Jian Xin Qi Huo
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建信期货鸡蛋日报-20251231
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-31 01:29
Report Overview - Report Date: December 31, 2025 [2] - Reported Industry: Eggs [1] Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Core View - The spot price of eggs has been stable in recent days after rising before the New Year's Day. The futures market is oscillating at the bottom, and the main contract is gradually shifting to 03. The near - month contracts are significantly reducing positions. It is recommended to pay attention to the post - holiday spot price performance. If the current oscillation continues, short - sellers may return in mid - January, focusing on the 02 and 03 contracts after the holiday. The far - month contracts are generally bullish due to the logic of production capacity reduction, and the strategy is to make rolling operations after a decline [8] Section Summaries 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Market Review: For egg futures, the 2601 contract closed at 3072 with a 0.03% increase, trading 12,547 lots and having a position of 21,414 with a decrease of 22,102; the 2602 contract closed at 2938 with a 0.03% decrease, trading 122,709 lots and having a position of 128,794 with a decrease of 13,173; the 2603 contract closed at 2962 with a 0.34% decrease, trading 115,703 lots and having a position of 208,380 with an increase of 10,677. The average price in the main production areas was 3.02 yuan/jin, up 0.01 yuan/jin from the previous day, and in the main sales areas, it was 3.24 yuan/jin, down 0.01 yuan/jin from the previous day [7][8] - Operation Suggestions: Pay attention to the post - holiday spot price performance. If the oscillation continues, short - sellers may return in mid - January, mainly focusing on the 02 and 03 contracts after the holiday. For far - month contracts, adopt a strategy of rolling operations after a decline [8] 2. Industry News - Inventory: As of the end of November 2025, the national monthly inventory of laying hens was about 1.352 billion, a month - on - month decrease of 0.52%, ending the previous continuous growth. The year - on - year increase was 5.3%, indicating significant supply - side pressure [9] - Replenishment: In November 2025, the monthly output of layer chicks from sample enterprises was about 39.55 million, slightly increasing from 39.15 million in October but a significant 13.5% decrease compared with the same period in 2024. The total replenishment from August to November 2025 was about 157.71 million, compared with about 180.11 million in the same period last year [9] - Culling Volume: The culling volume has been decreasing recently. From the three weeks up to December 18, the national culling volume was 20.82 million, 19.84 million, and 19.67 million respectively, showing a continuous decline [9] - Culling Age: As of December 18, the average culling age was 486 days, the same as the previous week and 6 days earlier than the previous month [10] 3. Data Overview - Multiple data charts are provided, including the average price of eggs in the main production areas, the seasonal trend of eggs in December, the basis of the 12 - contract eggs, the 12 - 02 spread of eggs, the monthly inventory of laying hens in China, and the layer farming profit. The data sources are Wind, Jianxin Futures Research and Investment Center, Zhuochuang Information, and Trading Famen [10][12][17]
建信期货棉花日报-20251231
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-31 01:29
行业 棉花 日期 2025 年 12 月 31 日 研究员:余兰兰 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0301101 研究员:林贞磊 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3055047 研究员:王海峰 021-60635727 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0230741 研究员:洪辰亮 021-60635572 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3076808 研究员:刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 农产品研究团队 、 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 据巴西国家商品供应公司(Conab),截至 12 月 27 日,巴西 2025/26 年度 棉花种植率为 25.1%,上周为 16.9%,去年同期为 25.2%,五年均值为 15.6%。 据中国 ...
建信期货原油日报-20251231
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-31 01:27
行业 原油日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 31 日 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油沥青) 研究员:任俊弛(PTA、MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(工业硅碳市场) 研究员:彭婧霖(聚烯烃) 研究员:刘悠然(纸浆) 研究员:冯泽仁(玻璃纯碱) 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | ...
建信期货工业硅日报-20251231
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-31 01:27
工业硅日报 油) 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 硅)028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 研究员:冯泽仁(玻璃纯碱) 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03134307 行业 日期 2025 年 12 月 31 日 能源化工研究团队 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油燃料 研究员:任俊弛(PTA/MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(工业硅/多晶 研究员:彭婧霖(聚烯烃) 研究员:刘悠然(纸浆) 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、行情回顾与展望 ...
建信期货国债日报-20251231
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-31 01:27
行业 国债日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 31 日 研究员:何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 18665641296 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3008762 研究员:黄雯昕(国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3051589 研究员:聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03124070 宏观金融团队 一、行情回顾与操作建议 当日行情: 市场情绪有所修复,30 年长债在昨日大跌后回暖收涨。 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 | | | 表1:国债期货12月30日交易数据汇总 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 前结算价 | 开盘价 | 收盘价 | 结算价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 (%) | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 仓差 | | TL2603 | 111.640 ...
建信期货聚烯烃日报-20251231
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-31 01:27
行业 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 028-86630631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员:彭婧霖(聚烯烃) 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油燃料油) 研究员:任俊弛(PTA、MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(尿素、工业硅) 研究员:刘悠然(纸浆) 研究员:冯泽仁(玻璃纯碱) 请阅读正文后的声明 聚烯烃日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 31 日 每日报告 | 表1:期货市场行情 | ...
纯碱、玻璃日报-20251231
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-31 01:26
行业 纯碱、玻璃日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 31 日 油) 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 硅)028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 021-60635727 期货从业资格号:F03134307 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油燃料 研究员:任俊弛(PTA、MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(尿素、工业 研究员:彭婧霖(聚烯烃) 研究员:刘悠然(纸浆) 研究员:冯泽仁(玻璃、纯碱) 请阅读正文后的声明 基本面方面,本周纯碱产量为 ...
建信期货铜期货日报-20251230
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-30 02:03
Group 1: Report General Information - Report Name: Copper Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: December 30, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Non - ferrous Metals Research Team [4] - Researchers: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [3] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Market Trend: Copper prices rose and then fell. SHFE copper reached over 100,000 yuan. Afternoon dives in silver, platinum, and palladium dragged copper prices back. Spot prices rose 3000 to 100,740 yuan, and the spot discount narrowed 10 to 330 yuan. Social inventories increased 2.12 to 21.48 tons over last Thursday. Spot import losses were 1648 yuan, and the export window was close to opening [9] - Operation Suggestion: The fundamental outlook is positive in the medium - term but weighed down by the short - term spot market. Copper prices are mainly driven by macro sentiment with expected increased volatility. With the New Year's Day holiday approaching, it is recommended to control positions before the holiday [9] Group 3: Industry News - Norfolk Metals: After approval at the 2025 November annual general meeting, the company issued and completed the placement of 760,209 fully - paid ordinary shares to Transcendence. As of Q4 2025, it had invested over 3 million Australian dollars in its Caremn copper project since June 2025 [9] - Goldman Sachs Forecast: Current copper prices reflect the expected US refined copper tariff (expected to be announced in mid - 2026 and implemented in 2027). The 2026 average price is forecasted at 11,400 US dollars/ton. In 2026, overseas inventories are expected to drop by 450,000 tons, but the US may release about 1.5 million tons of strategic stockpiles in the second half of 2026, pressuring prices down [9] - Aeris Resources: The company received official approval from the New South Wales Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure to develop its Constellation copper - gold project in the Cobar Basin. The project has proven and probable ore reserves of 2.3 million tons with a copper grade of 2.0%, gold grade of 0.6 g/ton, and silver grade of 3 g/ton. The total mineral resource is 7.6 million tons [9][10]
建信期货原油日报-20251230
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-30 02:00
每日报告 行业 原油日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 30 日 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油沥青) 研究员:任俊弛(PTA、MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(工业硅碳市场) 研究员:彭婧霖(聚烯烃) 研究员:刘悠然(纸浆) 研究员:冯泽仁(玻璃纯碱) 请阅读正文后的声明 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | ...
建信期货焦炭焦煤日评-20251230
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-30 01:58
021-60635736 期货从业资格号:F3033782 投资咨询证书号:Z0014484 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03124070 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03134307 报告类型 焦炭焦煤日评 日期 2025 年 12 月 30 日 黑色金属研究团队 研究员:翟贺攀 zhaihepan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 研究员:聂嘉怡 研究员:冯泽仁 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 | | | | | | 表1:12月29日焦炭焦煤期货主力合约价格、成交及持仓情况(单位:元/吨、手、亿元) | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 代码 | 前收 盘价 | 开盘价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 持仓量 变化 | 资金流 入流出 | | J2605 | 172 ...