北京时间1月28日早间，伦敦金现一度冲破5200美元/盎司，连续8个交易日上涨，继续创历史新高。 特朗普再度干预美联储政策预期，黄金继续创历史新高，市场对降息路径的博弈叠加地缘风险，推动黄金持续走强；与此同时，中国国有大行同步上调黄 金积存业务门槛，反映金融体系正对高波动资产进行风险重估。 周二（1月27日），美国总统特朗普再度表态，他表示，美联储主席上任后利率将下降。他还表示，他很快就会宣布美联储主席人选。 黄金ETF与机构配置持续升温 金价持续走强的背景下，黄金相关主题ETF（交易型开放式指数基金）成资金追捧焦点，吸金能力突出。据Wind数据，当前市场上共有20只黄金主题ETF 产品，其中14只为黄金ETF、6只为黄金股ETF。 世界黄金协会此前表示，2025年金价共计53次刷新历史纪录，推动全球投资者以前所未有的资金规模配置实物黄金ETF，北美地区为主要驱动力；全年的 全球黄金ETF流入规模激增至890亿美元，资产管理总规模（AUM）增长至5590亿美元，双双刷新历史纪录。总持仓攀升至4025吨的历史峰值。 银行收紧黄金积存业务门槛 1月26日，农业银行在官网发布关于存金通黄金积存业务增加风险承受能力测 ...

Group 1 - A new wave of price increases in the global chip industry has emerged, with Samsung Electronics raising LPDDR memory prices for iPhones by over 80% and SK Hynix by nearly 100%. Domestic companies like Zhongwei Semiconductor and Guokewai have also announced price hikes of 15%-50% and 40%-80% respectively for their products [2] - Guotai Junan forecasts a net profit of 27.533 billion to 28.006 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 111%-115%. Shenwan Hongyuan expects a net profit of approximately 9.1 billion to 10.1 billion yuan, with a growth of 74.64%-93.83% [2] - Anta Sports has signed an agreement to acquire a 29.06% stake in German sports brand Puma for 1.506 billion euros (approximately 12.28 billion yuan), which will make Anta the largest single shareholder of Puma if the transaction is completed [2] Group 2 - Micron Technology announced a $24 billion investment to build a new memory chip manufacturing facility in Singapore, aiming to meet the growing demand for NAND storage chips in AI and data center applications, with production expected to start in the second half of 2028 [3] - Corning has secured a procurement order worth up to $6 billion from Meta for optical cables, primarily for AI data center construction, further solidifying its market position in fiber optic communications [3] Group 3 - Pizaihuang's controlling shareholder, Jiulongjiang Group, plans to increase its stake in the company by investing between 300 million and 500 million yuan from February 1 to July 31, demonstrating confidence in the company's future development [5] - Hengrui Medicine's drug HRS-5346 has been included in the list of breakthrough therapies, which will accelerate its research and approval process, positively impacting the company's innovative drug pipeline [5] - Shennan Circuit expects a net profit increase of 68%-78% for 2025, driven by sufficient orders, high capacity utilization, and improved profitability from product structure optimization [5] - Zhongjin Gold anticipates a net profit increase of 41.76%-59.48% for 2025, influenced by rising gold prices and increased mineral gold production [5] Group 4 - Ganfeng Lithium expects a net profit of 1.1 billion to 1.65 billion yuan for 2025, turning a profit compared to previous losses, with a fair value change gain of approximately 1.03 billion yuan from its holdings in Pilbara Minerals Limited [6] - Wanda Film forecasts a net profit of approximately 480 million to 550 million yuan for 2025, achieving profitability due to the recovery of the domestic film market and improved operational efficiency [6] Group 5 - Samsung Electronics plans to produce 1 million units of the Galaxy Wide Fold smartphone, targeting competition with Apple's potential foldable products [11] - SK Hynix's market capitalization has surpassed $400 billion due to surging demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM), with the company considering establishing an AI investment department in the U.S. [11] - Toyota is recalling approximately 162,000 Tundra vehicles in the U.S. due to multimedia display screen issues, while also facing a 9% decline in new car registrations in the EU [11] - LG Energy will supply batteries for Tesla's humanoid robots, marking its expansion into non-automotive applications in the power battery sector [11]

1. 公开市场操作 央行 公告称， 1 月 27 日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了 4020 亿元 7 天期逆回购操作，操作利率 1.40% ，投标量 4020 亿元，中标量 4020 亿元。 Wind 数据显示，当日 3240 亿元 逆回购到期 ，据此计算，单日净投放 780 亿元。 2. 资金面 （*数据来源：Wind-央行动态PBOC） 税期扰动消退，银行间市场资金面有所改善， D R001 加权平均利率下行约 5bp 至 1.36% 附近。匿名点击（ X-repo ）系统上，隔夜报价亦较上日下行， 最新在 1.35% ，供给在数百亿。非银机构以质押存单及信用债借入隔夜，最新报价在 1.55% 左右，较上日变化不大。 海外方面，最新美国隔夜融资担保利率为 3.65% 。 （IMM） // 债市综述 // （*数据来源：Wind-国际货币资金情绪指数、资金综合屏） 3. 同业存单 （*数据来源：Wind-同业存单-发行结果） 4. 银行间主要利率债收益率 | | 1Y | | SA | | 3Y | | 54 | | 74 | | 10Y | | 超长债 | | | --- | --- | --- | - ...

Group 1 - UK Prime Minister Starmer will visit China from January 28 to 31, marking the first visit by a UK Prime Minister in eight years. Discussions will focus on bilateral relations and trade investment cooperation [3][6] - US President Trump stated that he is not concerned about the decline of the US dollar, which has recently dropped over 1% to a nearly four-year low of 95.7905 [3][6] - A new wave of price increases is sweeping the global chip industry, with Samsung and SK Hynix significantly raising prices for LPDDR memory used in iPhones by over 80% and nearly 100%, respectively [3][6] Group 2 - Clawdbot has gained significant attention in the tech industry, seen as a precursor to the future of AI agents. Meanwhile, domestic AI models are also gaining traction, with DeepSeek releasing a new OCR model [4] - The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security announced plans to enhance labor rights for new employment forms and revise paid leave regulations [5] - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that profits of large industrial enterprises in China reached 7.4 trillion yuan in 2025, a 0.6% year-on-year increase, reversing a three-year decline [5] Group 3 - Anta Sports announced a deal to acquire a 29.06% stake in Puma for 15.06 billion euros (approximately 122.8 billion yuan), making Anta the largest shareholder of Puma [9] - The China Fund Industry Association released a performance benchmark database for public funds, focusing on stock indices [9] - The resource product LOF purchase limit has been upgraded, with major funds suspending large purchases starting January 28 [9] Group 4 - Companies such as Guotai Junan and Shenwan Hongyuan expect significant profit increases in 2025, with projected growth rates ranging from 41.76% to 115% [11] - Aisen Co. plans to invest 20 billion yuan in a semiconductor materials manufacturing base in East China [12] - The central bank reported a decrease in real estate loans, with a total balance of 51.95 trillion yuan at the end of 2025, down 963.6 billion yuan year-on-year [12]

Group 1 - Alibaba officially released the Qwen3-Max-Thinking flagship reasoning model with over 1 trillion parameters, achieving significant performance improvements and surpassing top models like GPT-5.2 and Claude Opus4.5 in key benchmarks [2] - Zijin Mining announced plans to acquire 100% of United Gold for 28 billion yuan, which includes gold resources in Mali, Côte d'Ivoire, and Ethiopia, enhancing the company's gold resource portfolio [2] - Nvidia announced a $2 billion investment in CoreWeave to strengthen collaboration in AI computing infrastructure and accelerate AI factory construction, aiming to deploy over 5 GW of computing power by 2030 [2] Group 2 - Tencent held its 2025 employee conference, with CEO Ma Huateng stating that TEG and CSIG will lead Tencent's AI initiatives, focusing on an integrated approach to large models and AI products while maintaining user privacy [4] - TSMC's earnings report and guidance led Goldman Sachs to raise its 12-month target for Taiwan's weighted index from 32,400 to 34,600, reflecting recognition of TSMC's leadership in AI and HPC [4] - Foxconn's stock surged due to supply disruptions from a winter storm in North America and China's proposed "anti-involution" policy, which is expected to support Taiwan's petrochemical exports and margins in the long term [4] Group 3 - The U.S. Rare Earth Company received a $1.6 billion investment from the Trump administration for developing Texas rare earth mines and an Oklahoma magnet factory, with total funding reaching $3.1 billion [6] - Microsoft launched the new AI chip Maia 200, built on TSMC's 3nm process, aimed at reducing dependency on Nvidia, while also addressing issues with Windows 11 updates causing device startup failures [6] - Apple released the second-generation AirTag with a 50% increase in range and larger volume, while Q1 earnings are expected to show steady growth [6] Group 4 - Samsung Electronics reported a 3-4 times increase in consumer-grade DDR5 memory prices over the past two months and announced a stock reward program for employees [10] - Toyota began production of the 2026 hybrid RAV4 in Canada and recalled 162,000 Tundra models in the U.S., with sales in China showing signs of recovery despite a 3.6% drop in stock price due to yen appreciation [10] - LG Group's LG Display is collaborating with Korean companies to develop glass interlayers for expanding semiconductor packaging business [10]

Group 1 - The precious metals market experienced significant volatility, with COMEX silver initially surging over 16% and then retracting, while COMEX gold fluctuated around the $5000 mark, closing with a modest gain of 0.5% [3] - The exchanges took measures to cool down the commodity futures market by adjusting trading limits and margin requirements for silver and tin futures [3] Group 2 - Alibaba launched its flagship AI model Qwen3-Max-Thinking, achieving several global records in authoritative evaluations, positioning it as the strongest domestic AI model to date [4] - The AI unicorn Jieyue Xingchen completed over 5 billion RMB in Series B+ financing, setting a new record for single financing in China's large model sector over the past 12 months [4] Group 3 - The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs advised citizens to avoid traveling to Japan during the Spring Festival due to safety concerns related to crime and natural disasters [5] - The Ministry of Commerce announced upcoming policies to stimulate service consumption and enhance inbound consumption [5] - The People's Bank of China emphasized expanding the coverage of macro-prudential policies to maintain financial market stability [5] Group 4 - The A-share market saw a slight decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.09% and trading volume increasing to 3.28 trillion RMB [8] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose slightly by 0.06%, while the Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.24% [8] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has issued multiple penalties for market manipulation and disclosure violations [8] Group 5 - Overseas institutions have shown increased interest in A-shares, focusing on quality investment opportunities in the electronics, power equipment, and machinery sectors [9] - Hong Kong-listed companies have actively engaged in share buybacks, with a total amount exceeding 11.7 billion HKD this year [9] Group 6 - The latest statistics from the Ministry of Public Security indicated that the number of motor vehicles in China reached 469 million by 2025, with new registrations exceeding 30 million for 11 consecutive years [10] - The Beijing humanoid robot innovation center successfully connected a robot to a new type of low-orbit satellite, marking a global first [10] Group 7 - The first batch of game licenses for 2026 has been announced, with 177 domestic and 5 imported games receiving approval [11] - Binance is exploring the reintroduction of stock tokens on its exchange, following previous regulatory challenges [12] Group 8 - The Hong Kong government plans to increase gold reserves to 2000 tons over the next three years and establish a central clearing system for gold [20] - International precious metal futures saw a general increase, with COMEX gold futures rising by 0.5% [20]

1. 公开市场操作 （IMM） 右。 // 债市综述 // （*数据来源：Wind-国际货币资金情绪指数、资金综合屏） 3. 同业存单 央行 公告称， 1 月 26 日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了 1505 亿元 7 天期逆回购操作，操作利率 1.40% ，投标量 1505 亿元，中标量 1505 亿元。 Wind 数据显示，当日 1583 亿元 逆回购到期 ，据此计算，单日净回笼 78 亿元。 （*数据来源：Wind-央行动态PBOC） 2. 资金面 税期基本结束，但银行间市场资金面紧平衡态势未见明显缓和， D R001 加权平均利率上行约 2bp 至 1.41% 附近。匿名点击（ X-repo ）系统上，隔夜报 价升至 1.48%-1.50% ，供给寥寥。非银机构以质押存单及信用债借入隔夜，最新报价在 1.53%-1.55% ，较上日变化不大，可跨月的七天期报价在 1.6% 左 海外方面，最新美国隔夜融资担保利率为 3.64% 。 全国和主要股份制银行一年期同业存单最新成交在 1.60% 附近，较上日上行 1bp 。 （*数据来源：Wind-同业存单-发行结果） 4. 银行间主要利率债收益率 | | 1 ...

美元指数一度跌破97，助推贵金属价格。 | < W | | | 美元指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | USDX.FX | | | | 97.1127 | | 前收 | 97.5053 开盘 | | 97.1569 | | -0.3926 | -0.40% | 委员 | 97.1127 买入 | | 97.1127 | | 最高 | 97.2693 | 今年来 | -1.18% | 20日 | -0.90% | | 最低 | 96.9355 | 10日 | -1.80% | 60日 | -2.77% | | 分时 | | 日K | 周Ｋ 月Ｋ | | 更多 ◎ | | | | | 叠加 设均线 MA5:98.0413↓ 10:98.6220↓ 20:98.5991↓ 60:91 切走势线 | | | | 101.5669 | | | | | | | -100.3950 | | | | | | | 99.0899 | | | | | | | ... << | | | | | 96.9355 | | 96.6130 | 1 1 1 1 1 ...

// 一、市场要闻 // 1、 1月PMI数据将公布 1月31日，国家统计局将公布1月PMI数据。据国家统计局，去年12月PMI为50.1%，比上月上升0.9个百分点，在连续8个月运行在50%以下后升至扩张区 间。 2、 美联储将公布利率决议 本周，美联储将公布利率决议。芝商所的"美联储观察"工具显示，市场认为美联储将在1月货币政策会议上保持利率不变的概率已经达到95%。中信证券 认为，美国检方对鲍威尔的刑事调查无助于施压美联储激进降息，预计美联储今年1月暂停降息。 3、 央行公开市场将有11810亿元逆回购到期 本周央行公开市场将有11810亿元逆回购到期，其中周一至周五分别到期1583亿元、3240亿元、3635亿元、2102亿元、1250亿元。此外，周一还将有2000 亿元MLF到期。 4 、科技巨头陆续公布财报 财报方面，约五分之一的标普500成分股将在本周公布季度业绩，其中包括苹果、微软、Meta和特斯拉这四家"美股七巨头"成员。本轮财报季的一个关键 主题在于：企业是否开始真正从AI相关投资中获益。在2025年末，市场曾担心大规模投向数据中心及其他基础设施的资本支出能否带来回报，这种疑虑 一度打压科 ...

海外方面，最新美国隔夜融资担保利率为3.63%。 （IMM） // 债市综述 // 1. 公开市场操作 央行公告称，1月23日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了1250亿元7天期逆回购操作，操作利率1.40%，投标量1250亿元， 中标量1250亿元。Wind数据显示，当日867亿元逆回购到期，据此计算，单日净投放383亿元。当周实现净投放2295亿元。 Wind数据显示，1月26日至30日当周，央行公开市场将有11810亿元逆回购到期。此外，1月26日还将有2000亿元MLF到 期。 （*数据来源：Wind-央行动态PBOC） 2. 资金面 缴税影响尚未完全消除，银行间市场资金面仍显紧平衡，DR001加权平均利率降约2bp至1.39%附近。匿名点击（X-repo） 系统上，隔夜报价在1.42%附近，供给仍不稳；非银机构质押存单及信用债借入隔夜报价则在1.52%-1.55%一线。 6. 国债期货收盘 全国和主要股份制银行一年期同业存单最新成交在1.59%附近，较上日下行超1bp。 （*数据来源：Wind-国际货币资金情绪指数、资金综合屏） 3. 同业存单 （*数据来源：Wind-同业存单-发行结果） 4. 银行间 ...