VIEW 克而瑞研究中心 "每周研究精读" ， 聚焦宏观、行业、房企、土拍、产品、客需、榜单等多个研究 成果，与各界探讨行业运行逻辑、变数及未来趋势。 点击标题阅读全文 榜单 2 0 2 4年中国房企总土储货值排行榜TOP1 0 0 2024年50家典型上市公司的财报数据来看，存货账面价值总计7.98万亿元，较去年末大幅下降15%。 专题 2 0 2 4年房企盈利能力报告——行业毛利率下降至1 0%，7 2%房企净利润亏损 2024年确认存货跌价损失1677亿，相比2023年大幅提升26%。 2 0 2 4年房企偿债能力报告：流动性压力仍在加大，行业信用修复仍需时间 2024年底50家样本房企中84%的企业现金持有量较期初有所减少，62%的企业调整后非受限现金短债比继续恶化，踩线房 企占比较期初提高2个百分点至72%。 观点 季节性波动不掩去库存提速，房地产延续"稳市场"势头 得益于一揽子金融的落实、专项债收储的推进，以及土拍热度、房价、库存去化等指标的持续向好，行业有望在2025年上 半年先一步达成阶段性"稳预期"。 贸易风暴下京沪深杭二手豪宅挂牌、成交占比双增 过半小区房价环比上涨，二手房释放企稳信号 过 ...

导语 从存货规模、存货结构、投资力度等方面进行分析，探讨2024年典型房地产企业的存货状况和发展趋势。 在政策的引导下，地产企业的杠杆、风险水平有所控制，推动行业向更加稳健和可持续的方向发展。但从市场信心 来看，市场的需求和消费者的购买能力仍需要时间恢复。2024年房企库存问题依然存在，库存总量下滑但结构矛盾 凸显。本文将以50家典型房企 1 作为研究样本，从存货规模、存货结构、投资力度等方面进行分析，探讨2024年典 型房地产企业的存货状况和发展趋势。 01 房企存货总量持续收缩 现房库存占比增加 1 、 存货总量较年初降幅扩大至15%，典型房企存货规模普降 存货总量连续三年下滑，2024年降幅扩大至15% 近年来，市场信心低迷、销售遇阻，房企投资保持谨慎，叠加市场处于低位运行，资产价值波动加剧，存货呈现下 降趋势。从50家典型上市公司公布的2024年业绩来看， 存货账面价值总计7.98万亿元，较2023年末的9.4万亿元大 幅下降15%，降幅较2023年进一步扩大， 存货规模自2022年以来，已经连续三年呈现负增长趋势。 从不同梯队来看，各梯队房企存货总量同比降幅均进一步扩大，其中 TOP51-100房企 ...

迪拜五大区域（市中心、商业湾、朱美拉棕榈岛、迪拜山庄、阿尔富江）各具优势，热销项目亮点突 出。 根据城市发展规划、重点企业项目表现，以及第三方Property Finder搜索量等最终选取具有代表的五大区 域，并进行进一步分析研究。 0 1 迪拜市中心 稀缺资产和地标价值凸显 The United Arab Emirates 迪拜市中心拥有哈利法塔、迪拜购物中心、音乐喷泉三大IP，年均吸引2000万游客，并推动高端公寓需 求， 尤其是中东及俄罗斯高净值投资者。 与此同时因土地资源稀缺且供应有限，2024年交付的住宅仅占 市场4%左右的比重，这种稀缺性使其房价和租金具有天然抗跌性。 | 維度 | 现状特征 | 未来潜力 | | --- | --- | --- | | 人口 | 密度高,以高净值及国际人士为主 | 持续吸引高端人才流入,人口规模与多元化程度提升 | | 产业 | 金融机构集聚,商业贸易繁荣,高端酒店餐饮 | 巩固金融核心地位,拓展商业规模,文旅产业协同升级 | | | 发达,文化娱乐设施丰富 | | | 住宅 | 以高端公寓、别墅为主,配套完善,集中于地 | 开发更趋高端智能,稀缺性凸显,房产价值 ...

Core Viewpoint - By the end of 2024, 84% of the 50 sample real estate companies have seen a decrease in cash holdings compared to the beginning of the year, with 62% of companies experiencing a worsening in their adjusted unrestricted cash to short-term debt ratio, and the proportion of companies at risk has increased by 2 percentage points to 72% [1][29]. Group 1: Cash Holdings and Financial Pressure - The cash holdings of sample real estate companies decreased by 8.04% by the end of 2024, with a total cash holding of 12,925 billion [4][6]. - 84% of real estate companies have seen a decrease in cash compared to the beginning of the year, while state-owned enterprises have increased their cash holdings [7][30]. - The adjusted restricted cash ratio reached 28%, indicating that the actual short-term debt repayment capacity of real estate companies may be lower [7][30]. Group 2: Total Interest-Bearing Debt - The total interest-bearing debt decreased by 3.12% compared to the beginning of the year, with the total interest-bearing debt scale at 50,023 billion [9][30]. - Private real estate companies saw a 9.35% reduction in total interest-bearing debt, with 18 companies having total interest-bearing debt exceeding 100 billion [11][30]. - 20% of real estate companies experienced an increase in total interest-bearing debt, while most companies have either actively or passively reduced their debt levels [11][30]. Group 3: Debt Pressure and Default Risk - The proportion of short-term interest-bearing debt increased to 43%, while state-owned enterprises maintained a relatively sound debt structure [16][30]. - The adjusted unrestricted cash to short-term debt ratio continued to decline, with 64% of companies below the red line, indicating significant short-term repayment pressure [16][30]. Group 4: Net Debt Ratio and Company Classification - The average net debt ratio rose to 98.07%, with significant increases observed in state-owned and mixed-ownership enterprises [14][19]. - 21 companies have a net debt ratio exceeding the red line, highlighting significant differentiation among companies [22][30]. - The proportion of companies at risk increased to 72%, with deterioration observed across all types of enterprises [22][30]. Group 5: Financing Capability and Market Conditions - The overall financing cost for real estate companies decreased to 4.87%, but financing capabilities are increasingly differentiated [25][30]. - The rate of off-balance-sheet financing continues to rise, increasing pressure on real estate companies [25][30]. - 80% of real estate companies have an adjusted quick ratio of less than 1, indicating that debt restructuring for distressed companies remains urgent [25][30].

Group 1 - Wuhan Urban Construction Group aims to enhance cooperation with Huangpi District in areas such as comprehensive development, infrastructure construction, industrial transformation, and urban function improvement, focusing on high-quality residential development and urban renewal [2] - Greentown Management has reached a strategic cooperation agreement with Daduqiao District in Chongqing, indicating a commitment to urban development projects [1][6] - Longfor's Longzhizao has signed a contract for the construction of a project in Bao'an District, Shenzhen, showcasing its expansion in the construction sector [1] Group 2 - Longfor's Longzhizao has successfully delivered the Chengdu Xijingtai project, which had been stalled for eight years, involving 852 creditors and 857 undelivered properties [7] - The Guangzhou Nanxiang Yaju project by Yuanyang Construction Management achieved strong sales shortly after its opening, with over 986 visits and more than 3,000 viewings of the model room [8] - The total land area for the project managed by Greentown Management in Shijiazhuang is approximately 69,200 square meters, with a floor price of 10,253 yuan per square meter [6]

Group 1 - Abu Dhabi has become a strategic hub for global capital due to economic transformation, population vitality, forward-looking planning, and real estate appreciation potential [1][32] - The emirate's GDP has consistently remained above 1 trillion dirhams post-pandemic, with growth rates between 3% and 4% [4] - Key industries contributing to the non-oil economy include manufacturing, construction, wholesale and retail trade, finance and insurance, and real estate, with manufacturing and construction seeing a 1.5 percentage point increase in contribution from 2021 to 2024 [4] Group 2 - The population of Abu Dhabi has grown significantly from 940,000 in 1995 to 3.79 million in 2023, reflecting the emirate's increasing attractiveness [7] - The age demographic shows that 66% of the population is aged between 25 and 54, with a median age of 33, indicating a youthful population driven by economic development [8][10] - Approximately 80% of the population consists of immigrants, with a diverse range of skilled professionals attracted by the emirate's economic diversification [10] Group 3 - The "2030 Plan" aims to create a compact, transit-oriented, smart, and green sustainable city, with goals for high-density mixed development and a target of 60% renewable energy by 2030 [14] - The real estate market is active, with foreign buyers favoring high-value properties; in 2024, new residential transactions are projected to reach 41.941 billion dirhams, with prices increasing by over 10% [18][20] Group 4 - Leading companies in Abu Dhabi's real estate sector include Aldar Properties, Modon Holding, and Bloom Holding, all benefiting from government support and strong financial health [25][27][30] - Aldar Properties reported a total sales revenue of 33.6 billion dirhams in 2024, a 20% increase year-on-year, with significant contributions from high-end community developments [25] - Modon Holding has established a strong presence in the residential market, leveraging government resources and sustainable technology to develop notable projects [27]

从5月当前新房成交累计同比来看，仍可保持与去年持平走势，二季度或将延续止跌企稳态势。 我们选择了部分典型城市，大体分为以下三类： 第一类为短期内热度较高的核心一二线城市，以北京、上海、深圳、成都、杭州为典型代表，各城市项目 去化率受新盘供给质量影响较大， 5 月以来城市间分化持续加剧； 第二类武汉、南京等弱复苏类城市，春节之后市场稳步修复，五一假期周迎来一波来访小高潮后稳步回 落，但客户转化率仍高于 3-4 月平均水平； 第三类还有部分城市诸如天津、郑州、西安等，来访、认购稳步回落，客户转化率走低，购房观望情绪依 旧浓厚，短期来看增长后劲略显不足。 热点城市受供给影响加速分化 沪深蓉开盘"提质缩量"维稳市场 02 热点城市受新盘供给质量影响，市场热度加速分化，深圳、成都等供应节制，放缓推盘进度，提升了推盘 质量，适销对路楼盘入市一定程度上提升了居民购房积极性；加之去年三季度末新政利好叠加项目促销， 也使得市场热度高位持稳。相较而言，北京、杭州等5月以来开盘质量一般，因而项目平均去化率高位回 落，不及去年同期。 ◎ 文 / 俞倩倩 2025年以来整体楼市延续止跌企稳走势，3-4月传统"小阳春"后，目前5月已度过 ...

导语 1 、 营业收入下降17%至34579亿，毛利润下降33% 2024年，房地产调控政策延续宽松基调，政策着力点更聚焦于去库存。尽管政策宽松，但市场信心和预期尚未根本 恢复，房地产市场仍在深度调整，2024年全国新建商品房销售额同比继续下降17%。在此背景下，企业整体结算规 模相应受到影响，住宅开发业务的利润空间仍在收窄。 2024年行业典型上市房企 1 整体实现营业收入34579亿元，同比下降17% ；营业成本30619亿元，同比下降15%。 营业收入在2023年短暂回升后，2024年再次出现加速下滑态势。 从毛利润来看，从2021年开始就保持下滑趋势，2024年典型上市房企实现毛利润3446亿元，同比下滑33%，下滑幅 度为历年较高。 2024年确认存货跌价损失1677亿，相比2023年大幅提升26%。 ◎ 文 / 房玲、易天宇 2024年，中国房地产调控政策延续宽松基调，政策着力点更聚焦于去库存。尽管政策宽松，但房地产市场整体依然 维持底部震荡。据统计局数据，2024年，全国新建商品房销售面积97385万平方米，比上年下降12.9%，新建商品 房销售额96750亿元，下降17.1%。 同时市场销售价 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Dubai real estate market is experiencing significant growth in transaction volume and value, driven by a young and predominantly expatriate population, alongside a diversified economy that supports various sectors including tourism and real estate [2][25][34]. Group 1: Market Status - The Dubai real estate market has shown a robust recovery post-pandemic, with a 38% increase in transaction volume and over 50% growth in transaction value in 2023. In 2024, the market is expected to reach a record 181,000 transactions, a 36.5% year-on-year increase, with a total transaction value of 522.5 billion dirhams, up 27.3% [2][4]. - The real estate prices in Dubai are influenced by economic diversification, infrastructure development, and market fluctuations, maintaining stability after rapid growth [3]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Emaar Properties holds a significant market share, supported by government backing and a project delivery rate exceeding 95%. In 2024, Emaar achieved contract sales of 65.4 billion dirhams (approximately 17.8 billion USD), marking a 75% increase [10][11]. - Nakheel, a subsidiary of Dubai Holding, focuses on large-scale projects like Palm Island and World Islands, leveraging government support and land reserves in coastal growth areas [13]. - Damac Properties, a leading private developer, emphasizes high-end residential and mixed-use community developments, maintaining a strong market presence through innovative projects [15]. Group 3: Economic Foundation - Dubai's economy is diversifying effectively, with tourism, trade, finance, and real estate becoming key growth drivers. The tourism sector is rebounding, with international overnight visitors reaching 18.72 million in 2024, a 9% increase, including a 31% rise in Chinese tourists [18][19]. - The real estate sector contributes approximately 8% to Dubai's GDP, playing a crucial role in economic growth, investment attraction, and job creation [20]. Group 4: Population Support - The population of Dubai is projected to reach 3.74 million by 2024, with a youthful demographic where individuals aged 30-34 represent the largest group [25]. - Expatriates make up 92% of the population, with significant representation from South Asia and Southeast Asia, and a growing number of Chinese nationals seeking opportunities in Dubai [26]. Group 5: Planning and Future Outlook - Dubai's 2040 urban plan includes the development of two new city centers, Expo Center and Dubai Silicon Oasis, aimed at attracting high-tech talent and fostering innovation [29][32]. - The real estate strategy aims to double the sector's contribution to GDP by 2033, increasing transaction values from 522.5 billion dirhams in 2024 to 1 trillion dirhams [33].

以下文章来源于中房网 ，作者测评研究 中房网 . 中房网（www.fangchan.com），中国房地产业协会官方网站。微博：@中房网官方微博 5月22日，由中国房地产业协会指导，上海易居房地产研究院、克而瑞主办的"2025房地产上市公司测评研究"工作发布了研究成果。《2025房地产上市公司测评研究报告》及 2025年房地产上市公司综合实力50强、细分领域单项榜正式发布。 据了解，房地产上市公司测评从八大方面，共设有20个二级指标和44个三级指标。是国内关于上市房企综合实力最重要的专业测评研究成果之一。该项工作已经连续开展了18 年，并得到业内和资本市场的高度认可。 本次测评还发布了2025房地产配套供应链上市公司测评成果，在入榜相关供应链行业表现方面，2024年房企投资开发热情明显下降，装饰设计、幕墙工程、景观设计、水泥等 行业，企业营收和净利润均呈明显下滑趋势；而建筑电气、电线电缆、软体家居、智慧停车等行业，企业营收和净利润仍保持平稳增长。 | 14 | 保利置业集团 | 00119.HK | 19 | 直开股份 | 600376.SH | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...