国泰海通证券研究指出，8月25日，国家新闻出版署官网发布2025年8月国产网络游戏审批信息，共166 款游戏获批，创历史新高；同时下发新一批进口网络游戏审批信息，包括7款游戏。游戏行业三季度景 气度持续，看好产业长期健康发展。根据游戏工委数据，2025年7月我国游戏行业继续正增长，国内市 场规模达290.84亿元，同比增长4.62%，其中移动端同比增长0.92%，客户端同比增长16.56%，游戏消费 积极。具体来看，腾讯《三角洲行动》在7月日活达到2000万、《无畏契约》手游8月19日上线带动用户 热情，巨人网络《超自然行动组》、吉比特《杖剑传说》均在7-8月取得亮眼成绩。政策鼓励、供给丰 富，看好游戏行业在三季度暑期旺季下的表现，并对游戏行业的长期发展保持积极判断。 ...

Group 1: Tencent Holdings (00700) Analysis - Tencent achieved a revenue of 184.5 billion yuan in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15%, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 3% [2][14] - Adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders was 63.1 billion yuan, up 10% year-on-year, also surpassing Bloomberg consensus by 2% [2][14] - The gaming segment showed strong performance, with international and domestic game revenues growing by 35% and 17% respectively in Q2 2025 [2][14] - Advertising revenue increased by 20% to 35.8 billion yuan, driven by AI enhancements that improved click-through rates [2][14] - Financial technology and enterprise services revenue grew by 10% to 55.5 billion yuan, marking a return to double-digit growth [3][14] - The company maintains a "buy" rating with an adjusted net profit forecast for 2025-2027 of 255.6 billion, 298 billion, and 336.8 billion yuan respectively [3][14] Group 2: Industry Trends and Insights - The wind power sector is experiencing a high growth period, with significant improvements in profitability reported by various companies [25] - The domestic wind power market is expected to see new installations reach 110 GW in 2025, with Q2 2025 showing a year-on-year increase of 255.61% in new installations [25] - The market for non-road wide-body dump trucks is projected to grow significantly, driven by trends towards larger, electric, and unmanned vehicles [15][18] - The liquid cooling technology for data centers is gaining traction, with a projected market space of approximately 10 billion yuan due to increasing power density and cooling needs [28][26] - The semiconductor industry is seeing a shift towards special integrated circuits, with demand driven by national defense and commercial satellite applications [21][29]

Core Viewpoint - Credit Lyonnais has raised the target price for Tencent Holdings (00700) from HKD 645 to HKD 710, maintaining a "highly confident outperform" rating based on robust growth in gaming and advertising, as well as the success of new games [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Tencent is expected to continue its solid growth in gaming and advertising into Q2 2025, with total revenue and adjusted EBIT projected to grow by 10.1% and 10.2% year-on-year, reaching RMB 177.3 billion and RMB 64.4 billion respectively [1] - Online gaming revenue is anticipated to rise due to strong performance from classic games, particularly "Honor of Kings" and "PUBG Mobile," along with new games like "Delta Force" and "Nikke" [1] Group 2: Advertising and Cloud Business - Tencent's advertising revenue is likely to benefit from upgrades in advertising technology, as well as growth in video accounts, mini-programs, and search business [1] - The cloud business revenue is expected to recover to double-digit growth driven by strong demand for artificial intelligence (AI) [1]

Core Viewpoint - Credit Lyonnais forecasts Tencent Holdings will continue its robust growth in gaming and advertising by Q2 2025, with total revenue and adjusted EBIT expected to grow by 10.1% and 10.2% year-on-year, reaching 177.3 billion and 64.4 billion respectively [1] Gaming Revenue - Online gaming revenue is anticipated to rise due to strong performance from classic games, particularly "Honor of Kings" and "PUBG Mobile," along with the success of new games like "Delta Force" and "Victory Goddess: Nikki" [1] - The mobile version of "Valorant" is expected to be released in August [1] Advertising Revenue - Tencent's advertising revenue is likely to benefit from upgrades in advertising technology, as well as growth in video accounts, mini-programs, and search business [1] Cloud Business - Revenue from the cloud business is projected to recover to double-digit growth due to strong demand for artificial intelligence (AI) [1] Target Price Adjustment - Based on the solid growth in gaming and advertising, as well as the success of new games, the target price has been raised from 64.5 HKD to 71.0 HKD, maintaining a "highly confident outperform" rating [1]

Core Insights - ChinaJoy, known as the "Eastern E3," is a significant annual event for young people globally, celebrating its 22nd edition this year [1] - The event showcases the rapid growth of the Chinese gaming industry, evolving from a single gaming exhibition to a comprehensive digital interactive entertainment fair covering various sectors [3] Industry Overview - ChinaJoy features multiple thematic areas, attracting over 37 countries and regions, with foreign companies accounting for more than 30% of exhibitors [3] - The BTOB (business-to-business) section includes over 460 companies, occupying 25,000 square meters, while the BTOC (business-to-consumer) interactive entertainment area spans 110,000 square meters with over 280 exhibitors [3] Major Participants - Major domestic gaming companies such as Tencent, NetEase, and Century Huatong are prominently featured, showcasing multiple high-profile games [4] - Tencent presents 17 products occupying nearly half of its exhibition area, while Century Huatong has reduced its booth size to enhance player interaction [6][4] Interactive Experience - The event emphasizes immersive experiences, with various booths designed to facilitate deep player engagement rather than passive observation [6] - AI elements are prevalent, with companies like Baidu and Orange篇 showcasing AI-driven features that enhance user interaction and content creation [11][12] AI Integration - The integration of AI in gaming is a focal point, with companies exploring AI's potential to reshape the gaming landscape, enhancing both development efficiency and player experience [14] - AI technologies are being applied across the gaming industry, from automated translation to personalized player interactions, significantly improving operational efficiency [15][16]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tencent Holdings is maintained as "Buy" [8] Core Views - Tencent is expected to achieve operating revenue of 178.3 billion RMB in Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 11%, and an adjusted net profit of 60.2 billion RMB, reflecting a 5% increase [2] - The company continues to show healthy growth driven by new game releases and advancements in AI technology [8] - The report highlights the strong performance in gaming, advertising, and financial technology sectors, with specific growth rates projected for each segment [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for Tencent are as follows: - 2023: 609 billion RMB - 2024: 660.3 billion RMB - 2025E: 731.1 billion RMB - 2026E: 795.5 billion RMB - 2027E: 846.5 billion RMB - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected at 9.8% for 2023, 8.4% for 2024, 10.7% for 2025, 8.8% for 2026, and 6.4% for 2027 [4] - Adjusted net profit forecasts are: - 2023: 157.7 billion RMB - 2024: 222.7 billion RMB - 2025E: 250.7 billion RMB - 2026E: 281.3 billion RMB - 2027E: 309.3 billion RMB - Year-on-year growth rates for adjusted net profit are projected at 36.4% for 2023, 41.2% for 2024, 12.6% for 2025, 12.2% for 2026, and 10.0% for 2027 [4] Revenue Breakdown - The expected revenue breakdown for Q2 2025 includes: - Online gaming revenue growth of 14% year-on-year - Advertising revenue growth of 17% year-on-year - Financial technology and enterprise services revenue growth of 5% year-on-year [8] - The report emphasizes the contribution of new game titles and AI enhancements to revenue growth [8] Valuation - The target price for Tencent is set at 673 HKD, indicating an upside potential of 35.5% from the current price [8] - The SOTP (Sum of the Parts) valuation method estimates the total market value of Tencent at approximately 561.73 billion RMB [10]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for stocks, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within six months [40] Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market has seen a net inflow of southbound funds amounting to 141.6 billion CNY over the past week, with a total net inflow of 6244.2 billion CNY year-to-date, representing 83.9% of the total net inflow for 2024 [1] - Major internet companies are currently valued at relatively low price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, with Meituan at 17, Tencent at 16, and Alibaba at 12 for the year 2025 [1] - The AI sector is witnessing significant advancements, with the launch of upgraded models and new applications, indicating a positive trend in commercializing AI technologies [1][19] Summary by Sections Southbound Funds - The report highlights a strong focus on Meituan, which received a net purchase of 56.75 billion CNY from southbound funds [1][35] - Other notable stocks with significant net purchases include BYD with 29.79 billion CNY and China Construction Bank with 22.05 billion CNY [35] AI Developments - The report discusses the advancements in AI, particularly the upgrade of the Doubao model to version 1.6, which shows significant improvements in reasoning and instruction-following capabilities [19] - The introduction of new models for video generation and podcasting further emphasizes the ongoing innovation in the AI sector [19] Online Music and IP Market - Tencent Music's acquisition of the online audio platform Ximalaya is expected to enhance its long audio content strategy [3] - The report notes the high demand for IP-related stocks, particularly in the collectible toy sector, with companies like Pop Mart and Blukoo being highlighted as key players [2] Automotive Sector - The report indicates a positive outlook for smart driving technologies, with Tesla's Robotaxi set to begin operations and domestic players like Li Auto and Xpeng reaching critical milestones [2] - The trend of equipping vehicles with laser radar is becoming standard among leading manufacturers, suggesting a robust future for companies like Hesai Technology and Horizon Robotics [2][12] Valuation Comparisons - The report provides a comparative analysis of major companies' market capitalizations and PE ratios, with Alibaba at 20374 million CNY and a PE of 12, while Tencent stands at 43340 million CNY with a PE of 16 [30] - The automotive companies Li Auto and Xpeng are noted for their low price-to-sales (PS) ratios, indicating potential undervaluation compared to their U.S. counterparts [32]

Core Viewpoint - The recent hands-on event for "Valorant: Source Action" showcased the OnePlus Ace 5 Supreme Edition as a high-performance gaming device, emphasizing its capabilities in delivering a competitive mobile gaming experience [1] Group 1: Product Performance - The OnePlus Ace 5 Supreme Edition features the "eSports Triple Core" system, which includes performance, touch, and network cores, enhancing stability, precision, and speed in gameplay [1] - During practical tests, the device maintained a frame rate of 119 FPS under high-quality settings, demonstrating minimal fluctuations and ensuring smooth gameplay without lag [3] - The device's "Lingxi Touch Core" supports a touch sampling rate of up to 3000Hz, resulting in highly responsive touch controls, allowing for precise shooting and quick reactions in competitive scenarios [3] Group 2: Connectivity and Thermal Management - The OnePlus Ace 5 Supreme Edition is equipped with the eSports Wi-Fi chip G1, which improves communication range and wall penetration, ensuring stable connections even in weak network environments [5] - The device features an "Ice River Cooling System" that effectively manages heat, maintaining a stable temperature during intense gaming sessions, with only slight warmth after prolonged use [5] Group 3: Battery and Pricing - The device is powered by a 6700mAh battery and supports 100W super flash charging, allowing for extended gaming sessions without interruptions [5] - Pricing for the OnePlus Ace 5 Supreme Edition varies by configuration, with discounts applied: the 12GB+256GB version is priced at 2124.15 yuan, the 16GB+256GB version at 2379.15 yuan, and so on, with the highest configuration (16GB+1TB) priced at 3299 yuan after discounts [7]

Summary of Conference Call Records Company and Industry Involved - **Companies**: Alibaba Pictures, Maoyan Entertainment - **Industries**: Concert Industry, Film Industry, Gaming Industry Key Points and Arguments Concert Industry Insights - Alibaba Pictures' stock price increase reflects market recognition of the long-term logic in the concert sector, with the industry experiencing rapid growth post-pandemic, creating additional space for online ticketing platforms [1][3] - The concert industry is undergoing consolidation similar to the movie ticketing phase in 2016-2017, with internet platforms expected to evolve into concert organizers, thus increasing their share of the revenue distribution [1][5] - Demand in the concert market is strong but not fully met, with a ticket purchase success rate of less than 20% on platforms like Damai, indicating a potential market size in the hundreds of billions [1][16] - Regional sports events, such as local basketball and soccer matches, show growth potential, providing additional revenue opportunities for ticketing companies like Damai and Maoyan [1][22] Film Industry Challenges and Opportunities - The film industry faces challenges with low box office performance, particularly in April and May, due to a significant drop in imported films, leading to overall box office revenues of only around 10 billion [6][9] - Despite low expectations, there are signs of potential recovery in the summer box office, with the Dragon Boat Festival showing a 20% increase, and a rich supply of content expected for the summer season [7][11] - The supply side is crucial for recovery, with several high-quality films expected to perform well, potentially exceeding 30 billion in box office revenue [9][10] Financial Performance and Projections - Alibaba Pictures' net profit for 2024 is projected to be primarily driven by Damai and IP businesses, with the film business impacted by losses from "Feng Shen" [1][28] - Damai is expected to maintain a growth rate of 15%-20% in the short term, with a market share of approximately 70% in the primary ticketing sector for music events [29] - The IP business, particularly through Alibaba Fish, is anticipated to see significant growth, contributing to overall revenue increases for Alibaba Pictures [30][34] Gaming Industry Trends - The gaming industry is experiencing a slowdown in competitive dynamics, with smaller products achieving higher profitability and companies focusing on their strengths [2][45] - Upcoming notable game releases include Tencent's "Valorant" mobile game and several other titles from various companies, indicating a robust pipeline of new products [46][48] Other Important Insights - The concert market's growth is primarily driven by the increase in the number of performances, with a strong demand that remains unmet [15][21] - Local governments can leverage cultural and tourism resources to support music festivals and events, collaborating with companies like Damai and Alibaba Pictures to enhance their offerings [20] - The overall sentiment in the film industry remains cautious, but there are opportunities for recovery based on upcoming releases and audience engagement [6][7][9]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for stocks, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within six months [33] Core Insights - Southbound funds continue to flow into Hong Kong stocks, with a net purchase of 13.681 billion yuan during the week, totaling 624.42 billion yuan year-to-date, which is 83.92% of the total net purchase for 2024 [1] - Major internet companies are currently at relatively low valuations, with projected P/E ratios for 2025 as follows: Xiaomi (27), Tencent (16), Alibaba (12), Meituan (17), Baidu (9), Pinduoduo (10), JD.com (7), and Kuaishou (11) [1] - Kuaishou's AI product, Keling AI, has achieved an annualized revenue run rate exceeding 100 million USD within ten months of launch, with a user base surpassing 22 million globally [1] Summary by Sections Southbound Funds - Southbound funds have shown a strong inflow, with Meituan receiving the highest net purchase of 8.613 billion yuan [28] - The overall trend indicates a growing interest in Hong Kong stocks, particularly in the IP economy and consumer recovery sectors [2] AI and Technology - The report highlights the upcoming launch of advanced driving technologies from companies like Tesla and Xiaopeng, with a focus on laser radar and chip suppliers [2] - Kuaishou's AI product is noted for its rapid revenue growth and user acquisition, indicating strong commercial potential in AI applications [1] Consumer and IP Economy - The report emphasizes the high growth potential in the IP economy, with companies like Pop Mart and Blukoo being highlighted for their strong market positions and product offerings [2] - The upcoming IPOs and seasonal consumption trends are expected to drive market expectations higher [2] Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23,792.54 points, reflecting a weekly increase of approximately 2.16% [14] - The report suggests that the current market conditions are favorable for investment in high-growth sectors, particularly in consumer and technology [2]