Report Information - Report Type: Iron Ore Daily Review [1] - Date: September 4, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Black Metal Research Team [3] - Researchers: Zhai Hepan, Nie Jiayi, Feng Zeren [3] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The overall price of iron ore is returning to fundamentals as the hype sentiment fades. In September, the price is expected to be under pressure in the early stage and may rebound later, showing a trend of being weak first and then strong [11]. Summary by Section 1. Market Review and Future Outlook 1.1 Spot Market Dynamics and Technical Analysis - On September 3, the main iron ore outer - market quotes increased by $1 per ton compared to the previous trading day, and the prices of major iron ore grades at Qingdao Port rose by 5 yuan per ton [9]. - The daily KDJ indicator of the iron ore 2601 contract shows a divergent trend, with the K and J values turning up and the D value continuing to decline, showing a potential golden cross. The green bar of the daily MACD indicator is narrowing [9]. 1.2 Future Outlook - In terms of fundamentals, last week's shipments and arrivals from Australia and Brazil increased. Considering the shipping time, the arrivals in September are expected to further recover, showing a pattern of being low in the first half and high in the second half [10]. - On the demand side, the daily average pig iron output is slightly higher and remains above 2.4 million tons. The production and demand of the five major steel products continue to rise slightly, the steel mill inventory continues to decline slightly, and the social inventory has reached a new high since early May [10]. - Market expectations of the September 3rd production restrictions may lead to a situation of weak supply and demand for steel. Since early August, steel mill profits have generally declined by 120 - 150 yuan per ton, which may suppress raw material demand to some extent, but the impact is limited [11]. - Steel mills have resumed on - demand restocking, and port inventories have accumulated, with further accumulation expected in September [11]. 2. Industry News - As of August 30, the nine major construction central enterprises announced their new contract values in the first half of 2025, with a total new contract value of approximately 7.957727 trillion yuan [12]. - On September 2, data from ISM showed that the US manufacturing activity contracted for the sixth consecutive month in August due to a decline in output. However, the new order index expanded for the first time since the beginning of the year, and the price index reached its lowest level since February, indicating a reduction in price fluctuations caused by tariffs [12]. 3. Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts related to the iron ore and steel markets, including prices, trading volumes, inventories, production, and capacity utilization rates, with data sources mainly from Mysteel and the research and development department of CCB Futures [5][8][14][21][23][28][29][36][42][47]

021-60635736 期货从业资格号：F3033782 投资咨询证书号：Z0014484 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03124070 日期 2025 年 9 月 4 日 黑色金属研究团队 研究员：翟贺攀 zhaihepan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 研究员：聂嘉怡 研究员：冯泽仁 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03134307 报告类型 焦炭焦煤日评 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 | | | | | 表1：9月3日焦炭焦煤期货主力合约价格、成交及持仓情况（单位：元/吨、手、亿元） | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 代码 | 前收 盘价 | 开盘价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 持仓量 变化 | 资金流 入流出 | | J2601 | 1596.5 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The aluminum price shows a relatively strong trend. Although it has not emerged from the off - season, the market sentiment is positive due to the impending Fed rate cut. The subsequent performance of the consumer side during the peak season should be monitored to see if it can break through the upper space [7]. - The cast - aluminum alloy is expected to strengthen under the resonance of multiple factors, and the strategy of going long on AD and short on AL can be held [7]. - Alumina is in a weak fundamental situation, breaking through the 3000 mark and running weakly in the short - term, but the downside space is expected to be limited. The operating capacity of electrolytic aluminum remains high, the military parade may delay the peak - season time, and the inventory is still accumulating [7]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1行情回顾与操作建议 - The Shanghai aluminum price first rose and then fell. The main contract tested around 20,900 and then declined again, closing at 20,710 at the end of the session, with a slight drop of 0.02%. The 09 - 10 spread was at a discount of - 10, the import window remained closed, and the spot import loss was - 1,354 yuan/ton [7]. - In the spot market, the selling sentiment was better than the buying sentiment, the purchasing power of downstream enterprises was weak, and the inventory accumulation suppressed the premium [7]. - The cast - aluminum alloy fluctuated following the Shanghai aluminum price. The negative spread between AD and AL was - 415. With the approaching of the traditional peak season and the termination of the tax refund policy in the scrap - aluminum industry leading to increased costs, the cast - aluminum alloy is expected to strengthen [7]. 3.2行业要闻 - On August 10, the Shanxi Provincial Department of Natural Resources adjusted the transfer and registration authority of some mineral species, aiming to strengthen the protection of bauxite and other strategic mineral resources [8]. - On August 4, the Guinea government established Nimba Mining Company SA (NMC) to take over EGA - GAC's mining rights. The previous GAC mining area of 690.20 square kilometers has been granted to NMC for 25 years. EGA's mine in Guinea with an annual capacity of 14 million tons stopped production in December last year and had its mining license revoked in May this year [10]. - The mining right of Sanmenxia Jinjiang Mining Co., Ltd.'s Shaanzhou District Dayuantao bauxite mine was changed, with a validity period from June 4, 2025, to April 3, 2030. The designed production scale is 500,000 tons/year [10]. - Rio Tinto approved an investment of $180 million to start the Norman Creek bauxite project in Queensland. Key infrastructure construction has begun, and the project is expected to be completed in 2028 [10]. - In June 2025, China's primary aluminum imports were about 192,400 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 13.8% and a year - on - year increase of 58.7%. From January to June, the cumulative primary aluminum imports were about 1.2499 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 2.5% [10]. - In June 2025, China's primary aluminum exports were about 19,600 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 39.5% and a year - on - year increase of 179.4%. From January to June, the cumulative primary aluminum exports were about 86,600 tons, a year - on - year increase of about 206.6% [10]. - In June 2025, China's net primary aluminum imports were 172,700 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 9.4% and a year - on - year increase of 51.3%. From January to June, the cumulative net primary aluminum imports were about 1.1633 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 2.3% [10].

Group 1: Report Overview - Industry: Nickel [1] - Date: September 4, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Nonferrous Metals Research Team [3] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Group 3: Core Viewpoints - Nickel prices are under pressure again, with the main contract closing down 1.1% to 121,790 yuan/ton. The average price of 8 - 12% high - nickel pig iron remained flat at 944 yuan/nickel point, and the average price of battery - grade nickel sulfate increased by 40 to 27,870 yuan/ton. The nickel ore price has limited downside and support is emerging due to events in Indonesia. NPI remains strong but the upside for stainless - steel terminals is limited. Sulfuric acid nickel prices are strong, but the demand for new - energy ternary batteries is mediocre. The primary nickel market remains in an oversupply situation, with limited upside and downside for nickel prices. It is recommended to adopt a trading strategy, with the index mainly operating in the range of 119,000 - 125,000 yuan, and it may be slightly stronger in September [8] Group 4: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Nickel price performance: The main nickel contract closed down 1.1% to 121,790 yuan/ton. The average price of 8 - 12% high - nickel pig iron was flat at 944 yuan/nickel point, and the average price of battery - grade nickel sulfate rose 40 to 27,870 yuan/ton [8] - Market analysis: Nickel ore has limited downside and support due to Indonesian events. NPI is strong due to cost support and demand recovery expectations, but stainless - steel terminal improvement is limited. Sulfuric acid nickel prices are strong, but new - energy ternary battery demand is mediocre [8] - Operation suggestion: Adopt a trading strategy, with the index mainly operating in the range of 119,000 - 125,000 yuan, and it may be slightly stronger in September [8] Group 5: Industry News - Indonesia's Danantara is exploring investment opportunities in the nickel downstream industry and considering acquiring the GNI smelter. It plans to prepare an investment plan of over $20 billion and provide about $60 million in medium - term financing through a syndicated loan [9] - Bulgaria has officially launched the largest operating battery energy storage system in the EU, with a capacity of 124 MW/496.2 MWh [10] - A Turkish research team has developed a TOPCon solar cell using nickel contact with almost no silver, which can significantly reduce production costs [10] - Apatura has obtained planning permission for a 100 - MW battery energy storage system project in Scotland, which will help the UK enhance power system resilience [10]

行业 鸡蛋 日期 2025 年 9 月 4 日 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0301101 ＃summary＃ 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.co m期货从业资格号：F3055047 021-60635727 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.c om期货从业资格号：F0230741 021-60635572 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures .com 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 农产品研究团队 研究员：余兰兰 研究员：林贞磊 研究员：王海峰 研究员：洪辰亮 期货从业资格号：F3076808 研究员：刘悠然 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1：行情回顾 | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

Group 1: General Information - Report Type: Crude Oil Daily Report [1] - Date: September 4, 2025 [2] Group 2: Research Team - Energy and Chemical Research Team: Li Jie (Crude Oil and Asphalt), Ren Junchi (PTA, MEG), Peng Haozhou (Industrial Silicon and Carbon Market), Peng Jinglin (Polyolefins), Liu Youran (Pulp), Feng Zeren (Glass and Soda Ash) [4] Group 3: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Price Changes: WTI rose 2.52% to $65.62, Brent rose 1.35% to $69.07, and SC rose 0.69% to 493.2 yuan/barrel [6] - Trading Volume: WTI had 29.61 million lots, Brent had 34.61 million lots, and SC had 9.09 million lots [6] - Market Drivers: Tension between the US and Venezuela and falling US oil and product inventories supported prices, but the end of the US travel season and weak consumption may limit upside [6] - Outlook: Oil prices are expected to continue to consolidate and may fall again in the medium term, and short - sellers should watch for entry opportunities [6] Group 4: Industry News - Kazakhstan's crude oil production in August increased 2% month - on - month to 1.88 million barrels per day [7] - Russia and the US will hold a new round of consultations [7] - Iran said the path to negotiations with the US is not closed [7] Group 5: Data Overview - Data Charts: Include global high - frequency crude oil inventory, WTI and Brent fund positions, spot prices, US crude oil production growth rate, and EIA crude oil inventory [9][11][19][22] - Data Sources: Bloomberg, wind, CFTC, EIA, and the research and development department of CCB Futures [10][11][15]

工业硅日报 油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 行业 日期 2025 年 09 月 04 日 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油燃料 研究员：任俊弛（PTA/MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（工业硅/多晶 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 期货从业资格号：F03134307 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、行情回顾与展望 ...

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Title: Pulp Daily Report [1] - Report Date: September 4, 2025 [2] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating provided in the report Group 3: Core View - Cost - end guidance is limited, supply remains loose, and pulp is in low - level volatile adjustment awaiting peak - season demand [8] Group 4: Market Review and Operation Suggestions Market Review - Pulp futures 01 contract: The previous settlement price was 5340 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5324 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.30%. The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in the Shandong wood pulp market is 5000 - 6650 yuan/ton, with the low - end price stable compared to the previous trading day's closing price. The price of Shandong Silver Star is 5,750 yuan/ton [7] - Arauco's August pulp offers: Softwood pulp Silver Star at 720 USD/ton, unbleached pulp Venus at 590 USD/ton, hardwood pulp Star at 520 USD/ton, all stable compared to June [8] - World's 20 major pulp - producing countries' July chemical pulp shipments: Up 7.3% year - on - year, with softwood pulp up 4.1% and hardwood pulp up 11.1% [8] - July European port pulp inventory: Down 1.9% month - on - month and up 19.2% year - on - year [8] - July China's pulp imports: 2.877 million tons, down 5.1% month - on - month and up 23.7% year - on - year [8] - As of August 28, 2025, weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports: Up 1.23% month - on - month [8] - January - July profit of the papermaking and paper products industry: Down 21.9% year - on - year, with a slightly wider decline [8] Operation Suggestions - No operation suggestions provided in the report Group 5: Industry News - On September 2, Shanying Paper announced a shutdown and maintenance plan for the National Day. It involves 12 paper lines at multiple bases in Anhui, Zhejiang, Central China, Fujian, Guangdong, and Jilin, with shutdown durations ranging from 4 to 8 days from September 29 to October 6, affecting about 97,000 tons of boxboard and corrugated paper production capacity [9] - July European port total inventory: Down 1.91% month - on - month and up 19.19% year - on - year. Only the ports in the Netherlands, Belgium, France, and Switzerland saw a 1.72% month - on - month increase, while ports in the UK, Germany, Italy, and Spain decreased by 26.03%, 6.96%, 1.45%, and 7.22% respectively [9] Group 6: Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts including import softwood pulp spot prices in Shandong, pulp futures prices, pulp spot - futures price differences, softwood - hardwood price differences, inter - delivery price differences, warehouse receipt volume, domestic main port pulp inventory, European main port pulp inventory, prices and price differences of coated paper, offset paper, white cardboard, and whiteboard paper, and the US dollar - RMB exchange rate [15][17][19][28][29][32]

Report Information - Report Name: Asphalt Daily Report [1] - Date: September 4, 2025 [2] Investment Rating - No investment rating is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The asphalt futures prices of BU2510 and BU2511 decreased by 0.36% and 0.31% respectively. The spot price in Shandong market rose slightly, while those in other regions remained stable. With the high - level of crude oil and asphalt futures, the spot market sentiment was boosted. The average operating load rate of asphalt plants is expected to rebound. In the demand side, the situation in South China has improved. It is recommended to pay attention to the demand implementation and wait and see for arbitrage [6]. Summary by Catalog 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Futures Market: The opening, closing, highest, and lowest prices, as well as the trading volume and price changes of BU2510 and BU2511 are presented. BU2510 opened at 3533 yuan/ton, closed at 3550 yuan/ton, with a high of 3561 yuan/ton, a low of 3529 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.36%, and a trading volume of 10.12 million lots. BU2511 opened at 3540 yuan/ton, closed at 3540 yuan/ton, with a high of 3555 yuan/ton, a low of 3525 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.31%, and a trading volume of 9.80 million lots [6]. - Spot Market: The asphalt spot price in Shandong market rose slightly, and those in other regions were generally stable. The high - level of crude oil and asphalt futures boosted the sentiment of the asphalt spot market [6]. - Supply: Some local refineries in Shandong switched to produce residual oil without a clear plan to resume asphalt production. However, due to the expected increase in asphalt production of Hebei Xinhai at the end of the month and the planned resumption of asphalt production by Ningbo Keyuan around the 28th, the average operating load rate of asphalt plants is expected to rebound [6]. - Demand: The weather in South China cleared up, and driven by market sentiment, the trading atmosphere and the shipment volume of key storage areas improved [6]. - Operation Suggestion: Pay attention to the demand implementation. As oil prices are rising due to geopolitical factors, arbitrage should be put on hold for the time being [6]. 2. Industry News - Shandong Market: The mainstream transaction price of 70 A - grade asphalt was 3510 - 3820 yuan/ton, up 5 yuan/ton from the previous working day. The high - level of international oil prices and asphalt futures boosted the spot market atmosphere. Some refineries continued to raise contract prices, and traders followed suit to raise spot quotes [7]. - South China Market: The mainstream transaction price of 70 A - grade asphalt was 3490 - 3540 yuan/ton, remaining stable from the previous working day. Sinopec may adjust prices for order filling, but after continuous price increases, the trading volume did not increase, so traders' quotes remained stable for now, waiting for the guidance of the prices of major suppliers [7]. 3. Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including Shandong asphalt spot price, Shandong asphalt basis, asphalt daily operating rate, Shandong asphalt comprehensive profit, asphalt cracking, asphalt social inventory, asphalt manufacturers' inventory, and asphalt warehouse receipts, with data sources from Wind and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [14][16][18][22]

多晶硅日报 期货从业资格号：F03134307 行业 油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 日期 2025 年 09 月 04 日 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油燃料 研究员：任俊弛（PTA/MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（工业硅/多晶 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、行情回顾与展望 ...