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陆家嘴财经早餐2025年12月10日星期三
Wind万得· 2025-12-09 22:40
1、据21世纪经济报道, 闻泰科技已正式向荷兰方面指定的安世半导体股权托管人迪里克(Guido Dirick)等人发出函件,提议就安世半导体相关争议开 展建设性会谈, 以期通过对话弥合分歧、寻求符合各方利益的长期解决方案。会谈的核心议题,预计将围绕恢复闻泰科技对安世半导体的合法控制权与 完整股东权益展开。 1、 国务院总理李强同主要国际经济组织负责人举行"1+10"对话会。李强强调,今年中国经济顶压前行,取得新的发展成绩,我们有信心有能力完成全年 经济社会发展目标任务。 中国经济将保持稳健向好势头,经济总量将再上新台阶,产业升级将创造新的发展空间,超大规模市场需求将加快释放。 2、 商务部部长王文涛在京会见国际货币基金组织总裁格奥尔基耶娃。 王文涛强调,中方希望国际货币基金组织就有关国际经贸热点问题开展客观研究, 愿加强双方政策沟通,携手应对挑战,为全球经济持续稳定发展贡献力量。 3、 美国总统特朗普称将批准向中国出售英伟达H200人工智能芯片,外交部发言人郭嘉昆回应表示,中方一贯主张,中美通过合作实现互利共赢。 4、据国防部发布,根据中俄两军年度合作计划, 12月9日,双方在东海、太平洋西部空域组织实施第1 ...
每日债市速递 | 国债作为保证金业务正式向境外投资者开放
Wind万得· 2025-12-09 22:40
1. 公开市场操作 央行 公告称, 12 月 9 日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了 1173 亿元 7 天期逆回购操作,操作利率 1.40% ,投标量 1173 亿元,中标量 1173 亿元。 Wind 数据显示,当日 1563 亿元 逆回购到期 ,据此计算,单日净回笼 390 亿元。 (*数据来源:Wind-央行动态PBOC) 2. 资金面 银行间市场资金面平稳向宽, D R001 加权平均利率小降并重返 1.3% 下方。匿名点击( X-repo )系统上,隔夜报价在 1.28% 仍有充足供给。非银机构质 押信用债融入隔夜资金报价基本持稳在 1.45%-1.46% 区间。 海外方面,最新美国隔夜融资担保利率为 3.93% 。 (IMM) // 债市综述 // (*数据来源:Wind-国际货币资金情绪指数、资金综合屏) 3. 同业存单 全国和主要股份制银行一年期同业存单最新成交在 1.66% 位置,较上日持平。 (*数据来源:Wind-同业存单-发行结果) 4. 银行间主要利率债收益率 | | 1 V | | 2Y | | 34 | | 5Y | | 74 | | 10Y | | 超长债 | | | --- ...
每日债市速递 | 重磅会议要求实施更加积极有为的宏观政策
Wind万得· 2025-12-08 23:12
1. 公开市场操作 央行 公告称, 12 月 8 日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了 1223 亿元 7 天期逆回购操作,操作利率 1.40% ,投标量 1223 亿元,中标量 1223 亿元。 Wind 数据显示,当日 1076 亿元 逆回购到期 ,据此计算,单日净投放 147 亿元。 (*数据来源:Wind-央行动态PBOC) 2. 资金面 银行间市场资金面整体稳定, D R001 加权平均利率微升并仍停留在 1.3% 低位。匿名点击( X-repo )系统上,隔夜报价维持在 1.28% ,供给较为充足。 非银机构以信用债为抵押融入隔夜资金,报价小降至 1.45%-1.47% 区间。交易员称, 央行 在公开市场方向转换灵活,加上扰动因素不多,短期内流动性 料无大碍。 海外方面,最新美国隔夜融资担保利率为 3.92% 。 (IMM) // 债市综述 // 3. 同业存单 (*数据来源:Wind-国际货币资金情绪指数、资金综合屏) 全国和主要股份制银行一年期同业存单最新成交在 1.66% 位置,较上日持平。 4. 银行间主要利率债收益率 (*数据来源:Wind-同业存单-发行结果) 5. 近期城投债(AAA)各 ...
全球大公司要闻 | 特斯拉人形机器人公开演示时失衡倒地引发稳定性关注
Wind万得· 2025-12-08 23:12
// 热点头条 // 1. 特斯拉:人形机器人在公开演示中完成丝滑跑步动作后突发失衡倒地,姿势较为怪异,引发市场对其稳定性的关注。与此同时,摩根士丹利将特斯拉评 级从"增持"下调至"持股观望",认为当前估值已充分反映增长预期。 2. 苹果:Apple Store官方旗舰店在电商平台启动年末降价促销,iPhone 17 Pro及iPhone 17 Pro Max机型降价300元,调价后起售价分别为8699元和9699元。 山西、上海、四川等部分地区消费者还可叠加享受国家补贴政策,至高可再省500元。 3. 奈飞:拟收购华纳兄弟探索公司的计划遭遇阻力,美国总统特朗普公开表示将介入此项交易,称收购完成后奈飞市场份额过大可能形成垄断。此外,派 拉蒙向华纳兄弟发起收购要约,提出每股30美元的全现金方案,相较奈飞报价可为股东多带来180亿美元现金收益。 4. 博通:据知情人士透露,微软正与其洽谈合作设计未来定制芯片,若合作达成,微软将从当前供应商Marvell转向博通。该合作有望强化博通在AI芯片 领域的布局,同时为微软AI基础设施提供新的硬件支持。 5. OpenAI:发布《企业AI现状报告》显示,ChatGPT周活跃 ...
12月9日热门路演速递 | 铜铝领跑、黄金破圈、债市新逻辑
Wind万得· 2025-12-08 23:12
01 金属专场 | 国信期货2026年年度策略报告会 14:00-17:00 核心看点: 商品市场在理性供需下面临新平衡,成本韧性构筑安全边际。有色金属板块中,铜铝凭借战略价值 成为明确的引领性机遇,增长动能依然强劲。 嘉宾: 李文婧丨国信期货研究所主管 邵荟憧丨国信期货黑色金属分析师 马钰丨国信期货黑色金属分析师 张嘉艺丨国信期货有色金属分析师 扫码预约 嘉宾: 王开丨国信证券策略首席分析师 扫码预约 03 开源陈曦:2026年债市展望:债券收益率的上行空间 16:00-17:00 02 国信策略王开:2026年大类资产配置展望 15:00-16:00 核心看点: 资产配置范式革新,全球宏观新常态下,传统安全资产的根基正在动摇。当作为安全垫的全球债券 本身面临信用风险和波动加剧时,风险对冲功能大打折扣,黄金和海外股市成为破圈所在。全球视 野、本土智慧一起探寻2026资产配置脉搏。 核心看点: Tims中国(THCH.CO)将重点解读三季度营收增速、利润率及成本控制表现,并详细介绍近期可 转债发行与债务结构优化对资本灵活性及财务费用的影响。市场关注公司如何通过本轮调整强化现 金流,支撑门店扩张与数字化战略,同 ...
陆家嘴财经早餐2025年12月9日星期二
Wind万得· 2025-12-08 23:12
Group 1 - The Central Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China emphasizes the need for a stable yet progressive economic approach in 2026, focusing on quality improvement and efficiency enhancement, with a strong domestic market and innovation-driven growth [2] - China's total import and export value for the first 11 months of 2025 reached 41.21 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, with exports growing by 6.2% and imports by 0.2% [3] - The Ministry of Finance is expected to continue an expansionary fiscal policy in 2026, with a fiscal deficit rate not lower than 4%, and new government debt projected to exceed approximately 12 trillion yuan [4] Group 2 - The A-share market saw significant gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.54% and the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.39%, indicating a strong market sentiment [5] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index fell by 1.23%, with notable declines in certain sectors, while the lithium battery sector showed strong performance [5] - The domestic retail price of refined oil has decreased for two consecutive times, with a reduction of 55 yuan per ton effective from December 8 [8] Group 3 - The global storage market is expected to experience a "triple super cycle," with demand for DRAM, NAND, and HBM projected to drive market growth by 98% to $445 billion by 2026 [9] - Binance has received operational licensing from the Abu Dhabi International Financial Centre, marking a significant regulatory milestone for cryptocurrency exchanges [10] - Paramount has made a hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros valued at $1.084 trillion, surpassing Netflix's previous offer [11]
1.4 万亿科创债都流向哪里了?
Wind万得· 2025-12-08 00:30
"真科技、真创新" 发生在哪里? 「科技创新债全景透视」Agent,用真实的资金流向为你揭秘。 区域格局:北京领跑,多地结构性跃升 前 20 大发行区域高度集中于经济强区与科创资源密集区。 北京一骑绝尘达5,724.06 亿元,上海、深圳稳居高能级城市梯队,保定、济南、济宁等地凭借 "专精特新" 实现快速上升。 整体呈现 "核心城市带动、次级城市跟进、区域协同发力" 的结构。 | | | 上海市 1167.7亿 | 成都 260.725 | 武汉 517.79亿 | | 广州 414.1亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 北京市 | 5684.06亿 | 深圳 833.83亿 | 天津市 362.06亿 | 长沙 267.0亿 | 苏州 266.3亿 | 西安 259.0亿 | | | | 保定 26.079 | 济南 238.0亿 | 济宁 | 園明 | 烟台 | | | | | 合肥 | 208.6/2 | 194.0亿 | 20.681 | | | | 杭州 | 217.58亿 | | | | | | | 644.28亿 | 南京 | 太原 ...
机构研究周报:政策定调预计更积极,人民币临近"破7"
Wind万得· 2025-12-07 22:59
Core Viewpoints - The article emphasizes the expectation of a robust economic start in 2026 driven by proactive macro policies and structural reforms as part of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1][5] - The appreciation of the RMB is anticipated to improve, nearing the "7" mark against the USD [1][19] Focused Commentary - Wu Qing highlights the importance of enhancing the inclusivity and adaptability of capital market systems during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on public fund reforms and aligning investor interests [3] - The article discusses the need for a binding mechanism for public funds to ensure investor profit and loss are core to assessments, promoting the development of equity funds and index investments [3] Equity Market - CITIC Securities predicts a more proactive policy direction in the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference, with a focus on consumption expansion, technological innovation, and real estate risk mitigation [5] - Huaxia Fund suggests that the "spring rally" may start earlier due to key meetings, improved macro liquidity, and easing of funding pressures, recommending a focus on AI, domestic demand recovery, and resource sectors [6] -招商证券 notes that December's market will be influenced by the Federal Reserve's meetings and domestic conferences, with a preference for large-cap stocks and blue-chip dividends [7] Industry Research - Galaxy Securities indicates that the power industry will see opportunities for capacity upgrades during the "14th Five-Year Plan," with a focus on stable profitability in thermal power and growth in nuclear power [12] - Harvest Fund expresses optimism for the energy storage sector, highlighting its transition to a growth phase driven by policy and technological advancements [13] - CITIC Construction Investment Securities sees significant growth potential in the low-altitude economy, predicting a market size exceeding one trillion by 2030 [14] Macro and Fixed Income - Huatai Securities anticipates a gradual appreciation of the RMB, with a forecast of 6.82 against the USD by the end of 2026, driven by strong export growth and seasonal currency settlement peaks [19] - Bosera Fund notes a cautious sentiment in the bond market, with a need for clearer signals of policy easing to boost demand [20] - Guotai Fund believes that the bond market may see a recovery opportunity following recent volatility, suggesting it could be a good time for long-term positioning [21] Asset Allocation - CICC recommends maintaining a "barbell" strategy in asset allocation, combining dividend stocks with technology investments, while adjusting weights based on market conditions [23]
12月8日热门路演速递 | 降息、重估、大宗、资金流,五场连击洞见2026
Wind万得· 2025-12-07 22:59
Group 1 - The article discusses the potential impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference on the macroeconomic landscape [2][4] - It highlights the expected changes in dollar liquidity and the reasons behind the recent strength of the Renminbi [4][5] - The article emphasizes the anticipated shift in global liquidity favoring AH shares and the revaluation of Renminbi assets, alongside the potential for a bull-bear transition in the US stock market [7][8] Group 2 - The analysis includes projections for the agricultural product market, questioning whether a global upcycle is beginning and identifying trading opportunities in grains, oils, cotton, sugar, and live pigs [10] - It estimates that the reallocation of household assets could bring approximately 5.4 to 12.0 trillion yuan of incremental funds to the A-share market by 2030 [12] - The potential incremental funds from insurance capital entering the A-share market are projected to be around 6.0 to 9.6 trillion yuan by 2026 [13]
投资前瞻:美联储举行议息会议,OpenAI将发布GPT-5.2
Wind万得· 2025-12-07 22:59
// 市场要闻 // 1、CPI、 PPI数据将公布 12月10日,国家统计局将公布11月CPI、PPI数据。 华创证券预计11月CPI同比增速有望从上月0.2%回升至0.7%左右。CPI同比增速大幅回升,主因是食品价格扰动。去年11月食品项环比 为-2.7%,是过去十年最低 ; 今年11月环比预计为1.1%。食品价格的波动主要源于天气影响下的菜价,今年10月中下旬以后气温偏低、秋雨 增多,局部地区遭受低温冷冻灾害或暴雨洪涝灾害,导致部分蔬菜市场供应偏紧。 2、11月金融数据或将公布 除CPI、PPI外,11月新增贷款、M2、社融等金融数据也或将在本周公布。 浙商证券预计11月人民币贷款新增3000亿元,同比少增2800亿元,对应增速回落0.1个百分点为6.4%;预计11月社融新增2.2万亿元,同比少 增约342 亿元,对应增速回落0.1 个百分点为8.4% ; 预计11 月M2 增速为8.0%,回落0.2个百分点 ; 预计11 月M1 增速为5.3%,回落0.9 个百 分点。 3、央行公开市场将有6638亿元逆回购到期 Wind数据显示,本周央行公开市场将有6638亿元逆回购到期,其中本周一至本周五分别到期 ...