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建信期货棉花日报-20250926
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-26 01:30
Group 1: General Information - Reported industry: Cotton [1] - Report date: September 26, 2025 [2] - Researchers: Yu Lanlan, Lin Zhenlei, Wang Haifeng, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [3] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Zhengzhou cotton showed a weak and volatile trend. The latest 328 - grade cotton price index was 15,083 yuan/ton, up 21 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The sales basis of 2024/25 northern Xinjiang machine - picked cotton was mostly above CF01 + 1500, and the pre - sale basis of 2025/26 northern Xinjiang double 29 cotton was mostly above CF01 + 900 [7] - The pure cotton yarn market was average, with the peak season underperforming expectations and weaker than previous years. Downstream demand was mainly for rigid procurement, and spinning mills sold at market prices. Cotton yarn prices were generally stable with a slow downward trend. The all - cotton grey fabric market maintained shipments, and grey fabric prices were stable. Overseas, U.S. cotton had a slightly lower good - to - excellent rate, an increased drought coverage in cotton - growing areas, and improved weekly export data, but overall it was in a weak and volatile range. Domestically, the purchase price of cottonseed was generally stable, but new cotton acquisition was slow due to local hail and rainfall in northern Xinjiang. Demand - side inventory was still decreasing steadily, but overall demand was weaker than the same period last year. In the short term, with limited new cotton supply, it would be weak under the pressure of a potential bumper harvest after the festival [8] Group 3: Industry News - According to the latest survey by the China Cotton Association, the estimated total cotton output in China in 2025 will reach 7.216 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 8.3%, the highest since 2013. Xinjiang's cotton output is expected to be about 6.911 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 9.2%, accounting for 95.8% of the national total [9] Group 4: Data Overview - The report includes various data charts such as China Cotton Price Index, cotton spot price, cotton futures price, cotton basis change, CF1 - 5 spread, CF5 - 9 spread, CF9 - 1 spread, cotton commercial inventory, cotton industrial inventory, warehouse receipt volume, USD - CNY exchange rate, and USD - Indian rupee exchange rate [17][18][20]
纯碱、玻璃日报-20250926
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-26 01:30
纯碱、玻璃日报 日期 2025 年 9 月 26 日 行业 油) 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 硅)028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 021-60635727 期货从业资格号:F03134307 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油燃料 研究员:任俊弛(PTA、MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(尿素、工业 研究员:彭婧霖(聚烯烃) 研究员:刘悠然(纸浆) 研究员:冯泽仁(玻璃、纯碱) 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 ...
建信期货油脂日报-20250926
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-26 01:29
Report Information - Report Date: September 26, 2025 [2] - Industry: Oils and Fats [1] - Research Team: Agricultural Products Research Team [4] - Researchers: Yu Lanlan, Lin Zhenlei, Wang Haifeng, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [3] Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - In the short - term, the 01 contract is expected to fluctuate within a range, while the 05 contract should be traded with a strategy of low - buying and rolling long. In the long - term, the trend of oils and fats is bullish due to favorable biodiesel policies. Attention should be paid to China - US negotiations and biofuel policies [8] Summary by Sections 1. Market Review and Operational Suggestions - Market Review: In the East China market, the spot price of Grade 3 rapeseed oil is OI2601 + 250, and from October to November it is OI2601 + 260. The price of Grade 1 rapeseed oil in October is OI2601 + 360, and from November to December it is OI2601 + 380. The basis price of Grade 1 soybean oil in the East China market is 01 + 220 from December to January, 01 + 240 from December to February, 01 + 200 from January to March, and 05 + 250 from April to July. In the Guangdong market, palm oil quotes from traders are stable, with 18 - degree palm oil priced at 01 + 140 in Guangzhou warehouse and 01 + 120 in Dongguan warehouse, 24 - degree and 28 - degree palm oil at 01 - 40 in Dongguan warehouse [7] - Operational Suggestions: Argentina has resumed tariffs as the $7 billion registration quota for agricultural tax exemptions has been used up. In July, Indonesia's palm oil inventory increased by 1.5% month - on - month to 2.57 million tons due to increased production and slower exports. In 2026, Indonesia's palm oil exports to the EU are expected to grow. Malaysia's high - frequency data shows a decline in production but favorable export data. Rapeseed oil continues to reduce inventory in the short term, with concentrated supply and rising basis prices. Domestic oils and fats supply is sufficient this year but may be in short supply in the first quarter of next year. The 01 contract is expected to fluctuate within a range, and the 05 contract should be traded with a low - buying and rolling long strategy [8] 2. Industry News - From September 1 - 20, 2025, Malaysia's palm oil production decreased by 4.26% month - on - month, with a decline of 8.23% in Peninsular Malaysia, an increase of 0.73% in Sabah, an increase of 7.63% in Sarawak, and an increase of 2.64% in East Malaysia [9] - From September 1 - 25, 2025, Malaysia's palm oil exports were 1.185422 million tons, an increase of 11.3% compared to 1.065005 million tons from August 1 - 25 [9] 3. Data Overview - The report presents data on the spot prices of East China's Grade 3 rapeseed oil, Grade 4 soybean oil, and South China's 24 - degree palm oil, as well as the basis changes of palm oil, soybean oil, and rapeseed oil, and the price spreads of palm oil contracts. It also includes the exchange rates of the US dollar against the Chinese yuan and the Malaysian ringgit [11][13][14][21][26][27]
建信期货纸浆日报-20250926
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-26 01:29
Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core Viewpoints - The pulp market is undergoing short - term fluctuations. The external market quotations show a mixed trend, the supply - side tightening needs to be reflected in shipments, port inventories are at a high level, and downstream paper mills still aim to reduce costs and increase efficiency. The market is expected to continue its low - level volatile adjustment [8] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - The previous settlement price of the pulp futures 01 contract was 5268 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5314 yuan/ton, a rise of 0.87%. The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in the Shandong wood pulp market was 5000 - 6600 yuan/ton, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day. The quotation of Shandong Silver Star was 5600 - 5620 yuan/ton [7] - Chile's Arauco Company announced its new September wood pulp export quotations: softwood pulp Silver Star was 700 US dollars/ton, down 20 US dollars/ton from last month; natural pulp Venus was 590 US dollars/ton, unchanged from last month; hardwood pulp Star was 520 US dollars/ton, up 20 US dollars/ton from last month [8] - In August, the chemical pulp shipments of the world's 20 major pulp - producing countries increased by 10.3% year - on - year, with softwood pulp up 5% and hardwood pulp up 14.7%. China's total pulp imports in August were 2.653 million tons, a decrease of 7.9% month - on - month and 5.6% year - on - year. As of September 25, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports decreased by 3.84% month - on - month [8] - In the downstream cultural paper market, affected by typhoon weather, the operation of individual production lines in South China declined, and the production of some downstream enterprises stagnated. The trading in the base paper market weakened, showing a weak and volatile trend [8] 2. Industry News - On September 25, the PM71 paper machine at Shanying's Suzhou base was successfully started. After the successful start of the PM72 at the same base, this is another major milestone achieved by Voith and Shanying. The dual - machine operation of PM71&72 at the Suzhou base marks a key step in Shanying's layout in the high - end corrugated base paper market [9] 3. Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including import bleached softwood pulp spot prices in Shandong, pulp futures prices, pulp spot - futures price differences, softwood - hardwood price differences, inter - period price differences, European main port wood pulp inventories, copperplate paper and offset paper prices and price differences, white cardboard and whiteboard paper prices and price differences, and the US dollar - RMB exchange rate [15][24][30]
建信期货豆粕日报-20250926
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-26 01:29
Report Summary - Report Date: September 26, 2025 [2] - Reported Industry: Soybean Meal [1] - Research Team: Agricultural Products Research Team [4] - Analysts: Yu Lanlan, Lin Zhenlei, Wang Haifeng, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [4] 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The previous logic of soybean shortage has loosened due to Argentina's suspension of export taxes on soybeans and their by - products, and some domestic oil mills have started to actively purchase Argentine soybeans, shaking the shortage logic for the fourth quarter. With sufficient purchases for September and October, the supply until the end of November is generally worry - free. However, the potential supply reduction from December to January needs to closely track Argentine soybean purchases, Argentine policy continuity, and the progress of Sino - US negotiations. - The market is currently affected by Argentina's policy change and high inventory, leading to a significant price decline. Before the National Day, there is a lack of potential bullish factors, and the technical trend is weak. The market is expected to experience low - level fluctuations after a rapid decline [6]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review - **Contract Performance**: - For the Soybean Meal 2601 contract, the previous settlement price was 2922, the opening price was 2958, the highest price was 2976, the lowest price was 2951, the closing price was 2967, with a rise of 45 and a gain of 1.54%. The trading volume was 1,262,657, the open interest was 1,937,464, and the open interest decreased by 97,619. - For the Soybean Meal 2509 contract, the previous settlement price was 2851, the opening price was 2858, the highest price was 2875, the lowest price was 2858, the closing price was 2870, with a rise of 19 and a gain of 0.67%. The trading volume was 13,790, the open interest was 43,222, and the open interest increased by 4,295. - For the Soybean Meal 2511 contract, the previous settlement price was 2895, the opening price was 2929, the highest price was 2950, the lowest price was 2922, the closing price was 2940, with a rise of 45 and a gain of 1.55%. The trading volume was 75,971, the open interest was 479,636, and the open interest decreased by 17,194 [6]. - **External Market and Policy Impact**: The US soybean futures contract fluctuated, with the main contract at 1015 cents. Argentina suspended export taxes on all grains and by - products such as soybean oil and soybean meal. After the tax reduction, the CIF price of Argentine soybeans in China is 30 - 50 dollars/ton lower than that of the US. Some domestic oil mills have started to purchase Argentine soybeans, and there have been orders for Argentine soybean meal since mid - to - late August [6]. 3.2 Industry News - Argentina's government announced on Monday that it would suspend export taxes on all grains and by - products such as soybean oil and soybean meal until October 31 or until the total export volume reaches 7 billion dollars. Previously, the export tax on Argentine soybeans was 26%, and that on soybean oil and soybean meal was 24.5% [6][7]. - Since Argentina temporarily cancelled export taxes on soybeans and grain by - products this week, Chinese buyers have purchased about 20 ships (about 1.3 million tons) of Argentine soybeans, an increase from the previously reported 10 - 15 ships. In August 2025, the national industrial feed production was 29.36 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 3.7% and a year - on - year increase of 3.8%. Among them, the year - on - year growth rates of formula feed, concentrated feed, and additive premixed feed were 3.4%, 8.3%, and 7.9% respectively [18]. 3.3 Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including the spread between Soybean Meal 1 - 5 contracts, the spread between Soybean Meal 5 - 9 contracts, the central parity rate of the US dollar against the RMB, the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Brazilian real, the ex - factory price of soybean meal, and the basis of the Soybean Meal 01 contract. The data sources are Wind and the Research Center of CCB Futures [11][13][14]
建信期货聚烯烃日报-20250926
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-26 01:29
Report Information - Report Title: Polyolefin Daily Report [1] - Date: September 26, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Core View - Futures prices opened higher, fluctuated, and slightly increased. Traders tentatively raised prices, and some spot prices slightly increased. Downstream buyers stocked up at low prices, and actual transactions were negotiated on a case - by - case basis. Near the double festivals, there was still some support from increased packaging demand, but market confidence was insufficient, and there was no large - scale restocking. Demand drive was limited, the market rebound was weak, and prices fluctuated weakly at low levels [6] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Outlook - Plastic 2601 (L2601) opened higher, fluctuated during the session, and closed up at 7,169 yuan/ton, up 31 yuan/ton (0.43%), with a trading volume of 167,000 lots and a decrease in positions by 9,915 to 561,860 lots. PP2601 closed at 6,898 yuan/ton, up 28 yuan (0.41%), with a decrease in positions by 8,467 to 628,037 lots [5][6] 2. Industry News - On September 25, 2025, the inventory level of major producers was 615,000 tons, a decrease of 15,000 tons (2.38%) from the previous working day, compared with 690,000 tons in the same period last year. PE market prices showed mixed trends. The price of linear LLDPE in North China was 7,090 - 7,350 yuan/ton, in East China was 7,150 - 7,650 yuan/ton, and in South China was 7,250 - 7,700 yuan/ton. The mainstream price of propylene in Shandong market was 6,450 - 6,520 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous working day. PDH device start - stop news was concentrated, and market sentiment was cautious. PP market was generally stable with minor fluctuations. Downstream factories were cautious in purchasing, suppressing the upward space of actual transactions [7] 3. Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including L basis, PP basis, L - PP spread, crude oil futures main contract settlement price, two - oil inventory, and two - oil inventory year - on - year increase/decrease rate, with data sources from Wind and Zhuochuang Information [13][15][16]
建信期货原油日报-20250926
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-26 01:24
Group 1: General Information - Report Type: Crude Oil Daily Report [1] - Date: September 26, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - WTI Main Contract: Opened at $63.64, closed at $64.81, with a high of $65.05, a low of $63.25, a daily increase of 2.21%, and a trading volume of 26.19 million barrels [6] - Brent Main Contract: Opened at $67.17, closed at $68.26, with a high of $68.51, a low of $66.79, a daily increase of 1.93%, and a trading volume of 39.14 million barrels [6] - SC Main Contract: Opened at 486.3 yuan/barrel, closed at 490.6 yuan/barrel, with a high of 491.3 yuan/barrel, a low of 485.8 yuan/barrel, a daily increase of 1.72%, and a trading volume of 8.26 million barrels [6] - Core View: Due to continuous attacks on Russian energy facilities by Ukraine, overnight oil prices rose. EIA data showed that US crude oil and gasoline inventories declined simultaneously, and the pace of crude oil destocking slowed after net imports returned to normal. EIA and IEA raised their global crude oil supply forecasts in their monthly reports, with the expected pace of inventory accumulation accelerating. Oil prices will remain under pressure in the medium term, and a short - selling strategy is recommended. The restart of the Ceyhan pipeline may further pressure the supply side, so short on rallies [6] Group 3: Industry News - The European Commission will propose a plan to increase tariffs on Russian oil imports in due course [9] - The Russian Ministry of Economic Development expects Brent crude oil prices to reach $70 per barrel from 2026 to 2027 [9] - Oil exports through the Iraq - Turkey pipeline are about to resume [9] - Saudi Arabia's oil export value in July decreased by 0.7% year - on - year, while non - oil exports increased by 30.4% [9] Group 4: Data Overview - Data includes global high - frequency crude oil inventory, EIA crude oil inventory, US crude oil production growth rate, Dtd Brent price, WTI spot price, Oman spot price, US gasoline consumption, and US diesel consumption [10][11][14][20]
建信期货生猪日报-20250926
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-26 01:24
Report Information - Report Name: Pig Daily Report [1] - Date: September 26, 2025 [2] Report Summary 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The overall supply - demand situation of live pigs is loose, with prices likely to remain weak. On the spot side, although demand has increased, the continuous increase is not obvious, and the supply pressure is relatively large. In the futures market, the supply of live pigs before the Spring Festival is expected to increase slightly, and the 2511 and 2601 contracts are mainly dragged down by the weak spot market [9]. 3. Summary by Section 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market**: On the 25th, the main 2511 contract of live pigs opened flat, then rose and then fell and fluctuated lower, closing with a negative line. The highest was 12,760 yuan/ton, the lowest was 12,665 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 12,685 yuan/ton, down 0.12% from the previous day. The total open interest of the index decreased by 536 lots to 247,350 lots [8]. - **Spot Market**: On the 25th, the average price of ternary pigs nationwide was 12.56 yuan/kg, down 0.09 yuan/kg from the previous day [8]. - **Supply - side**: In September, the planned sales volume of sample breeding enterprises was 25.7 million heads, an increase of 970,000 heads or 3.92% compared with the actual output in August, with a daily average increase of 7.39%. The slaughter weight increased slightly, and long - term pre - Spring Festival slaughter may continue to increase slightly [9]. - **Demand - side**: The price difference between fat and standard pigs widened slightly, and the fattening cost was still low. Currently, secondary fattening is mainly in a wait - and - see state. Although the weather has turned cooler, the demand increase is not obvious, and the sales of white - striped pigs are slow. The orders of slaughtering enterprises have slightly increased, and the operating rate and slaughter volume have slightly increased. On September 25th, the slaughter volume of sample slaughtering enterprises was 143,600 heads, a decrease of 11,400 heads from the previous day, a week - on - week decrease of 6,000 heads, and a month - on - month increase of 3,400 heads [9]. 3.2 Industry News - As of September 18th, the average profit per self - breeding and self - raising live pig was 7.7 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 46 yuan/head; the average profit per purchased piglet for breeding was - 246.6 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 70.8 yuan/head [10][11]. 3.3 Data Overview - On the week of September 18th, the average market sales price of 15kg piglets was 358 yuan/head, a decrease of 36 yuan/head from the previous week [14]. - On the week of September 18th, the price difference between 150 - kg fat pigs and standard pigs was 0.16 yuan/jin, a week - on - week increase of 0.03 yuan/jin [14]. - The cost of fattening from 110 kg to 140 kg was 12.71 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.47 yuan/kg from the previous week; the cost of fattening from 125 kg to 150 kg was 12.94 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.58 yuan/kg from the previous week [14]. - On the week of September 18th, the operating rate of slaughtering enterprises was 31.77%, an increase of 0.37 percentage points from the previous week and 2.22 percentage points year - on - year, with the weekly operating rate fluctuating in the range of 31.54 - 31.80 [14]. - As of the week of September 18th, the average slaughter weight of live pigs nationwide was 128.45 kg, an increase of 0.13 kg or 0.10% from the previous week [14].
白糖日报-20250926
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-26 01:21
Group 1: Report Overview - Report Title: Sugar Daily Report [1] - Report Date: September 26, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Agricultural Products Research Team [4] - Researchers: Wang Haifeng, Lin Zhenlei, Yu Lanlan, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [3] Group 2: Market Quotes and Operation Suggestions - Futures Market Quotes: SR601 closed at 5485 yuan/ton, up 2 yuan or 0.04%, with a position of 431,349 contracts, a decrease of 7,657 contracts; SR605 closed at 5454 yuan/ton, up 8 yuan or 0.15%, with a position of 64,361 contracts, an increase of 388 contracts; ICE US Sugar 11 Oct closed at 15.60 cents/pound, down 0.06 cents or 0.38%, with a position of 78,572 contracts, a decrease of 19,602 contracts; ICE US Sugar 11 Mar closed at 16.12 cents/pound, down 0.03 cents or 0.19%, with a position of 465,280 contracts, an increase of 3,310 contracts [7] - Market Trends: On Wednesday, the New York raw sugar futures fluctuated weakly. The London ICE white sugar futures' December contract closed down 0.9% to $458.70 per ton. The fundamentals of the sugar market have not changed much in the short term. The recent rebound in crude oil prices has slightly supported sugar prices. The raw sugar price is at a low level, and it is difficult to continue to decline, but there is also a lack of clear upward drivers. Yesterday, the main contract of Zhengzhou sugar futures rose first and then fell. The 01 contract closed at 5485 yuan/ton, up 2 yuan or 0.04%, with a reduction of 7,657 contracts. The spot prices in domestic producing areas remained unchanged. The price of Nanning sugar was 5860 yuan, and the price of Kunming sugar was 5720 yuan. Today, the night session of Zhengzhou sugar futures rose sharply, and the day session fell sharply. The main reason is that the market confirmed that Typhoon "Hagupit" had little impact on the main sugarcane areas in Guangxi and did not cause natural disasters, so the bullish sentiment dissipated. After the market, it is worth noting that the speculative short positions remained unchanged and the positions were large [7][8] Group 3: Industry News - Global Sugar Supply and Demand: Broker and analysis firm StoneX said in a report on Tuesday that the global sugar market is expected to have a surplus of 2.77 million tons in the 2025/26 season starting in October. Global sugar production is estimated at 197.5 million tons, while consumption is expected to be 194.7 million tons. StoneX said that improved crop harvests in Brazil, India, and Thailand will be sufficient to offset the expected decline in production in Europe. Earlier on Tuesday, the broker released a detailed forecast for Brazil's new crushing season, expecting an increase in sugar production in Brazil due to the expected return to normal weather conditions and an increase in newly planted sugarcane [11] - Brazilian Sugar Export: Brazilian shipping agency Williams released data showing that as of the week ending September 24, the number of vessels waiting to load sugar at Brazilian ports was 76, down from 85 in the previous week. The quantity of sugar waiting to be loaded at ports was 3.1039 million tons, down from 3.2827 million tons in the previous week. Among the total sugar waiting to be exported in the week, the quantity of high-grade raw sugar (VHP) was 2.8642 million tons. According to Williams' data, the quantity of sugar waiting to be exported at Santos Port was 2.1394 million tons, and the quantity at Paranagua Port was 0.5647 million tons [11] - China's Dairy and Beverage Production: Data released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed that China's dairy product output in August 2025 was 2.555 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 1.3%. From January to August 2025, China's cumulative dairy product output was 19.134 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 1%. In addition, China's beverage output in August 2025 was 17.758 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 0.5%. From January to August 2025, China's cumulative beverage output was 128.761 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.5% [11] Group 4: Data Overview - Trading Volume and Position of Top 20 Seats in Zhengzhou Sugar Futures: The report provides the trading volume, long position, and short position data of the top 20 seats in the main contract of Zhengzhou sugar futures, including the changes in these data [22] - Other Data Charts: The report also includes charts of spot price trends, basis, spreads, Brazilian raw sugar import profits, Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange warehouse receipts, Brazilian real exchange rate, etc. [13][15][19]
锌期货日报-20250925
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-25 03:03
Group 1: General Information - Report Name: Zinc Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: September 25, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin, Yu Feifei [3][4] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating is provided in the report. Group 3: Core Views - Domestic processing fees lack upward momentum, with local quotes showing a narrow decline but no downward trend [7]. - Although smelters' comprehensive profits have shrunk, they remain at a relatively high level. More smelters are undergoing maintenance in September, and the output is expected to decline by 1 - 20,000 tons month - on - month, with the monthly output expected to be around 600,000 tons. The supply side generally remains loose [7]. - Thanks to the resumption of previously shut - down and reduced - production facilities, the operating rates of galvanizing and zinc oxide have slightly increased. However, overall consumption is not ideal during the peak consumption season. The operating rate in the primary consumption sector has increased month - on - month but is weaker than the same period last year. Social inventories decreased slightly on Monday [7]. - There is still some bargain - hunting replenishment by downstream enterprises when zinc prices fall, but most of the previous price - fixing has been completed, and the spot premium has limited upward momentum. Zinc prices are expected to fluctuate between 21,800 - 22,500 yuan [7]. Group 4: Market Review - **Futures Market Quotes**: - For the contract "2510" of Shanghai Zinc, the opening price was 21,930 yuan/ton, the closing price was 21,845 yuan/ton, the highest was 21,980 yuan/ton, the lowest was 21,830 yuan/ton, the change was - 100 yuan/ton, the change rate was - 0.46%, the trading volume was 2,510, and the open interest was 42,441 with a decrease of 5,600 [7]. - For the contract "2511" of Shanghai Zinc, the opening price was 21,895 yuan/ton, the closing price was 21,860 yuan/ton, the highest was 21,985 yuan/ton, the lowest was 21,860 yuan/ton, the change was - 95 yuan/ton, the change rate was - 0.43%, the trading volume was 2,511, and the open interest was 141,867 with an increase of 1,495 [7]. - For the contract "2512" of Shanghai Zinc, the opening price was 21,905 yuan/ton, the closing price was 21,875 yuan/ton, the highest was 21,990 yuan/ton, the lowest was 21,870 yuan/ton, the change was - 80 yuan/ton, the change rate was - 0.36%, the trading volume was 2,512, and the open interest was 49,776 with an increase of 5,966 [7]. Group 5: Industry News - On September 24, 2025, the mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc was concentrated between 21,920 - 22,035 yuan/ton, that of Shuangyan was between 22,050 - 22,165 yuan/ton, and that of 1 zinc was between 21,850 - 21,965 yuan/ton [8]. - In the Ningbo market, the mainstream brand 0 zinc was traded at around 21,890 - 21,995 yuan/ton. The regular brands in Ningbo were quoted at a discount of 25 yuan/ton to the "2510" contract and a premium of 30 yuan/ton to Shanghai spot [8]. - In the Tianjin market, 0 zinc ingots were mainly traded between 21,890 - 22,010 yuan/ton, and 1 zinc ingots were traded around 21,800 - 21,920 yuan/ton. The price of Huludao zinc was 22,580 yuan/ton [8]. - In the Guangdong market, 0 zinc was mainly traded between 21,845 - 21,995 yuan/ton. The mainstream brands were quoted at a discount of 70 yuan/ton to the "2511" contract and at par with Shanghai spot [8]. Group 6: Data Overview - The report mentions data on the weekly inventory of SMM's seven - region zinc ingots (in 10,000 tons), LME zinc inventory (in tons), the price trends of zinc in two markets, and SHFE's inter - month spread, but specific data values are not provided [13][15]