1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core View of the Report The negative weekly new employment figures from the US ADP private - sector, upcoming US economic data, Japan's economic stimulus plan, the weakening of digital currency prices, global debt expansion, fiscal deficit expectations, and geopolitical risks may support the rebound of precious metal prices in the short - term and provide medium - to long - term support [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Precious Metal Market Data - **Shanghai Gold**: The closing price was 930.22 yuan/gram, with a change of - 28.76 yuan compared to the previous period. The trading volume was - 22,326.00, and the inventory was 90,426.00 (in ten - gram units) [1]. - **Shanghai Silver**: The closing price was 11,697.00 yuan/ten - gram, with a change of - 273.00 yuan. The trading volume was 623,148.00, and the inventory was 563,671.00 (in ten - gram units) [1]. - **COMEX International Gold**: The closing price of the active contract was 4067.40 dollars/ounce, with a change of 22.30 dollars. The trading volume was 231,322.00, and the inventory was 37,224,744.19 (in troy ounces) [1]. - **COMEX International Silver**: The closing price of the active contract was 50.54 dollars/ounce, with a change of 0.13 dollars. The trading volume was 75,851.00, and the inventory was 465,535,121.46 (in troy ounces) [1]. 3.2 Important Information - The number of initial jobless claims in the US for the week ending October 18 was 232,000. The average weekly reduction in private - sector employment in the US for the four - week period ending November 1 was 2,500 [1]. - Trump has selected candidates for the Fed chair, and the US Treasury Secretary said the candidates have been narrowed down to five [1]. 3.3 Long - Short Logic - The negative weekly new employment figures from the US ADP private - sector, the uncertainty of future expectations due to upcoming US economic data, Japan's economic stimulus plan, and the weakening of digital currency prices may lead to a rebound in precious metal prices [1]. - Global debt expansion, fiscal deficit expectations, and geopolitical risks will support precious metal prices in the medium - to long - term [1]. 3.4 Trading Strategy - In the short - term, lightly go long on the main contracts at low prices. For London gold, pay attention to the support level around 3850 - 3950 and the resistance level around 4180 - 4384. For Shanghai gold, focus on the support level around 870 - 890 and the resistance level around 960 - 1000. For London silver, note the support level around 38 - 45 and the resistance level around 52 - 55. For Shanghai silver, pay attention to the support level around 10,000 - 11,000 and the resistance level around 12,400 - 13,000 [1].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The weak employment performance in the US supports the prices of precious metals. The high number of corporate lay - offs in the US in October has increased the probability of a Fed rate cut in December. Along with factors such as the Fed providing liquidity, geopolitical risks, and central banks' gold - buying, precious metal prices may be supported [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Precious Metal Market Data - **Gold**: - Shanghai Gold futures' closing price was 917.80 yuan/g, with a change of 5.54 yuan compared to the previous day and - 4.12 yuan compared to the previous week. The trading volume was 238,433.00, a decrease of 157,531.00 from the previous day. The inventory remained at 87,816.00 (in ten - gram units) [1]. - COMEX gold futures' closing price was 3941.70 dollars/ounce, with a change of 43.10 dollars compared to the previous day and - 5.60 dollars compared to the previous week. The trading volume was 281,102.00, a decrease of 97,457.00 from the previous week [1]. - London gold spot price was 3968.20 dollars/ounce, with a change of - 20.20 dollars compared to the previous week [1]. - **Silver**: - Shanghai Silver futures' closing price was 11427.00 yuan/ten - gram, with a change of 151.00 yuan compared to the previous day and - 14.00 yuan compared to the previous week. The trading volume was 571,201.00, a decrease of 306,143.00 from the previous week [1]. - COMEX silver futures' closing price was 47.85 dollars/ounce, with a change of - 0.02 dollars compared to the previous day and 0.57 dollars compared to the previous week. The trading volume was 74,607.00, a decrease of 24,464.00 from the previous week [1]. - London silver spot price was 47.61 dollars/ounce, with a change of 0.51 dollars compared to the previous week [1]. Important Information - The direction of the Fed's December rate cut is unclear. This year's voting members are hesitant due to the government shutdown, and next year's members are more concerned about inflation. The Bank of England kept the interest rate at 4%, and the expectation of a December rate cut is rising [1]. - The AI revolution has accelerated the lay - off wave. In October, the number of Challenger corporate lay - offs in the US increased by 175.3% year - on - year, reaching the highest level in the same period in twenty years. The private data provider Revelio Labs reported a decrease of 9100 in non - farm employment in October [1]. Investment Strategy - Temporarily stay on the sidelines. For London gold, pay attention to the support level around 3580 - 3860 and the resistance level around 4180 - 4384; for Shanghai gold, focus on the support level around 830 - 860 and the resistance level around 950 - 1000. For London silver, pay attention to the support level around 39 - 42 and the resistance level around 50 - 55; for Shanghai silver, focus on the support level around 9400 - 10000 and the resistance level around 11600 - 12400 [1].

Core Points - International gold prices experienced a significant drop, with December futures on the New York Commodity Exchange reported at $4,069.1 per ounce, reflecting a decline of 1.85% [1] - London spot gold prices also fell to $4,058.82, down 1.68% [1] - Silver prices mirrored this trend, with New York Commodity Exchange silver futures at $47.62 per ounce, down 2.22% [1] - London spot silver prices decreased to $47.97, a drop of 1.78% [1]

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices experienced a significant drop on the 24th, with futures and spot prices declining notably, indicating a bearish trend in the precious metals market [1]. Price Movements - As of 19:15 Beijing time, the December futures price for gold on the New York Commodity Exchange was reported at $4,069.1 per ounce, reflecting a decrease of 1.85% [1]. - The London spot gold price was reported at $4,058.82 per ounce, down by 1.68% [1]. - Silver prices also fell, with New York Commodity Exchange silver futures priced at $47.62 per ounce, down 2.22% [1]. - The London spot silver price was reported at $47.97 per ounce, showing a decline of 1.78% [1].

Core Viewpoint - The recent sharp fluctuations in gold and silver prices are attributed to profit-taking triggered by technical overbought conditions and a calming geopolitical situation, leading to a significant market correction after reaching historical highs [2][4][5]. Price Movements - On October 21, London gold experienced a drastic drop of 6.3%, marking the largest single-day decline since 2013. By October 22, gold prices fell further, nearing $4000 per ounce after a peak of $4381.484 per ounce [2]. - Concurrently, London silver prices fell below $50 per ounce on October 21, with a maximum daily drop of 8.72%, settling at $48.43 per ounce by October 22 [2]. Market Analysis - Analysts indicate that the recent volatility in gold and silver prices is primarily due to profit-taking from an overcrowded bullish market, with significant gains accumulated since late August [4][5]. - The gold price has risen over 65% and silver over 88% this year, leading to concerns about potential market peaks following such rapid increases [6]. Future Outlook - Despite the recent corrections, analysts believe that the long-term bullish trend for gold remains intact, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions and central bank gold purchases [8]. - The World Gold Council notes that overall gold holdings are still low compared to historical highs, suggesting potential for future growth [8]. - For silver, a positive outlook is maintained due to its financial, industrial, and speculative attributes, which could drive demand and price increases [9].

Core Viewpoint - The main focus of the articles is the recent surge in Shanghai gold futures, with a notable increase of 2.21% observed, and various institutions providing their outlook on future gold and silver prices amid economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions [1][2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On October 16, Shanghai gold futures experienced a rapid increase, reaching a peak of 971.58 yuan, with the main contract closing at 969.86 yuan, reflecting a rise of 2.21% [1]. - Institutions are maintaining a bullish outlook on gold, with expectations of continued upward movement in gold and silver prices due to ongoing economic and geopolitical factors [2][3][4]. Group 2: Institutional Perspectives - Everbright Futures views the gold market as maintaining a strong upward trend, despite potential volatility due to external factors such as U.S. government shutdown and trade tensions [2]. - Copper Crown Jin Yuan Futures anticipates that gold and silver prices will continue to rise, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets amid escalating trade conflicts and government shutdowns [3]. - Hualian Futures maintains a positive long-term outlook for gold, citing factors such as a weakening U.S. dollar and ongoing global economic instability, while advising caution against chasing high prices in the short term [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that as of September 18, 2023, the prices of London spot gold and silver have started to rise, while COMEX gold and silver prices continue to decline following a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [1] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut at 2 AM Beijing time on September 18, which led to a simultaneous decline in the prices of gold, silver, and copper futures in both domestic and international markets [1]

Group 1 - The S&P 500 index reached a new all-time high of 6508.23 points, with major U.S. tech stocks mostly rising [1][2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.16%, the Nasdaq index rose by 0.53%, and the S&P 500 index gained 0.32% [2] - Nvidia's stock fell by 0.82% after the company reported second-quarter revenue and profit exceeding market expectations, but third-quarter sales forecasts raised market concerns [2] Group 2 - The offshore RMB appreciated significantly against the U.S. dollar, breaking the 7.12 mark for the first time since early November 2024, with an intraday increase of over 310 basis points [3] - Precious metals prices saw a general increase, with London gold rising by 0.56% and London silver increasing by 1.10% [4] - The NYMEX WTI crude oil price rose slightly by 0.27% [4] Group 3 - The European Commission proposed legislative measures to eliminate certain tariffs on U.S. goods, aiming to stabilize and enhance transatlantic trade and investment relations [5][6] - The proposal includes the cancellation of tariffs on some U.S. industrial products and preferential market access for certain seafood and non-sensitive agricultural products [6] - The U.S. committed to reducing tariffs on EU automobiles and parts from 27.5% to 15% and implementing zero or near-zero tariffs on several products starting September 1 [6]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The rebound of consumer inflation in the US reduces the expected number of Fed rate cuts. The EU intends to hold a tri - party meeting among the US, Russia, and Ukraine to reach a peace agreement. However, due to continuous gold purchases by global central banks, the downside space for precious metal prices is limited. It is recommended that investors wait for price drops to build long positions [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Data - **Shanghai Gold**: The closing price on August 15, 2025, was 775.86 yuan/gram, down 2.77 yuan from the previous day. The trading volume was 23,234, and the open interest decreased by 730 [1]. - **Shanghai Silver**: The closing price on August 15, 2025, was 9,173 yuan/ten - grams, up 15 yuan from the previous day. The trading volume of the spot Shanghai silver T + D was 452,542, and the open interest was 3,447,314, down 63,142 [1]. - **COMEX Gold Futures**: The closing price on August 15, 2025, was 3,381.70 dollars/ounce, down 101 dollars from the previous week. The trading volume was 115,486, and the open interest was 328,360, down 3,192 [1]. - **COMEX Silver Futures**: The closing price on August 15, 2025, was 38.02 dollars/ounce, down 0.01 dollars from the previous day. The trading volume was 86,225, and the open interest was 70,294, down 34,959 [1]. 3.2 Important Information - **US Economy**: US retail sales in July increased by 0.5% month - on - month, and real retail sales grew for the tenth consecutive month. In August, the University of Michigan consumer confidence unexpectedly declined, and long - and short - term inflation expectations rose. The US Treasury will issue over 1 trillion dollars of mainly short - term Treasury bonds in the third quarter. The use of the Fed's overnight reverse repurchase tool is approaching zero. Import tariffs have pushed up commodity prices, leading to an increase in the PPI annual rate in July and the core CPI annual rate at the consumer end. The inflation expectations in August are higher than expected, reducing the expected number of Fed rate cuts to September/October [1]. - **European Central Bank**: The ECB paused rate cuts in July, keeping the deposit mechanism rate at 2%. The eurozone (Germany) CPI annual rate in July was 2% (1.8%), higher than expected but flat compared to the previous value. Due to the continued recovery of the manufacturing PMI in the eurozone, Germany, and France in July, the ECB may cut rates at most once before the end of 2025 [1]. - **Bank of England**: The Bank of England cut the key interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.0% in August. It continued to reduce its holdings of 100 billion pounds of UK government bonds from October 2024 to September 2025 and may slow down the pace of balance - sheet reduction later. The UK's CPI (core CPI) annual rate in June was 3.6% (3.7%), and the GDP monthly rate was 0.4%, both higher than expected and the previous value. The manufacturing (service) PMI in July was 48.2 (51.2), higher (lower) than expected and the previous value. The Bank of England may cut rates at most once before the end of 2025 [1]. - **Bank of Japan**: The Bank of Japan kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.5% in July and will start reducing the quarterly Treasury bond purchase scale from 400 billion to 200 billion yen in April 2026. Japan's (Tokyo) core CPI annual rate in June (July) was 3.3% (2.9%), in line with expectations but lower than the previous value. The GDP quarterly rate in the second quarter was 0.3%, higher than expected. With the US Treasury Secretary urging the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates, the Bank of Japan still has the possibility of raising rates before the end of 2025, with the earliest possible time being October [1]. 3.3 Trading Strategy Investors are advised to wait for price drops to build long positions. For London gold, pay attention to the support level around 3,200 - 3,300 dollars/ounce and the resistance level around 3,400 - 3,500 dollars/ounce. For Shanghai gold, focus on the support level around 760 - 770 yuan/gram and the resistance level around 800 - 810 yuan/gram. For London silver, pay attention to the support level around 34 - 36 dollars/ounce and the resistance level around 37 - 40 dollars/ounce. For Shanghai silver, focus on the support level around 8,500 - 8,700 yuan/ten - grams and the resistance level around 9,100 - 9,500 yuan/ten - grams [1].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant rise in gold prices due to geopolitical tensions, changes in the Federal Reserve's personnel, and inflationary pressures from tariffs, with gold reaching a peak of $3444 per ounce before settling at $3435 per ounce [1][3] - Short-term demand for gold is expected to remain strong, supported by expectations of interest rate cuts and safe-haven buying, with a potential breakthrough of the recent high of $3390 per ounce [3] - Long-term uncertainties in the global economy and geopolitical risks are anticipated to continue supporting gold prices, with key factors including U.S. inflation data, trade negotiations, and Federal Reserve appointments [3] Group 2 - Silver prices have also surged, reaching a peak of $39 per ounce, driven by both the rising gold prices and increased demand in sectors like photovoltaics and electric vehicles [3] - The investment landscape for precious metals suggests that while silver and platinum have long-term investment value, short-term trading risks are heightened due to their volatility [3] - Investors are advised to consider the unique characteristics of silver, which has greater price fluctuations compared to gold, and to be cautious of liquidity risks associated with platinum investments [4]