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每日钉一下(近年A股是分红市还是融资市呢?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-12-27 13:51
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transition of the A-share market from a financing market to a dividend market, highlighting the increasing trend of dividend payouts by listed companies over recent years [6][11]. Group 1: Dividend Trends - By December 2025, the total dividend payout in the A-share market is expected to exceed 2.56 trillion yuan, marking a historical high and representing the fifth consecutive year of increasing dividend amounts [6][10]. - Historically, A-share companies distributed 30%-40% of their profits as dividends, which has now increased to 40%-50% in recent years [6]. Group 2: Financing Activities - In a bull market, the amount of capital raised through IPOs and other financing methods tends to increase significantly due to higher stock valuations, while in a bear market, companies are reluctant to sell shares at undervalued prices [7]. - In 2024, the total financing amount in the A-share market was approximately 288 billion yuan, significantly lower than the dividend total of 2.4 trillion yuan, indicating that 2024 was a typical dividend market year [8][9]. Group 3: Market Outlook - As of 2025, the A-share market is still characterized as a dividend market, with a notable recovery in IPOs and financing activities, particularly among technology companies, which raised around 830 billion yuan by August 2025, more than tripling the previous year's figures [10]. - The estimated total financing for 2025 is projected to exceed 1 trillion yuan, which is more than half of the total dividend payout for the same year, reinforcing the trend towards a dividend-focused market [10][11].
个人养老金账户,怎么做定投?|投资小知识
银行螺丝钉· 2025-12-27 13:51
Group 1 - The article discusses two investment styles: dividend strategy representing value style and leading strategy representing growth style, noting that long-term performance is similar while short-term performance may vary [2] - It suggests diversifying investments across different styles to benefit regardless of which style performs better, and emphasizes the importance of rebalancing based on the performance of each style [2] - For personal pension accounts, it is recommended to invest a maximum of 12,000 yuan annually or to make regular investments monthly or weekly, with flexibility to skip contributions if funds are tight [2][3] Group 2 - The article outlines a strategy for selling and taking profits from pension index funds, advising to invest when the index is undervalued and to hold when it is at normal valuation, while taking profits when it is overvalued [5] - It mentions that if index funds are no longer suitable for investment, funds can be redirected to government bonds, savings deposits, or wealth management products [5] - A weekly update on the personal pension account's index fund investment plan will be provided through the public account, including specific investment varieties, amounts, rebalancing strategies, and profit-taking operations [5]
每日钉一下(投顾,让基民的盈利和体验提升了吗?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-12-26 13:59
Group 1 - The article discusses the importance of diversifying investments across both RMB and foreign currency assets, as well as stocks and bonds, highlighting the role of US dollar bond funds in this strategy [2] - A free course is offered to provide systematic knowledge on investing in US dollar bond funds, including course notes and mind maps for efficient learning [2] Group 2 - A report titled "China Fund Advisory Business Insight Report (2025)" was released, focusing on the performance of fund advisory services, based on data from 18 advisory institutions and 5 fund sales organizations from 2022 to September 2025 [5] - The report indicates that 76.9% of advisory clients achieved profitability, compared to 63.4% of self-investing fund investors, emphasizing the effectiveness of fund advisory services [6] - The repurchase rate for advisory clients has increased to 38.2%, indicating a strong tendency for clients to invest multiple times [7] - Advisory clients have an average holding period of 672 days, which is significantly longer than that of individual stock investors and average fund investors [8][9] - Notably, the report reveals that the proportion of female investors in advisory services is growing faster than that of male investors, and 90% of advisory clients hold amounts under 100,000 yuan [10] - A significant 43% of investors prefer weekly advisory services, while 73% desire one-on-one communication with advisors [10] - The "Nail Series" advisory portfolio shows a cumulative profitability rate of approximately 90% from early 2022 to September 30, 2025, with a repurchase rate of 87% and an average holding amount of 159,000 yuan [11][12]
怎么从做生意的视角,看指数基金投资呢?|投资小知识
银行螺丝钉· 2025-12-26 13:59
Group 1 - The core perspective is that investing in index funds can be viewed as owning a basket of companies, similar to buying a company itself [2][3] - When investing in a dividend index fund at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10, an investment of 10,000 yuan can be seen as owning a mini company valued at 10,000 yuan, which includes various industries [3] - The average annual profit growth for dividend indices in recent years is approximately 6%, with profits being distributed as dividends and reinvested for future growth [4][5] Group 2 - Investors can expect to receive 40%-50% of the company's profits, around 400-500 yuan, as dividends each year, while the remaining profits are reinvested to enhance future earnings [4] - The investment strategy emphasizes patience and a focus on the underlying companies' operations rather than short-term market fluctuations [6] - In rare bull markets, the value of the mini company can significantly increase, allowing for substantial returns, but such scenarios are infrequent [5]
[12月26日]指数估值数据(白银基金溢价风险,是怎么回事;港股指数估值表更新;抽奖福利)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-12-26 13:59
文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 今天大盘微涨微跌,波动不大,还在4.1星。 大盘股略微上涨,小盘股微跌。 现金流等指数上涨,距离正常估值也比较接近了。 成长风格微涨。 港股今天继续放假,港股基金周五也暂停交易。 部分含有港股的基金,这两天的收益更新也少了一部分。 下周港股恢复正常交易,这些基金申购赎回、收益更新也会恢复正常。 螺丝钉也汇总了港股指数的估值表,供参考,见文章下方图片。 在场内基金中,主要是ETF和LOF两种形态。 LOF基金,可以按照基金净值申购赎回,也按照交易价格买卖。 正常情况下,净值和交易价格差异不大。 但偶尔有一些时间段,因为部分场内投资者对基金不了解,会以较高的溢价买入基金。 例如,白银基金, 同时组合里也有部分基金这周分红。 分红到账需要时间,在到账之前也会显示为下跌。 实际上这部分没有丢失,过两天分红到账后就显示正常了。 1. 有朋友问,最近的白银基金溢价套利是怎么回事呢? 白银基金是LOF基金。 我们以前介绍过,基金有很多类型。 在12月24日收盘的时候,基金净值在1.928元上下。 但基金交易价格,在3.116元,溢价率高达60%。 假设有投资者,场内以3.1元买入这个 ...
大盘还会上4000点吗?
银行螺丝钉· 2025-12-25 14:01
文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 指数点数是长期上涨的。 指数=估值*盈利。 短期里,主要是估值涨涨跌跌。 时间拉长后,盈利长期上涨,会推动指数长期上涨。 2025年10月底,A股上证指数一度突破4000点。当时有人问,还会低于4000点么? 之后大盘回调震荡,到12月下旬在3900点上下。也有朋友问,未来还会不会再站上4000点? 其实,两个回答都是肯定的。 大盘指数会在4000点,上上下下几十次。 最终会站稳4000点,之后在5000、6000点···重复类似的过程。 上证指数只包含上交所股票 我们常说的大盘站上3000点、4000点,指的其实是上证指数。 上证指数主要是上海交易所的股票,没有深交所和创业板的股票。 像2025年三季度创业板大幅上涨,上证指数就比较吃亏。 A股规模最大的指数基金,例如沪深300、中证500,都是同时投资沪深两市股票的。 不过只看上证指数的话,也可以有一些定性的分析。 指数长期向上,大盘还会突破4000点 上证指数,是从上世纪90年代初,100点开始起步的。 到2025年12月,上证指数在3900点上下的位置。 市场长期上涨,是指数基金收益的根本来源 市场短期的涨涨跌跌 ...
每日钉一下(为什么说波动是把双刃剑?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-12-25 14:01
Group 1 - The article discusses the lesser-known concept of bond index funds compared to stock index funds and offers a free course on how to invest in bond index funds [2] - It emphasizes the importance of understanding investment methods for bond index funds and provides additional resources like course notes and mind maps for efficient learning [2] Group 2 - The article explains that volatility can be a double-edged sword for investors, where experienced investors can benefit from high volatility by buying at extreme lows and selling at extreme highs [6] - It uses the example of Moutai, which had a price-to-earnings ratio below ten during its lowest valuation ten years ago, and highlights the potential for significant gains during bull markets [6] - Conversely, inexperienced investors may suffer greater losses during high volatility, as they tend to buy at market peaks and panic sell during downturns [6][7]
[12月25日]指数估值数据(大盘继续上涨;红利指数涨的少,要换吗;红利指数估值表更新;免费领「财富达人」奖章)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-12-25 14:01
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and characteristics of dividend index funds, highlighting their relatively stable growth and lower volatility compared to growth-oriented investments. It emphasizes the importance of a long-term investment strategy focused on undervalued assets and dividend accumulation. Group 1: Market Performance - The overall market showed a slight increase, closing at 4.1 stars [1] - Large-cap stocks like the CSI 300 experienced minor gains, while small-cap stocks saw more significant increases [2] - Dividend and value styles also saw slight increases [3] Group 2: Dividend Index Fund Performance - The representative A-share dividend index fund has risen approximately 2% since the beginning of the year, while the Hong Kong dividend low-volatility index fund has increased around 20% [11] - The Shanghai-Hong Kong-Shenzhen dividend low-volatility index fund is positioned between the two markets, with an approximate increase of 12% [11] - This marks the fifth consecutive year of growth for dividend index funds [12] Group 3: Characteristics of Dividend Index Funds - Dividend index funds typically exhibit lower volatility, around 60-70% of the broader market [13] - In bull markets, these funds show less elasticity and more uniform growth compared to growth styles, which can experience dramatic fluctuations [14][15] - Historical performance shows that dividend index funds generally follow a slow bull market trend, with most years showing modest gains [18][19] Group 4: Investment Strategy - The optimal investment strategy for dividend index funds is to buy undervalued assets and hold them for dividend income [24] - The long-term performance of some dividend index funds is strong, but their scale remains small due to less appeal during bull markets [25][26] - Investors often lack the patience to hold funds for 3-5 years, contributing to the smaller scale of dividend index funds [31] Group 5: Valuation Insights - The article includes a valuation table for various dividend indices, providing insights into their earnings yield, price-to-earnings ratio, and dividend yield [32] - The valuation table is updated regularly for investor reference [33]
指数估值百分位,两种计算方法|投资小知识
银行螺丝钉· 2025-12-24 14:10
Group 1 - The article discusses two methods for calculating percentiles in valuation: time percentile and space percentile [3][4]. - Time percentile is based on the distribution of valuations over time, while space percentile assesses the current valuation's position between historical minimum and maximum valuations [4][5]. - Time percentile is more commonly used in financial terminals, indicating that most available data refers to this method [5].
[12月24日]指数估值数据(A股港股上涨,回到4.1星;A500规模大增,A系列指数投资价值如何?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-12-24 14:10
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance of the A-series indices in the Chinese stock market, highlighting their growth and investment strategies, particularly in the context of the upcoming Christmas season and market fluctuations. Group 1: Market Performance - The overall market has risen, returning to a rating of 4.1 stars by the end of the trading day [1] - All market caps (large, medium, and small) have seen increases, with small-cap stocks experiencing the most significant gains [2] - The Hong Kong stock market showed a slight increase during morning trading [3] Group 2: A-Series Indices - The A500 index fund has seen a significant increase in trading volume recently, indicating its rapid rise in popularity [7] - There are three main A-series indices: A50, A100, and A500, all of which focus on selecting leading stocks in various industries [8][9] - The A-series indices have quickly grown to a scale of over 2000-3000 billion, making them the largest category of strategy indices [16][17] Group 3: Investment Strategies - The A50 index primarily consists of large-cap stocks, while the A100 includes medium and large-cap stocks, and the A500 encompasses small, medium, and large-cap stocks [20] - The A-series indices have been undervalued for an extended period until the market began to rise in May, after which they returned to normal valuations [21][22] - The article suggests using A-series indices as a representation of growth style, paired with value style indices like dividend or free cash flow [29][30] Group 4: Index Fund Inclusion - The A-series indices have gained significant attention, with the A500 being a rare case where the index fund was launched before the index itself [24][25] - A-series index funds have been included in various fields, such as personal pension accounts, even when established funds were not included [27][28] Group 5: Investor Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of patience in investing, suggesting that it serves as a safety net against short-term market noise [36]