证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·金融产品 金融产品跟踪周报 权益 ETF 系列：关注结构变化，行情可能临 近变盘点 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 基金配置建议： 风险提示：1）模型基于历史数据测算，未来存在失效风险；2）宏观经济 不及预期；3）发生重大预期外的宏观事件。 2025 年 07 月 12 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 唐遥衎 执业证书：S0600524120016 tangyk@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -9% -2% 5% 12% 19% 26% 33% 40% 47% 54% 61% 非银金融 沪深300 2025-07-12 《国有险企长周期考核细则落地，充 分发挥险资长期资本优势》 2025-07-12 东吴证券研究所 1 / 22 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 2024/7/12 2024/11/10 2025/3/11 2025/7/10 ◼ A 股市场行情概述：（2025.7.7-2025.7.11） ◼ 主要宽基指数涨跌幅：排名前三名的宽基指数 ...

Market Performance - The A-share market has been performing strongly, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a high of 3555.22 points before closing at 3510.18 points, resulting in a weekly gain of 1.09% [1] - Over 1000 ETF products have seen cumulative increases, with the median weekly gain for over 1200 products at approximately 1.28%, a significant improvement from the previous week [1] Top Performing ETFs - The Hong Kong Securities ETF (513090) led the weekly gainers with an increase of 12.85%, marking a historical high for the product [2][3] - Several rare earth ETFs also saw substantial weekly gains exceeding 10%, driven by strong performance from major holdings like Northern Rare Earth [5] - Real estate and photovoltaic-related ETFs recorded weekly gains of around 6%, indicating a shift in market focus towards these sectors [5] Sector Trends - The market has shifted focus to sectors such as brokerage, rare earth, and real estate, which have emerged as new hotspots following the index surpassing 3500 points [4] - Financial technology ETFs also performed well, with multiple products achieving gains over 6% and reaching new highs since last year's market rally [3] Underperforming ETFs - The gold stock ETFs experienced declines, with the worst performers showing drops exceeding 2%, despite stable international gold prices [6][8] - Japanese stock index ETFs also faced slight declines, with the Nikkei 225 ETF from E Fund dropping over 2% [8]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.48% to close at 3509.68 points, with a daily high of 3526.59 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.47% to close at 10631.13 points, reaching a high of 10667.41 points [1] - The ChiNext Index saw a smaller increase of 0.22%, closing at 2189.58 points, with a peak of 2199.71 points [1] ETF Market Performance - The median return for stock ETFs was 0.36%, with the highest return from the MSCI China A50 ETF at 1.79% [2] - The highest performing sector ETF was the China Securities Real Estate ETF, which returned 3.64% [2] - The top three ETFs by return were: - Fortune MSCI China A50 ETF (3.81%) - China Securities Real Estate ETF (3.64%) - Yinhua China Securities Mainland Real Estate Theme ETF (3.55%) [4] ETF Fund Flow - The top three ETFs by fund inflow were: - Huaxia SSE Sci-Tech 50 ETF with an inflow of 1.228 billion yuan - Guotai Junan China Securities Coal ETF with an inflow of 574 million yuan - Penghua China Securities Wine ETF with an inflow of 402 million yuan [6] - The largest outflows were from: - Huaxia SSE Sci-Tech 100 ETF with an outflow of 317 million yuan - Southern China Securities 1000 ETF with an outflow of 227 million yuan - Morgan Stanley China A50 ETF with an outflow of 199 million yuan [6] Financing and Margin Trading - The highest financing buy amounts were for: - Huaxia SSE Sci-Tech 50 ETF (573 million yuan) - Guotai Junan China Securities ETF (257 million yuan) - Yinhua ChiNext ETF (226 million yuan) [8] - The highest margin sell amounts were for: - Huatai-PB SSE 300 ETF (27.858 million yuan) - Huaxia SSE 50 ETF (21.416 million yuan) - Southern China Securities 500 ETF (3.836 million yuan) [8] Industry Insights - Guotai Junan Securities forecasts a potential rise in rare earth prices due to increasing demand and supply constraints, particularly looking towards the second half of 2025 [9] - Dongguan Securities expresses optimism for the rare earth industry, citing recovering export demand and growth opportunities in emerging fields like humanoid robots [10]

ETF开盘涨跌不一，稀土ETF嘉实(516150)领涨2.06%，稀土ETF(516780)涨1.88%，稀土ETF(159713)涨 1.83%，德国ETF(159561)领跌1.49%，德国ETF(513030)跌1.29%，金融地产ETF(159940)跌0.92%。 无需额外开户，A股账户直接T+0买全球>>> ...

广发证券指出，2025年下半年地产或将具备强拐点机会。从2023年定调缓和，到2024年"止跌回稳"，目 前市场价格表现再一次推进到了重大政策表态的临界点。市场交易表现大幅好转，回归消费性需 求，"好房子"也得到了认可。但资产价格下跌所导致的风险传导问题仍然存在，未来一年或将迎来本轮 地产下行期最重要的拐点窗口。 估值端来看，以央国企、优质房企为代表的龙头地产当前仍处估值低位。以地产ETF（159707）标的指 数为例，中证800地产指数最新PB估值仅为0.7倍，处近10年约13%分位点，估值低位特征明显，修复空 间或较大。行业集中度加速提升，头部房企有望凭借"好信用、好城市、好产品"策略展现韧性，建议持 续关注。 布局央国企及优质房企，建议重点关注地产ETF（159707）。资料显示，地产ETF（159707）跟踪中证 800地产指数，汇集市场13只头部优质房企，在投资方向上具有明显的头部集中度优势，前十大成份股 周四（7月10日），龙头地产板块久违大涨，代表A股龙头地产行情的中证800地产指数大涨超3%，成 份股全线飘红。其中，绿地控股涨停，新城控股涨超7%，衢州发展、滨江集团涨超5%，陆家嘴、招商 蛇口 ...

7月10日，大金融强力托举，沪指终于完成3500点大突破，报收3509.68点，刷新2022年1月25日以来最 高收盘价！深成指、创业板指一并收涨，A股成交额连续两日位于1.5万亿元上方。 从板块贡献来看，大金融功不可没。券商、银行携手发力，逾百亿体量券商ETF（512000）、银行ETF （512800）场内双双涨逾1.2%，其中银行ETF价格续创新高！聚焦大盘蓝筹的价值ETF（510030）场内 同步上涨1.45%。 地产久违爆发，重仓头部优质房企的地产ETF（159707）午后猛涨逾4%，场内放量收涨3.36%。有机构 提示，7月政治局会议表态或将更加积极，带动地产在7月中出现一波政策博弈的机会。 | 序号 代码 | | 美型 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | | 竹城 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | - | | 159707 行 地产ETF | 0.616 | | 0.020 3.36% | 0.15% | | 510030 2 | | 风 价值ETF | 1.118 | 0.016 | 1.45% | 0.56% | | 3 | 51200 ...

沪深股通今日合计成交2022.64亿，其中贵州茅台和宁德时代分居沪股通和深股通个股成交额首位。板 块主力资金方面，非银金融板块主力资金净流入居首。ETF成交方面，煤炭ETF(515220)成交额环比增 长318%。期指持仓方面，IF、IC合约多头加仓数量大于空头。龙虎榜方面，晶澳科技遭机构买入1.32 亿；新城市遭机构卖出超5000万；宏和科技遭机构卖出超9000万；协鑫集成获三家一线游资席位合计买 入超1.2亿；欢瑞世纪遭三家一线游资席位卖出；京运通获一家量化席位买入超6000万。 一、沪深股通前十大成交 今日沪股通总成交金额为1009.52亿，深股通总成交金额为923.12亿。 | | | | 沪股通( 7月10日 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 排名 | 股票代码 | 股票名称 | 成交金額 | 前一交易日净买入额 | 涨幅(%) | | | | | (亿元) | (亿元) | | | 1 | 600519 | 贵州茅台 | 24.86 | | | | 2 | 600276 | 恒瑞医药 | 24.07 | | | | 3 | 600036 | ...

那么，在上证综指站上3500点后，后续市场行情会怎么走？能否进一步"走牛"？ 华北某公募基金经理表示，近期市场强度不断超预期的原因在于宏观总量平稳背景下，市场资金对产业结构转型的信心偏强，交易资金持续活跃。在产业 端，观察到反内卷、AI、创新药等政策或行业有积极变化。整体来看，关键点位的真实有效突破需要看到市场有明显扩散的赚钱效应。 杨德龙则提到，最近市场行情在逐步走强，市场信心得到提振，大盘一度突破3500点整数关口，创年内新高，进一步确立了大盘上行走势，后市可能有更多 机会。上证指数是市场最关注的指数，其表现往往影响投资者信心。有观点称4000点可能是A股牛市起点，从估值来看，4000点对应的估值属历史平均估 值。以沪深300指数为例，当前市场平均市盈率约为12倍，而历史平均市盈率为15—18倍。沪深300指数的估值水平如能回升至历史平均估值，上证指数就能 回到4000点之上。因此，市场在3500点确立上涨走势后，行情可能进一步"走牛"，下半年行情启动有望带来更多赚钱效应。 在大盘走高的同时，场内基金也表现强劲。数据显示，7月10日收盘，有超六成ETF收涨。其中，易方达香港证券ETF领涨，涨幅3.87%， ...

Group 1 - The A-share real estate sector experienced a strong rally near the market close, with several stocks hitting the daily limit up, including Huaxia Happiness and Shenzhen Deep Housing A [1] - Hong Kong's property stocks also saw significant gains, with Oceanwide Holdings rising over 27% and Longfor Group increasing nearly 21% [1] - Real estate ETFs, such as Huaxia Real Estate ETF and Yinhua Real Estate ETF, rose over 3% [1] Group 2 - The real estate ETFs track the CSI All Share Real Estate Index, with the top ten weighted stocks including Poly Developments, Vanke A, and China Merchants Shekou [5] - The real estate sector is benefiting from positive news, particularly regarding debt restructuring progress among several real estate companies [5][6] - In June, the sales of the top 100 real estate companies saw a year-on-year decline of 21%, with total sales amounting to 370.7 billion yuan [7] Group 3 - The overall market is stabilizing due to policy support and debt restructuring, but there is significant regional differentiation, with core cities and high-quality projects being favored [7] - The sales figures for the top 100 real estate companies showed a cumulative year-on-year decline of 11% in the first half of the year, indicating a seasonal drop in the second quarter [7] - Market participants are cautious about the real estate sector's recovery, with concerns about the sustainability of policy effects and the timing of new supportive measures [7]

今日，A股波动加剧，大盘蓝筹股表现较优，上证50、沪深300双双创出年内新高，上证指数也创9个月 新高，但在尾市都出现冲高回落的走势，科创50、北证50则微幅飘绿，市场成交微幅萎缩至1.51万亿 元。 盘面上，大金融、房地产、稀有金属、光伏设备等板块涨幅居前，地面兵装、饮料乳品、专业连锁、数 字货币等板块跌幅居前。 数据显示，非银金融获得逾82亿元主力资金净流入，医药生物获得逾66亿元净流入，房地产、有色金属 均获得超30亿元净流入，基础化工、建筑装饰、石油石化等也获得超20亿元净流入，纺织服饰连续14日 获得净流入。电子、汽车、国防军工主力资金均净流出超10亿元。 展望后市，太平洋证券认为，指数向上变盘后，最高点已突破3500点，但此次上涨的成交量和波动率与 去年9月底的行情不可同日而语，意味着指数的上行更多以震荡盘升为主，短期预计仍以进二退一来演 绎行情。 国信证券指出，市场风偏提升后指数突破，但赚钱效应仍然相对分散。收益正期望扩张依赖于"大盘成 长"风格的崛起。伴随基本面预期改善，市场中枢依旧能够看高一线。"反内卷"主题短期倾向于拔估值 行情，本轮弹性最大的光伏左侧博弈困境反转，股价抢跑于基本面底部，待 ...