iosco WORLD INVESTOR MEEK 2025 免责声明 投资有风险，入市需谨慎。本内容不构成任何投资建议。投 资者不应以该等信息取代其独立判断或仅根据该等信息做出 决策。申万宏源对这些信息的准确性或完整性不作保证,亦 不对因使用该等信息而引发或可能引游躲掘豢酪狠紝Ձ書邸 ...

来源：申万宏源证券 2025年10月13日至15日，申万宏源证券首单主权政府人民币债券（熊猫债）——"沙迦酋长国 政府（由沙迦财政部代表）2025年度第一期人民币债券（债券通）"项目发行成功，本期债券发行 总规模20亿元，票面利率2.7%，全场倍数1.7倍，边际倍数10倍。 申万宏源证券作为联席主承销商、联席簿记管理人及投资人，协助发行人以最终较同期限国 开债收益率+94bps的价格完成发行，获得了沙迦财政部领导的高度认可。 本次债券是市场首单有券商作为主承销商参与的主权政府熊猫债。发行人是阿联酋第三大酋长国。近年来，中国同中东地区经贸往来日益密切，阿联酋自 2018年与中国建立全面战略合作伙伴关系，是首批加入共建"一带一路"的国家之一。申万宏源证券积极响应国家倡议，深化中阿金融合作；落实国家战略，服 务对外开放大局，助力共建 "一带一路" 高质量发展。 本次项目是 市场首单 有券商作为主承销商参与的主权政府熊猫债，促使申万宏源证券在该细分领域的影响力显著提升，在2025年Wind相关榜单排名跃居 前三，实现业务发展的重大跨越。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The current PE valuations (TTM) for the food and beverage and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sectors are below the 20th percentile of the past decade, indicating potential investment opportunities [1][8]. Valuation Levels - The current Buffett Indicator for A-shares stands at 85.99%, which is relatively high and above the safe zone [6][22]. - Major broad market indices have PE valuations (TTM) above the 20th percentile, with the following levels: - CSI 300: 85.47% - Northbound 50: 88.32% - SSE 50: 91.44% - SSE Composite: 95.68% - STAR Market 50: 98.07% - CSI A100: 99.51% [7][27]. Industry Valuation Levels - The PE valuations (TTM) for the food and beverage and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sectors are at 10.23% and 10.58% of their historical levels, respectively, suggesting they are worth monitoring [8][31]. - Other industries such as coal, steel, retail, electronics, computers, and real estate have PE valuations (TTM) at 80.98%, 84.16%, 86.58%, 91.52%, 95.80%, and 99.30% of their historical levels, indicating higher investment risks [8][31]. Market Overview - The total market comprises 2,288 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 617.61 billion yuan and a circulating market value of about 583.34 billion yuan, with an average PE ratio of 15.74 [18][25]. Industry-Specific Valuation Levels - The PE valuation levels for various industries are as follows: - Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery: 14.95 - Food and Beverage: 16.52 - Electronics: 20.31 - Real Estate: 70.11 [33][36]. Industry PB Valuation Levels - The PB valuation levels for key industries are: - Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery: 2.02 - Food and Beverage: 3.32 - Electronics: 1.92 [36][39].

投资有风险，入市需谨慎。本内容不构成任何投资建议。投 资者不应以该等信息取代其独立判断或仅根据该等信息做出 决策。申万宏源对这些信息的准确性或完整性不作保证，亦 不对因使用该等信息而引发或可能引游艇操作器报告圆膏Gr 申万宏源证券 星期二 10月 a Calin 21 今日申 ... 0 今日中签缴.2 o 今日上 .. 今日无新股新债 免责声明 ...

Core Viewpoint - The capital market in China is expected to experience a more optimistic outlook in 2026, with investor confidence translating into action despite external uncertainties [5][34]. Group 1: Market Outlook - The market outlook for the fourth quarter of 2025 is optimistic, suggesting that the performance will not be poor [7]. - The yield on equities is slightly higher than that of bonds, but this increase is still considered insufficient [8]. - A deep understanding of the long-term global competitive landscape will bolster investor confidence [10]. Group 2: Global Financial Dynamics - A downward trend in the US dollar is anticipated, which will likely lead to a systematic rise in global risk assets [13][15]. - The restructuring of the global monetary order highlights gold as a crucial asset allocation choice, even after significant price increases [18]. Group 3: Domestic Market Dynamics - The pricing power of leading domestic companies is increasing, reflecting a broader global restructuring of order [19]. - The focus should shift from quantity (GDP) to price factors, as improved pricing power among leading companies can enhance profitability [20][22]. Group 4: Investment Trends - High dividend yields remain attractive, with the current yield on the CSI 300 index still at the 90th percentile historically [31]. - The potential for revaluation exists for high ROE Chinese consumer brands, indicating long-term growth opportunities [32]. Group 5: Sector-Specific Insights - The artificial intelligence sector is expected to see significant developments in 2026, with many traditional industries likely to benefit from AI integration [29]. - The Hong Kong market is gaining attention due to its increased depth and inclusivity, making it a vital area for investment [28].

Core Viewpoint - Shenwan Hongyuan is committed to serving the financial sector and contributing to the construction of a financial powerhouse, aligning with national policies and focusing on innovation and excellence [1]. Group 1: Service to Technology Finance - Shenwan Hongyuan launched the first technology innovation fund in Xinjiang, with an initial scale of 500 million yuan, aimed at supporting the growth of technology enterprises in the region [4]. - The company assisted TCL Technology Group in completing a major asset acquisition project with a total transaction value of 11.562 billion yuan, marking the largest equity purchase in the electronics sector since 2021 [5]. - In Q3, Shenwan Hongyuan helped various companies issue a total of 12.5 billion yuan in technology innovation bonds, including 6 billion yuan for the National Oil and Gas Pipeline Group [7]. - The company supported Tianyue Advanced Technology in successfully listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising approximately 2.044 billion HKD [8]. Group 2: Service to Green Finance - Shenwan Hongyuan acted as the lead underwriter for Hebei Bank's successful issuance of 5 billion yuan in green financial bonds, with a 3-year term and a low coupon rate of 1.83% [10]. - The company facilitated the issuance of the first green technology innovation REITs in the market, with a scale of 1.406 billion yuan, marking a significant milestone in the steel industry [11]. Group 3: Service to Digital Finance - Shenwan Hongyuan assisted Health 160 in its successful listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising 400 million HKD, focusing on digital healthcare services [13]. Group 4: Service to External Opening - Shenwan Hongyuan participated in the 25th China International Investment Trade Fair, showcasing its commitment to the financial powerhouse strategy and internationalization efforts [16]. Group 5: Service to Regional Finance - The company established a listing service station in Xuhui District to provide tailored services for technology enterprises seeking to go public [19]. - Shenwan Hongyuan collaborated with China Gezhouba Group to issue 3 billion yuan in technology innovation bonds to support the western development strategy [20]. - The company invested 492 million yuan in a city renewal project in Shunyi District, Beijing, aimed at transforming the area into a new commercial landmark [22].

Core Viewpoint - The global wealth management market is undergoing significant changes, with a shift towards diversified asset allocation and increased demand for innovative financial products to meet evolving investor needs [4][6][8]. Group 1: Market Trends - Major financial institutions are increasing their focus on wealth and asset management, with some international investment banks deriving over 50% of their revenue from these sectors [4]. - Chinese household wealth has seen exponential growth over the past two decades, with investable assets exceeding 300 trillion RMB, positioning China as the second-largest high-net-worth population globally [4]. - The asset allocation structure of Chinese households is transitioning from a heavy reliance on real estate to a more diversified approach, with equities and funds now representing approximately 15% of financial assets [4]. Group 2: Investment Product Supply - The current financial product offerings do not adequately meet the diverse investment needs of residents, particularly in innovative areas such as green finance, cross-border ETFs, and derivatives [6]. - There is a growing demand for stable investment products, but existing offerings primarily rely on fixed-income assets, lacking the integration of commodities, alternative assets, and quantitative strategies [6][10]. - The cross-border investment channels, while improved, still fall short in terms of convenience and coverage, with only 41 mutual funds available for public sale in mainland China as of September 2025, totaling around 240 billion RMB [6]. Group 3: Wealth Management Service Layering - There is a notable deficiency in the supply of inclusive investment products for ordinary investors, with wealth management institutions exploring offerings for high-net-worth individuals but lacking a mature tiered service system [7][12]. - The wealth management market is becoming increasingly digital and personalized, necessitating the development of innovative products that resonate with younger investors' values and preferences [12][14]. Group 4: Recommendations for Improvement - To enhance the financial market's ability to serve wealth management needs, there is a call to accelerate the diversification of directly investable assets and product types, particularly in ETFs and green financial products [9]. - Expanding product strategies to create a comprehensive product system that covers all asset classes and strategies is essential, including the development of index futures and options markets [10]. - Strengthening cross-border product offerings and mechanisms is crucial to meet the growing demand for global asset allocation among residents [11]. Group 5: Future Directions - The company aims to collaborate with various asset management institutions to enhance product interconnectivity and service quality, focusing on areas like pension finance and inclusive finance [15]. - Emphasizing a diverse product range that caters to different risk preferences and market views will be key to improving investor experience and satisfaction [15].

Group 1 - The domestic macroeconomic data and the third-quarter reports of listed companies are being disclosed, leading to an increase in market wait-and-see sentiment [1] - The National Bureau of Statistics is gradually releasing macroeconomic data for September and the third quarter, indicating that the economy remains generally stable [1] - The third-quarter reports from listed companies will provide more information about the real economy, contributing to the cautious attitude of investors [1] Group 2 - The two markets opened high but experienced fluctuations, with trading volume continuing to shrink [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index faced resistance from the 5-day moving average, closing above the 30-day moving average [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index also opened high but fell back, with trading volume showing a continuous decline [1] Group 3 - The market has entered a horizontal consolidation phase since the end of August, with resistance above and support below [1] - The adjustment low points remain above the market highs of 2021, indicating that previous resistance levels have become significant support [1] - After the holiday, the market attempted to break upward but fell back due to negative information, suggesting that further time is needed for digestion and consolidation [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the issuance and management of local government bonds in China, highlighting a limit of 500 billion yuan for the remaining balance and the expectation of continued issuance in the fourth quarter [2] Group 1: Local Government Bond Issuance - A total of 500 billion yuan has been set as the limit for the remaining balance of local government bonds [2] - The fourth quarter is anticipated to see an increase in local government bond issuance, potentially leading to a higher volume compared to previous quarters [2] Group 2: Market Implications - The increase in local government bond issuance may have implications for liquidity in the market, affecting interest rates and investment strategies [2] - Investors should monitor the trends in local government bond issuance as it may signal broader economic conditions and fiscal policies [2]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced significant fluctuations this week, with technology stocks undergoing corrections and some funds flowing back into consumer and dividend sectors [7] - The market opened sharply lower due to escalating Sino-U.S. trade tensions but stabilized later, driven by sectors such as self-sufficiency, rare earth permanent magnets, and banking [8] - The AI industry chain showed signs of stabilization in the latter half of the week, influenced by optimistic expectations for the industry's future from the 2025 OCP Global Summit, although individual stock performances varied [8][10] Sector Performance - The solid-state battery and nuclear fusion sectors saw rebounds this week, indicating a recovery in new energy technology stocks [8] - The robotics sector was notably active, with rumors of a major order for humanoid robots from a core supplier in Tesla, leading to a significant rise in the sector despite subsequent clarifications from listed companies [8] - The banking sector performed well, with Agricultural Bank's stock price returning to historical highs near early September levels [9] Investment Outlook - Investors are advised to monitor the progress of Sino-U.S. trade negotiations, as the index has accumulated a certain level of gains since the beginning of the year [10] - The upcoming third-quarter report disclosures at the end of October are expected to influence market performance, with the banking sector likely to lead the Shanghai Composite Index in the short term [10] - In the medium term, sectors such as AI, new energy, and innovative pharmaceuticals are anticipated to remain the main themes for future market trends [10]