智通财经获悉，由于投资者愈发担忧美国可能即将在中东采取军事行动并扰乱该地区石油供应，对冲基 金对布伦特原油的看涨情绪达到自2024年4月以来最高水平。洲际交易所欧洲期货市场数据显示，截至2 月24日当周，基金经理将其布伦特原油净多头头寸增加57,766手，至320,952手，为近两年来的最高水 平。美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)的数据显示，对美国WTI原油的看涨押注也升至七个月高点。 伊朗军方2月27日表示，将对美国的任何侵略行为予以"毁灭性"回应。伊朗媒体援引伊朗武装部队总参 谋部发言人谢卡尔希的话报道称，美国的任何挑衅行为都将遭到伊朗武装部队"果断且毁灭性"的回击。 美国总统特朗普2月27日表示，他"不满意"当前伊核谈判进展，但尚未就是否对伊朗发动军事打击作出 最终决定。他在离开白宫时对记者说，谈判中，伊朗不愿意向美国提供美方"应得的东西"，他"很不满 意"。特朗普称，美国尚未就是否对伊朗发起军事打击作出最终决定，将观察"进一步谈判后会发生什 么"。特朗普还表示，他不想动武，"但有时候不得不这么做"。他重申不允许伊朗拥有核武器。此外， 随着局势持续紧张，多国纷纷发布安全提醒，建议本国公民撤离、或呼吁避 ...

美方近期持续对伊朗施加军事压力，向中东增兵。美军"福特"号航母2月27日抵达以色列，这意味着美 军在中东地区同时部署了"福特"号和"林肯"号两艘航母。目前美国在中东的军事集结规模，是自2003年 入侵伊拉克以来该地区最大的一次部署。有报道指出，虽然美伊同意下周继续谈判，但随着美国在中东 集结庞大战机与战舰群，两国发生战争的风险正在"迫近"。 智通财经APP获悉，由于投资者愈发担忧美国可能即将在中东采取军事行动并扰乱该地区石油供应，对 冲基金对布伦特原油的看涨情绪达到自2024年4月以来最高水平。洲际交易所欧洲期货市场数据显示， 截至2月24日当周，基金经理将其布伦特原油净多头头寸增加57,766手，至320,952手，为近两年来的最 高水平。美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)的数据显示，对美国WTI原油的看涨押注也升至七个月高 点。 在此前市场对美伊谈判可能取得进展、从而通过外交途径解决问题的乐观情绪迅速消退后，投资者重新 转向看涨原油立场，使基准期货价格重新获得风险溢价。交易员同时消化了相关迹象，即任何美国军事 行动很可能是一场持续时间较长的行动，而非类似去年6月针对伊朗核设施的那种夜间突袭。 周五，WTI ...

2月24日，三大股指午后持续拉升，其中国企红利板块同样持续上行。截至下午13:30，国企红利 ETF(159515)涨1.54%。相关成分股中，山煤国际涨5.15%、潞安环能涨3.97%、陕西煤业涨3.69%，兖矿 能源、中远海控、西部矿业等大幅跟涨。(所列示的行业仅为展示指数权重板块构成，不构成对具体行 业的投资建议，所列示股票为指数成份股，仅做示意不作为个股推荐。过往持仓情况不代表基金未来的 投资方向，也不代表具体的投资建议，投资方向、基金具体持仓可能发生变化，投资需谨慎) 消息面上，美国与伊朗关系的持续紧张。两国在中东产油区的军事活动显著增强，市场担忧谈判破裂可 能导致供应中断。此外，美国将在中东地区部署航母战斗群的消息进一步加剧了市场波动。后市来看， 卓创资讯分析师许磊指出，预计原油市场将继续关注中东地缘局势的进一步指引。虽然原油价格处于阶 段性高位，但地缘不确定性以及石油库存下滑，对油价仍有支撑。 风险提示：中证国有企业红利指数(000824)由中证指数有限公司("中证")编制和计算，其所有权归属中 证及/或其指定的第三方。中证对于标的指数的实时性、准确性、完整性和特殊目的的适用性不作任何 明示或暗 ...

伊朗与美国在核问题相关谈判中取得阶段性进展，双方据称就"指导原则"达成总体共识，这可能为两国达成里程碑式协议铺平道路。该消息引发原油市 场剧烈波动，国际油价跌幅迅速扩大。 据央视新闻，当地时间17日周二，伊朗外长阿拉格齐表示，本轮伊美日内瓦谈判进行了严肃讨论，气氛更加建设性，双方能够就一套指导原则达成总体 共识，并据此继续推进潜在协议的文本，两方仍有一些议题需要进一步谈判，可能促成协议。 据央视新闻报道，阿拉格齐称，双方提出了各种想法，但这并不意味着很快就能达成协议。他表示："当进入到协议文本的起草时，相关工作会比较困 难。" 目前谈判进展良好，形势乐观，但两方仍有一些议题需要进一步谈判。 关于下一步安排，阿拉格齐透露，第三轮谈判具体时间尚未确定。双方同意先就一些文本进行磋商，各自起草并交换协议草案文本，然后再确定谈判时 间。 据央视新闻，伊朗总统佩泽希齐扬同日表示，相关谈判进程在伊朗领导层充分协调和许可下进行，伊朗的目标是真正解决问题，而不是为了谈判而谈 判，希望谈判能够带来切实成果。 阿曼确认谈判取得实质进展 作为此轮谈判的斡旋方，阿曼方面对谈判进展作出积极评价。 受此消息影响，国际原油期货跌幅扩大。周二 ...

Group 1: Market Movements - International oil prices experienced a significant drop, with WTI crude oil down 0.93% to $62.17 per barrel and Brent crude oil down 1.79% to $67.42 per barrel [1] - Gold prices fell by 2.29% to $4878.57 per ounce, while silver prices decreased by 4.04% to $73.36 per ounce [1] - Major market institutions are taking profits, leading to consecutive reductions in holdings of gold and silver ETFs [3] Group 2: Iran-U.S. Negotiations - Recent indirect negotiations between the U.S. and Iran in Geneva showed signs of progress, reducing the risk premium on commodities [4] - Iranian Foreign Minister stated that both parties reached a general consensus on guiding principles for negotiations, although a final agreement is not imminent [6][8] - The U.S. Vice President noted that negotiations are progressing in certain aspects, but Iran has not yet agreed to some of the "red lines" set by the previous administration [10] Group 3: Gold Market Outlook - Analysts predict that gold prices may continue to rise due to ongoing demand for hedging and safe-haven assets amid a slowing U.S. economy and geopolitical tensions [20] - The global central banks' continued gold purchases and rising investment demand are expected to support gold prices [21] - Market experts anticipate a period of consolidation for gold prices, with potential for new upward momentum in the coming months [22]

伊朗与美国在核问题相关谈判中取得阶段性进展，双方据称就"指导原则"达成总体共识，这可能为两国达成里程碑式协议铺平道路。该消息引发原油市 场剧烈波动，国际油价跌幅迅速扩大。 据央视新闻，当地时间17日周二，伊朗外长阿拉格齐表示，本轮伊美日内瓦谈判进行了严肃讨论，气氛更加建设性，双方能够就一套指导原则达成总体 共识，并据此继续推进潜在协议的文本，两方仍有一些议题需要进一步谈判，可能促成协议。 受此消息影响，国际原油期货跌幅扩大。周二美股早盘时段，布伦特原油一度逼近66.80美元，日内跌近2.7%，美国WTI原油曾跌破61.90美元，日内跌逾 1.6%。 另据央视，阿曼方面证实谈判取得"切实进展"。阿曼外交大臣巴德尔通过社交账号表示，谈判在明确共同目标和技术议题方面取得良好进展，为下阶段 工作奠定基础。 不过，阿拉格齐也警告，达成协议并非指日可待，进入文本起草阶段后工作将更加困难。据报道，在谈判取得进展的同时，波斯湾地区军事部署仍在加 强，伊朗因军事演习短暂关闭霍尔木兹海峡部分区域，美国则向该地区派遣第二艘航空母舰。 伊朗外长详解谈判进展 阿拉格齐在结束谈判后对伊朗国家电视台表示，本轮谈判较上一轮更加深入和严肃。他 ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic fuel prices are set to increase significantly ahead of the Lantern Festival, with gasoline and diesel prices expected to rise by 115 yuan per ton, surpassing the government's "suspended line" by 65 yuan [1] Price Adjustments - The price increase translates to an additional 0.09 to 0.10 yuan per liter for 92 and 95 gasoline, resulting in an extra cost of approximately 4.5 to 5 yuan for a full 50-liter tank [2] - The adjustment is scheduled for February 24 at midnight, marking the third consecutive price increase this year [2] - The average price of crude oil over the last nine working days was 65.32 USD per barrel, indicating a rise from the previous average of 64.04 USD [4] International Oil Market Influence - The fluctuations in international oil prices, with WTI at 62.89 USD and Brent at 67.75 USD, are the primary drivers of the domestic price adjustments [2] - The geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns over global oil demand continue to impact market sentiment [4] Regional Price Variations - There are significant regional disparities in gasoline prices, with 98 gasoline prices ranging from 8.11 yuan in Jilin to 9.55 yuan in Hainan, highlighting a price gap of 1.58 yuan per liter between regions [6][8] - The high prices in East China and South China are attributed to a higher concentration of luxury vehicles and robust consumer spending [8][10] - In contrast, lower prices are observed in the Northwest and Southwest regions, where the market penetration of high-end gasoline remains below 30% [10] Diesel Market Stability - The national average price for 0 diesel is approximately 6.52 yuan per liter, with minimal price fluctuations, reflecting the stable demand from industrial sectors [10][14] - Diesel prices in industrially dense regions like East and North China remain stable between 6.50 and 6.60 yuan, demonstrating resilience against external market shocks [14]

Group 1: Military and Defense Sector Performance - European defense stocks surged following U.S. military actions in Venezuela, with Rheinmetall up 9.4%, Rheinmetall Group up 8%, Saab up 6.6%, Leonardo up 6.3%, BAE Systems up 5.5%, and Thales up 4.7% [1][3] - The European aerospace and defense sector index led the market, indicating a strong upward trend in defense spending expectations due to heightened global security concerns [3][4] - Analysts suggest that the recent escalation in Venezuela reinforces the "security premium" logic, indicating a long-term trend of increased military spending in European countries [3] Group 2: Market Reactions and Economic Implications - The European stock market showed resilience despite rising geopolitical risks, with the Stoxx 600 index closing at a record high of 601.76 points, and the DAX index reaching 24868.69 points [1] - Capital Economics reported that the economic impact of Venezuela's political situation on global markets is limited, suggesting that the U.S. actions are unlikely to pose systemic risks to global growth or financial stability [1][2] - The energy market reacted more cautiously, with oil prices experiencing limited fluctuations despite Venezuela's significant oil reserves, indicating that the global oil market remains relatively stable [5][6] Group 3: Energy Sector Insights - Brent and WTI crude oil prices rose by 1.7%, with WTI at $58.32 per barrel and Brent at $61.76 per barrel, but the increases were not extreme [6] - Analysts believe that Venezuela's current oil production and export capabilities are severely diminished, making it unlikely for short-term disruptions to significantly impact global oil supply [6][7] - European energy stocks displayed cautious performance, reflecting investor skepticism regarding the potential for Venezuela's situation to improve the profitability outlook for European energy companies [7]

美国对委内瑞拉原油运输实施部分封锁、并对尼日利亚境内恐怖组织发动军事打击，受上述地缘政治情 势提振，美国原油价格势将创下自10月下旬以来的最大单周涨幅。 美国WTI原油价格稳定在每桶58美元上方，本周累计涨幅超过3%，有望创下自10月24日以来的最大单 周涨幅。特朗普政府继续对委内瑞拉实施封锁、加大施压之际，一艘被美国军方追截的受制裁油轮退至 大西洋深处。 美国原油价格年内累计下跌约18%，势将创下2020年以来的最大年度跌幅。这一跌势主要源于市场供应 过剩过剩预期。 在非洲方面，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普表示，美军对尼日利亚境内的"伊斯兰国"组织目标发动了军事打 击。根据OPEC数据，该成员国11月的石油日产量约为150万桶。 责任编辑：于健 SF069 美国对委内瑞拉原油运输实施部分封锁、并对尼日利亚境内恐怖组织发动军事打击，受上述地缘政治情 势提振，美国原油价格势将创下自10月下旬以来的最大单周涨幅。 美国WTI原油价格稳定在每桶58美元上方，本周累计涨幅超过3%，有望创下自10月24日以来的最大单 周涨幅。特朗普政府继续对委内瑞拉实施封锁、加大施压之际，一艘被美国军方追截的受制裁油轮退至 大西洋深处。 美 ...

Group 1: Oil Price Surge - International oil prices experienced a sudden spike, with WTI and Brent crude oil rising sharply due to reports of the U.S. preparing new sanctions against Russia if Moscow does not agree to a peace plan regarding Ukraine. Brent crude futures saw an increase of up to 2.4%, surpassing $60 per barrel during trading [1]. Group 2: U.S. Actions Against Venezuela - President Trump ordered a complete blockade of all sanctioned oil tankers entering or leaving Venezuela, citing reasons such as asset theft, terrorism, drug trafficking, and human trafficking [2][4]. - The U.S. military seized a tanker near Venezuela, which was allegedly involved in transporting oil from Venezuela and Iran, as part of a broader strategy to enforce sanctions against entities supporting foreign terrorist organizations [6]. - The U.S. Treasury updated its sanctions list, adding six tankers related to Venezuela, while Venezuela's Foreign Minister condemned the seizure as an act of "international piracy" [6]. Group 3: Military Presence and Tensions - The U.S. has increased its military presence in the Caribbean near Venezuela, deploying F-35A fighter jets and EA-18G Growler electronic warfare aircraft, indicating preparations for potential military action rather than mere symbolic displays of force [6]. - Venezuela's Defense Minister stated that surrender is not an option for the country, emphasizing readiness to defend against U.S. actions and asserting that the Venezuelan people are resisting what they perceive as U.S. imperialism [6][7].