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碳酸锂期货日报-20251225
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-25 03:48
1. Report Information - Report Name: Carbonate Lithium Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: December 25, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [3][4] 2. Core Viewpoints - Carbonate lithium futures rose to a new high in two years, with total positions decreasing by 9,244 lots and increasing capital exit sentiment. The spot price increased by 2,000 to 101,500, Australian ore rose by 30 to 1,435, mica rose by 85 to 3,210, ternary materials rose by 700 - 800, lithium iron phosphate rose by 470 - 490, and electrolyte prices remained flat. The industry chain price increase trend continued, and there was still fundamental support. However, the short - term deviation between futures and spot prices of carbonate lithium was large. As the LC2601 contract was about to enter delivery, the pressure of futures - spot convergence might slow down the short - term upward pace of lithium prices [11] 3. Industry News Summary - On December 24, Zhongwei Co., Ltd. stated on the interactive platform that it had acquired two salt lake lithium mines in Argentina at low cost at the bottom of the industry cycle, and 100% equity transfer procedures had been completed. The two salt lake lithium mines were still in the exploration and construction stage [12] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration issued several opinions to promote the large - scale development of solar thermal power generation. They supported new energy bases such as large - scale "desert, Gobi, and wasteland" new energy bases for external transmission, water - wind - solar bases for external transmission, and various self - use bases with suitable technical and economic conditions to carry out solar thermal power station project construction. They would scientifically determine the installed capacity of solar thermal power generation in the bases, optimize and improve the base regulation capacity, increase the proportion of green electricity in the base, reduce the average carbon emissions per kilowatt - hour of the base, strengthen the stable transmission of new energy, and actively explore the role of technically and economically feasible solar thermal power stations as supporting and regulating power sources in large bases [12]
锌期货日报-20251225
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-25 03:41
研究员:张平 021-60635734 zhangping@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3015713 行业 锌期货日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 25 日 021-60635740 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635729 yufeifei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3025190 有色金属研究团队 研究员:彭婧霖 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 研究员:余菲菲 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 一、 行情回顾 | 表1:期货市场行情 | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 单位:元/吨 | | 开盘 | 收盘 | 最高 | 最低 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 持仓量 | 持仓量变化 | | 沪锌 | 2601 | 23185 | 23190 | 23285 | 23005 | 200 | 0.87 | 29137 | -5701 | | 沪锌 | 2602 | ...
建信期货鸡蛋日报-20251225
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-25 02:51
Group 1: General Information - Report date: December 25, 2025 [2] - Reported industry: Eggs [1] - Research team: Agricultural Products Research Team, including Yu Lanlan, Lin Zhenlei, Wang Haifeng, Hong Chenliang, and Liu Youran [4] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions Market Review | Contract | Previous Settlement Price | Opening Price | Highest Price | Lowest Price | Closing Price | Change | Change Rate | Trading Volume | Open Interest | Change in Open Interest | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Egg 2601 | 3029 | 3016 | 3075 | 3016 | 3072 | 43 | 1.42% | 26237 | 39087 | -1106 | | Egg 2602 | 2881 | 2878 | 2950 | 2878 | 2947 | 66 | 2.29% | 180956 | 169411 | -20946 | | Egg 2603 | 2938 | 2935 | 2991 | 2935 | 2986 | 48 | 1.63% | 110457 | 173845 | -4281 | [7] Operation Suggestions - The spot egg price in China is weak today. The average price in the main producing areas is 2.90 yuan/jin, down 0.07 yuan/jin from yesterday; the average price in the main selling areas is 3.22 yuan/jin, down 0.07 yuan/jin from yesterday. The 02 contract rose 2.29%. The prices in the main selling areas of Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou all declined, and the red eggs in the northern producing areas also declined under pressure. The spot market is weak today. However, the futures market rose against the trend. The near - month main contracts rose with a reduction in positions, mainly due to the profit - taking of previous short positions rather than the impetus from the spot market. - Contracts 02 and 03 are off - season contracts and usually have a significant price drop from the pre - holiday high. Currently, there is no sign of a price increase before the holiday. If the spot price continues to fluctuate, short positions may make a comeback. For near - month contracts, consider shorting after a price increase or selling call options. For far - month contracts, due to the logic of production capacity reduction, they are generally bullish. However, since they have already started rising, the strategy is to build positions after a price drop and conduct rolling operations [8] Group 3: Industry News Inventory - As of the end of November 2025, the monthly inventory of laying hens in China was about 1.352 billion, down 0.52% month - on - month from 1.359 billion at the end of October and 1.368 billion at the end of September, ending the previous continuous growth. However, compared with 1.284 billion in the same period last year, the year - on - year increase was still 5.3%, indicating significant pressure on the supply side [9] Replenishment - In November 2025, the monthly output of laying hen chicks from sample enterprises was about 39.55 million, slightly up from 39.15 million in October but significantly down 13.5% from 45.69 million in the same period in 2024. The total replenishment from August to November 2025 was about 157.71 million, compared with about 180.11 million in the same period last year [9] Culling Volume - As of December 18, the culling volume of laying hens in the previous three weeks was 20.82 million, 19.84 million, and 19.67 million respectively, showing a continuous downward trend [9] Culling Age - As of December 18, the average culling age of laying hens was 486 days, the same as last week and 6 days earlier than last month [9][10] Group 4: Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including the monthly inventory of laying hens in China, egg - laying chicken farming profit, the average price of eggs in the main producing areas, the seasonal trend of eggs in December, the basis of the egg 12 contract, and the spread between the egg 12 - 02 contracts, with data sources from Wind, Zhuochuang Information, and Trading Famen [12][14][15]
建信期货集运指数日报-20251225
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-25 02:51
行业 集运指数日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 25 日 研究员:何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 18665641296 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3008762 研究员:黄雯昕(国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3051589 研究员:聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03124070 宏观金融团队 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 | | | 表1:集运欧线期货12月24日交易数据汇总 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 前结算 价 | 开盘价 | 收盘价 | 结算价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 (%) | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 仓差 | | EC2512 | 1,603.6 | 1,605.0 | 1,605.9 | 1,604.4 | 2.3 | 0. ...
建信期货沥青日报-20251225
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-25 02:50
行业 沥青日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 25 日 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 期货从业资格号:F3015157 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 一、行情回顾与操作建议 表1: 行情回顾(元/吨) | | 开盘 | 收盘 | 最高 | 最低 | 涨跌幅% | 成交量(万手) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | BU2602 | 2990 | ...
白糖日报-20251225
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-25 02:49
研究员:王海峰 021-60635728 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0230741 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3055047 行业 白糖日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 25 日 请阅读正文后的声明 021-60635732 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures .com 期货从业资格号:F3076808 研究员:刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 农产品研究团队 研究员:林贞磊 研究员:余兰兰 研究员:洪辰亮 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0301101 #summary# 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1:期货行情 | 收盘价(元/吨 | 美分/磅) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 03 | | | | | ...
建信期货聚烯烃日报-20251225
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-25 02:49
行业 聚烯烃日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 25 日 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 028-86630631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 二、行业要闻 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员:彭婧霖(聚烯烃) 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油燃料油) 研究员:任俊弛(PTA、MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(尿素、工业硅) 研究员:刘悠然(纸浆) 研究员:冯泽仁(玻璃纯碱) 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 | 表1:期 ...
贵金属日评-20251225
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-25 02:49
行业 贵金属日评 2025 年 12 月 25 日 宏观金融团队 研究员:何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 021-60635739 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3008762 研究员:黄雯昕(国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3051589 研究员:聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03124070 请阅读正文后的声明 日期 每日报告 一、贵金属行情及展望 日内行情: 虽然美国三季度经济增速远超市场预期推高美债利率,但市场臆测联邦政府 停摆将拖累美国四季度经济增长,同时美联储主席候选人继续呼吁美联储降息, 美元指数跌破 98 关口,流动性溢价与计价货币因素继续推动贵金属板块偏强运 行;广期所铂钯行情未见停止迹象,但近期价格飙升也累积了内在调整风险,加 上圣诞节期间成交稀少价格波动性上升,建议投资者适当降低仓位。总体看在年 底消费旺季、美联储宽松货币政策和全球增长前景改善等因素影响下,近期贵金 属板块特别是工 ...
建信期货油脂日报-20251225
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-25 02:48
Report Overview - Report Date: December 25, 2025 [2] - Industry: Oil and Fat [1] - Research Team: Agricultural Products Research Team [4] - Researchers: Yu Lanlan, Lin Zhenlei, Wang Haifeng, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [3] 1. Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - Pay attention to the spot-futures convergence of the 2601 contract and view it as a rebound for now. The supply and demand fundamentals of forward contracts have little change, and it is expected to fluctuate narrowly. The high-frequency data in Malaysia shows that the export data from December 1 - 20 improved and the production decline from December 1 - 20 widened, providing some support for the palm oil market. The market is also concerned about the development of biodiesel in Indonesia. The domestic soybean oil inventory declines seasonally, and the basis is strong, with strong support for the futures price at 7,800 - 8,000. Rapeseed oil is generally used as a short position in arbitrage, but the basis quote is firm due to continuous inventory reduction and concentrated cargo rights. The futures price rebounds due to excessive decline, but caution is needed regarding the unilateral upward height. In terms of arbitrage, go long on palm oil and soybean oil and short on rapeseed oil [8] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Review**: In the East China market, the basis price of the third-grade rapeseed oil from December - January was OI2605 + 530, and from February - March was OI2605 + 490. The basis price of the first-grade rapeseed oil from December - January was OI2605 + 730, and from February - March was OI2601 + 690. The basis price of the first-grade soybean oil in the East China market had different values at different time periods. The palm oil quotes of traders in Dongguan were stable [7] - **Operation Suggestions**: Focus on the spot-futures convergence of the 2601 contract. For forward contracts, expect narrow fluctuations. In arbitrage, long palm oil and soybean oil and short rapeseed oil [8] 3.2 Industry News - The Malaysian Palm Oil Association (MPOA) stated that the palm oil production in Malaysia from December 1 - 20, 2025 decreased by 7.44% month-on-month. The production in the Malaysian Peninsula decreased by 11.66% month-on-month, the production in Sabah decreased by 2.12% month-on-month, the production in Sarawak decreased by 0.75% month-on-month, and the production in East Malaysia decreased by 1.73% month-on-month [9] 3.3 Data Overview - The report presents multiple figures, including the spot prices of East China third-grade rapeseed oil, East China fourth-grade soybean oil, South China 24-degree palm oil, the basis changes of palm oil, soybean oil, and rapeseed oil, the price spreads of P1 - 5, P5 - 9, P9 - 1, the US dollar to Chinese yuan exchange rate, and the US dollar to Malaysian ringgit exchange rate [11][13][16]
纯碱、玻璃日报-20251225
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-25 02:48
行业 纯碱、玻璃日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 25 日 油) 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 硅)028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 021-60635727 期货从业资格号:F03134307 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com #summary# 每日报告 一、纯碱、玻璃行情回顾与操作建议 | | | 表1:纯碱、玻璃期货12月24日交易数据汇总 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...