研究员：彭婧霖 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 行业 镍日报 日期 2025 年 8 月 15 日 有色金属研究团队 研究员：余菲菲 021-60635729 yufeifei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3025190 研究员:张平 021-60635734 zhangpin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015713 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 图1：机构净持仓 图2：机构多空比 数据来源：Wind，建信期货研究发展部 数据来源：Wind，建信期货研究发展部 镍观点： 美元宽松预期交易降温，而国内公布 7 月金融数据表现较弱，经济前景依旧 乏力，日内沪镍高位回落，主力 2509 收跌 1.26%报 121200 元/吨，现货淡季特征 依旧明显，日内期价下调部分跟盘小幅调升，但是成交偏淡，现货供大于求，贸 易商多反馈出货不振，金川一号镍平均升水涨 50 报 2100 元/吨，国内主流品牌电 积镍报-100-300 元/ ...

行业 铜期货日报 日期 2025 年 8 月 15 日 研究员：张平 021-60635734 zhangping@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015713 021-60635729 yufeifei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3025190 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 有色金属研究团队 研究员：余菲菲 研究员：彭婧霖 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、 行情回顾与操作建议 数据来源：Wind，建信期货研究发展部 铜价冲高回落，中国 7 月金融数据表现较弱，居民企业存贷双降，经济前景依旧 乏力，日内工业品抛售情绪较浓，铜价跟随回落。现货跌 40 至 79435，现货升水 涨 10 至 210，交割临近，持货商挺价出货，叠加社库去库 0.6 至 12.56 万吨，预 计明日现货升水依旧难降。现货沪伦比值回升至 8.1，进口转盈利 45，0-3C 结构 小幅缩窄至 79.2，仓单和提单溢价继续持平，短期现货市场维持内强外弱。宏观 面强预期与弱 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The lithium carbonate futures market showed a pattern of hitting bottom and then rebounding. The main contract of lithium carbonate once dropped to 82,820 during the session, but closed with a doji star at the end of the session. Although related industrial products had significant intraday declines, lithium carbonate was relatively resilient. The spot price of electric carbon increased by 1,000 to 82,000, the price of Australian ore rose by 20 to 990, and the price of lithium mica increased by 45 to 2,075. The profit of salt plants using purchased lithium spodumene expanded to 1,114, while the loss of salt plants using purchased lithium mica widened to 4,942. Salt plants' production enthusiasm was high, and the weekly production of lithium carbonate reached a new historical high of 19,980. The social inventory decreased by 162 to 142,256 tons. This week, both production and sales of lithium carbonate were booming. The shutdown of the Jianxiaowo Mine did not affect the weekly production of lithium carbonate. The emergence of a turning point in social inventory supported the lithium price. However, the current high - price lithium carbonate has a strong stimulating effect on upstream salt plants. It is expected that under the background of high - growth supply, the de - stocking of lithium carbonate will be limited. With limited support from the fundamentals and the weakening of small - scale speculation, the lithium price is expected to decline [12]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market**: The main contract of lithium carbonate futures hit bottom and rebounded, closing with a doji star. It was relatively resilient compared to related industrial products [12]. - **Spot Market**: The spot price of electric carbon increased by 1,000 to 82,000, the price of Australian ore rose by 20 to 990, and the price of lithium mica increased by 45 to 2,075 [12]. - **Profit and Production**: The profit of salt plants using purchased lithium spodumene expanded to 1,114, while the loss of salt plants using purchased lithium mica widened to 4,942. The weekly production of lithium carbonate reached a new historical high of 19,980, and the social inventory decreased by 162 to 142,256 tons [12]. - **Price Forecast**: With high - growth supply and limited fundamental support, the lithium price is expected to decline [12]. 3.2 Industry News - **Technological Innovation**: Scientists at Tokyo University of Science have developed a new quasi - solid electrolyte 3D - SLISE, which significantly improves the safety, efficiency, and recyclability of lithium - ion batteries. It uses environmentally friendly components such as borate - water - based systems, can achieve multi - directional lithium - ion conduction, reduces production costs and carbon footprint, and enables fast charging (20 minutes) and over 400 cycles of life. Its water - based design allows for the direct recovery of precious elements such as cobalt in electrodes by soaking in water without using harmful chemicals. This technology is expected to be applied in electronics, energy storage, and electric vehicles, promoting the battery industry towards a cleaner and more sustainable development [13]. - **Business Cooperation**: On August 4, 2025, Tiantie Technology announced that Anhui Tiantie Lithium - Ion New Energy Co., Ltd. and Zhuhai Xinjie Energy Technology Co., Ltd. signed a "Procurement Framework Agreement" and a "Framework Agreement Purchase Order." Zhuhai Xinjie will purchase copper - lithium composite strips from Anhui Tiantie, with an order amount of 400 million yuan [13].

Report Information - Report Title: Aluminum Daily Report [1] - Report Date: August 15, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Non-ferrous Metals Research Team [3] - Researchers: Yu Feifei, Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin [3] Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - Due to the cooling of the US dollar easing expectation trading and the weak financial data in July in China, the economic outlook remains sluggish, and Shanghai Aluminum is under pressure and weakens. Maintain the high - short strategy for Shanghai Aluminum due to the off - season and inventory pressure [7]. - Alumina has a surplus in fundamentals, so maintain the idea of selling on rebounds, and be vigilant against the risk of sharp price fluctuations caused by sentiment changes. For electrolytic aluminum, the operating capacity remains high, the processing enterprises are in the off - season, and the inventory is seasonally increasing. The smelting enterprises have rich profits [7]. - The supply and demand of cast aluminum are both weak, and it continues to operate in a range, with the AD - AL negative spread remaining at a low level for the time being [7]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Shanghai Aluminum's main contract 2509 closed at 20,715, down 0.38%, and the 08 - 09 backwardation turned to parity. Cast - aluminum alloy fluctuated weakly following Shanghai Aluminum, and the AD - AL negative spread was reported at - 510. The supply of scrap aluminum is tight, and the downstream automotive industry is in the off - season, maintaining a supply - demand dual - weak pattern [7]. - After the news stimulus decreases, alumina has a high - level correction. With the unchanged surplus fundamentals, maintain the idea of selling on rebounds. For electrolytic aluminum, the operating capacity remains high, the processing enterprises are in the off - season, and the inventory continues to increase seasonally [7]. 2. Industry News - On August 10, the Shanxi Provincial Department of Natural Resources decided to adjust the registration authority for the transfer of some mineral types, including ceramic clay, refractory clay, kaolin, and iron alum [8]. - On August 4, the Guinean government established Nimba Mining Company SA (NMC) to take over the mining rights of EGA - GAC. The mining rights of a 690.20 - square - kilometer mining area previously held by GAC have been granted to NMC for 25 years [10]. - The mining rights of Sanmenxia Jinjiang Mining Co., Ltd.'s bauxite mine in Shanzhou District have been changed, with a valid period from June 4, 2025, to April 3, 2030, and a designed production scale of 500,000 tons per year [10]. - Rio Tinto approved an investment of $180 million to start the Norman Creek bauxite project in Queensland, Australia. The construction is expected to be completed in 2028 [10]. - In June 2025, China's primary aluminum imports were about 192,400 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 13.8% and a year - on - year increase of 58.7%. From January to June, the cumulative primary aluminum imports were about 1.2499 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 2.5%. In June, the primary aluminum exports were about 19,600 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 39.5% and a year - on - year increase of 179.4%. From January to June, the cumulative primary aluminum exports were about 86,600 tons, a year - on - year increase of about 206.6%. In June, the net primary aluminum imports were 172,700 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 9.4% and a year - on - year increase of 51.3%. From January to June, the cumulative net primary aluminum imports were about 1.1633 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 2.3% [10].

行业 MEG 日报 日期 2025 年 08 月 15 日 料油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 业硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.c om期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.c om期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油燃 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（尿素、工 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 期货从业资格号：F03134307 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 ...

Group 1: Report Overview - Date: August 15, 2025 [2] - Report Type: Polysilicon Daily Report - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [3] Group 2: Market Performance and Outlook Market Performance - The price of the polysilicon main contract continued to show high - level fluctuations. The closing price of PS2509 was 50,430 yuan/ton, with a decline of 3.08%. The trading volume was 415,544 lots, and the open interest was 127,757 lots, a net decrease of 4,706 lots [4] Market Outlook - There is no policy follow - up in the polysilicon market, and the sentiment of capital gambling on policy expectations has cooled. The spot average price (re - feeding material) is stable at 47,500 yuan/ton, which is supported by the previous anti - involution policy and provides a rigid support for the lower side of the market. The increase in the price of the industrial chain has led to a simultaneous increase in production, and the supply - demand contradiction is not intensified. However, the price increase has not been smoothly transmitted to components and end - users. From a policy perspective, high - price products are not conducive to achieving the dual - carbon goal. In August, polysilicon production increased significantly to 125,000 tons, which can meet the downstream cell demand of about 56GW. The monthly output of silicon wafers and cells decreased to about 52GW, and the overall supply - demand pattern remains loose. Overall, the futures and spot prices are rigidly supported by policies, and the market will mainly maintain wide - range fluctuations [4] Group 3: Market News - On August 14, the number of polysilicon warehouse receipts was 5,480 lots, a net increase of 330 lots compared with the previous trading day. From January to June, the cumulative photovoltaic installed capacity was 212.21GW, a year - on - year increase of 107.07%; in June, the domestic installed capacity was only 14GW. According to customs data, in June 2025, China exported about 21.7GW of photovoltaic modules, a month - on - month decrease of 3% and a 2% decrease compared with 22.1GW in June 2024. From January to June, the cumulative export of photovoltaic modules was about 127.3GW, a 3% decrease compared with the same period last year [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content 2. Core View of the Report - Industrial silicon spot prices are generally stable, while futures prices continue to oscillate within a range without clear directional guidance, with a balanced drive from both long and short funds. The fundamentals show an increase in both supply and demand, maintaining a loose balance. The anti - involution policy sets a bottom tone, but without actual policy implementation in the industrial silicon industry, the spot prices are only stable and not rising, and the market lacks a major driving force. In the short term, it is expected to operate in a convergent triangular and volume - shrinking oscillation between 8000 - 9000 yuan/ton, and interval operation is recommended [4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Performance - Industrial silicon futures prices mainly oscillated. The closing price of Si2511 was 8675 yuan/ton, with a decline of 1.14%. The trading volume was 512076 lots, and the open interest was 279035 lots, with a net decrease of 5465 lots [4] 3.2 Spot Prices - Industrial silicon spot prices were stable. The price of 553 grade in Inner Mongolia was 8800 yuan/ton, and in Sichuan was 8850 yuan/ton. The price of 421 grade in Inner Mongolia was 9700 yuan/ton, in Xinjiang was 9500 yuan/ton, and in Sichuan was 9950 yuan/ton [4] 3.3 Future Outlook - Supply: The operation of plants in the Southwest and Xinjiang production areas has boosted the weekly output to 83,500 tons, equivalent to a monthly output of 370,000 tons - Demand: The production schedule of polysilicon in August will increase to 125,000 tons. The demand from organic silicon, aluminum alloy, and exports is expected to remain stable, equivalent to a monthly demand of 360,000 tons. The supply - demand balance is loose (excluding 97 - grade silicon and recycled silicon), and there is no inventory - reduction drive in the industry [4] 3.4 Market News - On August 14th, the number of futures warehouse receipts on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange was 50,693 lots, a net decrease of 8 lots compared to the previous trading day - According to customs data on August 7th, China imported 3.5609 million tons of coal and lignite in July, an increase of 257,200 tons from the previous month, a month - on - month increase of 7.8%. From January to July, the cumulative import of coal and lignite was 25.7305 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 13.0% [5]

行业 油脂 日期 2025 年 8 月 15 日 研究员：余兰兰 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0301101 研究员：林贞磊 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3055047 研究员：王海峰 021-60635727 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0230741 研究员：洪辰亮 021-60635572 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3076808 研究员：刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 农产品研究团队 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1：行情回顾 | | --- | | | 前结算价: | 开盘价 : | 成高价 : | 童低价 : | | 收盘价 涨跌:涨跌幅 | | :成交量: | | 持企業 持企管要化 | | --- ...

行业 PTA 日报 日期 2025 年 08 月 15 日 一、 行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1：期货行情 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 收盘价（元/吨） | 涨跌 | 总量 | 增减 | | TA2509 | 4640 | -66 | 342285 | -62460 | | TA2601 | 4666 | -74 | 527922 | 123308 | 油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0309492 ...

行业 原油日报 日期 2025 年 8 月 15 日 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油沥青） 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（工业硅碳市场） 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | | ...