Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The strategy is based on the research reports "Strategy Portfolio Report under Industry Rotation: Quantitative Analysis from the Perspective of Industry Style Continuity and Switching" (20241007) and "Research on the Overview and Allocation Methods of the Stock - type ETF Market: Taking the ETF Portfolio Based on the Industry Rotation Strategy as an Example" (20241013) to construct a strategy portfolio of industry and theme ETFs [2] - In the week of 20250811, the model recommends allocating sectors such as joint - stock banks, games, and semiconductors. In the next week, the strategy will newly hold products like Game ETF, Science and Technology Innovation Chip Design ETF, and Satellite ETF, and continue to hold products like Bank ETF, Financial Real Estate ETF, and Gold Stock ETF [2] - As of last weekend, some ETFs and the trading timing signals of the underlying indexes gave daily or weekly risk warnings [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Performance Tracking - During the period from 20250804 to 20250808, the cumulative net return of the strategy was about 2.62%, and the excess return relative to the CSI 300 ETF was about 1.41% [3] - From October 14, 2024, to the present, the cumulative out - of - sample return of the strategy was about 7.08%, and the cumulative excess relative to the CSI 300 ETF was about - 0.79% [3] Future 1 - Week Recommended ETFs (20250811 - 20250815) | Fund Code | ETF Name | Holding Status | ETF Market Value (billion yuan) | Heavy - Positioned Shenwan II Industry and Weight | Weekly Timing Signal | Daily Timing Signal | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 512800 | Bank ETF | Continue to hold | 151.38 | Joint - stock banks (44.73%) | 1 | - 1 | | 159869 | Game ETF | Transfer in | 73.17 | Games (81.29%) | 1 | 1 | | 588780 | Science and Technology Innovation Chip Design ETF | Transfer in | 2.77 | Semiconductors (95.73%) | 1 | 1 | | 159940 | Financial Real Estate ETF | Continue to hold | 7.99 | Securities (29.12%) | 1 | - 1 | | 517520 | Gold Stock ETF | Continue to hold | 46.34 | Precious metals (41.51%) | 1 | 1 | | 510000 | Central Enterprise ETF | Continue to hold | 1.21 | State - owned large - scale banks (18.11%) | 1 | 1 | | 512690 | Wine ETF | Continue to hold | 152.39 | Baijiu (85.37%) | - 1 | - 1 | | 159206 | ZETF | Transfer in | 1.33 | Military electronics II (34.22%) | 1 | 1 | | 159786 | VRETF | Transfer in | 1.32 | Optoelectronics (26.64%) | 1 | 1 | | 159652 | Non - ferrous 50 ETF | Transfer in | 5.21 | Industrial metals (49.34%) | 1 | 1 | [9] Near 1 - Week ETF Holdings and Performance (20250804 - 20250808) | Fund Code | Current Holding Status | ETF Name | ETF Market Value (billion yuan) | Near 1 - Week Increase/Decrease (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 562550 | - | Green Power ETF | 1.21 | 1.50 | | 512800 | Continue to hold | Bank ETF | 151.38 | 1.99 | | 512690 | Continue to hold | Wine ETF | 152.39 | 1.06 | | 159768 | - | Real Estate ETF | 6.13 | 2.14 | | 159940 | Continue to hold | Financial Real Estate ETF | 7.99 | 1.41 | | 515220 | Transfer out | Coal ETF | 80.20 | 3.78 | | 159996 | Transfer out | Home Appliance ETF | 12.72 | 2.55 | | 510060 | Continue to hold | Central Enterprise ETF | 1.21 | 1.42 | | 516550 | Transfer out | Agricultural ETF | 1.87 | 1.76 | | 517520 | Continue to hold | Gold Stock ETF | 46.34 | 8.91 | | - | ETF Portfolio Average Return | - | - | 2.62 | | 510300 | - | CSI 300 ETF | 3819.72 | 1.21 | | - | ETF Portfolio Excess Return | - | - | 1.41 | [10]

Core Viewpoint - The overall net inflow of funds into stock ETFs exceeded 7.1 billion yuan on August 6, with broad-based ETFs being the main beneficiaries while certain thematic ETFs experienced significant outflows [2][3]. Fund Inflows and Outflows - The total net inflow into stock ETFs (including cross-border ETFs) reached 71.94 billion yuan, bringing the latest total scale to 3.82 trillion yuan [3]. - Among the major categories, broad-based ETFs and Hong Kong market ETFs saw the highest net inflows of 39.48 billion yuan and 20.98 billion yuan, respectively, while commodity ETFs faced the largest outflow of 15.09 billion yuan [3]. - The net inflow for the CSI A500 index was the highest at 13.99 billion yuan, while the SGE Gold 9999 index had the largest outflow at 14.44 billion yuan [3]. Performance of Leading Fund Companies - E Fund's ETFs reached a latest scale of 684.67 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 12.8 billion yuan on the previous day and an increase of 84.02 billion yuan year-to-date [3]. - The E Fund A500 ETF saw a net inflow of 5.9 billion yuan, while the E Fund Robotics ETF had a net inflow of 2.4 billion yuan, surpassing 4 billion yuan in total scale [3]. Thematic ETF Performance - The leading broad-based ETFs that attracted significant inflows included the CSI 1000 ETF, A500 ETF, CSI 500 ETF, and CSI 300 ETF, while thematic ETFs in military, gaming, dividends, and real estate sectors experienced notable outflows [5][6]. - Specific outflows included the Military ETF with a net outflow of 4.80 million yuan and the Gaming ETF with a net outflow of 4.77 million yuan [6]. Market Outlook - The market is expected to continue its recovery supported by domestic policies, with the technology sector likely to become a key driver of economic growth, particularly in artificial intelligence and semiconductors [7].

Core Viewpoint - On August 6, the overall net inflow of stock ETFs exceeded 7.1 billion yuan, with significant gains in military and robotics sectors, indicating strong investor interest in these areas [2][4]. Group 1: ETF Market Overview - The total net inflow of stock ETFs reached 71.94 billion yuan, bringing the latest total scale to 3.82 trillion yuan [4]. - Among the major types, broad-based ETFs and Hong Kong market ETFs saw the highest net inflows of 39.48 billion yuan and 20.98 billion yuan, respectively, while commodity ETFs experienced a net outflow of 15.09 billion yuan [4]. - The broad-based ETF scale increased by 137.47 billion yuan [4]. Group 2: Top Performing ETFs - The top net inflows for August 6 were led by the CSI 1000 ETF with 12.05 billion yuan, followed by the Hong Kong Internet ETF with 7.55 billion yuan [8]. - Other notable ETFs with significant inflows included the Securities ETF (6.32 billion yuan), A500 ETF (5.90 billion yuan), and CSI 500 ETF (5.13 billion yuan) [8][7]. Group 3: Underperforming ETFs - The ETFs that experienced the highest net outflows included the Military Industry ETF (-4.80 billion yuan), Game ETF (-4.77 billion yuan), and Dividend ETF (-1.76 billion yuan) [9]. - The Real Estate ETF also saw a net outflow of -1.39 billion yuan, indicating a trend of capital withdrawal from these sectors [9]. Group 4: Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that the A-share market is expected to experience a structural uplift due to easing geopolitical tensions and domestic policy support, which may enhance market risk appetite [10]. - The technology sector, particularly in artificial intelligence and semiconductors, is anticipated to drive economic growth and present new investment opportunities [10].

Strategy Overview - The report focuses on constructing a strategy portfolio based on industry and thematic ETFs, utilizing quantitative analysis from previous strategy reports [2]. Strategy Update - For the week of August 4, 2025, the model recommends increasing allocations to sectors such as electricity, joint-stock banks, and liquor, while continuing to hold real estate and agriculture ETFs [2]. - New additions include Green Power ETF, Bank ETF, and Liquor ETF, with ongoing holdings in Real Estate ETF and Agriculture ETF [2]. - As of the last weekend, some ETFs and index trading timing signals provided daily or weekly risk alerts [2]. Performance Tracking - From July 28 to August 1, 2025, the strategy recorded a cumulative net return of approximately -2.19%, with an excess return of about -0.53% compared to the CSI 300 ETF [2]. - Since October 14, 2024, the cumulative return of the strategy outside the sample period is approximately 4.34%, with an excess return of about -2.17% relative to the CSI 300 ETF [2].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.68% at midday, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.43% [1] - The AI hardware sector saw a significant rally, with multiple ETFs related to artificial intelligence experiencing gains of around 4% [5] - The real estate sector faced notable declines, with ETFs related to real estate dropping by 3.66% and 3.06% respectively [6] Sector Performance - The AI application sector and liquid cooling concepts began to see a rebound, contributing to the overall strength of the AI industry [1] - Innovative pharmaceuticals continued to show strong performance, with several ETFs in this sector rising by approximately 2.93% to 2.55% [5] - Cyclical stocks, including steel, coal, and rare earth sectors, continued to adjust downwards, reflecting a broader market trend [1][6]

Core Insights - A total of 241 ETF funds experienced net inflows from financing, while 28 funds saw net outflows from securities lending [1] - Significant inflows were observed in specific ETFs, including the Government Bond ETF (511520.SH) and the National Debt ETF (511010.SH), with net inflows of 8.29 billion and 3.17 billion respectively [1][3] - Conversely, notable outflows were recorded in ETFs such as the CSI 500 ETF (510500.SH) and the CSI 1000 ETF (512100.SH), with net outflows of 1.24 billion and 1.05 billion respectively [1][5] Financing Inflows - 62 ETFs had financing net inflows exceeding 5 million, with the top five being: - Government Bond ETF: 8.29 billion - National Debt ETF: 3.17 billion - City Investment Bond ETF: 2.76 billion - Short-term Bond ETF: 1.50 billion - Sci-Tech 50 ETF: 1.37 billion [1][3][10] Securities Lending Outflows - 6 ETFs had securities lending net outflows exceeding 5 million, with the top five being: - CSI 500 ETF: 1.24 billion - CSI 1000 ETF: 1.05 billion - CSI 300 ETF: 1.055 billion - Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETF: 801.58 million - CSI 2000 ETF: 526.18 million [1][5][12] Recent Trends - 91 ETFs have seen continuous financing net inflows, with the Hong Kong Securities ETF leading with a net inflow of 6.11 billion over the past 7 days [1][7] - In terms of continuous securities lending net outflows, 4 ETFs were noted, with the Innovation Drug ETF experiencing a net outflow of 45.47 million over 3 days [1][8] Long-term Observations - Over the past 5 days, significant financing net inflows were recorded in: - Government Bond ETF: 4.48 billion - Hong Kong Securities ETF: 4.43 billion - Hang Seng Technology ETF: 2.12 billion [1][8][10] - Conversely, the top 5 ETFs with net outflows over the same period included: - CSI 500 ETF: 1.34 billion - CSI 1000 ETF: 1.22 billion [1][10][12]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the strategic allocation of ETFs in various sectors, recommending a focus on liquor, real estate, and white goods for the upcoming week [2] - The model portfolio for the week of July 28, 2025, includes continued holdings in real estate ETFs and the addition of oil and gas ETFs, indicating a shift in market focus [2][5] - The report highlights a cumulative return of approximately 1.40% for the strategy from July 21 to July 25, 2025, with an excess return of -0.32% compared to the CSI 300 ETF [2][5] ETF Strategy Summary - The report outlines specific ETFs and their respective values, with the liquor ETF valued at 32.58 billion, real estate ETF at 6.83 billion, and tourism ETF at 30.84 billion, among others [2] - The report provides a detailed performance tracking of various ETFs, indicating that the average return for the ETFs was 1.40% during the specified period [5] - The report includes a table of ETFs with their current holdings and performance metrics, showing that the real estate ETF has a holding signal of 100% and the liquor ETF has a holding signal of 55.71% [2][5]

Group 1 - Hong Kong real estate stocks collectively surged, with Country Garden and Agile Group leading with a 7% increase, while Shimao Group rose over 4% [1] - A-shares such as China Merchants Shekou, China Vanke, and Greenland Group also saw gains of over 2% [1] - Real estate ETFs, including Poly Developments and China Merchants Shekou, increased by over 3%, indicating positive market sentiment [1][3] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China reported that as of the end of Q2 2025, the total balance of RMB loans was 268.56 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, with real estate loans at 53.33 trillion yuan, up 0.4% [4] - Guangdong's financial regulatory authority announced that banks provided over 1 trillion yuan in credit for 1,812 "white list" projects, with real estate loans in the region growing by 2.77% year-on-year [5] - In Suzhou, land auction prices reached new highs, with Greenland winning a plot for 46.67 billion yuan, setting a new record for floor prices in the area [6] Group 3 - China Overseas Land & Investment acquired a residential plot in Shanghai for 53.63 billion yuan, with a floor price exceeding 90,000 yuan per square meter, reflecting strong demand in prime locations [7] - Bank of America Securities noted that the performance of the domestic real estate sector has been mixed, emphasizing the importance of location and profit outlook in stock performance [8] - The report suggests that the upcoming political bureau meeting in July will be a critical event for potential policy adjustments in the real estate sector [8]

Market Overview - The A-share market continues to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3534.48 points, marking a new high for the year [1] - The overall performance of ETFs has been active, particularly in the Hong Kong innovative drug sector, which has led the gains [1][2] ETF Performance - Nearly 1100 ETF products saw gains this week, with a median weekly increase of approximately 1.29%, slightly up from the previous week [2] - The top-performing ETFs include several Hong Kong innovative drug-related ETFs, with weekly gains exceeding 13% [4][6] - Notable ETFs include: - 恒生创新药ETF: 13.686% weekly gain, 89.746% year-to-date gain - 港股通创新药ETF: 13.248% weekly gain, 15.631% year-to-date gain - 港股创新药ETF基金: 13.128% weekly gain, 89.775% year-to-date gain [4] Sector Highlights - The Hong Kong innovative drug sector saw significant individual stock performances, with 康方生物 rising nearly 24% and 三生制药 increasing by 23% [6] - The entrepreneurial board's artificial intelligence ETFs also experienced over 10% gains, driven by strong performances from companies like 新易盛 and 中际旭创 [6] Declining Sectors - The gaming ETF sector faced declines, with several products dropping over 3% this week [7][10] - Other underperforming sectors included financial technology, photovoltaic, and real estate ETFs, with the banking ETF also experiencing a decline after reaching historical highs [10]

Group 1 - The ETF market showed mixed performance at midday, with the Southern AI ETF (159382) leading gains at 4.95% [1] - The Cloud 50 ETF (560660) increased by 4.77%, while the Communication Equipment ETF (159583) rose by 4.68% [1] - The Guozheng 2000 ETF (159543) experienced the largest decline at 4.36%, followed by the Real Estate ETF (512200) which fell by 2.6%, and the Coal ETF (515220) which decreased by 2.52% [1]