Core Viewpoint - The development of large-scale renewable energy bases in desert, Gobi, and barren areas is crucial for enhancing China's energy security and achieving a clean, low-carbon energy system by 2030, with a planned total installed capacity of 455 million kilowatts, equivalent to 20 Three Gorges Dam capacities [1][2]. Group 1: Renewable Energy Development - The focus on renewable energy is driven by China's high dependence on foreign oil and gas, with past fossil fuel combustion accounting for up to 88% of CO2 emissions [2]. - Utilizing abundant solar and wind resources in desert areas can help create energy bases that integrate energy development, climate governance, ecological restoration, and industrial growth [2][3]. - The establishment of these energy bases is expected to generate significant green electricity, addressing power shortages in eastern and central regions, and reducing reliance on foreign oil and gas [2][3]. Group 2: Ecological Restoration - Renewable energy bases can effectively mitigate ecological damage by reducing wind speed and sand transport, with solar panels decreasing surface evaporation by 15% to 30% [3]. - The integration of drought-resistant plants under solar panels can combat land desertification, transforming barren areas into energy oases [3]. Group 3: Challenges in Implementation - The construction of renewable energy bases faces ecological safety concerns due to the fragile environment of desert areas, which complicates planning and development [4]. - There are significant challenges in aligning the construction timelines of power generation, grid infrastructure, and energy storage, risking inefficiencies in energy distribution [4][5]. - The extreme conditions in desert areas lead to increased operational costs and maintenance challenges for renewable energy equipment [4][6]. Group 4: Strategic Planning and Technological Innovation - A comprehensive planning blueprint is necessary to address fundamental issues such as site selection, ecological preservation, and energy distribution [7]. - Enhancing infrastructure for high-voltage direct current transmission and developing hydrogen pipelines are essential for efficient energy transfer [7][8]. - The integration of advanced technologies across the energy generation and distribution chain is crucial for improving efficiency and reliability [8]. Group 5: Future Prospects - The envisioned renewable energy bases in desert areas could not only meet domestic energy needs but also position China as a global energy center, facilitating cross-border energy trade [9]. - The development of a complete industrial chain and the establishment of standards and technologies will enable these bases to become significant players in the global energy market [9].

Overall Viewpoint - The AIDC power/storage sector is experiencing a positive outlook, with North American AI chain focusing on light modules, liquid cooling, AIDC power, and AI storage. Recent developments in liquid cooling have opened up new opportunities for AIDC power overseas orders, and the 26H2 HVDC technology solution is expected to see increased volume. Collaboration related to SST is also anticipated to yield results. The overseas energy storage market remains robust, with the logic of electricity shortages in the U.S. unchanged, and a temporary easing of U.S.-China relations. The market is currently less sensitive to BBB and 301-related legislation, warranting continued attention to AIDC power and overseas storage sectors [4]. Group 1: AIDC Power/Storage - The North American AI chain is prioritizing light modules, liquid cooling, AIDC power, and AI storage, with liquid cooling trends enhancing the potential for AIDC power overseas orders [4]. - The 26H2 HVDC technology solution is expected to facilitate increased production, while SST-related collaborations are projected to gradually materialize [4]. - The overseas energy storage market remains favorable, with the U.S. electricity shortage logic still intact, and a temporary thaw in U.S.-China relations [4]. Group 2: Lithium Battery - Recent environmental assessments for the Jiangxia lithium mine and Tianqi Lithium's decision to not use SMM pricing have influenced the market, with several lithium iron phosphate companies announcing production cuts to strengthen pricing negotiations [4]. - Changes in the supply side of lithium carbonate and the "anti-involution" logic are enhancing price support expectations, leading to a recovery in the lithium battery sector during the spring market [4]. - The investment hierarchy for lithium battery materials is as follows: lithium carbonate > lithium hexafluorophosphate > aluminum foil > separator > copper foil > anode [4]. Group 3: Hydrogen Ammonia and Wind Power - During the 14th Five-Year Plan, hydrogen ammonia is viewed as a significant direction for new energy consumption and non-electric applications, supported by future industry prospects and the EU carbon tariff in 2026 [5]. - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasizes the potential for coordinated, large-scale, and advanced construction of hydrogen ammonia projects [5]. - Although Goldwind Technology's stock has surged due to commercial aerospace trends, market expectations for hydrogen ammonia remain relatively low, indicating a need for continued focus [5].

Investment Ratings - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both the power equipment and environmental protection sectors [1]. Core Views - The AIDC power/storage, lithium battery, and hydrogen-ammonia sectors are highlighted as key investment areas, with a focus on the North American AI chain and the ongoing demand for energy storage solutions [3]. - The lithium battery sector is experiencing a recovery due to supply chain adjustments and production cuts among phosphate lithium companies, which are expected to enhance pricing power [4]. - The hydrogen-ammonia sector is viewed positively due to supportive policies and market expectations, with significant investment potential anticipated [4]. Summary by Sections AIDC Power/Storage - North American AI chain is driving interest in AIDC power and storage, with liquid cooling technology opening new order opportunities [3]. - The outlook for overseas energy storage remains strong, particularly in the U.S., where electricity shortages continue to drive demand [6]. Lithium Batteries - Recent environmental assessments for lithium mines and production cuts among phosphate lithium companies are expected to stabilize prices and enhance negotiation power [4]. - The investment hierarchy for lithium materials is ranked as follows: lithium carbonate > hexafluorophosphate > aluminum foil > separator > copper foil > anode [4][19]. Hydrogen-Ammonia and Wind Power - The hydrogen-ammonia sector is expected to gain traction as a key application for renewable energy consumption, supported by favorable policies [4]. - Wind power installations are projected to grow significantly, with onshore wind capacity expected to increase by 9.68% year-on-year in 2024 [7]. Energy Storage - The domestic energy storage market is experiencing sustained growth, with significant installations reported in Inner Mongolia [6]. - Key projects include a 20GWh energy cell procurement by Ningde Times and various large-scale storage projects in Shanxi and Hebei [6]. Wind Power - The report notes a substantial increase in wind power installations, with a total of 82.50GW added in 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 59.42% [7]. Pricing Trends - The report indicates that the prices of key materials such as lithium carbonate and phosphoric iron lithium are experiencing fluctuations, with market dynamics affecting supply and demand [20][30].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the need to accelerate the construction of a modern infrastructure system to support national development and rejuvenation efforts, focusing on high-quality development rather than mere scale growth [1] Group 1: Infrastructure Development - The article advocates for optimizing the supply structure of infrastructure by balancing development needs with environmental and fiscal capacities, enhancing the quality and efficiency of existing infrastructure, and promoting a comprehensive green and low-carbon transition [1] - In the transportation sector, it highlights the importance of utilizing existing resources effectively, improving the efficiency of new infrastructure projects, and implementing modern maintenance practices [1] - The energy sector is urged to increase the share of renewable energy, ensure a safe and orderly transition from fossil fuels, and develop a new power system that enhances stability and peak supply capabilities [1] Group 2: Reform and Innovation - The article calls for deepening reforms in key areas, including market-oriented reforms and investment financing reforms, to enhance the dynamism and vitality of infrastructure development [2] - In transportation, it suggests reforms in the comprehensive transportation system, railway system, and air traffic management, while encouraging private sector participation in construction and operation [2] - The energy sector is encouraged to establish a unified national electricity market and improve mechanisms for large-scale renewable energy integration into the grid, alongside optimizing oil and gas pipeline operations [2]

Group 1 - The overall performance of publicly listed REITs in China showed a continuous decline in secondary market prices, with a weighted REITs index return of -2.74% for the week of December 15-19, 2025 [5] - In comparison to other major asset classes, the return rates ranked from high to low are convertible bonds, gold, US stocks, pure bonds, A-shares, crude oil, and REITs [5] - The insurance sector is seeing a significant increase in equity investments, with the stock asset proportion of five listed insurance companies reaching 9.3% by the end of H1 2025, the highest in nearly a decade [5] Group 2 - The draft of the "Insurance Company Asset-Liability Management Measures" aims to address issues of disconnection in asset-liability management and improve regulatory frameworks, enhancing the long-term operational resilience of the insurance industry [6] - The new measures will help insurance companies manage risks associated with asset-liability mismatches, especially in a long-term declining interest rate environment [6] Group 3 - The copper industry outlook remains positive, with a tight supply-demand balance and a slight recovery in cable manufacturing rates, supporting expectations for rising copper prices [7] - The semiconductor materials sector is expected to benefit from the expansion of advanced processes and the increasing demand for high-purity materials, driven by AI computing and data center construction [7] Group 4 - The energy and environmental sector is witnessing sustained investment opportunities in energy storage and hydrogen-ammonia projects, with significant projects like the Zhongnengjian Songyuan Hydrogen Energy Industrial Park officially commencing operations [8] - The domestic independent energy storage bidding is expected to maintain favorable levels seen in 2025, with rising demand anticipated from non-US countries [8]

Investment Ratings - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both the power equipment and environmental protection sectors [1]. Core Views - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes the application of green electricity and promotes the development of hydrogen, ammonia, methanol, and energy storage, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in green energy sectors in 2026 [3]. - Domestic energy storage saw significant growth in November, with newly installed capacity reaching 4.51GW/13.03GWh, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 57.14% in power and 74.66% in capacity [3][7]. - The report highlights the importance of hydrogen and green fuels as new growth points, with expectations for increased investment in these areas due to supportive policies and market conditions [4]. Summary by Sections Energy Storage - Domestic energy storage is experiencing a boom, with November's new installations showing a 45.95% year-on-year increase in power and a 49.6% increase in capacity [3][7]. - The report anticipates that independent energy storage tenders will maintain a good level in 2026, supported by a complete revenue model through energy markets and auxiliary services [3]. Hydrogen and Green Fuels - The report suggests that hydrogen and methanol will play a crucial role in the non-electric applications of green electricity, with significant investment expected in these areas [4]. - The development of zero-carbon parks and factories is also highlighted as a key initiative for 2026 [3]. Wind Power - The report notes that in 2024, onshore wind power installations are expected to reach 75.8GW, a year-on-year increase of 9.68%, while offshore wind installations are projected to be 4.0GW, a decrease of 40.85% [8]. - The bidding capacity for wind power equipment in 2024 is expected to be 164.1GW, a 90% increase year-on-year [13]. Lithium Battery - The report indicates that the demand for lithium batteries remains strong, with December's retail sales of new energy vehicles expected to show a bright performance despite a year-on-year decline of 17% [19]. - The supply chain for lithium batteries is expected to stabilize, with ongoing negotiations for long-term contracts and price adjustments [22][23].

Macro Analysis - The manufacturing PMI showed signs of stabilization in November, indicating a weak recovery driven by improved exports due to the easing of trade tensions between China and the US, with new export orders and small enterprise PMI significantly rebounding [2] - Seasonal disruptions from the October holiday have ended, leading to a rise in production and procurement indices [2] - Both raw material and finished product price indices have increased, suggesting an ongoing improvement in the supply-demand relationship for industrial goods [2] Strategy Insights - The market is expected to remain in a wide fluctuation phase, with a potential bull market direction, although short-term catalysts may be lacking [4] - The A-share and Hong Kong stock monthly stock picks for December include companies like Tencent Holdings, China Petroleum, and Haier Smart Home, indicating a focus on sectors with growth potential [3] Bond Market Overview - The total bond custody volume increased significantly in October, with a net increase in interest rate bonds and credit bonds, while financial bonds saw a net decrease [5] - The convertible bond market experienced slight adjustments, with high-priced and high-valuation convertible bonds facing pressure [6] - Credit bond issuance rose to 5,890.11 million yuan, reflecting a 1.34% increase week-on-week, with overall credit spreads trending upwards [7] Chemical Industry Insights - The signing of a major potash fertilizer contract at $348 per ton indicates a tight supply-demand situation, supporting the industry's positive outlook [11] - Oil prices are experiencing low-level fluctuations due to geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ production policies, with Brent and WTI prices reported at $62.32 and $58.48 per barrel respectively [12] Energy Sector Developments - The storage and hydrogen energy sectors are expected to see continued growth, with government support for market-driven adjustments and the promotion of hydrogen ammonia construction [13] Copper Industry Analysis - The China Copper Raw Material Negotiation Group has requested a 10% reduction in copper production capacity for 2026, indicating a tightening supply situation [14] Utility Sector Updates - The National Development and Reform Commission has released new pricing policies for electricity distribution, which may lead to a valuation recovery in the green electricity sector [15] Automotive Sector Performance - Pony.ai reported significant revenue growth in its Robotaxi segment, with expectations for continued expansion and improved profitability [16] - Li Auto's third-quarter performance was under pressure, leading to a downward revision of profit forecasts, but the company remains optimistic about its market positioning [17] Apparel Industry Trends - Chow Tai Fook's sales growth turned positive in Q2, with a notable increase in revenue from priced jewelry, prompting an upward revision of profit forecasts [18] - Bosideng's revenue grew by 1.4% in the first half of the fiscal year, supported by stable growth in its branded down jacket business [19]

Investment Ratings - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both the power equipment and environmental protection sectors [1]. Core Views - The report highlights the continued prosperity of the energy storage industry chain, with hydrogen and ammonia expected to be developed in a coordinated, large-scale, and advanced manner [2][3]. - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has recognized the achievements in energy storage and hydrogen energy development, emphasizing the importance of market-oriented mechanisms for reasonable returns [2]. - The investment outlook for energy storage, hydrogen energy, and lithium batteries remains positive, with expectations for sustained demand and favorable bidding data in the domestic market [3][4]. Summary by Sections Energy Storage - Domestic energy storage is expected to maintain a good level of independent storage bidding in 2026, supported by a complete revenue model through energy, capacity, and ancillary service markets [3]. - Overseas energy storage demand is anticipated to rise, particularly in the U.S. due to ongoing electricity shortages, and in regions like the Middle East and Ukraine [3][6]. - The report notes a continuous high level of bidding and production in domestic energy storage, with significant projects being awarded [6][7]. Wind Power - The report states that China's onshore wind power installed capacity is projected to grow by 9.68% year-on-year in 2024, while offshore wind power capacity is expected to decrease by 40.85% [8]. - The bidding capacity for domestic wind power projects has seen a significant increase, with a 90% year-on-year growth in 2024 [11]. - The profitability of wind turbine manufacturers is expected to improve due to rising order deliveries and ongoing cost reductions [18]. Lithium Batteries - The lithium battery supply chain is experiencing strong demand, particularly in the electric vehicle and energy storage markets, with expectations for a favorable supply-demand balance [19][22]. - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in lithium mines and components that are not yet supporting production expansion [22]. - The pricing dynamics for lithium carbonate and other battery materials are expected to remain strong due to tight supply conditions [21][23].

Real Estate - In October, the core 30 cities saw a total of 133 residential land transactions, down 33.2% year-on-year, with an average floor price of 9,279 yuan per square meter, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year [4] - From January to October, the total area of residential land transactions in 100 cities decreased by 9% year-on-year, while the average floor price increased by 15% year-on-year [4] - The total transaction value of residential land in the core six cities reached 541.2 billion yuan, accounting for 44.7% of the total in 100 cities, indicating a further deepening of market differentiation [4] Non-ferrous Metals - Cable manufacturers' operating rates have increased for three consecutive weeks, with tight supply conditions persisting; the Q4 peak season for the power grid is expected to continue [5] - Air conditioning production in October decreased by 28% year-on-year, but there is a continuous improvement in production on a month-on-month basis [5] - The supply-demand balance for copper is expected to remain tight, with copper prices likely to continue rising after short-term fluctuations [5] Electric Power and Environmental Protection - The hydrogen ammonia methanol sector is expected to attract more investment as a key direction for new energy consumption and green electricity applications [6] - The ongoing electricity shortage in the U.S. presents opportunities for rebound in underperforming sectors such as overseas energy storage and solid-state batteries [6] - The independent energy storage bidding in China for 2026 is expected to maintain a favorable level compared to 2025 [6] Public Utilities - The domestic thermal coal price remained stable week-on-week, while imported coal prices increased significantly [7] - In October, the total electricity consumption in China reached 8,572 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 10.4% [7] Pharmaceuticals - The small nucleic acid drug sector is experiencing significant advancements, indicating the onset of a new wave of innovative drugs [8] - The industry is entering a golden development period driven by "technological breakthroughs + commercial realization," with many domestic pharmaceutical companies advancing to clinical research stages since 2025 [8] Company Analysis - Hangyang Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 11.43 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, and a net profit of 760 million yuan, up 12.1% year-on-year [9] - The gross margin was 20.6%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 7.4%, up 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [9]

Investment Ratings - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both the power equipment and environmental protection sectors [1]. Core Views - The hydrogen ammonia and wind power sectors are expected to benefit from China's future industrial policies and the EU's carbon tariff by 2026, leading to increased investment opportunities. The global shipping industry is accelerating its decarbonization, with green methanol prices likely to remain high due to rising demand and limited supply [3]. - In the U.S., the ongoing electricity shortage presents opportunities for rebound in related stocks, particularly in the overseas energy storage and SST sectors. Key companies to watch include Sunshine Power, Jinpan Technology, and others [3]. - Domestic energy storage is projected to grow significantly, with Heilongjiang Province aiming for over 6GW of installed capacity by 2027. The independent energy storage market is expected to maintain a good level of bidding in 2026 [4]. - The lithium battery sector is experiencing a tightening supply-demand dynamic, with significant growth expected in both domestic and overseas markets. Key investment opportunities are identified in lithium mines and the separator segment [4][20]. Summary by Sections Wind Power - In 2024, China's onshore wind power is expected to add 75.8GW of capacity, a year-on-year increase of 9.68%, while offshore wind power is projected to add 4.0GW, a decrease of 40.85% [6]. - The public tender capacity for wind power in 2024 is 164.1GW, a 90% increase year-on-year, with onshore wind accounting for 152.8GW [9]. Lithium Battery - The domestic production of lithium carbonate is expected to remain stable, with strong demand from the power battery sector driven by the rapid growth of the new energy vehicle market [20]. - The supply of lithium hexafluorophosphate remains tight, with prices expected to continue rising due to increased demand from downstream applications [23]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Goldwind Technology, Sunshine Power, and Ningde Times, which are well-positioned to benefit from the trends in wind power and lithium battery sectors [19][24].