025, indicating a shift towards a balanced investment and financing ecosystem with a focus on investment returns [1] - The rise in the CSI 300 Dividend Index by 1.06% reflects positive market sentiment, with individual stocks such as Conch Cement and Chengdu Bank showing notable gains of 5.29% and 2.72% respectively, suggesting strong performance among dividend-paying stocks [1] - Analysts from China Galaxy Securities expect a steady growth in bank credit, supported by policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and stabilizing growth, while the low interest rate environment continues to enhance the dividend appeal of banks [1] Group 2 - Zhejiang Securities notes that the valuation of dividend stocks remains at historically low levels, which not only reflects the asset revaluation potential due to the appreciation of the yuan but also highlights their defensive value in terms of stable profitability during economic transitions [2] - The Jianxin CSI 300 Dividend ETF closely tracks the CSI 300 Dividend Index, which selects 50 high-dividend stocks from the CSI 300 Index, thereby reflecting the overall performance of high dividend yield securities within the index [2]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.73% as of 10:27 AM, with a trading volume of 783.95 million shares and a transaction value of 1,378.36 billion yuan, an increase of 0.13% compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Real estate, oil and petrochemicals, and beauty care sectors showed the highest gains, with increases of 0.86%, 0.72%, and 0.70% respectively [1] - The defense and military, comprehensive, and communication sectors experienced the largest declines, with decreases of 3.41%, 3.19%, and 3.06% respectively [1][2] Leading Stocks - In the real estate sector, Chengdu Investment Holdings led with a gain of 10.11% [1] - In the oil and petrochemical sector, Blue Flame Holdings increased by 2.86% [1] - In the beauty care sector, Yanjiang Co. rose by 9.34% [1] Detailed Industry Data - Real Estate: 0.86% increase, transaction value of 189.40 billion yuan, up 20.93% from the previous day [1] - Oil and Petrochemicals: 0.72% increase, transaction value of 80.28 billion yuan, up 26.01% from the previous day [1] - Beauty Care: 0.70% increase, transaction value of 35.84 billion yuan, up 11.01% from the previous day [1] - Defense and Military: 3.41% decrease, transaction value of 883.06 million yuan, up 45.81% from the previous day [2] - Communication: 3.06% decrease, transaction value of 754.04 million yuan, up 0.40% from the previous day [2]

Core Viewpoint - As of January 20, a total of 10 ST stocks have announced their annual performance forecasts, with 1 company expecting profit, 4 companies expecting losses, and 3 companies expecting reduced losses [1] Group 1: Performance Forecasts - The company with the highest expected loss is ST Changyuan, forecasting a minimum loss of 1.08 billion yuan, followed by ST Huayang and *ST Zhanggu, with expected losses of 590 million yuan and 450 million yuan respectively [1] - The performance forecast details show that *ST Hua is expecting a profit increase with a projected net profit range of 145 million to 175 million yuan, while ST Yuanzhijia is also expecting a profit increase with a range of 90 million to 110 million yuan [1] - *ST Tianze is forecasting a profit with an expected net profit range of 27 million to 30 million yuan [1] Group 2: Loss Reduction - ST Ningke is expecting a reduced loss of between 75 million and 100 million yuan, while *ST Huawang is forecasting a reduced loss of between 180 million and 240 million yuan [1] - *ST Zhanggu is also expecting a reduced loss, with a forecasted range of 450 million to 550 million yuan [1] Group 3: Industry Performance - The industries represented include electronics, machinery, media, basic chemicals, construction decoration, and social services, with varying performance trends across these sectors [1] - The highest increase in stock price this year is seen in ST Changyuan, with a rise of 24.93%, while *ST Yanshi and *ST Wanfang have experienced declines of 14.48% and 16.45% respectively [1]

证券时报·数据宝统计显示，利柏特所属的建筑装饰行业，目前整体涨幅为0.77%，行业内，目前股价上 涨的有96只，涨幅居前的有志特新材、圣晖集成、龙元建设等，涨幅分别为16.76%、8.45%、6.87%。 股价下跌的有61只，跌幅居前的有国晟科技、ST柯利达、诚邦股份等，跌幅分别为10.00%、5.05%、 3.46%。 公司发布的三季报数据显示，前三季度公司共实现营业收入19.83亿元，同比下降23.44%，实现净利润 1.78亿元，同比下降11.15%，基本每股收益为0.4000元，加权平均净资产收益率9.28%。（数据宝） （文章来源：证券时报网） 利柏特股价再创历史新高，该股近期呈不断突破新高之势，近一个月累计有11个交易日股价刷新历史纪 录。截至09:46，该股目前上涨0.76%，股价报18.54元，成交578.38万股，成交金额1.05亿元，换手率 1.29%，该股最新A股总市值达83.26亿元，该股A股流通市值83.26亿元。 ...