有券商表示，下半年政策发力方向主要在收储政策，专项债收购闲置土地及存量房进度有望加快，这符合优化存量的目标。同时，城中村改造有 利于加快库存去化、优化供需结构，预计下半年将加快进度。 地产股全天走低，张江高科跌停，新城控股、华发股份跌超6%。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 受盘面影响，地产ETF、房地产ETF跌超3%。 | 代码 类型 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 ▲ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 159707 行 地产ETF | 0.699 | -0.027 | -3.72% | | 159768 | 0.629 | -0.024 | -3.68% | ...

来源：上海证券报·中国证券网 上证报中国证券网讯 10月9日，ETF午间收盘涨跌不一，中韩半导体ETF(513310)涨8.57%，黄金股ETF 基金(159315)涨8.53%，黄金股ETF(517520)涨8.19%，货币ETF(511600)跌3.87%，房地产ETF(159768)跌 3.37%，影视ETF(159855)跌3.37%。 ...

Group 1 - The overall performance of ETFs on September 25 showed mixed results, with some gaining while others declined [1] - The Big Data Industry ETF (516700) increased by 4.41%, indicating strong investor interest in this sector [1] - The ChiNext New Energy ETF (159261) rose by 4.05%, reflecting positive sentiment towards new energy investments [1] Group 2 - The Cloud 50 ETF (560660) saw a gain of 3.97%, suggesting a favorable outlook for cloud computing companies [1] - Conversely, the Real Estate ETF (159768) fell by 1.57%, indicating potential concerns in the real estate market [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Financial ETF (513190) decreased by 1.34%, which may reflect broader market challenges in the financial sector [1] - The Real Estate ETF (159707) also experienced a decline of 1.28%, further highlighting the struggles within the real estate industry [1]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a strategy based on industry rotation and thematic ETFs, recommending sectors such as agriculture, film and cinema, and aerospace equipment for the upcoming week [2][3]. - The strategy has shown a cumulative net return of approximately -0.21% for the period from September 15 to September 19, 2025, with an excess return of about 0.16% compared to the CSI 300 ETF [3][11]. - Since October 14, 2024, the strategy has achieved a cumulative return of approximately 24.91%, outperforming the CSI 300 ETF by about 6.36% [3]. Strategy Update - For the week of September 22, 2025, the model recommends increasing positions in the following ETFs: Grain ETF, Film ETF, Industrial Mother Machine ETF, and Oil & Gas ETF, while continuing to hold Aerospace ETF and Green Electricity ETF [2][10]. - The report includes specific ETFs and their respective weights, indicating a focus on sectors like agriculture (46.77% in Grain ETF) and film (45.35% in Film ETF) [10]. Performance Tracking - The report details the performance of various ETFs over the past week, highlighting that the average return of the ETF portfolio was -0.37%, while the CSI 300 ETF had a return of -0.21% [11]. - The report also notes that certain ETFs, such as the Green Electricity ETF and Aerospace ETF, continue to be held despite recent performance fluctuations [11].

Group 1 - The US real estate ETF declined by 1.66% on September 2 [1] - Agricultural funds fell by 1.15%, with soybean funds down by 1.03% [1] - The Nasdaq 100 ETF decreased by 0.84%, while the S&P 500 ETF and 20+ year US Treasury ETF both dropped by 0.74% [1] Group 2 - The Dow Jones ETF and Russell 2000 index ETF fell by 0.54% [1] - The Euro long position decreased by 0.47%, and emerging market ETFs were down by 0.08% [1] - The US dollar index rose by 0.66%, while gold ETFs increased by 2.36% [1] Group 3 - The US Brent oil price fund rose by 2.57%, and the fear index increased by 3.09% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that during the transformation period of the real estate market, REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) are a more cost-effective investment choice compared to traditional real estate stocks and ETFs [1]. Policy Adjustments - On August 25, 2025, Shanghai's housing and urban-rural development authorities announced six adjustments to real estate policies, including changes to housing purchase limits and financing [3]. - A week prior, the State Council called for strong measures to stabilize the real estate market, leading to a rebound in A-share real estate stocks, with Vanke A hitting the daily limit up shortly after the announcement [4]. Market Performance - On August 25, real estate-related ETFs saw varying degrees of increase, with an average rise of 3% and specific ETFs like 159707.SZ and 159768.SZ rising by 3.8% and 4.4%, respectively [6][7]. - Despite the policy optimism, Vanke A reported a 26.2% year-on-year decline in revenue for the first half of 2025, with a net loss of 11.95 billion yuan, a 21.3% decrease compared to the previous year [9][10]. Financial Health of Real Estate Companies - Vanke's total assets decreased by 7.16% year-on-year, and its net assets fell by 5.54% as of June 30, 2025 [11]. - The company successfully repaid 24.39 billion yuan in public debt and secured 24.9 billion yuan in new financing, but its performance remains under pressure [12]. ETF Performance and Investor Sentiment - The largest real estate ETF has shown a cumulative return of -43.6% since inception, with a year-to-date return of 7.4%, indicating a lack of investor confidence despite recent policy support [12][13]. - The ETF's share volume has decreased by nearly 50% over the past year, reflecting a cautious market sentiment [14]. Investment Strategy - The article warns that low valuations do not equate to investment opportunities, as the real estate sector faces fundamental challenges due to changing commercial models and declining birth rates [20]. - REITs are presented as a potential solution for investors seeking stability, as they offer diversified exposure to various property types and generate regular rental income [21][24]. - The China public REITs market has grown significantly since its inception, with the CSI REITs total return index showing an 11% increase year-to-date, outperforming most real estate ETFs [24].

Group 1: Stock Market Overview - The total trading amount for Shanghai Stock Connect today was 190.607 billion, while Shenzhen Stock Connect totaled 213.937 billion [1] - The top traded stocks in Shanghai were WuXi AppTec, followed by Haiguang Information and Cambricon Technologies [1] - In Shenzhen, the leading traded stock was Eastmoney, with CATL and Zhongji Xuchuang in second and third places respectively [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - The sectors with the highest net inflow of funds included Nonferrous Metals, Food and Beverage, and Steel, while sectors like Electronics and Computers experienced significant outflows [3][4] - Nonferrous Metals led with a net inflow of 39.22 billion, followed by Food and Beverage with 28.39 billion [3] - The Electronics sector had the largest net outflow at -192.66 billion, followed by Computers at -168.40 billion [4] Group 3: Individual Stock Performance - The top individual stocks with net inflows included Baogang Co. with 18.77 billion, Lingyi Technology with 11.39 billion, and Dongfang Precision with 11.33 billion [5] - Conversely, Haiguang Information saw the largest net outflow at -18.30 billion, followed by SMIC at -17.19 billion [6] Group 4: ETF Trading Activity - The top ten ETFs by trading amount included Hong Kong Securities ETF at 23.21281 billion, and Sci-Tech 50 ETF at 12.3618 billion [8] - The ETF with the highest increase in trading amount compared to the previous trading day was Energy Chemical ETF, which surged by 225.56% [8] Group 5: Futures Market - In the futures market, both long and short positions increased for the IH and IF contracts, while the IC contract saw an increase in long positions [10] Group 6: Institutional Activity - Institutional buying was notable in stocks like Jinli Permanent Magnet, which saw a 20% increase and received 1.42 billion from three institutions [12] - Conversely, stocks like Jin Feng Technology experienced significant selling, with 3.78 billion sold by institutions [13]

Trading Activity - The total trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect today reached 404.54 billion, with WuXi AppTec and Dongfang Wealth leading in trading volume for the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock connect respectively [1] - The total trading amount for the Shanghai Stock Connect was 190.61 billion, while the Shenzhen Stock Connect was 213.94 billion [2] Top Stocks - In the Shanghai Stock Connect, the top traded stocks included WuXi AppTec (3.746 billion), Haiguang Information (3.128 billion), and Cambricon Technologies (2.944 billion) [3] - In the Shenzhen Stock Connect, Dongfang Wealth (3.532 billion), CATL (3.222 billion), and Zhongji Xuchuang (2.836 billion) were the top traded stocks [4] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector saw the highest net inflow of funds, amounting to 3.922 billion, with a net inflow rate of 2.16% [5] - Other sectors with significant net inflows included the food and beverage industry (2.839 billion, 4.31%) and steel (1.852 billion, 8.48%) [5] - Conversely, the electronics sector experienced the largest net outflow of funds, totaling -19.266 billion, with a net outflow rate of -3.37% [6] ETF Trading - The top ETF by trading volume was the Hong Kong Securities ETF, with a trading amount of 23.21281 billion, followed by the Sci-Tech 50 ETF at 12.3618 billion [9] - The Energy Chemical ETF saw a remarkable increase in trading volume, with a 225% increase compared to the previous trading day [10] Futures Market - In the futures market, the IC contract saw a greater increase in long positions compared to short positions, indicating bullish sentiment [1] - The main contracts IH and IF also saw an increase in both long and short positions, with a notable increase in short positions for both [12] Institutional Activity - Jinli Permanent Magnet received significant institutional buying, totaling 1.42 billion, while Hengbao Co. saw 1.2 billion in institutional purchases [13] - Conversely, Jin Feng Technology faced institutional selling of 3.78 billion, indicating a bearish outlook from institutions [14]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The strategy is based on the research reports "Strategy Portfolio Report under Industry Rotation: Quantitative Analysis from the Perspective of Industry Style Continuity and Switching" (20241007) and "Research on the Overview and Allocation Methods of the Stock - type ETF Market: Taking the ETF Portfolio Based on the Industry Rotation Strategy as an Example" (20241013) to construct a strategy portfolio of industry and theme ETFs [2] - In the week of 20250811, the model recommends allocating sectors such as joint - stock banks, games, and semiconductors. In the next week, the strategy will newly hold products like Game ETF, Science and Technology Innovation Chip Design ETF, and Satellite ETF, and continue to hold products like Bank ETF, Financial Real Estate ETF, and Gold Stock ETF [2] - As of last weekend, some ETFs and the trading timing signals of the underlying indexes gave daily or weekly risk warnings [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Performance Tracking - During the period from 20250804 to 20250808, the cumulative net return of the strategy was about 2.62%, and the excess return relative to the CSI 300 ETF was about 1.41% [3] - From October 14, 2024, to the present, the cumulative out - of - sample return of the strategy was about 7.08%, and the cumulative excess relative to the CSI 300 ETF was about - 0.79% [3] Future 1 - Week Recommended ETFs (20250811 - 20250815) | Fund Code | ETF Name | Holding Status | ETF Market Value (billion yuan) | Heavy - Positioned Shenwan II Industry and Weight | Weekly Timing Signal | Daily Timing Signal | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 512800 | Bank ETF | Continue to hold | 151.38 | Joint - stock banks (44.73%) | 1 | - 1 | | 159869 | Game ETF | Transfer in | 73.17 | Games (81.29%) | 1 | 1 | | 588780 | Science and Technology Innovation Chip Design ETF | Transfer in | 2.77 | Semiconductors (95.73%) | 1 | 1 | | 159940 | Financial Real Estate ETF | Continue to hold | 7.99 | Securities (29.12%) | 1 | - 1 | | 517520 | Gold Stock ETF | Continue to hold | 46.34 | Precious metals (41.51%) | 1 | 1 | | 510000 | Central Enterprise ETF | Continue to hold | 1.21 | State - owned large - scale banks (18.11%) | 1 | 1 | | 512690 | Wine ETF | Continue to hold | 152.39 | Baijiu (85.37%) | - 1 | - 1 | | 159206 | ZETF | Transfer in | 1.33 | Military electronics II (34.22%) | 1 | 1 | | 159786 | VRETF | Transfer in | 1.32 | Optoelectronics (26.64%) | 1 | 1 | | 159652 | Non - ferrous 50 ETF | Transfer in | 5.21 | Industrial metals (49.34%) | 1 | 1 | [9] Near 1 - Week ETF Holdings and Performance (20250804 - 20250808) | Fund Code | Current Holding Status | ETF Name | ETF Market Value (billion yuan) | Near 1 - Week Increase/Decrease (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 562550 | - | Green Power ETF | 1.21 | 1.50 | | 512800 | Continue to hold | Bank ETF | 151.38 | 1.99 | | 512690 | Continue to hold | Wine ETF | 152.39 | 1.06 | | 159768 | - | Real Estate ETF | 6.13 | 2.14 | | 159940 | Continue to hold | Financial Real Estate ETF | 7.99 | 1.41 | | 515220 | Transfer out | Coal ETF | 80.20 | 3.78 | | 159996 | Transfer out | Home Appliance ETF | 12.72 | 2.55 | | 510060 | Continue to hold | Central Enterprise ETF | 1.21 | 1.42 | | 516550 | Transfer out | Agricultural ETF | 1.87 | 1.76 | | 517520 | Continue to hold | Gold Stock ETF | 46.34 | 8.91 | | - | ETF Portfolio Average Return | - | - | 2.62 | | 510300 | - | CSI 300 ETF | 3819.72 | 1.21 | | - | ETF Portfolio Excess Return | - | - | 1.41 | [10]

Core Viewpoint - The overall net inflow of funds into stock ETFs exceeded 7.1 billion yuan on August 6, with broad-based ETFs being the main beneficiaries while certain thematic ETFs experienced significant outflows [2][3]. Fund Inflows and Outflows - The total net inflow into stock ETFs (including cross-border ETFs) reached 71.94 billion yuan, bringing the latest total scale to 3.82 trillion yuan [3]. - Among the major categories, broad-based ETFs and Hong Kong market ETFs saw the highest net inflows of 39.48 billion yuan and 20.98 billion yuan, respectively, while commodity ETFs faced the largest outflow of 15.09 billion yuan [3]. - The net inflow for the CSI A500 index was the highest at 13.99 billion yuan, while the SGE Gold 9999 index had the largest outflow at 14.44 billion yuan [3]. Performance of Leading Fund Companies - E Fund's ETFs reached a latest scale of 684.67 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 12.8 billion yuan on the previous day and an increase of 84.02 billion yuan year-to-date [3]. - The E Fund A500 ETF saw a net inflow of 5.9 billion yuan, while the E Fund Robotics ETF had a net inflow of 2.4 billion yuan, surpassing 4 billion yuan in total scale [3]. Thematic ETF Performance - The leading broad-based ETFs that attracted significant inflows included the CSI 1000 ETF, A500 ETF, CSI 500 ETF, and CSI 300 ETF, while thematic ETFs in military, gaming, dividends, and real estate sectors experienced notable outflows [5][6]. - Specific outflows included the Military ETF with a net outflow of 4.80 million yuan and the Gaming ETF with a net outflow of 4.77 million yuan [6]. Market Outlook - The market is expected to continue its recovery supported by domestic policies, with the technology sector likely to become a key driver of economic growth, particularly in artificial intelligence and semiconductors [7].