淀粉：临近春节，部分企业陆续停机检修，行业整体开机率小幅下滑。短期看，在下游节日备货预期和库存去化的背景下，支撑企业报价维持 偏强的态势。中长期需重点关注下游消费节奏变化，这将成为价格走势的关键支撑因素，季节性旺季过后，企业库存是否会持续去化将成为未 来淀粉定价的关键因素。 农产品早报 研究中心农产品团队 2026/02/27 玉米/淀粉 玉米 淀粉 日期 长春 锦州 潍坊 蛇口 基差 贸易利润 进口盈亏 黑龙江 潍坊 基差 加工利润 2026/02/12 2180 2290 2292 2450 -30 40 262 2750 2820 123 -83 2026/02/13 2180 2290 2292 2450 -30 40 264 2750 2820 57 -83 2026/02/24 2180 2310 2310 2460 -22 30 312 2750 2860 62 -83 2026/02/25 2180 2320 2310 2460 -22 20 322 2750 2860 52 -69 2026/02/26 2180 2320 2310 2460 -22 20 310 2750 2860 67 ...

淀粉：临近春节，部分企业陆续停机检修，行业整体开机率小幅下滑。短期看，在下游节日备货预期和库存去化的背景下，支撑企业报价维持 偏强的态势。中长期需重点关注下游消费节奏变化，这将成为价格走势的关键支撑因素，季节性旺季过后，企业库存是否会持续去化将成为未 来淀粉定价的关键因素。 研究中心农产品团队 2026/02/26 | 玉米/淀粉 | | | | 玉米 | | | | | 淀粉 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 长春 | 锦州 | 潍坊 | 蛇口 | 基差 | 贸易利润 进口盈亏 | 黑龙江 | 潍坊 | 基差 | 加工利润 | | 2026/02/11 | 2180 | 2280 | 2292 | 2430 | -36 | 30 235 | 2750 | 2820 | 124 | -83 | | 2026/02/12 | 2180 | 2290 | 2292 | 2450 | -30 | 40 262 | 2750 | 2820 | 123 | -83 | | 2026/02/13 | ...

研究中心农产品团队 2026/02/25 | 玉米/淀粉 | | | | 玉米 | | | | | 淀粉 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 长春 | 锦州 | 潍坊 | 蛇口 | 基差 | 贸易利润 进口盈亏 | 黑龙江 | 潍坊 | 基差 | 加工利润 | | 2026/02/10 | 2180 | 2280 | 2282 | 2430 | -6 | 30 235 | 2750 | 2820 | 148 | -83 | | 2026/02/11 | 2180 | 2280 | 2292 | 2430 | -36 | 30 235 | 2750 | 2820 | 124 | -83 | | 2026/02/12 | 2180 | 2290 | 2292 | 2450 | -30 | 40 262 | 2750 | 2820 | 123 | -83 | | 2026/02/13 | 2180 | 2290 | 2292 | 2450 | -30 | 40 264 | 2750 | 2820 ...

消息面上，2月23日晚，中国淀粉发布公告，预计截至2025年12月31日止年度取得总收入约人民币 100.58亿元，而2024年的总收入为人民币114.15亿元。相较于截至2024年12月31日止年度的除税前利润 人民币8.38亿元，集团预计本年度取得除税前利润大幅减少约64%。预计收入及除税前利润减少主因玉 米粒成本上涨对利润率造成不利影响、赖氨酸市价在去年下半年大跌不利影响盈利能力及淀粉糖的预期 传统旺季并未如期出现等。 智通财经APP获悉，中国淀粉(03838)跌超5%，截至发稿，跌5.41%，报0.175港元，成交额244.76万港 元。 ...

农产品早报 研究中心农产品团队 2026/02/24 玉米/淀粉 玉米 淀粉 日期 长春 锦州 潍坊 蛇口 基差 贸易利润 进口盈亏 黑龙江 潍坊 基差 加工利润 2026/02/09 2180 2280 2282 2420 15 20 208 2750 2820 157 -83 2026/02/10 2180 2280 2282 2430 -6 30 235 2750 2820 148 -83 2026/02/11 2180 2280 2292 2430 -36 30 235 2750 2820 124 -83 2026/02/12 2180 2290 2292 2450 -30 40 262 2750 2820 123 -83 2026/02/13 2180 2290 2292 2450 -30 40 264 2750 2820 57 -83 变化 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 -66 0 【行情分析】： 玉米：临近春节假期，市场成交逐步转淡，贸易行为预计在下周逐步结束。短期看，市场流通粮源逐步减少的情况下，下游节前补库将继续对 玉米价格形成支撑，预计节前现货难有大涨大跌行情出现，价格震荡运行。中长 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the modernization of agriculture as a significant industry, leveraging technology and innovation to achieve high-quality development [1] - The focus is on smart, green, and integrated agricultural practices, with efforts to enhance the agricultural modernization level through continuous improvement of key links in the supply chain [1] - Various regions are implementing specific agricultural strategies, such as promoting green and smart agriculture, and enhancing the processing of agricultural by-products [2] Group 2 - The investment in the corn bio-manufacturing industry park in Keke Dala City, with a total investment of 3.033 billion yuan, aims to develop a full industrial chain from corn to starch and fermentation products [3] - The emphasis on expanding investment and project implementation is seen as crucial for stabilizing and promoting economic growth within the region [3] - There is a strong push for infrastructure development, technological innovation, and green transformation as key areas for investment and project construction [4]

(iii)于2025年期间，多个国家对中国产的赖氨酸发起反倾销调查。随着海外买家减少订单，部分塬定出 口的产品转向国内市场，进一步加剧供应过剩的局面，对国内赖氨酸价格造成额外下行压力。 (iv)本年度临清生产基地的淀粉扩产项目对产能造成影响，原因为其中一条淀粉生产线已被拆除，以配 合扩建相关施工工程。淀粉生产项目的详情载于本公司日期为2025年2月20日的公告。 (v)本年度淀粉糖的预期传统旺季(即国家假日及夏季月份)并未如期出现。 (i)2024年表现异常强劲，主要受玉米粒成本下降所驱动。相较之下，本年度玉米粒价格已连续三个季度 上涨。本集团的该成本上涨压力对利润率造成不利影响。 (ii)中国玉米淀粉及赖氨酸行业持续供应过剩，使市场价格承受持续下行压力。尤其是赖氨酸市场价格 于本年度下半年大幅下跌，对本集团盈利能力造成不利影响。 智通财经APP讯，中国淀粉(03838)发布公告，本集团预计截至2025年12月31日止年度(本年度)取得总收 入约人民币100.58亿元，而2024年的总收入为人民币114.15亿元。相较于截至2024年12月31日止年度的 除税前利润人民币8.38亿元，本集团预计本年度取得除税 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the agricultural product processing industry Core Insights - The agricultural product processing industry in China is experiencing robust growth, driven by rising consumer income, health awareness, and technological advancements, with an expected growth rate of over 8% in the next five years [14] - The industry is undergoing a transformation towards smart, green, and high-end processing, integrating advanced information technology and environmental concepts to enhance production efficiency and product quality [12][14] - The market is characterized by a diverse product range, including grain processing, oil processing, fruit and vegetable processing, livestock product processing, and aquaculture processing, with emerging sectors like biofuels and biochemicals gaining importance [4][9] Industry Overview - Agricultural product processing refers to the transformation of primary agricultural products into value-added products through various technical means and processes, including physical, chemical, and biological treatments [3] - The industry serves as a bridge between agriculture and industry, effectively extending the shelf life of agricultural products and enhancing their quality and value [3] Industry Development History - The industry began with small-scale workshops and has evolved significantly since the 1950s, transitioning from rudimentary processing to large-scale mechanized operations, although challenges in product diversity and technology remain [9][11] - Post-reform, the industry has seen rapid growth due to market economy establishment and foreign policy, leading to increased enterprise numbers and product diversification [11] Current Industry Analysis - As of 2024, the market size of China's agricultural product processing industry has surpassed several trillion RMB, indicating strong development momentum and market potential [13] - The industry is primarily concentrated in regions with significant agricultural production, such as Northeast, North China, East China, and South China, forming specialized agricultural processing clusters [15][17] Market Demand and Consumer Trends - Consumer demand for processed agricultural products is becoming more diverse, with a shift towards functional foods, organic products, and convenience foods driven by rising health awareness [19][20] - The emphasis on product quality is increasing, with consumers prioritizing nutritional value, safety, and transparency in food production [21] Technological Development and Innovation Trends - The application of smart manufacturing technologies is becoming widespread in agricultural product processing, enhancing production efficiency and quality stability [37] - The introduction of biotechnology and enzyme engineering is revolutionizing traditional food processing methods, improving product taste and nutritional value [38] Policy Environment and Regulatory Impact - The government is actively promoting agricultural modernization through various policies, including subsidies for processing equipment and support for agricultural technology innovation [53] - Environmental protection and energy-saving policies are increasingly influencing industry practices, encouraging companies to adopt green development strategies [58] Competitive Landscape and Major Company Analysis - The industry is characterized by a mix of large leading enterprises and numerous small and medium-sized enterprises, creating a competitive yet complementary environment [18] - Leading companies are focusing on R&D investment and brand building to enhance their core competitiveness and market influence [72][73]

Report Summary 1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content 2. Core Viewpoint - The view that corn prices will fluctuate and rebound in the first half of the year remains unchanged, given the rapid sales of new grain, limited post - Chinese New Year surplus, and continuous public bidding and significant increase in imports, along with differentiated demand [6] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Trends - Corn's main 2605 contract rebounded this week. Spot prices rose slightly, with the flat - hatch price in Bayuquan increasing from 2330 yuan/ton to around 2340 yuan/ton, and the arrival price at Shekou Port rising from 2440 yuan/ton to around 2460 yuan/ton. The corn basis weakened, and the discount of the futures price narrowed [3] - Starch's main 2605 contract also rebounded this week. The starch price remained stable, and the basis weakened [3] Supply - side Analysis - New grain sales were fast, with limited post - Chinese New Year surplus. As of February 12, the national grain sales progress was 65%, 4% faster than the same period last year. Northeast China was 66%, 7% faster; North China was 58%, the same as last year; Northwest China was 76%, 2% faster. The post - Chinese New Year surplus was about 35%, and the supply in the Northeast might be tight. The public bidding of the China National Grain Reserves Corporation was active, with 138900 tons put in and 105800 tons sold as of February 12 [3] - Port inventories varied. As of February 6, the corn inventory in the northern ports was 1.792 million tons, still rising but at a low level compared to the same period in recent years. The weekly shipping volume was 59200 tons, decreasing. The domestic - trade corn inventory at Guangdong Port was 43100 tons, and the foreign - trade inventory was 8700 tons, both decreasing [4] - Substitutes were insufficient, and corn imports increased significantly. The wheat - corn price difference remained high, making substitution unfeasible. In December, domestic corn imports increased by 44.1% month - on - month and 135.3% year - on - year. The total imports in 2025 were 264700 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 80.8%. Corn imports have been rising since last October and may continue to increase [4] Demand - side Analysis - Feed demand was strong. Pig prices fell, and breeding profits were divided. As of February 6, the profit of purchasing piglets for breeding was 91.42 yuan per pig, narrowing; the self - breeding and self - raising profit was - 38.09 yuan per pig, in loss again. In December, the national inventory of breeding sows was 39.61 million, decreasing; the national pig inventory was 429.67 million, with the first month - on - month decrease in recent years and only a 0.5% year - on - year increase. In the poultry sector, egg prices fell, and breeding was close to loss. In December, the sales of chicken chicks increased, and the culling of old chickens reached a recent high. Although the inventory of laying hens has been slightly decreasing, the base was high [5] - Deep - processing demand declined. The processing profits of starch processing enterprises were mostly in loss, and the operating rate decreased. As of February 13, the operating rate of starch processing enterprises was 55.68%, further decreasing; the starch inventory was 1.025 million tons, increasing. Alcohol processing enterprises suffered large losses, with an operating rate of 53.97%, decreasing to a recent low. The operating rates of downstream starch sugar enterprises and paper - making enterprises decreased, and some enterprises may have shutdown plans due to upcoming holidays [6] Market Outlook and Suggestions - The view that corn prices will fluctuate and rebound in the first half of the year remains unchanged. It is recommended that grain - using enterprises purchase spot goods as needed and maintain a safe reserve, while traders should buy at low prices and sell at high prices [6]

Group 1: Investment Ratings - No investment ratings provided in the report Group 2: Core Views - Corn prices are expected to fluctuate before the Spring Festival due to reduced market transactions and downstream restocking, while long - term policies need attention [1] - Starch prices are supported in the short - term by downstream holiday stocking and inventory reduction, and long - term price depends on downstream consumption rhythm [2] - For sugar, the international market anticipates increased production in the 25/26 season, and the domestic market's short - term pricing is based on domestic sugar, while long - term it may seek the cost of out - of - quota imports [3] - Cotton demand is expected to improve, and it is suitable for long - term investment due to low initial inventory, expanding textile production, and favorable policies [5] - Egg prices have stopped rising and started to fall after pre - holiday stocking. The 05 contract is affected by farmers' chicken culling, and the supply pressure in the second quarter can be alleviated by observing the price difference between culled chickens and white chickens [13] - Apple inventory is decreasing faster during the holiday, with different price trends for different - quality fruits. The sales in the distribution area have not improved significantly [16] - Pig prices are weak in the short - term. During the pre - holiday period of increased supply and demand, inventory reduction pressure dominates, with medium - term pressure still existing and long - term inflection points providing support [16] Group 3: Summary by Commodity Corn/Starch Corn - Price data: From February 6 to February 12, 2026, prices in Changchun remained at 2,180, in Jinzhou increased by 10 to 2,290, in Weifang remained unchanged, and in Shekou increased by 20 to 2,450. The basis, trade profit, and import profit also changed [1] Starch - Price data: From February 6 to February 12, 2026, prices in Heilongjiang remained at 2,750, in Weifang remained at 2,820. The basis decreased by 1, and the processing profit remained unchanged at - 83 [1] Sugar - Price data: From February 6 to February 12, 2026, the price in Liuzhou remained at 5,370 (after the 9th), in Nanning remained unchanged, and in Kunming had no data on the 12th. The basis increased by 12, the import profit from Thailand increased by 32, and from Brazil also increased by 32. The number of warehouse receipts remained at 14,719 [3] Cotton - Price data: From February 6 to February 12, 2026, the 3128 cotton price increased by 75 to 15,840, the import - related data had some changes, and the 32S spinning profit decreased by 79 to - 977 [18] Egg - Price data: From February 6 to February 12, 2026, prices in Hebei decreased by 0.16 to 3.42, in Henan decreased by 0.10 to 3.45. The basis decreased by 230 to 485, and the prices of substitute products remained unchanged [12] Apple - Price data: From February 6 to February 12, 2026, the price of Shandong 80 first - and second - grade apples remained at 8,900, and the price of Shaanxi 70 general - quality apples remained at 4.00. The national inventory decreased by 56 to 531.51, Shandong inventory decreased by 138 to 218.35, and Shaanxi inventory decreased by 60 to 140.40. The 1 - month, 5 - month, and 10 - month bases also changed [15][16] Pig - Price data: From February 6 to February 12, 2026, prices in Henan Kaifeng increased by 0.10 to 12.33, in Hubei Xiangyang decreased by 0.05 to 12.05, in Shandong Linyi increased by 0.20 to 12.27, in Anhui Hefei increased by 0.25 to 12.45, and in Jiangsu Nantong increased by 0.30 to 12.40. The basis increased by 115 to 790 [16]