证券代码：600784 证券简称：鲁银投资 编号：2025－038 鲁银投资集团股份有限公司 2025 年半年度主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承 担个别及连带责任。 根据《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 3 号行业信息披 露第十四号食品制造》的要求，公司现将 2025 年半年度主要经营数 据披露如下： 一、公司 2025 年半年度主要经营情况 | 产品类别 | 报告期营业收入（单位：万元） | | --- | --- | | 食盐 | 32,595.76 | | 工业盐 | 34,109.98 | | 溴素 | 2,343.47 | 2.按照销售渠道分类情况 | 销售渠道 | 报告期营业收入（单位：万元） | | --- | --- | | 直销 | 37,977.05 | | 经销 | 31,072.16 | 3.按照地区分布分类情况 1 | 地区分布 | 报告期营业收入（单位：万元） | | --- | --- | | 省内 | 49,792.25 | | 省外 | 19,256.96 | 二、公 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the basic chemical industry [1] Core Insights - Recent price increases have been observed in bromine, bio-jet fuel, and refrigerants, while prices for organic silicon and other materials have declined [1][4] - The report suggests focusing on companies with production capabilities in biodiesel and SAF, as well as those involved in refrigerants [5] - The low-altitude economy and robotics industry are expected to drive demand for lightweight materials, with a recommendation to pay attention to companies related to carbon fiber and PEEK [5] Summary by Sections 1. Sub-industry Tracking - Bromine prices in Shandong have risen to 29,500 CNY/ton, up 5.36% from last week [9] - Bio-jet fuel (SAF) prices in Europe have increased to 2,120 USD/ton, a rise of 2.42% [9] - Refrigerant R32 averages 57,500 CNY/ton, up 1.77%, while R134a is at 51,000 CNY/ton, up 0.99% [9] 2. Electronic Chemicals - The electronic chemicals sector is characterized by a wide variety of specialized products, with a focus on wet electronic chemicals, photoresists, and electronic gases [11][14] - The market for semiconductor materials is projected to grow, with a significant increase in domestic production capabilities [17] 3. New Quality Productivity - Carbon fiber and ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene (UHMWPE) are highlighted as key materials benefiting from the low-altitude economy and robotics [23][28] - PEEK material is gaining traction in the humanoid robotics sector, with demand expected to rise significantly [29] 4. Lithium Battery/Storage Materials - Conductive agents like carbon black and carbon nanotubes are essential for lithium battery materials, with current market prices for multi-wall carbon nanotube powder at 64,000 CNY/ton [32] - Sodium-ion battery materials, including Prussian blue, have seen price fluctuations, currently at 34,000 CNY/ton [34] 5. Renewable and Modified Plastics - The demand for recycled plastics is increasing, with a notable rise in the proportion of recycled materials used in packaging [47] - Special engineering plastics are expected to see growth due to advancements in technology and environmental considerations [47] 6. Market Performance - The basic chemical index rose by 3.16% this week, outperforming the broader market [57] - The report notes a significant increase in the modified plastics sector, which rose by 12.91% [63]

Core Viewpoints - Recent price performance of refrigerants and biomass energy products is strong, suggesting investment opportunities in companies like Zhuoyue New Energy and refrigerant-related firms [4] - The low-altitude economy and robotics industry are moving towards commercialization, increasing demand for new materials and lightweight materials such as carbon fiber and ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene [4] Price Trends - Biobased aviation fuel (SAF) in Europe reached a high-end price of $2070 per ton, up 2.48% from last week [1][2] - Bromine in Shandong is priced at 28000 yuan per ton, an increase of 4.48% from last week [1][2] - Refrigerant R32 averages 56500 yuan per ton, up 2.73% from last week; R22 averages 35500 yuan per ton, up 1.43%; R134a averages 50500 yuan per ton, up 1% [1][2] - Year-to-date, refrigerant prices have shown strong performance, significantly enhancing the profitability of related companies [1][2] Price Declines - Sodium battery hard carbon anode material is priced at 60000 yuan per ton, down 14.29% from last week [2] - The benchmark price of polysilicon is 49560 yuan per ton, down 6.82% from last week [2] - BDO averages 7950 yuan per ton, down 3.64% from last week; other materials like phosphoric acid, caprolactam, vitamin E, and PA66 have also seen varying declines [2] Industry Focus - High-performance fibers and lightweight materials are gaining attention due to the robotics and low-altitude economy sectors [3] - Ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene fiber (UHMWPE) is recognized as a third-generation high-performance fiber with applications in military protection, maritime, aerospace, and aquaculture [3]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company is gradually becoming a world-class potash enterprise, focusing on potash as its main business and leveraging its resources in Laos [1][12] - The potash industry is experiencing an upturn, with Laos expected to become a significant source of imports for China [2][35] - The company has ambitious plans to expand its potash production capacity to 5 million tons per year and is also exploring new growth areas such as bromine [2][46] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has undergone several transformations, focusing on potash production since acquiring Zhongnong International in 2015 [12] - It has become the largest potash producer in Southeast Asia, with significant resources in Laos [14][16] Potash Industry Analysis - The global potash industry is characterized by oligopoly, with major producers in Canada, Russia, and Belarus [25][29] - Potash demand is expected to grow, driven by population growth and food security concerns [30][34] Production and Expansion Plans - The company aims to achieve a production capacity of 5 million tons of potash per year, with ongoing projects to expand its capacity [44] - The company is also developing bromine production as a complementary business, with significant potential for growth [46][47] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 58.35 billion, 79.80 billion, and 98.70 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 17.32 billion, 24.50 billion, and 32.13 billion yuan [3][52] - The company is expected to benefit from improved potash prices and increased production capacity [52]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the basic chemical industry [1] Core Insights - Recent price performance of polysilicon, organic silicon, and refrigerants has been strong, indicating a potential investment opportunity [1][5] - The low-altitude economy and robotics industry are entering a commercialization phase, leading to increased demand for new materials and lightweight materials [5][25] - The semiconductor materials market is expected to grow significantly, with a projected revenue of $67.5 billion by 2024, driven by advancements in technology and domestic production [17][20] Summary by Sections 1. Key Sub-industry and Product Tracking - Polysilicon price reached 53,085 CNY/ton, up 21.8% week-on-week; organic silicon average price at 13,500 CNY/ton, up 9.76% [3][9] - Phosphate lithium price increased to 34,900 CNY/ton, up 5.12%; bromine price at 26,800 CNY/ton, up 3.08% [3][9] - Refrigerant R32 average price at 55,000 CNY/ton, up 1.85% [3][9] 2. Electronic Chemicals - The electronic chemicals sector is characterized by a wide variety of specialized products, high technical barriers, and rapid product updates [12][14] - The domestic semiconductor materials market is expected to grow faster than the global market, with a CAGR of 10% from 2017 to 2023 [17][20] 3. New Quality Productivity - Carbon fiber and ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene (UHMWPE) are gaining attention due to their applications in low-altitude economy and robotics [25][29] - PEEK materials are increasingly used in humanoid robots, with demand growing significantly [30] 4. Lithium Battery/Storage Materials - Conductive agents like multi-walled carbon nanotubes are essential for lithium battery materials, with current prices around 64,000 CNY/ton [33][37] - Sodium battery materials are also gaining traction, with prices for Prussian blue compounds at 36,000 CNY/ton [37] 5. Renewable and Modified Plastics - The market for renewable plastics is expanding, with a notable increase in the recycling rate of plastics from 4.8% in 2018 to 10% in 2021 [49] - Special engineering plastics are increasingly in demand across various industries, including automotive and aerospace [49] 6. Market Performance - The basic chemical index rose by 3.65% in the week of July 21-27, outperforming the overall market [60][61] - The chemical industry has shown strong performance recently, with a monthly increase of 6.62% [61]

Core Insights - The 2024 National Sea Water Utilization Report indicates a significant increase in seawater desalination projects and capacity across China, with a total of 158 projects and a capacity of 2.856 million tons per day, an increase of 333,000 tons per day from 2023 [1] Group 1: Desalination Projects - In 2024, there are 61 large-scale seawater desalination projects with a capacity of 2.63 million tons per day, 48 medium-scale projects with a capacity of 200,000 tons per day, and 49 small-scale projects with a capacity of 14,000 tons per day [1] - Major coastal provinces such as Tianjin, Hebei, Shandong, and Zhejiang have significant desalination capacities, with Tianjin at 450,000 tons per day and Shandong at 860,000 tons per day [1] Group 2: Industrial Water Use - Seawater desalination primarily serves industrial water needs, especially in high-water-consumption industries like power generation, petrochemicals, and steel, with some use for domestic water in coastal cities and islands [2] - Large-scale projects like the Tianjin South Port Industrial Zone and the Yantai Longkou Yulong Island desalination project are set to provide crucial water resources for industrial development [2] Group 3: Cooling Water and Chemical Resource Utilization - In 2024, seawater cooling water usage is projected to reach 188.336 billion tons, an increase of 2.957 billion tons from 2023, with significant usage in coastal thermal and nuclear power plants [3] - The report highlights ongoing research and development in seawater resource utilization, including bromine and potassium extraction technologies, particularly in provinces like Tianjin and Shandong [3]

Group 1: Middle East Geopolitical Risks - The Middle East region has high geopolitical uncertainty, with structural conflicts persisting despite temporary de-escalations[5] - The potential for localized control or conflict in the Strait of Hormuz poses significant risks to global shipping and energy supply[6] - In extreme scenarios, a blockade of the Strait could lead to a supply gap of approximately 12.7% of global oil demand[6] Group 2: Impact on Global Supply Chains - If conflicts escalate, oil and chemical transport through the Strait of Hormuz could decrease by 25% compared to pre-conflict levels[6] - Asian economies, particularly China, India, Japan, and South Korea, face the highest exposure to risks from Middle Eastern energy supplies[7] - The chemical industry will be directly impacted, with disruptions likely to affect downstream sectors such as transportation, pharmaceuticals, and electronics[8] Group 3: China's Response and Strategies - China must diversify its import sources for products heavily reliant on Middle Eastern supplies, particularly in energy and chemicals[8] - Key products at risk include liquefied propane and butane (50.5% reliance), crude oil and asphalt (48.2%), and various chemical compounds (42.4%)[8] - The report suggests enhancing domestic production capabilities and exploring alternative import channels from countries like Canada, Algeria, and Brazil[73]

Group 1 - The chemical sector experienced a collective rebound on July 1, with Hongbaoli leading the surge by hitting the daily limit up [1] - Other stocks such as Shandong Heda, Changqing Technology, and Baihehua also reached the daily limit up, indicating strong market interest in the sector [1] - Hongbaoli's trading volume reached 240 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 3.57%, highlighting its active trading status [1] Group 2 - The chemical industry is a fundamental sector of the national economy, with products widely used in construction, automotive, and electronics [2] - The performance of the chemical sector is closely linked to macroeconomic trends, reflecting the industry's sensitivity to economic conditions [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Lao government has issued a special decree for the "Potash Industrial Park," providing comprehensive tax incentives for projects within the park, which is expected to accelerate the development of the potash industry in Laos [1] Group 1: Tax Incentives and Government Support - The decree includes exemptions from import/export tariffs, value-added tax, tailings resource tax, corporate income tax, and personal income tax for projects in the Potash Industrial Park [1] - This support follows earlier tax incentives granted to the potash fertilizer project, indicating a tailored policy framework to foster the development of the potash industry in Laos [1] Group 2: Industrial Chain Development - The company has shifted from a traditional "mining and selling" model to a more integrated industrial chain approach, recognizing that single mineral export is just the starting point of the value chain [2] - The potash project has achieved significant milestones, with production capacity projected to reach 500 million tons per year by 2025, expanding into downstream industries such as bromine and chlor-alkali [2][3] Group 3: Development Methodology - The company has identified three key measures for the successful development of the industrial park: initiation, expansion, and招商 (investment attraction) [4] - The company has effectively integrated resources, energy, and policy to kickstart the industrial park, including securing a 300,000 kW power station project and a 50 MW solar power project [4][5] Group 4: Economic Impact and Future Prospects - The industrial park is positioned as a model for industrialization in Laos, with the potential for replication in other developing countries to accelerate industrial growth and economic structure optimization [7] - The company's "three transformations" model (industrialization, urbanization, and modern agriculture) is expected to enhance its competitive advantage and establish it as a leader among Chinese enterprises in Laos [6][7]

Core Insights - The company has successfully implemented a "zero manual" intelligent factory project, significantly improving production efficiency and reducing manual labor [1][4][6] - The transition from manual operations to automated systems has allowed for a substantial reduction in operational time and an increase in output [1][2][3] Group 1: Project Implementation - The "zero manual" project aims to transform traditional chemical production into smart manufacturing, with 2024 designated as the "digital year" for the company [2][5] - The project has been piloted in three units: the soda ash plant, bromine plant, and calcium chloride plant, focusing on automating complex processes [2][4] - The soda ash plant's new automated system has reduced the time required for operations from 251 minutes to 162 minutes, while also increasing output by 8 tons [1][3] Group 2: Efficiency and Economic Benefits - The project has led to a 55% average improvement in process stability and a 61% increase in key control indicators, while reducing manual operation frequency by 68% [4][6] - The soda ash plant has achieved a year-on-year increase in carbonization conversion rate of 0.31%, saving 10,200 tons of raw salt annually [4] - The overall economic benefit of the first phase of the project is over 20 million yuan, with the soda ash plant contributing 12.12 million yuan through increased production and reduced consumption [4][6] Group 3: Industry Impact and Future Plans - The project sets a benchmark for intelligent transformation in the chemical industry, with the company being the first in the ammonia-soda industry to implement fully automated operations [5][6] - The company plans to continue expanding its "zero manual" initiatives, with a second phase already underway to further enhance production processes [6]