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进口额更少了,欧盟三年内采购7500亿美国能源的承诺能实现吗?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-30 10:00
原因在于,虽然自8月美欧达成贸易协议以来,欧盟购买的美国液化天然气数量有所增加,但由于石油 和天然气价格下跌,与去年同期相比,总价值有所下降。 根据能源咨询公司Kpler的数据显示,9月至12月期间,欧盟进口的美国液化天然气(LNG)和石油总额 为296亿美元。 牛津经济研究院在最新报告中预测,"全球液化天然气的增长仍然是天然气市场展望的核心。随着天然 气流动性增强导致全球市场相互依存度提高,我们预计液化天然气供应将缓解欧洲和亚洲进口地区的天 然气价格,并对美国价格构成压力。" 政治承诺而非采购协议 "2025年7月27日达成的政治协议不具有法律约束力"。 尽管欧盟向特朗普政府承诺在未来三年内购买价值7500亿美元的美国能源,但在过去四个月中,欧盟从 美国购买的石油和天然气支出却减少了7%。 第一财经记者查阅欧盟今年7月底发布的"欧美贸易协议的解释"文件,最后一行中清楚写道,"2025年7 月27日达成的政治协议不具有法律约束力"。 在有关欧盟购买美国液化天然气等部分,该文件表示,"欧盟打算在未来三年内采购美国液化天然气、 石油和核能产品,预计采购额将达到7500亿美元(约合7000亿欧元)。这将有助于取代俄 ...
美挥舞关税大棒 冯德莱恩:欧盟被迫寻求贸易多元化
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 10:16
Core Viewpoint - The European Union (EU) is seeking to diversify its trade agreements with countries like India to reduce dependence on the United States, especially in light of increased U.S. import tariffs [1] Group 1: Trade Agreements - The EU aims to reach a trade agreement with India by the end of this year [1] - Ongoing negotiations are also taking place with South Africa, Malaysia, and the UAE [1] Group 2: EU-U.S. Trade Agreement - A joint statement was issued on August 21, confirming a framework for a trade agreement between the U.S. and the EU [1] - The U.S. has reiterated a 15% tariff cap on most EU goods, including automobiles, pharmaceuticals, semiconductor chips, and timber [1] - The EU has committed to eliminating tariffs on U.S. industrial products and providing preferential market access for U.S. seafood and agricultural products [1] Group 3: Future Procurement Plans - The EU plans to purchase $750 billion worth of U.S. liquefied natural gas, oil, and nuclear products by 2028 [1] - An additional $40 billion is earmarked for U.S. artificial intelligence chips [1] - The EU intends to significantly increase procurement of U.S. military and defense equipment [1] - EU companies are expected to invest an additional $600 billion in strategic sectors in the U.S. [1] Group 4: Potential Issues - There are numerous potential friction points within the EU-U.S. agreement that could lead to escalated tensions in the future [1] - Many aspects of the agreement regarding execution supervision and implementation remain unclear [1] - The agreement highlights an increasing dependence of the EU on the U.S., suggesting it may serve more as a "loss control document" rather than a beneficial agreement [1]
俄乌战争炸出最大输家,欧洲沦为买单冤大头!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 03:05
Group 1: Financial Impact on Europe - The EU has become the largest financial contributor to Ukraine, with total aid surpassing €168.9 billion, including €47 billion approved in August 2025 [1][3] - The costs associated with accommodating over 6.3 million Ukrainian refugees and energy subsidies have exceeded €300 billion [1] - The EU has spent €87 billion on refugee support and €220 billion on energy subsidies, indicating a significant financial strain on European taxpayers [3] Group 2: Economic Challenges - Germany's economic growth rate was only 0.3% in Q2 2025, highlighting the difficulty in addressing the growing fiscal deficit [5] - The ongoing conflict has led to a severe energy supply crisis in Europe, particularly affecting Hungary and Slovakia, with Hungary experiencing a 65% interruption in crude oil supply [7][8] - The EU's plans to reduce dependency on Russian oil and gas by 2026 and 2028, respectively, are increasingly challenged by the escalating conflict [8] Group 3: Trade and Internal Division - A new trade agreement from the U.S. imposes a 15% tariff on most EU goods while requiring the EU to eliminate tariffs on U.S. industrial products and purchase $750 billion worth of U.S. energy products by 2028 [8][10] - Internal divisions within the EU are becoming more pronounced, with Hungary's Prime Minister openly opposing aid to Ukraine and Poland's farmers protesting against EU support [10][12] Group 4: Strategic Autonomy and Security Dependence - Despite calls for "strategic autonomy," the EU remains heavily reliant on U.S. influence for security matters, as highlighted by President Macron's proposal for a four-party negotiation framework [12][14] - The EU's inability to assert its own security interests has been underscored by the ongoing conflict and the need for U.S. involvement [12][14] Group 5: Future Outlook - Ukraine's national debt has surged to 150% of its GDP, with a projected economic contraction of 7% in 2025, necessitating continued EU support to prevent a fiscal collapse [16][17] - The EU faces rising energy prices, accelerated deindustrialization, and increased social burdens, complicating its economic recovery [17][19] - The European Commission's plan to establish a €50 billion reconstruction fund requires unanimous approval from all 27 member states, indicating challenges in reaching consensus on effective solutions [19]
深夜突发!欧盟:拟取消部分美国商品关税
证券时报· 2025-08-28 16:01
Core Viewpoint - The European Commission has proposed legislation to eliminate certain tariffs on American goods, aiming to enhance transatlantic trade and investment stability following the U.S. tariff reductions on the EU automotive sector starting August 1 [2][3]. Group 1: Tariff Changes - The EU will eliminate tariffs on all American industrial products and provide preferential market access for U.S. seafood and non-sensitive agricultural products [4][5]. - The U.S. will reduce tariffs on EU automobiles and parts from 27.5% to 15%, and implement zero or near-zero tariffs on several products including softwood, aircraft, and generics starting September 1 [2][5]. Group 2: Legislative Process - The proposed measures are necessary legislative steps to fulfill commitments outlined in the EU-U.S. joint statement, requiring approval from the European Parliament and the EU Council to take effect [3][12]. Group 3: Future Cooperation - The EU and U.S. have agreed to continue discussions on further tariff reductions and to identify additional areas for cooperation [11][13]. - The EU plans to procure U.S. energy products, AI chips, and defense equipment, with expected purchases reaching $750 billion by 2028 for energy products and at least $400 billion for AI chips [9][10].
冯德莱恩代表欧盟,签下的不平等条约,将给欧洲带来“百年屈辱”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 00:00
Group 1 - The EU and the US have reached a trade agreement that imposes a 15% tariff on most EU goods entering the US, while the EU will eliminate tariffs on all US industrial products, which has sparked strong opposition from various European countries [1][3] - The agreement is seen as asymmetric, with the EU providing preferential market access for US agricultural and seafood products, opening up a market worth up to $20 trillion [1][3] - The deal does not address key EU concerns, such as tariffs on wine and spirits, which are crucial for European producers, leading to disappointment among French and Italian wine manufacturers [5][9] Group 2 - The agreement includes a commitment from the EU to purchase $750 billion worth of US energy products during Trump's presidency, along with $40 billion in US AI chips, while the US maintains a 15% tariff, which is significantly higher than the pre-Trump average of 1.5% [3][11] - Key sectors like steel, aluminum, and pharmaceuticals remain unaffected by the agreement, raising concerns about the exclusion of traditional European industries [5][11] - The agreement has been criticized for its vague terms and unclear execution mechanisms, leading to potential friction points and uncertainty for European businesses [7][11] Group 3 - The agreement is expected to negatively impact the EU's overall economic growth, with estimates suggesting a 0.15% annual decline in Germany's GDP, equating to a loss of €6.5 billion, particularly affecting the automotive and chemical industries [9][11] - The European Central Bank anticipates that the trade agreement will have repercussions on global economic conditions, potentially leading to mid-term inflationary pressures [11] - The deal has raised concerns about the EU's strategic autonomy, as it increases reliance on the US in critical areas such as energy, defense, and technology [13][15]
中美谈判前,又有27国向美国“跪了”,特朗普不来看阅兵,先逼中国掏钱做一件事?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 14:31
Group 1 - The White House and the European Commission have established a trade agreement framework covering 19 items, including tariffs on various goods from lobsters to fighter jets [1] - The EU has agreed to eliminate all tariffs on US industrial products and commit to purchasing $750 billion worth of US energy over the next three years, including liquefied natural gas and nuclear products [1] - The US has set a tariff cap of 15% on EU goods, which includes sensitive categories like automobiles and semiconductors [1] Group 2 - The agreement contains clauses aimed at preventing technology transfer to specific destinations, clearly targeting China, with the EU committing to purchase $40 billion worth of US AI chips [1] - The deal also includes provisions for economic security cooperation, such as mutual investment reviews and export controls, mirroring US strategies against China [1] Group 3 - There is significant dissent within the EU regarding the agreement, with leaders expressing concerns that it primarily benefits US energy and defense companies while European consumers and businesses bear the costs [3] - The EU's commitment to purchase $750 billion in energy is seen as unrealistic, given that the US's total energy exports were only $166 billion last year [3] Group 4 - Trump's approach to trade negotiations includes leveraging agricultural products like soybeans as bargaining chips while maintaining tariffs, which has led to dissatisfaction among US farmers due to rising costs and falling prices [5] - The strategy of using unilateral sanctions and alliance pressure is evident in both the US-EU agreement and Trump's soybean diplomacy, indicating a shift in how the US engages with global trade [7] Group 5 - The potential consequences for the EU in aligning with US technology restrictions could result in significant losses in the Chinese market, which is crucial for industries like German automotive and French wine [6][7] - The current geopolitical landscape suggests that China is no longer easily influenced, possessing sufficient market strength and technological resilience to counteract US and EU pressures [7]
最新!15%关税!美国与欧盟达成贸易协议!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 12:50
Group 1 - The United States and the European Union have reached an agreement on a trade framework, which includes a 15% uniform tariff on most EU imports such as automobiles, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and timber [1] - In exchange, the EU will eliminate all tariffs on US industrial goods and plans to purchase $750 billion worth of US liquefied natural gas (LNG), oil, and nuclear products, along with an additional $40 billion in US-manufactured artificial intelligence chips [1] Group 2 - The EU Trade Commissioner confirmed that important sectors for the EU, such as wine and spirits, were not included in the tariff reduction list, indicating ongoing discussions to lower tariffs on these products [3] - The EU will continue to advocate for reduced tariffs on these key products in future negotiations [3] - Companies are advised to stay updated on the latest tariff policy changes and plan their shipping logistics accordingly [3]
这是“协议”还是欧盟的“损失控制文件”?
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-08-24 00:44
Core Points - The EU and the US announced a new trade agreement detailing tariffs and market access, with the US imposing a 15% tariff on most EU goods while exempting certain products [1] - The EU committed to eliminating tariffs on US industrial goods and providing preferential market access for US seafood and agricultural products [1] - The EU plans to purchase $750 billion worth of US liquefied natural gas, oil, and nuclear products by 2028, along with $40 billion in US AI chips [1][2] Group 1 - The US will impose a 15% tariff on most EU imports, while certain natural resources, aircraft, and generic drugs are exempt [1] - The EU will eliminate tariffs on US industrial products and provide preferential access for US seafood and agricultural goods [1] - The EU aims to significantly increase its procurement of US military and defense equipment [1] Group 2 - The agreement has raised concerns about fairness, with critics arguing it disproportionately favors the US [4][8][16] - There are unresolved issues regarding steel and aluminum tariffs, with no clear solution provided in the agreement [9] - The digital regulatory divide remains a significant point of contention, with no substantial progress made in this area [11] Group 3 - The agreement has been described as a "terrible, complete surrender" by some EU officials, highlighting the lack of reciprocity [8] - Concerns have been raised about the potential negative impact on European growth and employment due to the perceived imbalance in the agreement [16] - The agreement lacks legal binding, raising questions about its long-term viability and enforcement [20][23] Group 4 - The EU is expected to initiate legislation to ensure the US commits to reducing auto tariffs retroactively [23] - The agreement is seen as a "loss control document" for the EU, reflecting its dependency on the US [23][25] - Future negotiations are anticipated to address a fair and balanced trade agreement, although skepticism remains about the EU's leverage [25]
欧美贸易协议细节公布,欧盟或又接“硬茬”
21世纪经济报道· 2025-08-24 00:39
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the recent trade agreement between the EU and the US has significant implications for various industries, particularly in terms of tariffs and market access, but it also raises concerns about the long-term economic impact on the EU [1][5][14] - The joint statement outlines that the US will impose a 15% tariff on most EU goods, while the EU will eliminate tariffs on all US industrial products and provide preferential market access for US seafood and agricultural products [1][7] - The agreement has sparked controversy within the EU, with some officials arguing that it favors the US, despite the EU's significant concessions [5][8] Group 2 - Key industries affected by the agreement include automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors, which are major export sectors for the EU [7][14] - The agreement specifies that from September 1, 2025, the US will apply Most Favored Nation (MFN) tariffs only to certain products, easing concerns for the EU's pharmaceutical and semiconductor sectors [7][8] - The EU is expected to increase its investment in the US by $600 billion by 2028, primarily targeting strategic industries, although the feasibility of this investment remains uncertain [12][13] Group 3 - The article highlights that the EU's economic growth has shown resilience in the short term, with a GDP growth of 1.4% year-on-year in Q2, but warns of potential long-term impacts from the new tariffs [14][15] - The EU's trade surplus with the US has already begun to shrink, with a reported 10.3% decrease in exports to the US in June compared to the previous year [15][16] - The article suggests that the EU may need to implement protective measures, such as subsidies and tax reductions, to mitigate the impact of the tariffs on its industries [16]
欧美贸易协议细节公布 欧盟官员和专家:关键诉求未获突破
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-08-22 02:16
Group 1 - The EU and the US announced a new trade agreement on August 21, detailing that the US will impose a 15% tariff on most EU goods, including cars, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and timber, while exempting certain natural resources, aircraft, and generics [1] - The EU will eliminate tariffs on US industrial products and provide preferential market access for US seafood and agricultural products, with plans to purchase $750 billion of US liquefied natural gas, oil, and nuclear products by 2028, along with $40 billion in US AI chips [1] - The EU is expected to increase its investment in US strategic industries by $600 billion, indicating a significant shift in economic relations [1] Group 2 - EU officials and experts express concerns that the agreement is unfair and will negatively impact the European economy, highlighting an imbalance favoring the US [3][5] - The EU's trade commissioner confirmed that important sectors like wine and spirits were not included in the tariff reduction list, indicating ongoing negotiations to address these key interests [3] - The agreement is viewed as a "loss control document" for the EU, reflecting a deeper dependency on the US and potential friction points that may arise in the future [5]