截至2026年1月6日13:05，中证细分化工产业主题指数强势上涨3.78%，成分股恒力石化上涨9.72%，鲁 西化工上涨8.79%，桐昆股份上涨8.24%，君正集团，万华化学等个股跟涨。 消息方面，万华化学自2025年12月起连续上调MDI/TDI等核心产品全球售价，与巴斯夫、陶氏等国际巨 头同步调价，行业集中检修及原料成本上涨推动聚氨酯价格走强；同期中国硫酸工业协会联合磷复肥协 会召开保供稳价会议，明确硫酸资源优先保障磷肥生产，以稳定春耕农资供应。 化工ETF嘉实(159129)紧密跟踪中证细分化工产业主题指数，聚焦行业"反内卷"背景下新一轮景气周 期。 场外投资者还可以通过化工ETF联接基金（013527）关注化工板块投资机遇。 光大证券指出，基础化工、化学制品行业当前处于周期底部回升阶段，化工品价格指数有望止跌企稳， 行业整体进入底部蓄势期。在库存低位叠加需求逐步修复的背景下，下游企业补库将推动行业盈利能力 触底回升。化工行业PE估值历史分位数较高，PB估值接近2019年和2024年底部水平，显示行业仍具较 大上行空间。新兴应用领域如AI、OLED、机器人等终端市场的高景气度成为行业新增长引擎，半导体 ...

1月6日上午，A股三大指数走势分化，沪指高开高走，涨超1%，再创十年新高。截至午间收盘，沪指涨1.14%，深成指涨0.81%，创业板指跌0.04%。 | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 北证50 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 4069.38 | 13940.24 | 1479.07 | | | | | | +45.96 +1.14% +111.61 +0.81% +12.65 +0.86% | | | | | | | | 科创50 | 创业板指 | 万得全A | | | | | | 1430.81 | 3293.18 | 6611.54 | | | | | | +27.40 +1.95% | | -1.37 -0.04% +73.60 +1.13% | | | | | | 沪深300 | 中证500 | 中证A500 | | | | | | 4772.17 | | | 7766.29 5834.52 | | | | | +54.42 +1.15% +115.09 +1.50% +71.22 +1.24% | | | | | | | ...

| 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 北证50 | | --- | --- | --- | | 4069.38 | 13940.24 | 1479.07 | | +45.96 +1.14% +111.61 +0.81% +12.65 +0.86% | | | | 科创50 | 创业板指 | 万得全A | | 1430.81 | 3293.18 | 6611.54 | | +27.40 +1.95% | -1.37 -0.04% +73.60 +1.13% | | | 沪深300 | 中证500 | 中证A500 | | 4772.17 | 7766.29 | 5834.52 | | +54.42 +1.15% | +115.09 +1.50% +71.22 +1.24% | | | 中证1000 | 深证100 | 中证红利 | | 7821.96 | 5951.67 | 5570.59 | | +68.08 +0.88% +23.35 +0.39% +45.47 +0.82% | | | | 万得全A涨跌分布 | | | | 跌1584 | 涨3691 | | | 成交额1.80万亿 | 预测成交额2.82万亿, ...

| 恒生指数 | 恒生国企 | 恒生科技 | | --- | --- | --- | | 26790.67 | 9283.04 | 5860.13 | | +443.43 +1.68% | +134.57 +1.47% | +118.50 +2.06% | | 恒指期货 | 港股通50 | 恒生生物科技 | | 26844 | 4043.06 | 0.00 | | +470 +1.78% | +63.85 +1.60% | 0.00 0.00% | | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 = | 总市们 三 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 京东健康 | 61.950 | 6.44% | 1988亿 | | 6618.HK | | | | | 商汤-W | 2.390 | 6.70% | 966亿 | | 0020.HK | | | | | 网易-S | 231.600 | 4.04% | 7337亿 | | 9999.HK | | | | | 小鹏汽车-W | 79.550 | 3.78% | 1521亿 | | 9868.HK | | | | | 哔哩哔哩-W | 217.800 | 3 ...

截至2026年1月6日11:25，中证石化产业指数强势上涨3.61%，成分股恒力石化上涨8.13%，鲁西化工上涨7.87%，万华化学上涨7.25%，桐昆股份、华鲁恒 升、等个股跟涨。石化ETF(159731)上涨3.47%，最新价报0.95元。 | 股票代码 | 股票简称 | 涨跌幅 | 权重 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600309 | 万华化学 | 7.25% | 10.47% | | 601857 | 中国石油 | 1.39% | 7.63% | | 000792 | 盐湖股份 | 4.75% | 6.44% | | 600028 | 中国石化 | 1.64% | 6.44% | | 600938 | 甲国海海 | 2.24% | 5.22% | | 600160 | 巨化股份 | 1.43% | 4.51% | | 000408 | 藏格矿业 | 2.49% | 3.82% | | 600143 | 金发科技 | 0.42% | 3.69% | | 600426 | 华鲁恒升 | 6.87% | 3.31% | | 600989 | 宝丰能源 | 4.31% | 3.2 ...

展望后市，中国银河证券表示，2024年以来化工行业资本开支迎来负增长，随着"反内卷"浪潮袭来及海 外落后产能加速出清，供给端有望收缩。"十五五"规划建议"坚持扩大内需"为未来五年定调，叠加美国 降息周期开启，化工品需求空间打开。其认为，供需双底基本确立，政策预期强力催化，2026年化工行 业或迎周期拐点向上，开启从估值修复到业绩增长的"戴维斯双击"。 如何把握化工板块反弹机遇？借道化工ETF（516020）布局效率或更高。公开资料显示，化工ETF （516020）跟踪中证细分化工产业主题指数，全面覆盖化工各个细分领域。其中近5成仓位集中于大市 值龙头股，包括万华化学、盐湖股份等，分享强者恒强投资机遇；其余5成仓位兼顾布局磷肥及磷化 工、氟化工、氮肥等细分领域龙头股，全面把握化工板块投资机会。场外投资者亦可通过化工ETF联接 基金（A类012537/C类012538）布局化工板块。 来源：沪深交易所等，截至2026.1.6。 风险提示：化工ETF被动跟踪中证细分化工产业主题指数，该指数基日为2004.12.31，发布于 2012.4.11。指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整，其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表 ...

2025年，涨价题材成为市场核心主线之一。 受供需格局重构、产业升级、政策引导等多重因素影响，国内产业呈现"结构性涨价"特征。 一方面，高景气赛道涨幅突出：锂电池产业链核心材料价格飙升数倍，存储芯片市场迈入超级景气周 期，有色金属板块指数年内累计涨幅突破85%...... 与此同时，化工、煤炭、建材等行业以"反内卷"破局，通过自律减产、主动调价等举措优化供需结构。 多个细分品种厂商联合推进价格修复，以期实现量利双升。 锂电池产业链：供需紧平衡引爆涨价潮 2025年，受储能需求爆发等多重因素催化，锂电池产业链核心产品价格强势上涨。 作为电解液核心溶质的六氟磷酸锂表现尤为抢眼，价格从2025年7月底不超过5万元/吨一度飙升至12月 的17万元/吨。12月30日，上海有色数据显示，电池级碳酸锂价格已触及11.8万元/吨的高点；12月26 日，碳酸锂市场在连涨多日后迎来标志性突破，主力合约盘中站上13万元/吨关口。 不仅如此，另一重要材料磷酸铁锂在多日价格高企后，出现了头部厂商减产检修与集体挺价的现象。锂 电池电解液关键溶剂碳酸乙烯酯（EC）、添加剂VC（碳酸亚乙烯酯）、FEC（氟代碳酸乙烯酯）价格 也纷纷回暖，保持 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market has seen a continuous rise, indicating the gradual initiation of a year-end rally, with global risk assets recovering amid easing liquidity tightening expectations [3][12] - The market is shifting focus from a single narrative around AI to a broader range of themes, including domestic demand, price increase chains, and new industrial themes like commercial aerospace [3][12] - The current market rally is characterized by industry rotation and the emergence of new investment themes for 2026, driven by the interplay between AI investment and global manufacturing recovery [3][12] Group 2 - Recent price increases across various industries have become a focal point, with raw material price hikes being a primary driver, leading to passive price increases in many sectors [4][17] - The effects of anti-involution policies are becoming evident, as some companies opt for voluntary production cuts and joint price increases to maintain competitive order amid rising upstream costs and downstream price pressures [4][17] - The sustainability of price increases varies by sector, with strong demand in some areas like lithium battery and wafer manufacturing, while sectors with weaker demand, such as titanium dioxide, may face challenges in sustaining price hikes [4][24] Group 3 - A new cycle of RMB appreciation is emerging, primarily driven by the weakening dollar and seasonal capital inflows, with medium-term support from improved China-U.S. relations and resilient export performance [5][33] - Historical trends indicate that during RMB appreciation periods, companies with high overseas exposure often experience a temporary increase in sales margins, followed by a decline, suggesting a complex relationship between currency strength and export competitiveness [5][34] - The current RMB appreciation is expected to alleviate cost pressures from rising prices of commodities and integrated circuits, benefiting sectors such as communication equipment, environmental governance, and lithium batteries [5][40] Group 4 - The new investment themes for 2026 are beginning to manifest across commodity markets, real industry chains, and foreign exchange markets, with a focus on industrial resource products that resonate with AI investment and global manufacturing recovery [6][12] - Recommended sectors include industrial resource products like copper, aluminum, and lithium, as well as equipment export chains with global comparative advantages, and consumer sectors benefiting from inbound recovery and rising household income [6][12]

近期A股市场连续上涨，市场期待的跨年行情逐渐启动。在国内外基本面尚未出现重大变化之际，当下 反弹更像是前期分母端流动性紧缩预期边际缓和后的全球风险资产共振修复，海外主要股指均实现不同 程度的上涨。值得一提的是市场逐渐不再聚焦于AI中外映射行情的单一叙事，而是向更广泛的领域扩 散，呈现出AI、内需、涨价链、新的产业主题（商业航天）轮涨的格局。单一叙事驱动下的市场上涨 具备不稳定与高波动性，真正的牛市往往是广泛市场机会涌现与形成合力，在当前市场缓步向上，行业 轮动加速之际，2026年新的投资主线也正在慢慢浮出水面。 2 如何理解近期各产业链涨价：实物消耗的扩散与汇聚 当下涨价链成为市场焦点，通过梳理各行业涨价函具体内容与业内分析可以看到，原材料价格的上涨成 为价格主要推升因素；与此同时，反内卷政策的效果也正在显现，在面临上游涨价，下游压价的困境 时，部分企业开始选择自发减产与联合提价的方式维护产业合理竞争秩序。往后看由于需求端的景气程 度差异，涨价的持续性也有所不同。对于大宗商品而言，我们认为凌厉的上涨可能有两层原因：本轮有 色金属的上涨，可能在指示边际需求更多由大量高毛利与成长性的新兴部门所驱动，占后者的成本比 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the significant growth of the Tianhong Chemical ETF (159133), which reached a record high since its listing, with a turnover of 5.89% and a transaction volume of 31.19 million yuan [1] - The Tianhong Chemical ETF has seen a substantial increase in scale, growing by 31.46 million yuan and an increase of 22.5 million shares over the past week, indicating strong investor interest [1] - The fund has experienced a net inflow of 2.51 million yuan recently, accumulating a total of 18.54 million yuan in the last five trading days, reflecting positive market sentiment towards the chemical sector [1] Group 2 - Wanhua Chemical has expanded its price increase for MDI/TDI products to the Latin American region, driven by supply tightening due to unexpected outages from competitors and domestic capacity maintenance [2] - According to CICC's 2026 outlook, the petrochemical and chemical industry has been in a down cycle for approximately 3.5 years, but with decreasing capital expenditure and the exit of outdated overseas capacity, the industry is expected to enter a low growth phase [2] - The report anticipates that the chemical industry may reach a cyclical turning point due to the accumulation of favorable supply-side factors and rapid growth in demand from sectors like new energy [2]