但是如果我们把投资的时间拉长到10年, 我们会发现,以10年为周期来投资,赚钱 的概率就大大提升了。很少有长达10年的 时间里，投资还是亏损的情况。 以10年为周期，收益也更接近股票资产的 平均收益。 巴菲特也说过一个类似的话: 如果你不愿 意持有一个股票10年，那么你连10分钟都 不要持有。 放在A股也是如此。 如果我们在任意一个时间点买入A股全部 股票，那可能在牛市一年就赚一两倍，但 也有可能在熊市一年就下跌30%。 文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 如何。 我们要做好长期投资的心理准备，用长期 不用的闲钱来投资。 时间是长期投资者的朋友，可以帮助我们 平滑风险，拿时间换空间。 投资的时间越长,我们赚钱的概率越大。 所以我们也要做一个长期投资者。 ▼点击阅读原 文，免费学习大额家庭资产配置课程 如果我们买入A股全部股票,并长期投 资,那只要不是买在牛市最高点，持有几 年其太都是盈利的。 v二世界 1 投资时间越长，我们的投资收益，越接近 股票资产的真实收益。 如果我们再控制下投资的估值，在低估区 域投资,那么从低估买入开始算起,持有 3-5年以上，目前是没有亏损纪录的。 比如说A股2013-2014 ...

Group 1 - The article emphasizes that funds are very suitable investment products for ordinary people [1] - It suggests that new investors should consider long-term investment strategies and prepare psychologically before investing [1] - A free course is offered to help new investors understand fund investment from scratch [1] Group 2 - The article discusses the importance of obtaining quality information sources for effective learning in investment [5] - It highlights that classic books provide the highest value of information, as they present core concepts that have stood the test of time [6] - Quality magazines and official media are recommended as reliable sources, such as major securities newspapers [7] - The article warns against relying too much on short videos and social media for investment information, as they often contain limited and potentially outdated content [9] - It concludes that allocating more time to reading books and quality publications will yield better learning outcomes [10]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of developing good habits during holidays, particularly focusing on exercise as a means of long-term health benefits, similar to investment strategies like dollar-cost averaging [6][14][15] - It suggests starting with low-barrier exercises at home, such as using the Nintendo Switch with the Ring Fit Adventure game, which can be a family-friendly option [9] - For those looking for cost-effective home workouts, it recommends various workout videos, with difficulty levels ranging from beginner to advanced, and highlights the importance of consistency in achieving fitness goals [10][11][12] Group 2 - The article discusses the value of watching films and series during holidays for relaxation, mentioning specific shows and their relevance to investment principles, such as caution and strategic thinking [20][25] - It provides a list of recommended shows, including domestic and international series, and emphasizes the importance of selecting content that can provide both entertainment and insights into business dynamics [19][26] - The article also suggests efficient viewing methods, such as watching at increased speeds or utilizing edited clips to save time while still gaining valuable insights [36][38][41] Group 3 - The article highlights the significance of reading as a means of knowledge acquisition, recommending a systematic approach to evaluating books based on their quality and relevance [44][46] - It lists several highly-rated books related to investment and personal development, emphasizing their potential to enhance understanding of financial markets and personal finance strategies [50][53][56] - The author encourages sharing recommendations for books and films that can be beneficial during the holiday period, fostering a community of knowledge sharing [61]

Market Overview - The overall market experienced an increase, returning to a rating of 4.1 stars by the end of trading [2] - All market caps (large, medium, and small) saw gains, with small-cap stocks rising the most [3] - The ChiNext index opened strongly but closed with a reduced gain, remaining close to overvaluation [4][5] - Sectors such as pharmaceuticals and technology showed significant upward movement [6] Stock Performance - Hong Kong stocks also saw an overall increase, with technology and pharmaceutical sectors rising over 2% [7][8] - In the third quarter, both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks experienced substantial gains, with A-shares up 18% and the Hang Seng Index up 11%, both exceeding the global average increase of approximately 7% [9][10][11] Investment Strategy - As of 15:00, investments in funds were executed at prices before the holiday, with trading in A-shares paused during the holiday period [12][15] - However, Hong Kong stocks and other international markets will continue to trade during the holiday, with updates on their performance expected after the holiday [16][18] Fund Management - The investment strategy includes pausing contributions to the index-enhanced advisory portfolio as it returns to normal valuation, while continuing contributions to the actively selected advisory portfolio [20] - The "Monthly Salary Treasure" investment strategy, which consists of 40% stocks and 60% bonds, is recommended for stable market participation [20] Pension Fund Insights - The article discusses the performance of pension index funds, highlighting that both the CSI 500 and CSI Dividend funds have returned to normal valuation, with the former showing a 22% profit and the latter a 5% profit over recent months [26] - The article emphasizes the importance of patience in waiting for undervalued investment opportunities in the long term [26] Valuation Metrics - A detailed valuation table is provided, showing various indices' price-to-earnings ratios, price-to-book ratios, and dividend yields, indicating the current market conditions and investment opportunities [29][34]

Group 1 - Fund regular investment is a suitable investment method for lazy investors, and it is essential to prepare before starting and to create a solid investment plan [2][3] - There are four methods of regular investment, and it is important to determine which one is most suitable for individual needs and how to take profits [2] Group 2 - The statement that bull markets are a primary reason for retail investors losing money may seem counterintuitive, but it reflects reality [6] - The first common reason for losses is chasing prices, where investors tend to buy at market peaks during bull markets, leading to higher costs [7] - Another reason for losses is frequent trading, which can cause investors to miss out on gains and experience losses despite overall market increases [10] Group 3 - Investing in stocks should shift away from a trading mindset; instead, it should be viewed as owning a basket of companies through funds, which allows for easier management without direct involvement [12]

Core Viewpoint - The article provides an overview of the updated active fund manager pool information for the 2025 semi-annual report, highlighting various metrics such as investment style, stock ratio, industry preference, turnover rate, valuation of heavy holdings, concentration of holdings, and fund size [1][3][36]. Summary by Sections Fund Manager Information - The article lists various fund managers along with their respective funds, categorized by investment style such as value and growth [4][6][16][17]. Key Metrics - The article emphasizes the importance of several key metrics when analyzing fund performance, including: - **Investment Style**: Different funds exhibit varying performance based on their investment styles, with value and growth styles showing distinct phases of strength [38][41]. - **Stock Ratio**: Active funds typically maintain a stock ratio around 90%, with higher ratios indicating greater volatility [45][46]. - **Industry Preference**: Fund managers often focus on specific industries where they have expertise, which can influence their investment decisions [50][52]. - **Holding Concentration**: The concentration of the top ten holdings can indicate potential volatility, with higher concentrations leading to greater fluctuations [55][56]. - **Heavy Holdings Valuation**: The valuation of top holdings is assessed to gauge the fund's overall performance, with growth style funds generally having higher valuations [61]. - **Turnover Rate**: A turnover rate below 200% is considered low for active funds, indicating stability in the fund's portfolio [62][63]. - **Fund Size**: The size of the fund can impact its ability to generate excess returns, with larger funds facing more challenges [65][66]. Fund Manager Insights - The article discusses the significance of fund managers' insights in their reports, which include reflections on past performance and future market outlooks, with the latter being particularly important for investors [68][70].

Core Viewpoint - The overall market showed a positive trend with significant increases in various indices, indicating a favorable investment environment ahead of the upcoming holidays [1][4][5]. Market Performance - The market opened lower but closed higher, with all market caps (large, medium, and small) experiencing gains [1][3]. - The ChiNext Index saw a substantial rise, reaching a new high for the year, suggesting it is approaching overvaluation [4]. - The securities index also rose significantly, now reflecting a normal to slightly high valuation [5]. - Hong Kong stocks demonstrated strong performance, particularly in the technology sector [6]. Investment Strategy Before Holidays - With the upcoming National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, there are specific deadlines for purchasing different types of funds to be considered as pre-holiday investments: - Money Market Funds must be bought by September 29, 3 PM [8]. - Bond Funds must be purchased by September 30, 3 PM, as they can still accrue interest during the holiday [9]. - Stock Funds also have the same deadline as bond funds for pre-holiday purchases [11]. - It is noted that stock fund net values will not be updated during the holiday, while Hong Kong stocks will still have trading days [12][13]. Investment Philosophy - The company advises against selling funds simply due to the holiday, emphasizing a long-term investment approach [17][18]. - The analogy is made that just as business owners do not sell their companies before holidays, investors should maintain their positions unless valuations become excessively high [19][20]. Upcoming Schedule - The trading schedule around the holidays is outlined, indicating that A-shares will be closed during the holiday period, and fund transactions will resume afterward [23][24]. - The company will continue its regular investment strategy post-holiday, with a focus on maintaining investment discipline [25]. Investment Opportunities - The current market is rated at 4.2 stars, suggesting it is a good time to invest in the "Monthly Treasure" investment portfolio, which consists of 40% stocks and 60% bonds [2][28]. - The stock portion of the portfolio is described as value-oriented, with current valuations being slightly lower than at the beginning of the year [28]. User Engagement - The company is encouraging user feedback and sharing of investment experiences through a campaign titled "My Investment Smile Curve," highlighting the positive outcomes of consistent investment strategies [28].

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 基金2025年的半年报更新 完毕， 螺丝钉也梳理了一下投顾组合基金经理池中，主动基金经理 的半年报 。 包括基金经理的观点，以及基金的一些数据信息。 基金经理观点怎么看 基金经理在定期报告中，会有两个主要的内容。 后者会更重要一些。 不同基金经理，对待这一部分的态度也不同。 并且，基金经理因为投资风格不同，每个人的偏好自然会有区别。 例如： • 价值风格的基金经理，偏向于低估值的品种一些。 • 成长风格的基金经理会更看重品种的增长速度。 所以，对基金经理的观点，也要辩证看待～ 我们把基金经理分成了几组。 1. 深度价值风格 深度价值风格，代表是巴菲特的老师格雷厄姆。 投资的特点是比较重视估值， 如低市盈率、低市净率、高股息率。 • 一个是回顾过去一段时间的投资； • 另一个是对未来市场的观点。 • 有的基金经理会很详细的写很多 ，例如景顺长城的杨锐文，就以报告观点详细著称。 • 有的基金经理写的不多（可能投资做的不错，但在报告里不怎么解释）。 在指数中，对应的是「价值指数」和「红利指数」。 主要投资的是金融地产、能源，估值低的材料、可选消费、制造等行业。 收益的来源，一 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the concept of different stock markets not moving in tandem, suggesting that understanding multiple markets can provide investors with more opportunities [2] - It emphasizes that global investment can significantly reduce volatility risk, highlighting the importance of diversifying investments across different regions [2] - A free course is offered to teach methods for investing in global stock markets through index funds, along with supplementary materials like course notes and mind maps [2][3] Group 2 - The article introduces various terms used in the A-share market to describe stocks that have underperformed, such as "old Deng stocks," which refer to stocks that have seen little price increase recently [4][10] - It explains the historical context of terms like "big rotten stinky" and "three fools," which were used during different market cycles to describe underperforming stocks compared to their high-performing counterparts [6][9] - The article notes that market trends are cyclical, and when certain assets are undervalued or overvalued, it presents opportunities for investors to buy low or sell high [14][15]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the importance of monitoring the earnings growth of listed companies as a key driver for market performance [8][74] - A-share companies release four periodic reports annually: quarterly reports, semi-annual reports, quarterly reports, and annual reports, while Hong Kong stocks have similar requirements but with more flexible disclosure timelines [4][5] - The earnings growth of listed companies is crucial for the long-term upward trend of stock indices, as it influences both valuation and dividends [8][9] Group 2 - The overall earnings situation of A-shares can be observed through the CSI All Share Index, which showed a significant earnings growth of over 20% in 2021, but faced stagnation in 2023 and 2024, with a slight decline of approximately 0.23% in 2024 compared to 2023 [21][23] - In Q1 2025, A-share companies experienced a year-on-year earnings growth of about 4.46%, which slowed to approximately 2.19% in Q2 2025, influenced by external factors such as tariff crises and declining profits in major state-owned energy enterprises [23][24][25] - The CSI 300 index, representing large-cap stocks, showed stable earnings growth, with a year-on-year increase of around 3%-5% in recent quarters, reflecting the resilience of large companies during economic fluctuations [27][28] Group 3 - The CSI 500 index, representing mid-cap stocks, exhibited significant earnings volatility, with a year-on-year growth of 6.51% in Q1 2025 and 3.6% in Q2 2025, indicating recovery after previous declines [30][31] - The CSI 1000 index, representing small-cap stocks, had a remarkable earnings growth of 68.02% in 2021, but faced declines in 2023 and 2024, with a recovery in Q1 2025 at 16.13%, followed by a slowdown to 0.44% in Q2 2025 [34][36] - The ChiNext Index, representing growth-oriented stocks, showed a strong earnings growth of 30.79% in Q1 2025, which decreased to 13.39% in Q2 2025, reflecting the inherent volatility of growth stocks [36] Group 4 - The Hang Seng Index, representing Hong Kong stocks, experienced a year-on-year earnings growth of 16.32% in Q1 2025, but saw a significant drop to only 0.14% in Q2 2025, with technology and healthcare sectors performing well while energy sector profits declined [38][40] - The H-share Index, representing large-cap Hong Kong stocks, displayed stable earnings growth, similar to the Hang Seng Index, but also faced a slowdown in Q2 2025 [40][41] - The Hang Seng Consumer Index showed a strong recovery with a year-on-year growth of 29.48% in Q2 2025, driven by new consumer companies listing in Hong Kong [62][63] Group 5 - The healthcare sector in Hong Kong, represented by the Hang Seng Healthcare Index, demonstrated significant earnings growth, with a year-on-year increase of 172.89% in Q1 2025 and 59.75% in Q2 2025 [68][70] - The Hong Kong technology sector also showed robust earnings growth, with a year-on-year increase of 128.92% in Q1 2025 and 51.24% in Q2 2025, indicating a strong recovery in this sector [72]