证券研究报告：医药生物 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-05-15 股票投资评级 买入 |首次覆盖 个股表现 - - - - - - - % - % - % - % - % - % - % - % - % % % 海泰新光 医药生物 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 | 公司基本情况 | | --- | | 最新收盘价（元） | 36.25 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）1.20 | / 1.20 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）43 | / 43 | | 周内最高/最低价 52 | 46.43 / 25.73 | | 资产负债率(%) | 10.6% | | 市盈率 | 32.37 | | 第一大股东 | 青岛普奥达企业管理服 | | 务有限公司 | | 研究所 分析师:蔡明子 SAC 登记编号:S1340523110001 Email:caimingzi@cnpsec.com 研究助理:陈峻 SAC 登记编号:S1340123110013 Email:chenjun@cnpsec.com 海泰新光(688677) 海外库存消化完成，一季度业绩表现亮眼 l 业绩简评 公司发 ...

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Llama-Nemotron - **Model Construction Idea**: The Llama-Nemotron model aims to enhance inference capabilities while reducing memory usage without sacrificing performance[12][13] - **Model Construction Process**: - **Stage 1: Neural Architecture Search (NAS)**: Optimizes from the Llama 3 model to accelerate inference using block-level local distillation and mixed-integer programming (MIP) solvers to select the most efficient configuration[14] - **Stage 2: Vertical Compression and FFN Fusion**: Introduces FFN fusion technology to reduce sequence depth and improve computational efficiency by identifying and replacing consecutive FFN blocks[14] - **Stage 3: Knowledge Distillation and Continued Pre-training**: Conducts knowledge distillation and continued pre-training to improve model quality and recover any quality loss from block replacement[15] - **Stage 4: Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT)**: Uses mixed instruction data and reasoning trajectories from strong teacher models for supervised fine-tuning[15] - **Stage 5: Large-Scale Reinforcement Learning**: Trains the model using large-scale reinforcement learning, particularly on complex mathematical and STEM datasets[15] - **Model Evaluation**: The model is designed to enhance inference efficiency and reduce memory usage while maintaining high performance[13][16] Model Backtesting Results - **Llama-Nemotron Model**: - **HumanEval 0-shot**: 92.1%[53] - **LiveCodeBench (v6) 0-shot**: 30.3%[53] - **MultiPL-E average 0-shot**: 81.4%[53] - **ArenaHard 0-shot**: 97.1%[53] - **IfEval 0-shot**: 89.4%[53] - **Math500 Instruct 0-shot**: 91.0%[53] - **GPQA Diamond 5-shot CoT**: 57.1%[53] - **MMLU Pro 5-shot CoT**: 77.2%[53] - **RULER 32K**: 96.0%[53] - **RULER 128K**: 90.2%[53] - **MMMU 0-shot**: 66.1%[53] - **DocVQA 0-shot**: 95.3%[53] - **AI2D 0-shot**: 93.7%[53] - **ChartQA 0-shot**: 82.6%[53] Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Mi-BRAG - **Factor Construction Idea**: The Mi-BRAG system addresses high knowledge update costs, lack of insight into proprietary knowledge bases, and data leakage risks in traditional large models[25] - **Factor Construction Process**: - **Full-Format Compatibility**: Integrates an intelligent parsing engine to handle various document formats like PDF, Word, and Excel[27] - **Full-Modal Parsing**: Accurately analyzes complex images, tables, and mixed information[27] - **Multilingual Q&A**: Supports document parsing and interactive Q&A in major languages[27] - **Fine-Grained Traceability**: Uses dynamic traceability technology to mark the original document and citation location for each generated result[27] - **Factor Evaluation**: The system enhances the intelligent knowledge center for various application scenarios, improving product intelligence and user experience[28] Factor Backtesting Results - **Mi-BRAG Factor**: - **SuperCLUE-RAG Generation Capability Ranking**: Ranked first in April 2025[31] 2. Factor Name: VPP (Video Prediction Policy) - **Factor Construction Idea**: VPP is designed to generate video actions based on text instructions, leveraging AIGC video diffusion models for predictive visual representation and action learning[36][39] - **Factor Construction Process**: - **Stage 1**: Uses video diffusion models to learn predictive visual representations[36] - **Stage 2**: Employs Video Former and DiT diffusion strategies for action learning[36] - **Factor Evaluation**: VPP significantly enhances the generalization ability of humanoid robots by learning from human actions and reducing dependency on high-quality robot data[36][40] Factor Backtesting Results - **VPP Factor**: - **Calvin ABC-D Task Average Length**: 4.33[42] - **Real-World Dexterous Hand Task Success Rate**: 67%[42]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing a turning point in performance, with a projected revenue of 1.092 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.83%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be -0.18 billion yuan, a decline of 124.53% due to strategic expenditures and increased costs in the CPU business [4] - The company is focusing on high-speed and system integration in its product offerings, expanding its capabilities in the server business and defense sectors, and developing high-pressure and high-speed connectors for the new energy vehicle market [5] - Revenue projections for the company are 2.34 billion yuan in 2025, 3.05 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.00 billion yuan in 2027, with net profits expected to be 0.25 billion yuan, 0.35 billion yuan, and 0.49 billion yuan respectively, maintaining a "Buy" rating [6] Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 57.47 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 26.5 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 10.2 billion yuan. The company has a total share capital of 4.61 billion shares, with 1.78 billion shares in circulation [3] - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 46.8% and a price-to-earnings ratio of -1,436.75, indicating significant financial leverage and current unprofitability [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant year-on-year increase in performance for Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 1.807 billion yuan, up 28% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 20 million yuan, up 30% year-on-year [5][6] - The "AI + Car" strategy is being effectively advanced, with partnerships established for smart driving systems and intelligent cockpits [6] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 9.238 billion yuan, 12.355 billion yuan, and 15.478 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 31.31%, 33.75%, and 25.28% [7] Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 8.93 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 40.4 billion yuan [3] - The company has a total share capital of 4.521 billion shares and a debt-to-asset ratio of 46.3% [3] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 7.035 billion yuan, a 4% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 40 million yuan, a 65% increase year-on-year [5] - The company sold a total of 57,777 passenger vehicles, including 24,525 new energy vehicles, in 2024 [7] - The company plans to accelerate its intelligent cockpit business in 2025, focusing on technological innovations in areas such as 3D mapping and AI voice interaction [6]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][13]. Core Insights - The company reported impressive performance with a revenue of 13.038 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 106.92%, and a net profit of 3.125 billion yuan, up 188.8% [4][5]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue growth of 165-170%, with domestic revenue increasing by 95-100% and overseas revenue soaring by 475-480% [10]. - The company is undergoing a global organizational restructuring to enhance operational efficiency and support its globalization strategy [10][11]. Company Overview - The latest closing price is HKD 192.80, with a total market capitalization of HKD 2,589.19 billion [3]. - The company has a total share capital of 1.343 billion shares and a debt-to-asset ratio of 26.80% [3]. Financial Performance - The company has shown strong growth in its IP portfolio, with 13 IPs generating over 100 million yuan in revenue by the end of 2024, including the new IP "THE MONSTERS" which generated 3.04 billion yuan, a 726.6% increase year-on-year [6]. - The plush toy category became a top-selling product, achieving sales of 2.83 billion yuan in 2024, with its sales proportion rising from 3.2% to 21.7% [6]. - The company’s revenue from overseas markets reached 5.07 billion yuan in 2024, a 375.2% increase, with Southeast Asia becoming its second-largest market [7][9]. Future Outlook - The company plans to open 100 new stores overseas in 2025, aiming for overseas revenue to exceed 50% of total revenue, with North America expected to match the sales volume of the Chinese market in 2020 [11][12]. - The company anticipates a revenue growth rate of 78%, 51%, and 39% for the years 2025 to 2027, with net profit growth rates of 80%, 59%, and 46% respectively [13].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [2] Core Insights - The company reported a significant year-on-year increase in Q1 2025 performance, with revenue reaching 1.807 billion yuan, up 28% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 20 million yuan, up 30% year-on-year [6][8] - The "AI + Car" strategy is being effectively implemented, with a focus on smart driving systems and intelligent cockpits [7] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 9.238 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 31.31%, and a net profit of 89.45 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 123.54% [8][9] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 7.035 billion yuan, a 4% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 40 million yuan, a 65% increase year-on-year [6] - The company sold a total of 57,777 passenger vehicles in 2024, with revenue from passenger vehicles amounting to 4.217 billion yuan, a 13% increase year-on-year [8] - The company plans to accelerate its smart cockpit business in 2025, focusing on technological innovations in 3D mapping, AI voice, and immersive entertainment experiences [7]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the stock, marking its first coverage [2][13]. Core Insights - The company reported impressive performance with a revenue of 13.038 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 106.92%, and a net profit of 3.125 billion yuan, up 188.8% [4][15]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue growth of 165-170%, with domestic revenue increasing by 95%-100% and overseas revenue soaring by 475%-480% [10]. - The company is undergoing a global organizational restructuring to enhance operational efficiency and focus on regional strategies [10][11]. Company Overview - The latest closing price is HKD 192.80, with a total market capitalization of HKD 258.919 billion [3]. - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 26.80% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 76.04 [3]. Financial Performance - The company has 13.43 billion shares outstanding, with the largest shareholder being GWF Holding Limited [3]. - The company has seen significant growth in its IP portfolio, with 13 IPs generating over 100 million yuan in revenue by the end of 2024 [6]. - The plush toy category became a major revenue driver, achieving sales of 2.83 billion yuan in 2024, up from 3.2% to 21.7% of total sales [6]. International Expansion - The company has made significant strides in international markets, with revenue from Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and overseas reaching 5.07 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 375.2% [7]. - Southeast Asia has emerged as the second-largest market after mainland China, with revenue of 2.4 billion yuan, up 619% [7][9]. Future Outlook - The company plans to open 100 new stores overseas in 2025, aiming for overseas revenue to exceed 50% of total revenue [11]. - The company is expected to maintain strong growth, with projected revenue growth rates of 78%, 51%, and 39% for 2025-2027 [13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% within the next six months [13]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 164 million yuan for 2024, a decrease of 27% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -57 million yuan, a decrease of 287% year-on-year. The decline in defense and military sales revenue by 45% to 100 million yuan significantly impacted overall performance, while civil sales revenue increased by 71% to 62 million yuan, indicating initial success in the civil sector [4][5]. - The integration of artificial intelligence in military robotics presents a promising outlook for the company. Despite a 52% decrease in revenue from military robot products to 40 million yuan and a 5.46 percentage point drop in gross margin to 31.34%, the company is focusing on developing intelligent combat robots to meet the urgent demand for automation in warfare [4][5]. - The company achieved a significant revenue increase of 213% year-on-year in Q1 2025, amounting to 26.41 million yuan, with a reduced net loss of 3.58 million yuan, indicating improved financial health. The backlog of orders and sufficient cash flow are expected to support performance throughout the year [5]. - A strategic cooperation agreement signed with Poly Technology in June 2024 aims to enhance the company's foreign trade market presence in intelligent equipment [5]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 62.2 million, 106.4 million, and 171 million yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 209%, 71%, and 60%, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are expected to be 90, 53, and 33 times [5][9].

资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 证券研究报告：国防军工 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 | 最新收盘价（元） | 74.00 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）0.76 / 0.37 | | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）56 / 27 | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 77.55 / 32.50 | | 资产负债率(%) | 12.1% | | 市盈率 | -97.37 | | 第一大股东 | 天津军融汇智科技中心 | | (有限合伙) | | 研究所 分析师:鲍学博 SAC 登记编号:S1340523020002 Email:baoxuebo@cnpsec.com 分析师:王煜童 SAC 登记编号:S1340523070004 Email:wangyutong@cnpsec.com 晶品特装(688084) 军用机器人前景广阔，有望迎来业绩拐点 事件 近日，晶品特装发布 2024 年年报。2024 年，公司实现营业收入 1.64 亿元，同比减少 27%，实现归母净利润-0.57 亿元，同比减少 287%。 点评 1、2024 年，公司实现营业收入 1.64 亿元 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% within the next six months [8][14]. Core Insights - The recent upgrade of the AEBS (Automatic Emergency Braking System) standard from a recommended to a mandatory requirement is anticipated to significantly boost the demand for testing and certification services in the automotive sector, benefiting the company [5][6]. - The company has successfully launched the first large-scale closed intelligent connected vehicle testing facility in China, which is expected to enhance its revenue through increased testing certification demand from automotive manufacturers [6][7]. - The company's Q1 2025 financial performance showed a revenue increase of 29.9% year-on-year, with net profit rising by 23.9%, indicating strong operational growth [7]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 0.88 billion yuan, with a net profit of 0.29 billion yuan and a gross margin of 61.5% [7]. - The projected revenue for 2025-2027 is expected to grow from 5.21 billion yuan in 2025 to 7.41 billion yuan in 2027, with net profit increasing from 2.05 billion yuan to 3.25 billion yuan over the same period [8][10]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise from 0.15 yuan in 2025 to 0.25 yuan in 2027, reflecting a positive growth trajectory [8][10].