策略点评 证券研究报告 市场情绪回暖，重新关注科技方向 财信证券宏观策略周报（6.9-6.13） 2025 年 06 月 08 日 上证指数-沪深 300 走势图 -12% -2% 8% 18% 28% 2024-06 2024-09 2024-12 2025-03 上证指数 沪深300 黄红卫 分析师 执业证书编号:S0530519010001 huanghongwei@hnchasing.com 相关报告 05-27 3 房地产市场高频数据周报（05.19-05.25）2025- 05-27 投资要点 此报告仅供内部客户参考 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 房地产市场高频数据周报（06.02-06.08）2025- 06-04 2 房地产市场高频数据周报（05.26-06.01）2025- 上周（6.2-6.6)股指表现为，上证指数上涨 1.13%，收报 3385.36 点，深证成 指上涨 1.42%，收报 10183.7 点，中小 100 上涨 1.62%，创业板指上涨 2.32%； 行业板块方面，通信、有色金属、电子涨幅居前；沪深两市日均成交额为 11842.1 亿元，沪深两市成交额较前一周上升 ...

策略点评 证券研究报告 指数震荡偏强，重回科技成长主线 财信证券宏观策略周报（5.12-5.16） 2025 年 05 月 11 日 上证指数-沪深 300 走势图 6% 16% 26% 上证指数 沪深300 -14% -4% 2024-05 2024-08 2024-11 2025-02 黄红卫 分析师 执业证书编号:S0530519010001 huanghongwei@hnchasing.com 相关报告 投资要点 此报告仅供内部客户参考 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 "一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"新闻发 布会解读：一揽子金融政策落地，强化逆周期调 节 2025-05-07 2 财信证券宏观策略周报（5.5-5.9）：市场韧性较 强，关注科技成长与扩内需方向 2025-05-05 3 财信证券宏观策略周报（4.28-5.2）：政策加力 应对外部冲击，聚焦扩内需与 AI 产业投资方向 2025-04-27 上周（5.5-5.9)股指表现为，上证指数上涨 1.92%，收报 3342 点，深证成指上 涨 2.29%，收报 10126.83 点，中小 100 上涨 1.49%，创业板指上涨 3.27 ...

①财信证券：短期指数大概率或仍以震荡偏强为主；②浙商证券：建议调仓增配；③华金证券：科技行 情短期可能延续。 沪指本周累计涨1.92%，深成指累计涨2.29%，创业板指累计涨3.27%。A股后市怎么走？看看机构怎么 说： 当前来看，科技成长短期行情未完，可能持续。（1）短期TMT相对大盘大概率有超额收益。一是科技 政策支持和产业催化不断：首先，近期央行、金融监管总局和证监会表态大力发展科技创新战略；其 次，科技相关产业趋势不断上行。二是近期流动性进一步宽松。（2）业绩期过后5月TMT大概率相对 偏强。一是历史经验上，5月TMT相对大盘大概率有超额收益，且主要受政策和产业催化驱动。二是今 年5月TMT相对大盘大概率也可能有偏强。（3）当前科技成长行业的市场情绪指标处于中性水平，并 未过热。 ②浙商证券：建议调仓增配 浙商证券指出，展望后市，随着A股、港股绝大多数宽基指数回补4月7日缺口，前期负面冲击已经被政 策、资金和资本市场内生稳定性的"合力"所消除。但需要注意的是，在主要股指"回归"清明节前点位的 同时，导致市场前期"下翻"的负面因素目前尚未完全消除，这意味着近期股指表现已经"领先"基本面变 化。因此，预计 ...

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the need for policies to address external shocks, focusing on expanding domestic demand and investing in the AI industry [1][4][17] - The macro policy tone from the April Politburo meeting is described as both proactive and reserved, with an emphasis on implementing more active macro policies and enhancing counter-cyclical adjustments [1][17] - The report highlights the importance of service consumption as a key driver for expanding domestic demand, alongside a strong focus on technological innovation and the implementation of the "AI+" initiative [1][17] Group 2 - The A-share market showed a mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.56% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.38% during the week of April 21-25 [7][11] - The report notes that sectors such as automotive, beauty care, and basic chemicals performed well, indicating a recovery in the export-related industries [7][14][16] - The report suggests that the AI industry is expected to see significant growth, with major Chinese internet companies increasing their capital expenditures significantly in Q4 2024, indicating a strong future performance for the domestic AI industry chain [14][24] Group 3 - The report indicates that the overall market valuation is relatively low, with the Wan De All A Index's price-to-book ratio at 1.53, which is below historical averages, suggesting strong long-term investment value [14][41] - The report highlights the potential for structural market trends post-May Day holiday, with a focus on domestic demand expansion and the AI industry as key themes [15][24] - The report identifies specific sectors for investment, including service consumption, AI industry chain components, and self-sufficiency areas such as national defense and industrial machinery [24][25][26]