《 人民日报 》（ 2025年10月06日 03 版） 担任上合组织轮值主席国期间，中国提出多项重要合作倡议，同其他成员国一道推动上合组织在经济合 作与人文交流领域不断迈上新台阶。展望未来，上合组织将坚定团结互信、深化互利合作、共筑发展之 路、加强文明互鉴，为推动构建人类命运共同体贡献更大力量。 （作者为博鳌亚洲论坛秘书长政策顾问） 展望未来，上合组织将坚定团结互信、深化互利合作、共筑发展之路、加强文明互鉴，为推动构建人类 命运共同体贡献更大力量 上海合作组织自成立以来，始终秉持"上海精神"，为地区合作注入持续动力。当前，国际形势复杂多 变，世界经济复苏乏力，不确定性上升。如何实现可持续发展、促进互利共赢，成为各国共同关切。 在不久前举行的上合组织天津峰会上，各成员国领导人共同确立了上合组织未来10年发展战略，决定成 立上合组织开发银行，一系列重要成果为地区和世界带来更多稳定性、确定性。在"上海合作组织+"会 议上，习近平主席郑重提出全球治理倡议，深刻回答了在当前全球变局下，世界各国应当如何加强合 作、共同完善全球治理体系的重要命题。有力的战略引领，让上合组织的重要性进一步凸显。 经济合作是上合组织发展的重要 ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit held in Tianjin from August 31 to September 1 resulted in eight major outcomes and over 300 work achievements, highlighting China's role in global development [1] - China's GDP for the first half of 2023 was reported at 66,053.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.3%, showcasing its resilience and contribution to global economic recovery [2] - China has maintained a contribution rate of approximately 30% to global economic growth in recent years, with each 1% growth in China's economy boosting other economies' output by an average of 0.3% [2] Group 2 - The China-Europe Railway Express has surpassed 110,000 trips, connecting 26 European countries and over 100 cities in Asia, facilitating trade and economic integration [3] - China has signed 23 free trade agreements with 30 countries and regions, positioning itself as a major trade partner for over 150 countries [3] - China is set to implement a 100% zero-tariff policy on products from all least developed countries that have diplomatic relations with it, marking a significant step in promoting inclusive global trade [4] Group 3 - The Belt and Road Initiative is expected to lift 7.6 million people out of extreme poverty and 32 million from moderate poverty by 2030, with over 150 countries participating [5] - The Global Development Initiative has garnered support from over 100 countries and international organizations, with projects benefiting more than 30 million people [5] - China's development approach emphasizes cooperation and inclusivity, aiming to contribute to global prosperity while fostering its own growth [5]

Group 1 - The article discusses the intensifying competition and cooperation among major global powers, highlighting the politicization and weaponization of economic issues, leading to a restructuring of the global value chain and international division of labor [1] - Since the reform and opening up, China has experienced two typical stages in the global value chain: initial entry into the global value chain and dual embedding within it [1][2] - The initial stage involved China leveraging its labor advantages to engage in low-value-added manufacturing, primarily through outsourcing from multinational corporations, which allowed for the development of export-oriented economic models [2][3] Group 2 - As China's demographic dividend diminishes and Western countries adopt a "de-globalization" stance, Chinese manufacturing faces pressures from both high-end production returning to developed countries and low-end production shifting to developing countries [4] - The key to overcoming low-end lock-in is to invest in advanced production factors, transforming the value chain into a learning and innovation chain, while also restructuring the global value chain to be more China-centric [4][5] - The dual embedding model allows Chinese enterprises to cluster in industrial parks, enhancing their ability to upgrade products and processes through shared resources and services [5] Group 3 - The restructuring of the global value chain post-US-China trade tensions is characterized by shorter, more regionalized supply chains and a steeper "smile curve," reflecting a shift in value chain division based on geopolitical considerations [6] - Developed countries are employing various measures to hinder China's industrial upgrades, including technology decoupling and investment restrictions, which aim to reshape the global value chain under their control [6][7] - In response, China needs to shift its strategy from merely integrating into the global value chain to constructing a national value chain, focusing on building an internal demand-driven global value chain [7] Group 4 - The internal demand-driven global value chain emphasizes self-sufficiency, dynamic competition, and the extension of industrial chains, as exemplified by China's high-speed rail sector leveraging domestic demand for innovation [7] - To achieve this, China must enhance its technological innovation capabilities, improve the business environment, and strategically guide the relocation of its manufacturing sectors [7]

Group 1 - The article highlights the transformation of Tangshan from a heavy industrial city to a new landmark in intelligent manufacturing, driven by the booming robotics industry [4] - The story features a Salvadoran student, Xiao Junlong, who explores the advancements in the robotics sector in Tangshan, showcasing China's manufacturing capabilities [4] - The article emphasizes the significance of the robotics industry as a new engine for high-quality development and industrial upgrading in Tangshan [4]

Group 1: Core Themes of the Forum - The 2025 Summer Davos Forum in Tianjin focused on "New Era Entrepreneurial Spirit" with over 1700 global participants discussing five main topics: "Interpreting the Global Economy," "China Outlook," "Industries in Transformation," "Investing in Humanity and the Earth," and "New Energy and Materials" [1] - The forum highlighted the increasing global attention on China's innovation ecosystem, particularly in energy transition and artificial intelligence [3] Group 2: China's Economic Resilience - The World Bank revised its global economic growth forecast for 2025 down to 2.3%, with nearly 70% of economies experiencing a slowdown, indicating heightened global economic uncertainty [4] - Despite global economic challenges, countries like China and Ireland have seen an increase in export trade, contributing positively to their economic development [4][5] Group 3: Opportunities in China - The trend of globalization is expected to continue, relying on enhanced cooperation among governments [6] - China's Belt and Road Initiative has been praised for its role in boosting economic development in countries like Egypt, aligning with their sustainable energy goals [7] - The consensus among participants is that mutual benefits can be achieved through international cooperation, with China's openness being a significant factor in its transformative story [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses China's resilience and strategic advantages in the face of the U.S. tariff war initiated by Trump, highlighting four key strengths that empower China to confront the world's leading economy [2][4]. Group 1: China's Strategic Advantages - The first advantage is China's unique innovation ecosystem, which combines top-down national coordination with bottom-up entrepreneurial spirit, fostering a conducive environment for technological advancements [5][8]. - The second advantage is China's investment in developing countries, particularly through the Belt and Road Initiative, which strengthens economic ties and creates interdependencies that are difficult to sever [10][16]. - The third advantage is China's competitive international market, where "Made in China" products are recognized for their quality and affordability, making it challenging for other countries to completely disengage from Chinese goods [17][19][22]. - The fourth advantage is the vast consumer base of 1.4 billion people, representing significant consumption potential that can help mitigate the impacts of the tariff war if effectively mobilized [24][25]. Group 2: Implications of the Tariff War - The tariff war is seen as a catalyst for China to enhance its self-reliance in research and development, leading to a surge in domestic innovation and technological capabilities [8][22]. - The article suggests that while the tariff war may disrupt trade, it will not lead to a complete decoupling between the U.S. and China, as many foreign entities will continue to seek Chinese products through alternative trade routes [22][28].

Group 1 - The article discusses Trump's reluctance to fully abandon tariffs against China, indicating ongoing strategic planning despite acknowledging the pain inflicted on the U.S. from the trade war [1] - A senior U.S. journalist suggests that Trump aims to pressure China into signing an unequal agreement, reminiscent of the "Plaza Accord" with Japan [1][3] - The article highlights Trump's proposed "Mar-a-Lago Agreement," which seeks to establish a new economic order that diminishes the dollar's dominance and reduces trade deficits, positioning China as a significant obstacle [3] Group 2 - The historical context of the "Plaza Accord" is provided, illustrating how it adversely affected Japan's economy, leading to prolonged economic stagnation [4][6] - The article contrasts Japan's post-WWII dependency on the U.S. with China's current position, emphasizing that China is not as vulnerable to U.S. pressure as Japan was [6][8] - Japan's current stance, as articulated by Prime Minister Kishida, indicates a refusal to make significant concessions to the U.S., reflecting lessons learned from past economic experiences [8]