Core Viewpoint - In 2025, the global liquidity environment significantly improved, with the Federal Reserve initiating a substantial interest rate cut cycle, leading to a 9.41% decline in the US dollar index, which provided a favorable external environment for the rise in precious metal prices. China's steady growth policies continued to exert influence, with marginal recovery in manufacturing and infrastructure demand, resulting in a notable improvement in the demand for non-ferrous metals and related new energy products. Under the resonance of loose liquidity and risk aversion, the precious metals sector performed exceptionally well, with the Wind Precious Metals Index rising by 69.7%, significantly outperforming major global equity markets. Overall, the asset trends in 2025 exhibited a typical characteristic of "precious metals leading, equity assets diverging, and a weaker dollar" [1]. Group 1: Asset Performance - The Wind Precious Metals Index increased by 69.7% in 2025, outperforming the major equity markets [2] - The total A-share market rose by 27.65%, while the S&P 500 index increased by 16.39% [2] - The US dollar index fell by 9.41%, marking a significant shift in the currency landscape [2] Group 2: Futures and Options Market - In 2025, 18 new futures and options products were launched, with 9 in each category, reflecting a focus on non-ferrous metals, energy chemicals, and precious metals [4][5] - The total funds in the domestic futures market reached 497.75 billion yuan by the end of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 52.61%, reversing the previous two years of outflows [9] - The trading volume in the futures market reached a historical high of 76.625 trillion yuan, up 23.74% year-on-year [12] Group 3: Trading Company Rankings - Guotai Junan ranked first in trading volume with 1.631 billion contracts, a 44.74% increase year-on-year [17][18] - CITIC Futures ranked second with 1.486 billion contracts, showing a 14.02% increase [18] - The top ten trading companies accounted for approximately 57.83% of the total delivery volume in the futures market [19] Group 4: Precious Metals Market Dynamics - Silver futures saw a remarkable increase of 124.62% in 2025, with CITIC Futures earning over 4.9 billion yuan in profits from silver trading [22][23] - The precious metals sector experienced a significant inflow of 952.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 138.45% [30] - The trading volume of precious metals reached 145.11 trillion yuan, marking a 76.63% increase year-on-year [27] Group 5: Commodity Price Trends - Precious metals continued to rise for the fourth consecutive year, while energy and chemical sectors faced declines, with crude oil prices dropping by 10.98% [47] - The delivery amount for gold reached 51.741 billion yuan, a 291.50% increase year-on-year [49][50] - The market saw a divergence in performance, with precious metals leading the commodity market while energy indices fell by over 20% [33]

Group 1: Core Insights - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang announced that the robotics field has entered a "ChatGPT moment" and introduced a series of open-source "physical AI" models [2] - The new AI chips have achieved "full-scale production" with a fivefold increase in computing power compared to the previous generation, specifically designed for AI applications like chatbots [6] - Nvidia's new platform, Vera Rubin, is set to launch in late 2026 and is expected to have a profound impact on the future of AI due to the industry's heavy reliance on Nvidia's technology [10] Group 2: Robotics and AI Models - Huang showcased two robots, BDX and GR00T, demonstrating how they learn and interact with their environment [4] - The Nvidia Cosmos Transfer 2.5 and Cosmos Predict 2.5 models can generate realistic synthetic data for evaluating robot performance in a safe virtual environment [4] - The Nvidia Isaac GR00T N1.6 model allows for precise control of humanoid robots using visual language action capabilities [4] Group 3: AI Chip Advancements - The new AI chip's performance leap is attributed to the proprietary data format developed by Nvidia, which allows for significant performance improvements with only a 60% increase in transistor count [8] - The chip includes a "context memory storage" layer to enhance response times in conversational AI applications [8] - Nvidia has partnered with Groq to strengthen its position in the AI inference market [8] Group 4: Autonomous Driving Initiatives - Nvidia plans to initiate robotaxi trials with partners as early as 2027, showcasing its ambition in the autonomous driving sector [14] - The company has developed a decision-making software named Alpamayo for autonomous vehicles, which records decision processes for engineers to review [12] - Nvidia's Drive AGX Thor onboard computer is priced around $3,500 and is designed to help automakers save development time and accelerate feature deployment [15]

Open Market Operations - The central bank announced a 135 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a fixed rate of 1.40% on January 5, with a total bid and awarded amount of 135 billion yuan. On the same day, 482.3 billion yuan of reverse repos matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 468.8 billion yuan [1]. Funding Conditions - The interbank market remains generally loose, with the D R001 weighted average interest rate rising over 2 basis points to 1.26%. Overnight quotes in the anonymous click (X-repo) system are around 1.25%, with supply exceeding 100 billion yuan. Non-bank institutions are financing overnight with credit bonds at rates of 1.42%-1.43%. Seasonal patterns are expected to keep overnight rates low, but tax periods and credit issuance may soon exert tightening pressure. The latest overnight financing rate in the U.S. is 3.87% [3]. Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction for one-year interbank certificates of deposit among national and major joint-stock banks is around 1.62%, showing a slight decline from the previous day [7]. Government Bond Futures - The closing prices for government bond futures show a 0.05% drop in the 30-year main contract, a 0.03% increase in the 10-year main contract, and a 0.02% drop in the 5-year main contract. The 2-year main contract also fell by 0.03% [12]. Key News - The National Development and Reform Commission has arranged over 100 billion yuan in funding for the Yangtze River protection project. The Ministry of Commerce and eight other departments released a notice to promote green consumption through various measures, including increasing the supply of green agricultural products and encouraging the purchase of certified green products [13]. - The issuance of local government bonds is set to begin in 2026, with Shandong Province leading by issuing 72.381 billion yuan [13]. - The interbank trading association has issued a notice to improve the preservation of bond trading records, highlighting issues with internal controls and compliance among some institutions [13]. Global Macro - The Bank of Japan's Governor, Kazuo Ueda, indicated that if wages, growth, and inflation continue to meet expectations, the central bank will proceed with interest rate hikes. The Japanese economy remains resilient, with moderate increases in wages and prices anticipated [15]. - The Bank of Thailand's monetary policy committee is closely monitoring economic and financial risks, considering further easing of monetary policy to support economic recovery, with an expected growth rate of 2.2% for Thailand in 2025 [15].

Market Overview - In 2025, the Hong Kong stock market experienced a strong recovery, with the Hang Seng Composite Index rising by 30.98% [2] - The market exhibited a "dual-driven" characteristic, with the Hang Seng Financial Index leading with a 39.26% increase, while the Hang Seng Technology Index and Sustainable Development Enterprises Index rose by 23.45% and 31.36% respectively [2] - The performance of the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect Small and Medium-sized Enterprises Index (+30.93%) activated financing channels for small and medium-sized enterprises, indicating a significant structural development in the market [2] Equity Financing Trends - The total amount of equity financing in the Hong Kong stock market reached HKD 612.2 billion in 2025, a 250.91% increase from HKD 174.5 billion in the previous year [5][8] - Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) raised HKD 285.8 billion, up 224.24% from HKD 88.1 billion the previous year [22] - Placement financing saw a remarkable increase, raising HKD 289.6 billion, a 438.66% rise compared to the previous year [5] - The amount raised through rights issues decreased to HKD 7.6 billion, down 43.33% from the previous year [5] Financing Method Distribution - In 2025, the distribution of financing methods showed that IPOs accounted for 46.69% of total fundraising, while placements made up 47.31% [12] - Other methods included consideration issuance at 4.40%, rights issues at 1.23%, and public offerings at 0.37% [12] Industry Distribution of Financing - The top three industries for fundraising were Automotive and Parts (HKD 95 billion), Hardware Equipment (HKD 80.9 billion), and Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology (HKD 80.8 billion) [13] - In terms of the number of financing events, the Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology sector led with 68 events, followed by Software Services with 66, and Non-bank Financials with 56 [15] IPO Market Insights - A total of 117 companies went public in 2025, a 67.14% increase from 70 in the previous year [18] - The highest fundraising industry for IPOs was Electrical Equipment, raising HKD 44.6 billion, followed by Non-ferrous Metals at HKD 42.8 billion [28] - The top three IPOs by fundraising amount were CATL (HKD 41.006 billion), Zijin Mining International (HKD 28.732 billion), and SANY Heavy Industry (HKD 15.349 billion) [35] Refinancing Market Insights - The total amount raised through refinancing in 2025 was HKD 326.4 billion, a 278.15% increase from HKD 86.3 billion the previous year [40] - The Automotive and Parts sector led refinancing with HKD 66.2 billion, primarily from BYD's placement of HKD 43.5 billion [44] - The number of refinancing projects increased to 574, up 43.50% from 400 the previous year [40] Underwriting and Advisory Rankings - CICC topped the IPO underwriting scale with HKD 51.652 billion, followed by CITIC Securities (HK) at HKD 46.029 billion [54] - Goldman Sachs led the refinancing underwriting scale with HKD 32.244 billion, followed by CICC at HKD 24.967 billion [70]

Group 1 - Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix plan to increase server memory prices by up to 70% in Q1 due to surging AI demand affecting global supply [2] - TSMC's target price raised by 35% by Goldman Sachs, anticipating robust growth driven by AI chip demand and 2nm process mass production [5] - Longsys Technology plans to raise 29.5 billion for its IPO, aiming to break the monopoly of Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron in the memory chip market [5] - Huayou Cobalt expects a net profit of approximately 5.85 billion to 6.45 billion in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 40.8% to 55.24% due to rising cobalt and nickel prices [5] Group 2 - Microsoft announced the acquisition of data engineering company Osmos to accelerate the development of its Fabric platform [8] - Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory is projected to deliver 851,000 vehicles in 2025, contributing over 50% of global deliveries [8] - OpenAI's investment in 1X Technologies has developed a humanoid robot Neo, priced at $20,000, set for delivery to U.S. consumers in 2026 [9] Group 3 - Mitsubishi Corporation repurchased 273 million shares for 794.31 billion yen, marking a significant buyback record [11] - Tata Motors faced production disruptions due to a cybersecurity incident affecting Jaguar Land Rover's sales [11] - Novo Nordisk launched the world's first oral GLP-1 medication for adult weight loss in the U.S., with a monthly cost between $149 and $299 [13]

Group 1 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) held a meeting to advance the comprehensive punishment and prevention system for financial fraud in the capital market, emphasizing the need for a problem-oriented and systematic approach to enhance administrative, criminal, and civil coordination [1] - On the first trading day of 2026, the A-share market experienced a "red opening," with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 1.38% to 4023.42 points, marking a 12-day consecutive increase, the longest since March 1992 [1] - The market saw a significant increase in trading volume, with a total turnover of 2.57 trillion yuan, the highest in nearly two months, and nearly 4200 stocks rose, driven by sectors such as brain-computer interface, innovative drugs, AI applications, and commercial aerospace [1] Group 2 - The Chinese government is promoting green consumption through a joint initiative involving nine departments, which includes 20 specific measures to support the purchase of green products, such as electric vehicles and certified green appliances [5] - The Jiangsu province in Nanjing has released a new talent policy offering living subsidies for new graduates, with amounts of 10,000 yuan for bachelor's degree holders, 30,000 yuan for master's, and 100,000 yuan for doctoral graduates, along with housing subsidies [6] - The China Securities Association announced the first batch of IPO inspections for 2026, with 11 companies selected, including Blue Arrow Aerospace and Guangdong Chip, with the majority being from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [8] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs released a report predicting that China's actual GDP growth rate in 2026 will exceed market consensus, recommending an overweight position in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, with expectations of a 15% to 20% annual increase in the stock market for 2026 and 2027 [7] - The China Tourism Research Institute reported that ice and snow tourism in China is entering a prosperous phase, with an expected 360 million participants and 450 billion yuan in revenue during the 2025-2026 winter season [10] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has implemented new performance assessment guidelines for pension funds, focusing on long-term goals and contract periods rather than annual rankings [8]

Market Overview - On the first trading day of 2026, the A-share market opened high and continued to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index returning to 4000 points after 34 trading days, showing an increase of over 1% [2] - The Shanghai Composite Index reached 4009.09, up by 40.25 points, or 1.01% [3] Sector Performance - The insurance sector led the gains with an increase of over 5%, while healthcare, computer hardware, and semiconductors also saw significant increases of over 3% [5] - The insurance index rose by 5.22%, healthcare by 4.31%, and computer hardware by 3.67% [6] Individual Stocks - Despite the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 4000 points since November 17, 2025, there were still 1826 stocks that rose, with 28 stocks increasing by over 100% and 59 stocks rising between 50% and 100% [6] Investment Outlook - Huatai Securities suggests that the spring market trend is likely to continue, with positive impacts from overseas Chinese stocks and improving PMI data, indicating a favorable micro liquidity environment and supportive policies [8] - According to Hualong Securities, the market is expected to maintain a "slow bull" trend, with overall company performance anticipated to improve due to ongoing supportive fiscal and monetary policies [9] - The global economy is expected to remain resilient despite rising trade protectionism, with external trade maintaining strong resilience [10] - Market valuations are considered reasonable, and with continuous improvement in earnings, there is potential for valuation expansion [11]

Market News - CPI and PPI data will be released on January 9, 2026, with an expected CPI year-on-year growth of 0.7% and a PPI year-on-year decline of 1.9% [3] - The 2026 childcare subsidy application will open on January 5, 2026, with over 24 million people having received subsidies in 2025, achieving an 80% issuance rate [4] - The first adjustment of refined oil prices in 2026 will occur on January 6, with gasoline and diesel prices decreasing by 170 yuan and 165 yuan per ton, respectively [5] - The U.S. non-farm payroll data will be released on January 6, with unemployment rate predictions ranging from 4.5% to 4.7% [6] Sector Events - The 2026 International Consumer Electronics Show (CES) will commence on January 6, featuring major tech companies and new exhibitors from China, including Lenovo and Hisense [8] - Honor Power2 will be officially launched on January 5, featuring a 10000mAh battery and MediaTek Dimensity 8500Elite chip, achieving a benchmark score of over 2.4 million [9] Company News - Zhongwei Company plans to acquire 64.69% of Hangzhou Zhongwei's equity through a combination of stock issuance and cash payment, with the company specializing in CMP equipment [11] - Meike Home intends to acquire 100% of Wanda's equity to expand into the high-speed interconnect field, with stock resuming trading on January 5, 2026 [12] - ST Asia Pacific has completed its restructuring, with a reference price of 7.05 yuan per share for its stock resumption on January 5, 2026 [13] - Jiaheng Homecare's controlling shareholder will change to Hangzhou Pinpianyi, with a share transfer price of 33.21 yuan per share [15] Lock-up Expiration - A total of 36 stocks will have their lock-up periods expire from January 5 to January 9, 2026, with a total market value exceeding 160 billion yuan [17] - Notable expirations include Fenghuo Electronics with 11,424.9 million shares valued at 139.612 million yuan and Construction Industry with 62,994.3 million shares valued at 1.689 billion yuan [18] New Stock Calendar - Two new stocks will be issued from January 5 to January 9, 2026, including Zhixin Co. on the Shanghai Stock Exchange and Kema Materials on the Beijing Stock Exchange [21] Institutional Outlook - Institutions expect the market to transition from a "structural bull" to an "index bull" in 2026, with a focus on AI applications, humanoid robot mass production, and mergers and acquisitions [24] - Zhongtai Securities emphasizes the potential in AI application industries, predicting a positive outlook for the computer sector [25] - Huachuang Securities anticipates accelerated development of domestic AI computing chips due to restrictions on overseas chips [26] - Goldman Sachs notes that overseas investments are increasingly favoring Chinese assets, predicting a 13% average price increase in global stocks in 2026 [29]

Group 1: Open Market Operations - The central bank conducted a 365 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation on January 4, with a fixed interest rate of 1.40%, and the full bid amount was accepted [1] - On the same day, 4,701 billion yuan in reverse repos matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 4,336 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Funding Conditions - The scale of the central bank's reverse repurchase operations significantly decreased on the first trading day of 2026, indicating a relaxed interbank market liquidity [3] - After the year-end, the weighted average rate for overnight repos dropped by over 8 basis points to around 1.25% [3] - The latest overnight financing rate in the U.S. is reported at 3.87% [3] Group 3: Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction for one-year interbank certificates of deposit in the secondary market is around 1.625% [7] Group 4: Key News and Information - The State Council's report on urban-rural integration development suggests a significant reduction or elimination of household registration restrictions in most Chinese cities [13] - The central bank is set to have 13,236 billion yuan in reverse repos maturing this week, with specific amounts maturing from Monday to Wednesday [13] Group 5: Global Macro - The U.S. has reportedly captured Venezuelan President Maduro, leading to international condemnation and calls for adherence to international law [15] Group 6: Bond Market Events - Vanke will hold a bondholder meeting on January 16, 2026, to discuss adjustments to the repayment arrangements [17] - E-House Holdings disclosed progress on offshore debt restructuring, aiming for completion by 2026 [17] - The Trading Association issued a severe warning to Yunnan Trust for facilitating unauthorized trading in the interbank bond market [17]

Group 1 - TSMC has received an annual license from the US government to export chip manufacturing equipment to its factory in Nanjing, ensuring uninterrupted operations and product delivery. The 2nm process mass production plan is on schedule, with risk trial production expected to start in 2027 [2] - Guizhou Moutai has spent 120 million yuan to repurchase approximately 87,100 shares of its stock. Additionally, the maximum purchase limit for its Feitian 53% vol 500ml Moutai liquor has been adjusted from 12 bottles to 6 bottles per person per day from January 4 until before the Spring Festival [2] - Xiaomi's CEO Lei Jun revealed that the company aims to deliver over 410,000 vehicles in 2025 and 550,000 in 2026, addressing concerns about the materials used in their vehicles and refuting rumors about the company's marketing practices [3] Group 2 - Baidu's AI chip subsidiary Kunlun has officially submitted its main board listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with its valuation increasing from approximately 13 billion yuan in 2021 to 21 billion yuan by July 2025 [5] - BYD's pure electric vehicle sales are projected to reach 2.2567 million units by 2025, surpassing Tesla's expected delivery of 1.636 million units, marking the first time BYD has outperformed Tesla in annual sales [5] - SK Hynix's target price has been raised to 840,000 KRW by Morgan Stanley, indicating a significant improvement in the company's profitability trajectory [11]