晨会纪要 核[心Ta观bl点e_：Summary] 一、产业综合组： 昨日 A 股收盘后，国务院发布了关于深入实施"人工智能+"行动的意见。对发 展国内人工智能产业的多个方面都发布了支持和指导的建议。同时国内 AI 产业 链的龙头标志性公司，如寒武纪、胜宏科技、中际旭创和浪潮信息等都在同日发 布了 2025 年的半年度财报，从这些公司上半年的业绩看，无论是收入还是净利 润都呈现高增长趋势，从他们的存货环比变动看，除寒武纪 Q2 期末的存货环比 下降外，其余的公司都继续环比大幅增长，因此总体看这些公司三季度的业绩大 概率能够继续环比增长，寒武纪可能三季度的业绩环比增幅不大。昨日 A 股在出 现历史第二高的交易量后，已经出现调整迹象，如果今天 AI 产业链不能在上述 消息的刺激下明显反弹，则本轮 A 股的上涨行情可能进入盘整或调整的概率较高。 财联社 8 月 27 日电，苹果公司计划于太平洋时间 9 月 9 日上午 10 点举行大型秋 季产品发布会，预计将推出 iPhone 17 系列。我们认为国内苹果产业链的龙头公 司歌尔、立讯等近期公布的半年度报告基本净利润都维持 20%左右的增长，如果 新的苹果产品能够在技 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the media industry, including Giant Network, Kairun Network, and Xindong Company [6][9]. Core Views - The report highlights a significant increase in net profit for Xindong Company, projecting a growth of approximately 215% year-on-year for the first half of 2025 [3][45]. - The media industry saw a weekly increase of 2.30%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index [12][19]. - The report emphasizes the potential in AI applications and cultural exports, particularly in gaming, IP, short dramas, and publishing sectors [4][45]. Market Performance - The media industry (Shenwan) ranked 15th among industries with a weekly increase of 2.30%, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.11% [12][19]. - Notable performers in the media sector included Jishi Media, Giant Network, and Jibite, with significant weekly gains [19][20]. Industry Key Data AI Applications - In July, ChatGPT and New Bing ranked first and second globally in AI web traffic, with ChatGPT achieving 5.91 billion visits [24][26]. - Domestic AI applications saw Quark leading with a monthly active user (MAU) count of 155.60 million, while DeepSeek had 82.93 million MAU [27][29]. Gaming - In July 2025, 32 Chinese companies made it to the global top 100 mobile game publishers, collectively earning $1.95 billion, accounting for 34% of the total revenue [33][34]. - The top three best-selling games as of August 7, 2025, were "Honor of Kings," "Peacekeeper Elite," and "Golden Shovel Battle" [30][33]. Film - The total box office for the week of August 2 to August 7 reached 1.459 billion yuan, with "Nanjing Photo Studio" leading at 831.69 million yuan [42][43]. - Upcoming films include eight titles set to release between August 10 and August 15, 2025 [44]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on themes such as AI applications and cultural exports, with particular attention to gaming, IP, short dramas, and publishing sectors [4][45].

Group 1: Macro Economic Insights - The US inflation data for June 2025 shows a year-on-year increase of 2.7% and a month-on-month increase of 0.3%, exceeding market expectations [2][6][7] - Core CPI also increased by 2.9% year-on-year and 0.2% month-on-month, indicating a synchronized rebound in inflation [2][7][8] - The overall inflation level is expected to continue rising, driven by core inflation and the effects of tariffs [8][9][10] Group 2: Industry Insights - Electronics - The resumption of H20 supply is expected to accelerate capital expenditure (Capex) among domestic internet companies, which had previously faced uncertainty due to the H20 embargo [3][13] - With the uncertainty lifted, project tenders are likely to restart, leading to the release of orders in the domestic computing power industry chain [3][13] - Domestic internet companies are projected to significantly increase their Capex, with Alibaba planning to invest over 380 billion yuan in cloud and AI hardware infrastructure over the next three years [15] Group 3: Company Insights - Perfect World - Perfect World is expected to achieve a significant turnaround in profitability in H1 2025, with projected net profit ranging from 480 to 520 million yuan [4][19] - The core gaming business is performing steadily, with anticipated net profit contributions from new game launches and cost-reduction measures [19][20] - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on its clear product pipeline and the expected performance of its upcoming game "异环" [4][19][20]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 is in line with expectations, with a focus on the progress of the game "异环" (Yihuan) launch [1] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.80-5.20 billion yuan in 2025H1, with a significant turnaround compared to the previous year [7] - The game "诛仙世界" (Zhuxian World) is steadily releasing profits, and cost reduction and efficiency improvement measures are showing initial results [7] - The new game "异环" has performed well in its second test, and the company is actively monitoring its launch schedule [7] - The film and television business is focusing on quality over quantity, with a strategy to develop short dramas [7] - The earnings forecast has been adjusted upwards, with expected EPS for 2025-2027 being 0.40, 0.74, and 0.90 yuan respectively [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 7,791 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.57% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is expected to be 491.48 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 64.31% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023 is estimated at 0.25 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 57.27 [1] - The company anticipates a significant recovery in net profit in 2025, with a projected net profit of 775.17 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 160.20% [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company experienced a significant revenue decline in 2024, with total revenue of 5.57 billion yuan, down 28.5% year-on-year, and a net loss of 1.29 billion yuan [1] - In Q1 2025, the company showed strong recovery with a revenue of 2.02 billion yuan, up 52.22% year-on-year, and a net profit of 302 million yuan, up 1115.29% year-on-year [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.3 yuan per 10 shares for 2024 [1] Financial Performance Summary - The gaming business generated revenue of 5.18 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 22.32% year-on-year, with a net loss of 725 million yuan [2] - The company is focusing on optimizing its project portfolio, with several new games receiving positive market feedback, including "Persona: Nightshade" and "Zhu Xian World" [2][3] - The company is actively pursuing global multi-platform releases for new projects, including "Zhu Xian 2" and "Yin" [3] - The film and television segment is adopting a "quality over quantity" strategy, successfully launching several short dramas [4] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 741 million yuan, 1.06 billion yuan, and 1.21 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 157.6%, 43.0%, and 14.4% [4] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 32, 23, and 20 times respectively [4] Financial Metrics Overview - The company reported a revenue of 7.79 billion yuan in 2023, with a projected recovery to 7.8 billion yuan in 2025 [5] - The net profit for 2023 was 491 million yuan, with a forecasted return to profitability in 2025 [5] - The company's cash flow from operating activities is expected to improve significantly, reaching 1.34 billion yuan by 2025 [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company experienced a significant revenue decline in 2024, with total revenue of 5.57 billion yuan, down 28.5% year-on-year. However, Q1 2025 showed a strong recovery with revenue of 2.02 billion yuan, up 52.22% year-on-year [1][4] - The gaming business faced challenges in 2024, with a revenue of 5.18 billion yuan, down 22.32% year-on-year, and a net loss of 725 million yuan. Despite this, several new games received positive market feedback, including "Persona 5: Phantom of the Night" and "Zhu Xian World" [2][4] - The company is actively developing new projects, including "Zhu Xian 2" and an original open-world RPG titled "Yi," with plans for global multi-platform releases [3][4] Financial Overview - In 2024, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of -1.29 billion yuan, with a projected recovery to 741 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 157.6% [4][5] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to improve from -0.66 yuan in 2024 to 0.38 yuan in 2025 [5] - The company anticipates a gradual increase in net profit for 2025-2027, with projections of 741 million yuan, 1.06 billion yuan, and 1.21 billion yuan respectively [4][5]