半导体行业观察

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颠覆中介层,玻璃来了!
半导体行业观察· 2025-06-16 01:47
公众号记得加星标⭐️,第一时间看推送不会错过。 玻璃中介层支持嵌入基板的芯粒与直接堆叠于顶部的芯粒(chiplets)之间的3D堆叠,这是硅中 介层无法实现的。在本研究中,我们通过关键系统级指标(包括面积、线长、信号完整性、电源 完整性和热完整性)论证了玻璃中介层相较于硅中介层在这种堆叠方式下的优势。我们利用芯粒 和中介层的GDS版图设计以及签核仿真实现了这一目标。 实验表明,玻璃中介层相比硅中介层可实现2.6倍的面积优化、21倍的线长缩短、全芯片功耗降 低17.72%、信号完整性提升64.7%、电源完整性改善10倍,但温度会升高15%。 引言 如今及未来,提升高复杂度系统良率的一个可行方法是将系统划分为"芯粒"。这些芯粒需集成以构成 完整系统。根据物理结构,芯粒集成有两种类型:2.5D中介层集成和3D堆叠集成。2.5D集成因允许 在中介层上集成多个现成芯粒或复用不同技术节点的知识产权 (IP)(异构集成),成为颇具吸引力的 选择。在2.5D集成中,芯粒以倒装芯片方式并排置于中介层封装顶部,如图1 (a) 所示。此外,它们 通过再分布层 (RDL) 连接,RDL是无源中介层基板上的金属层,用于提供芯粒间的横向 ...
RTX 5060,平平无奇
半导体行业观察· 2025-06-16 01:47
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's latest generation of graphics cards, particularly the RTX 5060, is underwhelming in performance and specifications, resembling older models like the RTX 5050 rather than meeting the expectations for a 60 series product [1][3][5]. Group 1: Product Specifications - The RTX 5060 has a core configuration and memory bandwidth that aligns more closely with the RTX 5050, indicating a significant downgrade in expected performance for a 60 series card [5][10]. - Historical data shows that the core count for the RTX 5060 is only 18% of the flagship model, which is significantly lower than the average for 60 series GPUs, which typically range around 36% [10][12]. - The RTX 5060's specifications are comparable to older models like the GTX 750 and GTX 1050, suggesting a regression in performance standards for the 50 series [10][12]. Group 2: Pricing and Value - The pricing strategy for the RTX 5060 reflects a trend where Nvidia is charging higher prices for lower-performing products, with the RTX 5060 priced at 15% of the flagship GPU, which is a deviation from historical pricing norms [18][21]. - The RTX 5060 is positioned as the second cheapest 60 series model in seven generations, yet it offers performance that is more akin to a 50 series card, leading to perceptions of value erosion among consumers [21][35]. - The increase in production costs has not been matched by corresponding improvements in GPU specifications, leading to higher prices for lower performance [52][57]. Group 3: VRAM and Memory Bandwidth - The RTX 5060 features only 8GB of VRAM, which is 25% of the flagship model's capacity, falling short of historical averages where 60 series GPUs typically offered around 41% of the flagship's VRAM [32][31]. - The memory bandwidth for the RTX 5060 is significantly lower than that of previous generations, indicating a trend of reduced performance capabilities in newer models [23][27]. - The overall trend shows that Nvidia's GPUs are not keeping pace with the memory requirements of modern gaming, particularly when compared to the specifications of contemporary gaming consoles [48][40]. Group 4: Market Dynamics and Competition - Nvidia's strategy appears to be driven by a desire to maximize profits from AI GPU sales, leading to a compromise in the quality and performance of gaming GPUs [51][57]. - The lack of meaningful competition in the GPU market has allowed Nvidia to maintain high profit margins while passing increased production costs onto consumers [57][58]. - The introduction of AMD's Radeon RX 9000 series may begin to exert pricing pressure on Nvidia, potentially benefiting consumers in the gaming GPU market [58].
这类芯片,风险大增
半导体行业观察· 2025-06-16 01:47
公众号记得加星标⭐️,第一时间看推送不会错过。 来源:内容来自technews。 博通(Broadcom)凭借客制化AI 芯片(AI ASIC)业务异军突起,股价在过去两个月狂飙70%,市 值突破1 兆美元大关,超越沃尔玛和特斯拉,跃升美国第7 大最有价值的上市公司。 这间相对低调的半导体巨头,成功的故事始于几年前的一个「副业」。 帮Google制造芯片,无心插柳却迎来大爆发 当时,博通开始协助Google制造AI芯片,这项业务虽然有趣但并不特别赚钱。 然而,AI热潮彻底改变了游戏规则! 分析师们普遍认为,博通现在已掌握了包含Google母公司Alphabet、Meta,以及TikTok母公司字节 跳动等3大客户。 根据摩根士丹利估计,ASIC芯片市场规模将从去年的120亿美元激增至2027年的约300亿美元。而博 通也释出乐观预期,最新财测显示,第3季来自AI处理与网路芯片的营收将达51亿美元,较去年同期 成长60%,占整体预估营收的三分之一。 然而,博通6月5日公布第2季财报,尽管营收150亿美元、每股盈余1.58美元均优于预期,股价却意 外下跌超过3%。 MarketWatch分析指出,投资人可能对公司 ...
一张图看懂全球半导体玩家实力
半导体行业观察· 2025-06-16 01:47
Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry is increasingly viewed as a critical aspect of national security by various governments, highlighting the complex global supply chain and the geopolitical tensions surrounding advanced chip production [2][3]. Group 1: Semiconductor Supply Chain Complexity - The semiconductor supply chain involves a highly specialized ecosystem, including advanced software for chip design, silicon wafers, complex manufacturing equipment, and decades of R&D investment [1]. - The global reliance on Taiwan's TSMC, which produces 70% to 90% of the world's advanced transistors, has raised concerns about supply chain vulnerabilities amid geopolitical tensions [2]. Group 2: Geopolitical Impacts and National Strategies - Since the U.S. implemented export controls against mainland China in October 2022, semiconductors have become a strategic focus, with countries aiming to strengthen domestic control over semiconductor production [3]. - The competition for advanced chips, particularly GPUs for AI applications, has surged, exemplified by Nvidia's market capitalization doubling from January 2023 to January 2024 [2]. Group 3: Comparative Strengths of Countries/Regions - No single country can fully control the advanced semiconductor supply chain; the U.S. excels in chip design and tools but lags in manufacturing, while mainland China leads in economic resources and packaging [5]. - The U.S., Japan, Taiwan, and South Korea maintain dominance in key supply chain nodes such as advanced manufacturing and chip design, but high costs and technological barriers hinder new entrants [6]. Group 4: Investment Trends and Future Outlook - Leading semiconductor nations are investing heavily to maintain their competitive edge, with Japan committing over $11 billion to support domestic startups and South Korea planning to build the world's largest semiconductor cluster by 2047 [9]. - The U.S. semiconductor advantage is challenged by export controls, which have impacted equipment manufacturers more severely than chip designers, as seen in Nvidia's projected $5.5 billion loss due to export restrictions [10][11]. Group 5: Emerging Markets and Regional Developments - India aims to become a key player in the semiconductor value chain, leveraging its market size and labor force, despite lagging in critical infrastructure compared to leading nations [12]. - Germany is positioning itself as a major semiconductor player in the EU, with plans to double its market share in chip production by 2030, although recent delays in factory construction raise concerns [13]. Group 6: Regional Strategies and Competitive Advantages - Singapore is capitalizing on its geographical advantages and skilled workforce to maintain a strong position in the semiconductor market, focusing on chip design and advanced packaging [14].
赛微电子出售Silex控股权
半导体行业观察· 2025-06-15 02:29
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the strategic decision by Saiwei Electronics to transfer 45.24% of its shares in Swedish Silex Microsystems AB to seven parties, aiming to optimize resource allocation and focus on the Chinese semiconductor market while maintaining significant influence over Silex's operations [1][4]. Group 1: Transaction Details - On June 13, 2025, Saiwei Electronics announced a major asset transaction to transfer its 45.24% stake in Swedish Silex for 2.375 billion Swedish Krona, equivalent to approximately 1.783 billion RMB [1]. - Post-transaction, Saiwei will no longer hold a controlling stake in Silex but will retain 45.24% of shares and two board seats, allowing continued participation in significant decision-making [1][4]. Group 2: Background of Swedish Silex - Founded in 2000, Swedish Silex is a leading MEMS chip manufacturer, which has seen substantial growth under Saiwei's ownership, with employee numbers increasing from over 100 to over 400 and revenue rising from over 200 million to over 800 million [3]. - The company faced challenges due to international political changes, including scrutiny from the Swedish Strategic Products Inspection Authority and a denied export license for MEMS technology to its Beijing subsidiary [3][4]. Group 3: Strategic Rationale - The transaction is aimed at addressing the complex international political and economic environment, allowing Silex to seek a more stable operating environment and maintain relationships with key customers and suppliers [4][8]. - Saiwei aims to concentrate resources on its Beijing MEMS wafer factory, enhancing its domestic operations and capitalizing on the growth of the Chinese semiconductor industry [8]. Group 4: Future Prospects - The transaction is expected to provide significant cash inflow, improving Saiwei's asset-liability structure and enabling further investments in strategic areas [1][8]. - Despite the change in ownership structure, Saiwei's core business in MEMS chip development and wafer manufacturing remains unchanged, ensuring continued focus on its primary operations [8][9].
半导体设备市场:冰火两重天
半导体行业观察· 2025-06-15 02:29
Core Viewpoint - The global semiconductor equipment market is projected to grow by 21% year-on-year in Q1 2025, reaching $32.05 billion, despite a 5% quarter-on-quarter decline, indicating resilience in the semiconductor industry amid geopolitical uncertainties and supply chain adjustments [1][34]. Regional Summaries China Mainland - In Q1 2025, the revenue for the Chinese mainland semiconductor equipment market was $10.26 billion, maintaining its position as the largest single market globally, but showing a 14% quarter-on-quarter and 18% year-on-year decline [4][5]. - The market share of the Chinese mainland in global semiconductor equipment sales dropped from 47% in the previous year to 32% due to increased investments in Taiwan and South Korea [5][22]. South Korea - South Korea's semiconductor equipment market saw a robust performance in Q1 2025, with revenues of $7.69 billion, reflecting a 24% quarter-on-quarter and 48% year-on-year increase, driven by a recovery in memory chips and significant expansions by major manufacturers [4][8]. - The Korean government’s "K-Semiconductor Strategy" has provided substantial support, including tax incentives and subsidies, which has further stimulated equipment orders [9][10]. Taiwan - Taiwan's semiconductor equipment market experienced explosive growth, with a 203% year-on-year increase to $7.09 billion in Q1 2025, fueled by major manufacturers like TSMC ramping up production and advanced packaging technologies [4][10]. - TSMC's expansion plans and the introduction of new process nodes have significantly driven equipment demand, with a focus on advanced manufacturing capabilities [10][12]. North America - North America's semiconductor equipment market revenue reached $2.93 billion in Q1 2025, showing a 41% quarter-on-quarter decline but a 55% year-on-year increase, influenced by previous high capital expenditures and a shift towards quality demand [4][14]. - The market is characterized by a "pulse expansion" effect, where previous concentrated procurement led to a temporary decline in subsequent quarters [15]. Japan - Japan's semiconductor equipment market reported a 20% year-on-year increase to $2.18 billion in Q1 2025, driven by domestic policies and capacity expansions, despite an 18% quarter-on-quarter decline due to seasonal fluctuations [4][17]. - The market's growth is supported by Japan's competitive edge in mature process equipment and advanced packaging materials [18]. Europe - Europe's semiconductor equipment market faced a significant downturn, with revenues dropping 54% year-on-year to $0.87 billion in Q1 2025, attributed to ineffective policy execution and reduced capital expenditures [4][19]. - The region's lack of competitive semiconductor manufacturing capabilities has led to a systemic decline in equipment demand, exacerbated by geopolitical factors [21]. Industry Dynamics - The global semiconductor equipment market is experiencing structural differentiation, with high-end chip demand driven by AI and advanced processes, while mature process segments face oversupply issues [35][36]. - The industry is expected to enter an expansion phase in the latter half of 2025, with increased demand for advanced chips and a recovery in capacity utilization across wafer fabs [37].
模拟芯片,触底了?
半导体行业观察· 2025-06-15 02:29
2025年6月3日,世界半导体贸易统计组织(WSTS)发布了2025年和2026年半导体市场预测。此 前,在2024年11月发布的预测中,WSTS预测2025年的市场增长率将比上一年高出11.2%。此次发布 的预测保持不变。从截至2025年4月的半导体市场情况来看,迄今为止的出货量同比增长了19.3%, 因此维持预测不变可以说是比较保守的看法。对于接下来的2026年,预测同比增长8.5%,但笔者认 为也有可能出现负增长。结合目前的情况,我想展望一下未来。 分立器件受电动汽车放缓冲击,能否复苏? 预计2025年分立器件市场将同比下降2.6%。此前的预测是增长5.8%,但已向下修正。从2025年1月 至4月的实际结果来看,分立器件市场同比下降6.9%,预计此后将有所回升。虽然与去年同期相比的 负增长持续到了4月,但负增长率呈下降趋势,因此这一预测并非不合理。最大的担忧在于,占据该 领域绝大部分的功率晶体管市场的低迷持续时间比预期更长。尤其是电动汽车(EV)需求的低迷对 其造成了沉重打击。不过,笔者认为,从中长期来看,汽车电动化将继续推进,而作为电动化关键器 件的功率晶体管的需求也将稳步增长。2026年的预测是同比 ...
全链路国产化量产PCIe交换芯片,究竟能不能打?
半导体行业观察· 2025-06-15 02:29
Core Viewpoint - The release of the JXW8848 PCIe Gen4 switch chip marks a significant step for China in the high-end interconnect chip sector, supporting the development of a self-controlled domestic computing ecosystem [2][22]. Market Overview - The global PCIe switch chip market is valued at $1.78 billion in 2023, projected to reach $4.8 billion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.7% [1]. - China accounts for 35%-40% of global PCIe switch chip demand, but local companies hold less than 10% market share, a situation that is gradually changing [1]. Product Positioning - The JXW8848 is designed for high-performance computing and storage applications [5]. Technical Specifications - The JXW8848 supports the PCIe Gen4 protocol and is backward compatible with PCIe 3.0/2.0/1.0, ensuring strong ecosystem compatibility [6]. - It features a non-blocking switch architecture with 48 channels and 12 ports, achieving a single-channel rate of 16 GT/s and a total bandwidth of up to 768 Gbps [8]. - The chip is packaged in a FC-BGA format (27mm x 27mm, 1089 pins) and operates at a core voltage of 0.9V and I/O voltage of 1.8V, with power consumption at an industry-leading level [8]. Production Timeline - Full domestic production of the JXW8848 is expected by Q3 2025, providing robust support for domestic high-performance computing platforms [9]. Technical Highlights - The JXW8848 utilizes domestically developed IP modules and manufacturing processes, ensuring complete intellectual property and supply chain security [11]. - It incorporates advanced circuit design and signal conditioning technologies to enhance signal integrity, reducing signal degradation and interference during high-speed transmission [13]. Application Scenarios - The chip supports various critical fields, including AI, storage, and industrial control, with features like multi-host domain isolation and real-time communication capabilities [15][16]. - It is designed to meet the high availability and real-time requirements of AI training and smart vehicle applications [15]. Ecosystem Development - To break the long-standing monopoly of international manufacturers in the PCIe switch chip market, the company adopts a strategy of "independent technology + ecosystem collaboration," working with domestic CPU and host manufacturers for joint certification [18]. Future Directions - Over the next 3-5 years, the company plans to focus on AI computing centers and smart devices, aiming to launch high-performance switch chips supporting PCIe Gen5 and beyond [20]. Industry Significance - The launch of the JXW8848 signifies a crucial advancement for domestic PCIe switch chips, transitioning from "usable" to "highly usable," and providing a replicable technological path for the autonomous development of high-performance interconnect chips in China [23][25].
法国也要搞2nm晶圆厂
半导体行业观察· 2025-06-15 02:29
公众号记得加星标⭐️,第一时间看推送不会错过。 来源:内容编译自wccftech。 继美国大力推动芯片生产之后,欧洲似乎是下一个,因为法国总统现在渴望将台积电和三星引入该 国,以在国内获取高端节点。 随着全球供应链的急剧演变,各国已将重点转向通过在本地生产来满足芯片需求。这种热潮始于特朗 普总统上任,他将芯片生产视为国家安全事务,并引入了大规模投资,尤其是来自台积电的投资。现 在,各国似乎都在效仿美国的做法,例如在VivaTech大会上,法国总统埃马纽埃尔·马克龙就表达了 他希望在国内发展尖端半导体供应的意愿,并称这已成为一种必需品。 在一次小组讨论中,马克龙特别强调了半导体对世界各国的重要性。他透露,他有意开发能够生产2 纳米至10纳米节点的设施。然而,鉴于法国现有的资源,可能需要外部实体在该地区设立设施。马克 龙表示,他需要说服台积电或三星在法国设立设施。这表明欧洲已准备好在芯片领域转向自力更生; 然而,此举是否可行仍有待商榷。 当台积电宣布在德国实施一项由政府资助的大型项目时,欧洲曾对获得尖端芯片寄予厚望。然而,人 们对台积电德国工厂能否很快投入运营似乎并不乐观。此外,像法国这样的国家并不参与开发需要高 ...
市值狂飙41%,博通太猛了
半导体行业观察· 2025-06-15 02:29
Core Viewpoint - The rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) has significantly driven Broadcom's growth, with a substantial portion of its revenue coming from custom processors and network chips deployed by major cloud service providers in their data centers [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Broadcom reported a 20% year-over-year revenue growth for Q2 FY2025, reaching $15 billion, with adjusted earnings growing at a robust rate of 43% [3]. - AI revenue for Broadcom increased by 46% year-over-year, amounting to $4.4 billion, which constitutes nearly 30% of the company's total revenue [3]. - The company anticipates further acceleration in AI revenue, projecting it to reach $5.1 billion in the current quarter, a 60% increase compared to the same period last year [3]. Group 2: Market Potential - Broadcom's AI chips are expected to tap into a massive potential market valued between $60 billion to $90 billion by FY2027, based on data from three current clients [4]. - The company has already generated $13.6 billion in AI chip sales in the first three quarters of this year, indicating significant growth potential in this market [4]. - Additionally, four other large-scale manufacturers are in negotiations with Broadcom to produce custom AI processors, suggesting an even larger potential market for the company [4]. Group 3: Strategic Insights - Broadcom's CEO, Hock Tan, indicated that the growth trajectory of AI revenue is sustainable, with increasing demand for custom AI chips (referred to as XPU) for inference applications [3]. - Despite economic uncertainties due to trade tensions, three clients are actively deploying Broadcom's custom chips for AI training, maintaining their infrastructure investment plans [3]. - The company expects demand for XPU to accelerate in the second half of 2026 to meet urgent needs beyond training applications [3].